Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 28 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       19   46  +20      86.65     5.65    46.04    81.47    95.65    99.25    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      19   39  +18      77.50     5.70    38.03    12.58    61.31    87.35    96.19    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       18   35  +20      73.75     6.05    38.30     5.10    32.26    70.56    88.23    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     19   33   +9      64.49     6.20    17.52     0.19     2.66    11.36    32.61    78.39     0.00     0.00  
Everton       19   33   +9      62.13     6.01    13.32     0.06     1.12     5.98    19.18    65.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     19   33   +5      56.69     6.02     0.20     0.00     0.13     0.95     4.42    26.37     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.19     6.21    29.79     0.61     6.82    23.90    55.11    89.35     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         19   28   +4      52.86     5.89     2.45     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.14    11.01     0.09R    0.00  
Swansea       19   25   +4      48.57     5.95    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     3.63     0.57R    0.01  
Liverpool     19   25   +2      54.66     6.11     6.92     0.00     0.03     0.41     2.53    19.11     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich       19   25   -8      46.40     5.88   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.33     1.98R    0.08  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.51     6.26    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     2.86     1.48R    0.04  
Sunderland    19   22   -4      46.42     6.07    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.70     1.88R    0.08  
Fulham        19   21   -5      45.33     6.08    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.24     2.73R    0.11  
Newcastle     19   20   -7      44.81     6.13    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.94     3.62R    0.21  
Aston_Villa   19   18  -21      38.36     5.80   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    24.15R    2.60  
Southampton   18   16  -11      35.41     6.06   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    41.38R    7.03  
Wigan         19   15  -16      33.64     5.67   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.94R   10.98  
Reading       19   10  -16      28.68     5.75   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.80R   35.36  
QPR           19   10  -17      27.69     5.63   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.32R   43.49  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barnsley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          24   50  +17      87.70     6.89    28.63    65.39    83.10    98.36    87.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             24   45   +8      78.02     6.81    12.28     9.78    29.45    78.66    40.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   44  +10      77.66     6.89    15.20     9.82    28.89    77.41    40.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   43  +14      75.50     6.84    17.50     5.59    19.84    68.32    30.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        24   38  +15      74.09     6.86    23.83     4.39    15.54    62.76    30.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.62     7.14    13.04     1.91     7.21    41.54    15.06P    0.08R    0.01  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.42     6.78     5.77     0.76     3.33    27.98     9.12P    0.10R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    24   36   +4      66.65     6.75     4.78     0.36     1.89    20.31     5.88P    0.24R    0.00  
Leeds_United     24   35   -3      64.82     6.95    -4.00     0.16     1.05    13.86     3.69P    0.75R    0.03  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.53     7.01     9.53     0.44     2.13    21.75     6.88P    0.30R    0.01  
Blackpool        24   33   +7      68.41     6.96    15.23     0.79     3.90    30.85    12.18P    0.17R    0.01  
Derby            24   33   +0      61.35     6.79    -2.96     0.06     0.32     5.82     1.42P    2.12R    0.13  
Burnley          24   33   -1      63.37     6.91    -1.08     0.10     0.66    10.15     2.82P    1.11R    0.07  
Wolverhampton    24   31   -2      62.35     7.03    -0.22     0.09     0.52     8.30     2.63P    1.69R    0.13  
Huddersfield     24   31   -7      57.88     6.85   -12.30     0.01     0.08     2.12     0.46P    6.72R    0.72  
Bolton           24   29   -2      62.20     7.09     2.47     0.08     0.55     8.38     2.92P    1.90R    0.15  
Blackburn        23   29   -3      64.28     7.22     2.72     0.19     1.09    14.09     4.81P    1.10R    0.07  
Charlton         24   29   -3      56.98     6.90    -6.23     0.00     0.06     1.73     0.47P    7.95R    0.94  
Birmingham       24   29   -6      62.01     6.97    -1.80     0.07     0.39     7.38     2.47P    1.93R    0.14  
Ipswich          24   27  -20      50.37     6.64   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   35.72R    7.73  
Sheff_Wed        24   24  -12      48.38     6.73   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.78R   12.25  
Peterborough     24   22  -11      47.49     6.82   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   49.79R   14.91  
Barnsley         24   21  -14      43.71     6.46   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.95R   32.48  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.08     6.74   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.57R   30.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       24   46  +16      86.08     6.67    30.80    45.28    66.34    95.39    75.70P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        24   44  +16      77.26     6.75    20.65     6.86    17.63    66.77    28.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       23   44  +13      80.20     6.99    19.90    13.91    30.21    78.88    41.18P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       23   43  +11      78.94     7.17    17.58    10.96    25.12    72.74    36.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.30     7.13    28.96     8.17    20.19    68.01    34.09P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         23   39  +12      78.20     6.97    23.42     9.43    22.79    71.41    37.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     23   38   +7      72.06     7.06    10.77     1.74     5.41    35.93    11.78P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    24   38   -1      64.24     6.85    -7.24     0.09     0.36     6.87     1.31P    1.06R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.14     7.02     1.43     0.80     2.78    25.55     7.50P    0.11R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.73     7.11    17.29     1.75     5.41    36.10    12.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry        24   34  +10      70.23     6.95    19.11     0.92     3.34    29.12    10.89P    0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil          24   33   -1      60.66     6.77    -5.22     0.02     0.07     2.44     0.46P    3.40R    0.02  
Crewe           23   33   -1      59.95     7.06    -8.19     0.01     0.08     2.45     0.46P    4.96R    0.02  
