Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 29 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       19   46  +20      86.56     5.65    45.86    81.13    95.69    99.23    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      19   39  +18      77.54     5.75    38.06    12.91    61.66    87.36    96.08    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       18   35  +20      73.67     6.06    38.21     5.13    31.92    70.55    88.20    98.53     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     19   33   +9      64.40     6.22    17.30     0.18     2.71    11.52    32.37    77.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       19   33   +9      62.15     6.02    13.37     0.05     1.08     5.82    19.78    65.73     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     19   33   +5      56.72     6.00     0.24     0.01     0.13     0.95     4.35    26.48     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.16     6.22    29.77     0.60     6.75    23.85    55.02    89.23     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         19   28   +4      52.92     5.87     2.58     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.15    11.24     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea       19   25   +4      48.49     5.96    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     3.52     0.64R    0.01  
Liverpool     19   25   +2      54.69     6.11     6.99     0.00     0.05     0.45     2.46    19.34     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich       19   25   -8      46.40     5.87   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.30     1.79R    0.04  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.68     6.26    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     2.94     1.36R    0.05  
Sunderland    19   22   -4      46.45     6.05    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.74     1.71R    0.06  
Fulham        19   21   -5      45.45     6.08    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.22     2.56R    0.14  
Newcastle     19   20   -7      44.87     6.15    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.11     3.61R    0.19  
Aston_Villa   19   18  -21      38.23     5.77   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    24.78R    2.72  
Southampton   18   16  -11      35.28     6.07   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    42.34R    7.42  
Wigan         19   15  -16      33.80     5.69   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.88R   10.04  
Reading       19   10  -16      28.57     5.75   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.08R   35.90  
QPR           19   10  -17      27.68     5.60   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.13R   43.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barnsley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          24   50  +17      87.72     6.85    28.66    65.61    83.39    98.50    87.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             24   45   +8      78.01     6.79    12.25     9.85    29.42    78.73    40.90P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   44  +10      77.58     6.89    15.15     9.35    28.68    77.00    40.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   43  +14      75.53     6.86    17.54     5.72    20.01    68.68    30.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        24   38  +15      74.05     6.85    23.76     4.38    15.20    62.46    29.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.65     7.15    13.05     1.93     7.44    42.10    15.41P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.47     6.86     5.85     0.71     3.42    28.59     9.19P    0.13R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    24   36   +4      66.62     6.81     4.71     0.35     1.88    20.15     5.95P    0.27R    0.01  
Leeds_United     24   35   -3      64.75     6.91    -4.12     0.20     1.03    13.29     3.65P    0.76R    0.04  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.58     7.02     9.59     0.47     2.25    21.72     7.01P    0.35R    0.01  
Blackpool        24   33   +7      68.34     6.96    15.10     0.88     3.80    30.65    11.91P    0.15R    0.01  
Derby            24   33   +0      61.21     6.77    -3.16     0.04     0.25     5.62     1.28P    2.28R    0.17  
Burnley          24   33   -1      63.38     6.92    -1.08     0.13     0.63    10.37     2.87P    1.17R    0.10  
Wolverhampton    24   31   -2      62.30     7.02    -0.28     0.06     0.51     8.42     2.52P    1.76R    0.11  
Huddersfield     24   31   -7      57.96     6.82   -12.14     0.01     0.07     2.10     0.46P    6.56R    0.71  
Bolton           24   29   -2      62.33     7.11     2.66     0.07     0.52     8.89     3.08P    1.79R    0.15  
Blackburn        23   29   -3      64.25     7.23     2.65     0.19     1.06    13.60     4.76P    1.29R    0.10  
Charlton         24   29   -3      57.10     6.89    -6.04     0.00     0.07     1.87     0.45P    7.61R    0.82  
Birmingham       24   29   -6      61.90     6.91    -1.95     0.04     0.37     7.00     2.27P    1.90R    0.11  
Ipswich          24   27  -20      50.34     6.65   -31.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   36.06R    7.89  
Sheff_Wed        24   24  -12      48.44     6.74   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   45.37R   12.24  
Peterborough     24   22  -11      47.55     6.79   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.83R   14.64  
Barnsley         24   21  -14      43.66     6.47   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.24R   32.55  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.12     6.81   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.40R   30.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       24   46  +16      86.10     6.72    30.80    45.24    65.97    95.10    75.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        24   44  +16      77.38     6.80    20.80     7.10    17.84    66.91    28.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       23   44  +13      80.24     7.02    19.93    13.88    30.49    78.72    41.33P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       23   43  +11      78.79     7.14    17.39    10.20    24.09    71.74    35.21P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.58     7.04    29.34     8.54    20.93    69.27    35.17P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         23   39  +12      78.19     7.02    23.41     9.46    22.55    71.00    37.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     23   38   +7      72.23     7.12    11.02     1.86     5.68    36.74    12.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    24   38   -1      64.28     6.88    -7.20     0.12     0.45     7.05     1.34P    1.06R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.13     7.03     1.48     0.88     2.84    24.92     7.38P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.72     7.10    17.28     1.70     5.31    35.82    12.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry        24   34  +10      70.33     7.02    19.24     0.95     3.47    29.55    11.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil          24   33   -1      60.65     6.78    -5.31     0.01     0.06     2.49     0.45P    3.50R    0.02  
Crewe           23   33   -1      59.93     7.04    -8.23     0.01     0.07     2.44     0.40P    4.93R    0.03  
