Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2012, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       20   49  +22      87.12     5.48    45.74    80.01    94.88    99.15    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      20   42  +19      78.49     5.57    38.29    12.81    59.19    86.85    96.44    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       19   38  +21      75.45     5.85    39.51     6.30    35.24    73.33    91.00    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     20   36  +10      66.21     5.98    18.64     0.19     2.79    11.88    35.94    85.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       19   33  +18      68.80     6.00    34.15     0.67     7.49    25.46    60.25    93.33     0.00     0.00  
Everton       20   33   +8      60.85     5.84    12.38     0.01     0.33     2.37    10.26    56.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     20   33   +3      56.20     5.86     0.04     0.00     0.04     0.37     2.47    22.12     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         20   29   +4      51.95     5.70     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.44     7.57     0.09R    0.00  
Liverpool     20   28   +5      56.42     5.91    10.20     0.00     0.03     0.49     2.85    26.60     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea       20   28   +5      50.81     5.78     1.72     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.35     5.93     0.17R    0.00  
Norwich       20   25   -9      45.66     5.72   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.78     2.43R    0.09  
West_Ham      19   23   -1      45.76     6.05    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.32     2.46R    0.10  
Sunderland    20   22   -5      45.11     5.86    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.86     2.83R    0.08  
Fulham        20   21   -6      43.49     5.85   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     4.72R    0.22  
Newcastle     20   20  -11      43.66     5.99   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     5.50R    0.30  
Wigan         20   18  -13      36.40     5.56   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.41R    4.14  
Aston_Villa   20   18  -24      35.93     5.49   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.68R    5.32  
Southampton   19   17  -11      35.64     5.88   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.36R    6.33  
Reading       20   13  -15      30.52     5.54   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.34R   23.10  
QPR           20   10  -20      26.16     5.36   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.98R   60.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Barnsley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          25   53  +18      88.98     6.68    29.04    66.30    84.68    99.12    88.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             25   48  +10      79.71     6.60    14.33    10.61    32.57    85.59    45.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   47  +12      79.64     6.68    17.80    11.32    33.78    85.53    46.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   44  +14      75.31     6.65    17.75     3.53    14.57    67.70    26.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        25   41  +16      75.95     6.64    25.15     4.74    17.59    72.66    34.49P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          24   40  +12      73.05     7.03    16.25     2.44     9.80    54.91    20.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    25   37   +4      66.19     6.59     4.65     0.17     0.99    17.63     4.58P    0.25R    0.01  
Millwall         25   37   +3      67.35     6.63     5.31     0.25     1.47    22.09     6.17P    0.20R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   35   -5      63.24     6.73    -6.39     0.05     0.31     8.61     2.00P    1.12R    0.05  
Brighton         24   34   +6      64.28     6.76     6.23     0.08     0.63    12.09     3.22P    0.64R    0.03  
Derby            25   34   +0      61.19     6.63    -2.66     0.03     0.17     5.13     1.16P    1.97R    0.13  
Blackpool        25   33   +5      66.59     6.73    12.52     0.18     1.24    21.24     7.11P    0.26R    0.01  
Burnley          25   33   -2      61.77     6.69    -2.40     0.02     0.18     5.98     1.49P    1.90R    0.13  
Bolton           25   32   +0      64.25     6.92     5.11     0.08     0.63    13.00     4.37P    0.82R    0.04  
Blackburn        24   32   -1      66.04     7.02     4.92     0.20     1.13    18.72     6.25P    0.48R    0.02  
Huddersfield     25   32   -7      57.13     6.64   -12.71     0.00     0.04     1.39     0.35P    7.65R    0.69  
Wolverhampton    25   31   -4      59.48     6.77    -4.53     0.00     0.08     3.27     0.91P    3.79R    0.32  
Charlton         25   30   -3      56.50     6.65    -6.40     0.00     0.03     1.16     0.24P    8.50R    0.87  
Ipswich          25   30  -18      53.21     6.51   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   21.32R    3.19  
Birmingham       25   29   -8      60.21     6.73    -4.42     0.01     0.10     3.82     1.19P    3.21R    0.22  
Sheff_Wed        25   25  -12      48.48     6.52   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   45.61R   11.36  
Bristol_City     24   22  -11      46.12     6.59   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.76R   19.50  
Peterborough     25   22  -13      45.77     6.56   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.30R   20.99  
Barnsley         25   21  -16      42.39     6.24   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.21R   42.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        25   47  +17      78.74     6.63    21.42    11.06    23.88    71.73    34.10P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   46  +15      83.44     6.57    27.91    30.93    51.24    89.83    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       24   46  +14      81.15     6.99    21.50    19.72    36.55    80.58    47.27P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       24   45  +13      79.36     6.85    19.23    12.87    26.91    73.62    37.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     24   41  +10      74.16     6.85    14.48     3.50     8.88    45.36    16.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.49     7.08    29.20     9.92    21.41    66.67    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   39  +11      76.46     6.81    21.89     6.78    16.07    60.41    29.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    25   38   -4      62.42     6.59   -10.93     0.05     0.17     3.33     0.56P    1.30R    0.00  
Coventry        25   37  +11      72.35     6.77    20.91     1.99     5.72    37.33    14.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.19     7.04     1.53     1.06     3.03    23.68     7.23P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.78     7.08    17.35     1.99     5.58    34.16    12.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          25   36   +0      62.94     6.66    -3.20     0.05     0.18     4.04     0.81P    1.11R    0.00  
Crewe           24   36   +0      61.77     6.82    -6.95     0.03     0.15     3.21     0.59P    1.99R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   23   34   +0      62.26     6.92    -4.81     0.03     0.18     3.81     0.67P    1.84R    0.01  