Preston         24   31   +5      61.79     6.83     5.88     0.03     0.14     4.03     0.94P    2.05R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.48     7.07    -5.96     0.02     0.11     2.77     0.50P    4.05R    0.03  
Walsall         24   29   -9      55.95     6.71   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.11P   13.06R    0.13  
Oldham          24   26   -8      52.14     6.61   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   27.43R    0.54  
Carlisle        23   26  -12      53.92     7.02   -18.13     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   21.86R    0.42  
Shrewsbury      24   24   -5      50.43     6.73   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.67R    1.05  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.40     6.70   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.00R    1.60  
Portsmouth      23   21   -7      55.45     7.17    -2.64     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.16P   14.37R    0.34  
Bury            24   21  -13      45.03     6.55   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.06R    5.35  
Scunthorpe      23   20  -19      46.98     6.89   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   59.42R    3.86  
Hartlepool      23    9  -28      31.11     6.42   -41.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   86.63  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aldershot vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.76     7.01    32.57    41.52    81.13    97.56    86.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   43  +22      83.36     7.01    35.54    33.89    76.57    96.55    82.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      74.20     6.84     6.99     3.76    22.82    68.18    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   40  +18      78.98     6.73    31.30    13.72    54.13    89.87    66.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             23   39  +10      71.46     6.97    11.46     1.81    13.93    54.42    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            23   37   +3      71.50     7.03     7.37     1.67    13.80    53.94    22.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       23   36   +9      68.38     7.20    10.30     0.82     7.51    38.50    14.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   36   +1      63.18     6.76    -3.92     0.11     1.33    13.21     3.22P    0.17R    0.03  
Chesterfield         24   35   +5      69.28     7.03    11.19     0.87     8.79    43.20    18.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               23   34   -1      67.52     7.18     1.83     0.56     5.66    32.35    12.28P    0.07R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.92     7.01     4.53     0.17     2.03    17.98     5.27P    0.20R    0.03  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.92     7.01     8.07     0.59     6.16    35.70    14.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   33   +0      66.05     7.12     4.22     0.37     3.84    26.39     9.91P    0.07R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            23   31   +2      61.77     6.98     0.67     0.07     0.96    11.05     2.99P    0.42R    0.10  
York                 23   30   -4      56.64     6.94   -11.54     0.02     0.14     2.64     0.59P    2.93R    0.82  
Oxford_Utd           23   29   -4      60.55     7.01    -4.05     0.04     0.61     7.98     2.15P    0.90R    0.19  
Morecambe            23   27   -3      58.11     7.03    -3.76     0.01     0.27     4.27     1.11P    1.93R    0.52  
Accrington_Stanley   24   27   -9      53.82     6.72   -14.44     0.00     0.04     0.89     0.19P    6.27R    1.96  
Wycombe              23   26   -9      58.15     7.24    -8.36     0.01     0.29     4.64     1.33P    2.39R    0.65  
Plymouth             24   24   -5      52.42     6.73    -7.67     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.15P    8.81R    2.82  
Barnet               24   22  -15      44.68     6.46   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.80R   22.51  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.47     6.52   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.61R   11.34  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.02     6.76   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.52R   34.04  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.51     6.80   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.85R   24.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barrow vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      85.99     6.65    39.38    29.42    93.44    47.86P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.19     7.12    26.23    11.06    77.02    22.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   42  +22      87.33     6.70    43.77    39.70    95.22    60.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.63     7.16    23.88    15.11    81.92    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.39     6.72    22.74     1.52    41.96    10.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.19     7.10    17.99     1.76    40.06     9.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           24   36   +4      65.11     7.08     1.92     0.07     6.19     0.92P    0.54R    0.03  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      69.98     7.60     6.46     0.65    19.99     4.46P    0.15R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.34     7.30     2.66     0.15    10.95     2.37P    0.35R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      23   31   +4      65.81     7.00     9.06     0.08     7.78     1.73P    0.36R    0.04  
Gateshead          23   30   -1      62.10     7.09    -0.20     0.00     2.81     0.44P    1.70R    0.19  
Hyde_United        23   29   +3      59.13     7.32     0.16     0.01     1.44     0.20P    4.80R    0.67  
Lincoln_City       22   29   -2      61.14     7.30    -3.76     0.01     2.35     0.41P    2.77R    0.35  
Hereford           21   29   -2      69.01     7.69     6.86     0.45    17.36     4.18P    0.28R    0.02  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.55     7.07   -17.55     0.00     0.44     0.03P   10.03R    1.76  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.42     6.90   -25.45     0.00     0.09     0.02P   24.26R    5.69  
Tamworth           24   27   -6      53.03     6.62   -12.63     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.62R    3.76  
Southport          22   27   -9      56.07     7.21   -16.20     0.00     0.46     0.07P   11.19R    2.03  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.69     7.16   -19.69     0.00     0.23     0.02P   15.78R    3.44  
AFC_Telford        22   25   -1      52.34     6.97    -9.94     0.00     0.08     0.02P   21.78R    4.74  
Stockport          22   24   -6      52.97     7.15   -12.97     0.00     0.16     0.02P   20.13R    4.64  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.71     6.87   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.72R   17.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.57     6.87   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.28R   18.32  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.08     6.79   -31.53     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.25R   36.55