Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 December 2012, Everton vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       20   49  +22      87.14     5.49    45.79    79.67    94.96    99.09    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      20   42  +19      78.59     5.54    38.49    13.26    59.89    87.29    96.65    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       19   38  +21      75.49     5.82    39.54     6.19    35.00    73.65    91.33    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     20   36  +10      66.10     6.00    18.47     0.20     2.60    11.86    35.33    84.68     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       19   33  +18      68.78     6.02    34.04     0.66     7.15    25.12    60.65    93.28     0.00     0.00  
Everton       20   33   +8      60.67     5.89    12.15     0.01     0.33     2.08     9.79    55.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     20   33   +3      56.25     5.86     0.09     0.01     0.04     0.42     2.56    22.64     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         20   29   +4      52.04     5.73     1.61     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.48     7.77     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool     20   28   +5      56.42     5.89    10.20     0.00     0.03     0.40     2.86    26.82     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea       20   28   +5      50.85     5.76     1.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34     6.03     0.16R    0.00  
Norwich       20   25   -9      45.59     5.75   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.86     2.63R    0.08  
West_Ham      19   23   -1      45.84     6.07    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.34     2.41R    0.13  
Sunderland    20   22   -5      45.04     5.83    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.79     2.83R    0.11  
Fulham        20   21   -6      43.60     5.86    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     4.56R    0.21  
Newcastle     20   20  -11      43.61     5.93   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46     5.29R    0.27  
Wigan         20   18  -13      36.32     5.54   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.90R    4.25  
Aston_Villa   20   18  -24      35.90     5.51   -35.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.63R    5.58  
Southampton   19   17  -11      35.64     5.89   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.51R    6.20  
Reading       20   13  -15      30.52     5.55   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.26R   23.19  
QPR           20   10  -20      26.22     5.36   -34.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.75R   59.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Barnsley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          25   53  +18      88.92     6.69    28.96    65.99    84.40    99.16    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             25   48  +10      79.77     6.63    14.42    10.94    32.69    85.66    45.31P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   47  +12      79.66     6.72    17.80    11.25    33.87    85.23    46.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   44  +14      75.39     6.69    17.91     3.64    14.83    68.28    26.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        25   41  +16      75.82     6.68    24.89     4.71    17.10    71.86    34.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          24   40  +12      73.06     6.96    16.29     2.42     9.63    54.84    20.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    25   37   +4      66.07     6.53     4.47     0.12     0.93    16.59     4.38P    0.24R    0.01  
Millwall         25   37   +3      67.29     6.66     5.22     0.17     1.55    22.20     6.18P    0.19R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   35   -5      63.33     6.75    -6.22     0.05     0.39     8.68     2.00P    1.16R    0.05  
Brighton         24   34   +6      64.41     6.82     6.43     0.10     0.75    12.70     3.56P    0.63R    0.04  
Derby            25   34   +0      61.16     6.56    -2.69     0.01     0.15     4.94     1.02P    1.89R    0.12  
Blackpool        25   33   +5      66.70     6.77    12.68     0.26     1.44    21.54     7.48P    0.27R    0.01  
Burnley          25   33   -2      61.85     6.71    -2.32     0.01     0.19     6.29     1.56P    1.72R    0.11  
Bolton           25   32   +0      64.30     6.95     5.25     0.10     0.67    13.19     4.41P    0.86R    0.05  
Blackburn        24   32   -1      66.11     7.04     5.05     0.20     1.18    18.85     6.28P    0.48R    0.01  
Huddersfield     25   32   -7      56.96     6.56   -13.00     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.25P    7.91R    0.76  
Wolverhampton    25   31   -4      59.52     6.77    -4.43     0.01     0.10     3.38     0.91P    3.61R    0.30  
Charlton         25   30   -3      56.47     6.63    -6.43     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.23P    8.54R    0.91  
Ipswich          25   30  -18      53.16     6.49   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   21.42R    3.17  
Birmingham       25   29   -8      60.20     6.78    -4.47     0.01     0.08     3.85     1.06P    3.35R    0.27  
Sheff_Wed        25   25  -12      48.43     6.52   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.01R   11.38  
Bristol_City     24   22  -11      46.11     6.61   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   59.29R   19.46  
Peterborough     25   22  -13      45.75     6.54   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.72R   20.86  
Barnsley         25   21  -16      42.33     6.25   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.70R   42.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        25   47  +17      78.54     6.54    21.15    10.31    22.67    71.23    33.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   46  +15      83.38     6.53    27.84    30.88    51.42    89.75    63.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       24   46  +14      81.29     6.93    21.66    20.29    37.40    81.45    48.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       24   45  +13      79.24     6.84    19.04    12.70    25.90    73.01    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     24   41  +10      74.08     6.90    14.40     3.52     9.13    44.92    16.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.65     7.06    29.42    10.25    22.30    67.70    35.31P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   39  +11      76.35     6.82    21.72     6.67    15.81    60.08    28.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    25   38   -4      62.31     6.60   -11.10     0.04     0.17     3.26     0.54P    1.48R    0.01  
Coventry        25   37  +11      72.41     6.79    20.97     2.18     6.10    37.45    14.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.22     7.01     1.59     1.02     3.07    23.80     7.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.72     7.06    17.26     1.98     5.43    33.83    12.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          25   36   +0      62.99     6.61    -3.13     0.04     0.21     3.94     0.74P    1.01R    0.00  