Preston         25   31   +2      59.74     6.62     1.87     0.01     0.04     1.55     0.37P    3.11R    0.03  
Walsall         25   29  -10      54.43     6.53   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   15.78R    0.36  
Carlisle        24   29  -11      55.57     6.84   -17.11     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.04P   13.44R    0.25  
Oldham          25   26   -9      50.42     6.35   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   33.55R    1.30  
Shrewsbury      25   25   -5      50.55     6.58    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   31.93R    1.33  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.53     6.68   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.87R    2.57  
Portsmouth      24   21   -8      53.12     7.00    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.05P   20.22R    0.93  
Bury            25   21  -14      43.56     6.34   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.71R   10.74  
Scunthorpe      24   20  -20      45.79     6.76   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R    7.53  
Hartlepool      24   12  -27      34.04     6.34   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.87R   74.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            24   46  +23      84.90     6.78    36.50    42.03    84.21    98.18    88.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.92     7.04    32.82    41.39    82.81    97.59    87.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      74.14     6.86     6.89     3.55    23.73    67.86    33.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             25   40  +16      76.59     6.57    27.74     6.82    40.54    83.51    55.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   40   +6      73.35     6.92    10.74     2.53    21.45    64.74    31.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             24   39   +8      69.31     6.84     8.25     0.78     8.59    42.25    15.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +3      65.85     6.60    -0.25     0.18     2.92    22.50     6.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +9      67.53     6.95     9.61     0.50     5.91    33.83    12.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         25   36   +5      68.29     6.82    10.27     0.51     6.82    37.70    15.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             25   36   +2      68.61     6.85     7.76     0.65     7.38    38.73    15.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               24   35   -1      66.48     7.09     0.76     0.32     4.52    27.15    10.18P    0.05R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.97     6.99     4.58     0.16     2.26    18.03     5.54P    0.17R    0.03  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.64     7.00     7.62     0.48     6.13    33.98    13.70P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           24   32   -1      62.64     6.79    -0.37     0.05     1.27    12.43     3.75P    0.19R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red            24   31   +1      60.39     6.87    -0.39     0.02     0.59     7.88     2.06P    0.66R    0.14  
York                 24   31   -4      56.74     6.73   -10.76     0.00     0.14     2.31     0.48P    2.35R    0.57  
Wycombe              24   29   -8      59.95     7.00    -7.09     0.02     0.52     6.70     1.99P    0.95R    0.19  
Morecambe            24   28   -3      58.21     6.82    -3.04     0.00     0.21     4.06     1.07P    1.37R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   25   27  -12      52.36     6.46   -17.53     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.05P    8.03R    2.29  
Plymouth             25   24   -6      50.55     6.47    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   11.67R    3.71  
Barnet               25   23  -15      45.13     6.34   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.17R   17.52  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.65     6.53   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   24.55R    9.31  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.48     6.83   -30.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.16R   22.92  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   19  -20      41.24     6.54   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.53R   42.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Dartford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      86.05     6.72    39.48    33.10    93.55    50.35P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.41     7.15    26.52    13.11    78.53    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   43  +22      85.63     6.60    41.68    31.23    92.95    53.99P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.77     7.13    24.13    17.04    82.99    35.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.41     6.72    22.75     1.92    42.52    11.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.12     7.14    17.87     2.01    40.21     9.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           25   37   +4      64.68     6.82     1.83     0.05     5.13     0.79P    0.53R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      24   32   +4      65.37     6.80     8.99     0.07     6.84     1.47P    0.35R    0.03  
Hyde_United        24   32   +4      61.29     7.09     2.16     0.02     2.47     0.41P    2.15R    0.24  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      70.19     7.56     6.86     0.80    21.15     4.74P    0.15R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.07     7.31     2.26     0.16    10.62     2.20P    0.37R    0.03  
Gateshead          24   31   -1      61.76     6.82    -0.14     0.01     2.25     0.37P    1.61R    0.18  
Lincoln_City       23   30   -2      60.68     7.10    -3.83     0.02     1.73     0.27P    2.88R    0.40  
Hereford           21   29   -2      69.04     7.64     6.91     0.47    17.74     4.37P    0.27R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.44     7.00   -17.70     0.00     0.43     0.04P   10.14R    1.66  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.12     6.97   -26.02     0.00     0.11     0.01P   25.78R    6.25  
Tamworth           25   28   -6      53.78     6.49   -10.86     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.95R    2.71  
Southport          23   27  -10      54.36     6.95   -17.64     0.00     0.21     0.03P   15.50R    3.08  
AFC_Telford        23   26   -1      52.39     6.81    -9.31     0.00     0.09     0.01P   20.48R    4.27  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.79     7.11   -19.52     0.00     0.27     0.04P   15.16R    3.26  
Stockport          23   25   -6      52.15     6.91   -13.75     0.00     0.10     0.02P   22.54R    5.31  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.58     6.82   -24.79     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.28R   17.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.57     6.90   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R   18.37  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.19     6.82   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.65R   36.19