Preston         24   31   +5      61.76     6.84     5.86     0.03     0.13     4.01     0.94P    2.13R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.32     7.07    -6.21     0.02     0.10     2.81     0.52P    4.21R    0.02  
Walsall         24   29   -9      55.92     6.72   -13.95     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.08P   13.05R    0.12  
Oldham          24   26   -8      52.17     6.61   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   27.34R    0.51  
Carlisle        23   26  -12      53.95     6.97   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   21.35R    0.34  
Shrewsbury      24   24   -5      50.38     6.77   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   36.19R    1.03  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.45     6.71   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.61R    1.47  
Portsmouth      23   21   -7      55.35     7.16    -2.79     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.17P   14.57R    0.33  
Bury            24   21  -13      44.91     6.57   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.64R    5.31  
Scunthorpe      23   20  -19      47.00     6.93   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.90R    3.83  
Hartlepool      23    9  -28      31.05     6.41   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.24R   86.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aldershot vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.69     7.03    32.50    41.57    81.35    97.52    86.25P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   43  +22      83.32     6.99    35.45    34.03    76.67    96.55    82.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      73.96     6.81     6.65     3.36    21.88    67.35    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   40  +18      78.98     6.75    31.30    14.07    54.29    90.03    66.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             23   39  +10      71.38     6.97    11.34     1.75    13.90    54.23    22.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            23   37   +3      71.38     7.06     7.22     1.66    13.59    53.32    22.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       23   36   +9      68.27     7.12    10.17     0.79     7.32    37.73    14.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   36   +1      63.29     6.81    -3.77     0.09     1.43    13.98     3.57P    0.23R    0.03  
Chesterfield         24   35   +5      69.35     6.97    11.28     0.96     9.07    43.78    19.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               23   34   -1      67.64     7.24     2.04     0.62     6.11    33.24    12.92P    0.05R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.80     7.01     4.35     0.13     2.02    17.55     5.18P    0.18R    0.04  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.85     6.96     7.95     0.53     6.00    35.17    13.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   33   +0      66.20     7.07     4.49     0.31     3.99    26.91    10.06P    0.08R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            23   31   +2      61.83     7.06     0.76     0.07     1.03    11.36     3.10P    0.48R    0.10  
York                 23   30   -4      56.56     6.98   -11.67     0.00     0.14     2.67     0.55P    3.24R    0.89  
Oxford_Utd           23   29   -4      60.71     6.97    -3.79     0.04     0.64     8.14     2.36P    0.80R    0.17  
Morecambe            23   27   -3      58.14     7.03    -3.73     0.01     0.24     4.55     1.23P    2.01R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   24   27   -9      53.79     6.69   -14.47     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.17P    6.56R    2.10  
Wycombe              23   26   -9      57.93     7.23    -8.71     0.01     0.31     4.35     1.38P    2.59R    0.78  
Plymouth             24   24   -5      52.36     6.73    -7.83     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.10P    9.07R    2.99  
Barnet               24   22  -15      44.79     6.49   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.72R   22.64  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.52     6.55   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.70R   11.59  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.16     6.79   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.85R   33.70  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.68     6.80   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   46.34R   24.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barrow vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      86.01     6.67    39.38    29.38    93.39    47.49P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.44     7.13    26.59    11.88    78.08    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   42  +22      87.28     6.71    43.70    39.11    95.10    60.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.58     7.20    23.79    14.89    81.49    34.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.42     6.68    22.80     1.60    41.85    10.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.24     7.08    18.07     1.65    39.79     9.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           24   36   +4      65.23     7.06     2.09     0.08     6.20     0.98P    0.49R    0.04  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      70.16     7.54     6.79     0.67    20.41     4.61P    0.14R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.28     7.27     2.61     0.19    10.66     2.37P    0.38R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      23   31   +4      65.85     7.03     9.10     0.10     7.87     1.61P    0.39R    0.03  
Gateshead          23   30   -1      62.15     7.05    -0.12     0.01     2.71     0.44P    1.63R    0.17  
Hyde_United        23   29   +3      59.24     7.38     0.32     0.01     1.57     0.21P    4.62R    0.70  
Lincoln_City       22   29   -2      61.17     7.24    -3.69     0.02     2.27     0.31P    2.56R    0.30  
Hereford           21   29   -2      69.05     7.62     6.89     0.41    17.20     4.19P    0.26R    0.02  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.41     7.00   -17.81     0.00     0.40     0.04P   10.08R    1.68  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.28     6.94   -25.71     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.84R    6.03  
Tamworth           24   27   -6      52.91     6.56   -12.78     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.47R    3.73  
Southport          22   27   -9      56.16     7.20   -15.98     0.00     0.40     0.08P   10.60R    2.00  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.58     7.15   -19.86     0.00     0.25     0.03P   15.77R    3.48  
AFC_Telford        22   25   -1      52.32     6.96    -9.98     0.00     0.07     0.01P   21.59R    4.63  
Stockport          22   24   -6      52.97     7.11   -12.99     0.00     0.12     0.02P   19.64R    4.58  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.39     6.75   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.26R   18.24  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.56     6.84   -26.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.02R   17.91  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.10     6.74   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.25R   36.43