Crewe           24   36   +0      62.00     6.86    -6.63     0.06     0.17     3.48     0.58P    1.84R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   23   34   +0      62.31     6.88    -4.71     0.04     0.17     3.73     0.71P    1.69R    0.01  
Preston         25   31   +2      59.86     6.60     2.03     0.01     0.04     1.63     0.38P    2.91R    0.02  
Walsall         25   29  -10      54.49     6.54   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   15.51R    0.36  
Carlisle        24   29  -11      55.43     6.81   -17.27     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   13.84R    0.24  
Oldham          25   26   -9      50.42     6.39   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   33.55R    1.40  
Shrewsbury      25   25   -5      50.47     6.56    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   32.30R    1.44  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.41     6.67   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.96R    2.42  
Portsmouth      24   21   -8      53.23     6.99    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   19.75R    0.93  
Bury            25   21  -14      43.60     6.32   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.42R   10.55  
Scunthorpe      24   20  -20      45.85     6.68   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.98R    7.17  
Hartlepool      24   12  -27      34.04     6.37   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   75.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            24   46  +23      84.97     6.81    36.59    42.71    84.29    98.12    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.82     6.99    32.68    40.63    82.78    97.70    87.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      74.02     6.85     6.73     3.31    23.31    67.04    32.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             25   40  +16      76.63     6.55    27.75     6.96    41.10    83.48    55.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   40   +6      73.36     6.85    10.77     2.67    21.16    64.65    31.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             24   39   +8      69.31     6.79     8.24     0.76     8.61    42.13    15.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   39   +3      65.93     6.65    -0.12     0.18     2.99    23.01     6.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       24   37   +9      67.42     6.92     9.47     0.49     5.80    33.20    11.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         25   36   +5      68.37     6.78    10.36     0.50     6.85    38.17    15.94P    0.02R    0.01  
Rochdale             25   36   +2      68.53     6.89     7.60     0.59     7.23    38.22    15.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               24   35   -1      66.46     7.10     0.72     0.33     4.47    27.10    10.13P    0.06R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.83     6.97     4.38     0.18     2.15    17.35     5.25P    0.18R    0.03  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.84     7.02     7.93     0.58     6.42    35.16    14.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   32   -1      62.80     6.84    -0.13     0.06     1.36    12.99     4.01P    0.24R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red            24   31   +1      60.41     6.84    -0.36     0.02     0.59     7.54     2.04P    0.65R    0.11  
York                 24   31   -4      56.72     6.74   -10.79     0.00     0.12     2.34     0.51P    2.25R    0.50  
Wycombe              24   29   -8      60.12     7.02    -6.87     0.02     0.51     7.05     2.14P    0.84R    0.16  
Morecambe            24   28   -3      58.18     6.87    -3.10     0.01     0.26     4.08     1.10P    1.49R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   25   27  -12      52.20     6.44   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    8.32R    2.32  
Plymouth             25   24   -6      50.54     6.49    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   11.86R    3.89  
Barnet               25   23  -15      45.13     6.35   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.07R   17.71  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.61     6.53   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   24.69R    9.52  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.53     6.82   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.55R   22.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   19  -20      41.18     6.54   -36.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.70R   43.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 December 2012, Dartford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      86.10     6.67    39.49    33.15    93.62    50.51P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.32     7.14    26.35    12.89    78.16    23.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            24   43  +22      85.68     6.57    41.81    31.34    93.21    54.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.80     7.14    24.14    17.26    83.17    36.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.41     6.69    22.78     1.83    42.70    11.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.13     7.10    17.89     1.93    40.36     9.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           25   37   +4      64.75     6.85     2.00     0.04     5.28     0.82P    0.53R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      24   32   +4      65.46     6.80     9.12     0.07     6.92     1.44P    0.35R    0.03  
Hyde_United        24   32   +4      61.28     7.12     2.16     0.01     2.55     0.40P    2.12R    0.24  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      70.15     7.56     6.74     0.80    21.22     4.83P    0.12R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.22     7.28     2.48     0.20    10.75     2.33P    0.38R    0.02  
Gateshead          24   31   -1      61.91     6.87     0.09     0.02     2.42     0.40P    1.62R    0.17  
Lincoln_City       23   30   -2      60.65     7.10    -3.91     0.02     1.76     0.27P    2.88R    0.33  
Hereford           21   29   -2      68.78     7.67     6.45     0.43    16.76     4.07P    0.32R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.48     7.02   -17.64     0.00     0.41     0.04P   10.01R    1.71  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.15     6.89   -25.95     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.62R    6.10  
Tamworth           25   28   -6      53.80     6.49   -10.77     0.00     0.06     0.00P   14.94R    2.56  
Southport          23   27  -10      54.31     6.97   -17.76     0.00     0.20     0.02P   15.78R    3.14  
AFC_Telford        23   26   -1      52.48     6.82    -9.15     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.13R    4.21  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.71     7.16   -19.70     0.00     0.26     0.03P   15.45R    3.30  
Stockport          23   25   -6      52.11     6.92   -13.77     0.00     0.08     0.01P   22.63R    5.22  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.45     6.80   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.64R   18.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.66     6.85   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.37R   17.97  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.09     6.76   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.10R   36.63