Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 27 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       19   46  +20      86.66     5.63    46.03    81.53    95.78    99.27    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      19   39  +18      77.48     5.77    38.02    12.46    61.37    87.26    96.09    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       18   35  +20      73.74     6.08    38.32     5.28    32.43    70.68    88.14    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     19   33   +9      64.25     6.22    17.10     0.12     2.53    11.09    31.53    77.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton       19   33   +9      62.14     5.99    13.33     0.04     1.08     6.21    19.85    65.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     19   33   +5      56.74     5.98     0.26     0.00     0.13     0.97     4.43    26.80     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.15     6.23    29.80     0.57     6.63    23.80    55.70    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         19   28   +4      52.94     5.91     2.55     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.19    11.45     0.07R    0.00  
Swansea       19   25   +4      48.56     5.97    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     3.64     0.60R    0.01  
Liverpool     19   25   +2      54.58     6.11     6.83     0.00     0.03     0.47     2.46    18.66     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich       19   25   -8      46.35     5.86   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.40     1.95R    0.05  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.49     6.24    -5.34     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.21     2.73     1.53R    0.05  
Sunderland    19   22   -4      46.47     6.04    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.79     1.74R    0.06  
Fulham        19   21   -5      45.42     6.07    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.26     2.59R    0.12  
Newcastle     19   20   -7      44.86     6.14    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.05     3.65R    0.17  
Aston_Villa   19   18  -21      38.28     5.79   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    24.81R    2.71  
Southampton   18   16  -11      35.33     6.11   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    41.90R    7.46  
Wigan         19   15  -16      33.75     5.69   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.38R   10.56  
Reading       19   10  -16      28.74     5.79   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.52R   35.34  
QPR           19   10  -17      27.73     5.61   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.22R   43.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barnsley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          24   50  +17      87.69     6.85    28.60    65.59    83.19    98.41    87.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             24   45   +8      78.16     6.75    12.47    10.02    29.71    79.47    41.58P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   44  +10      77.64     6.87    15.19     9.59    28.56    77.21    40.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   43  +14      75.51     6.89    17.54     5.58    19.90    68.54    30.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        24   38  +15      74.15     6.86    23.91     4.29    15.62    63.17    30.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.62     7.20    12.97     1.89     7.36    41.36    15.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.42     6.82     5.78     0.67     3.23    28.02     8.83P    0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    24   36   +4      66.47     6.82     4.53     0.34     1.76    19.72     5.62P    0.29R    0.01  
Leeds_United     24   35   -3      64.67     6.94    -4.21     0.18     1.08    13.36     3.68P    0.81R    0.06  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.50     6.99     9.49     0.49     2.18    21.24     6.83P    0.28R    0.02  
Blackpool        24   33   +7      68.55     6.94    15.43     0.81     3.94    31.68    12.35P    0.14R    0.00  
Derby            24   33   +0      61.28     6.79    -3.05     0.03     0.27     5.71     1.42P    2.20R    0.18  
Burnley          24   33   -1      63.46     6.89    -0.94     0.10     0.70    10.44     2.83P    1.09R    0.08  
Wolverhampton    24   31   -2      62.42     6.98    -0.14     0.07     0.48     8.34     2.51P    1.79R    0.13  
Huddersfield     24   31   -7      57.94     6.85   -12.14     0.01     0.06     2.05     0.44P    6.53R    0.67  
Bolton           24   29   -2      62.16     7.15     2.39     0.08     0.49     8.65     2.87P    1.96R    0.15  
Blackburn        23   29   -3      64.21     7.20     2.59     0.20     1.03    13.52     4.74P    1.16R    0.08  
Charlton         24   29   -3      56.96     6.90    -6.29     0.01     0.06     1.74     0.46P    7.90R    0.89  
Birmingham       24   29   -6      61.87     6.94    -1.99     0.05     0.39     7.14     2.33P    1.92R    0.14  
Ipswich          24   27  -20      50.38     6.61   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   36.16R    7.85  
Sheff_Wed        24   24  -12      48.50     6.73   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   45.01R   11.93  
Peterborough     24   22  -11      47.56     6.79   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.86R   14.95  
Barnsley         24   21  -14      43.69     6.45   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.97R   32.59  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.10     6.80   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   69.73R   30.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       24   46  +16      85.94     6.67    30.59    44.17    65.35    95.24    75.09P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        24   44  +16      77.34     6.76    20.79     6.97    17.85    66.81    28.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       23   44  +13      80.13     7.03    19.84    14.06    30.37    78.16    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       23   43  +11      78.87     7.17    17.46    11.08    24.76    71.97    35.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.50     7.01    29.22     8.45    20.36    68.81    34.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         23   39  +12      78.19     6.98    23.41     9.62    22.88    71.08    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     23   38   +7      72.28     7.09    11.10     1.80     5.69    37.25    12.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    24   38   -1      64.26     6.85    -7.23     0.11     0.38     6.80     1.21P    1.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.17     7.05     1.50     0.89     3.03    25.33     7.66P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.71     7.09    17.27     1.72     5.31    36.06    12.72P    0.05R    0.00  
Coventry        24   34  +10      70.39     6.98    19.33     1.02     3.55    29.30    11.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Yeovil          24   33   -1      60.69     6.85    -5.23     0.01     0.10     2.65     0.47P    3.49R    0.02  
Crewe           23   33   -1      59.88     7.01    -8.30     0.02     0.07     2.27     0.37P    4.92R    0.03  
Preston         24   31   +5      61.76     6.78     5.87     0.04     0.15     3.84     0.99P    2.04R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.59     7.07    -5.83     0.04     0.11     2.87     0.57P    3.88R    0.02  
Walsall         24   29   -9      56.02     6.74   -13.79     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P   12.80R    0.13  
Oldham          24   26   -8      52.05     6.59   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.69R    0.51  
Carlisle        23   26  -12      53.80     7.02   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   22.13R    0.40  
Shrewsbury      24   24   -5      50.41     6.79   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   36.03R    0.96  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.39     6.68   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.99R    1.53  
Portsmouth      23   21   -7      55.49     7.16    -2.56     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.21P   13.99R    0.29  
Bury            24   21  -13      44.98     6.56   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.38R    5.25  
Scunthorpe      23   20  -19      46.98     6.90   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   59.10R    3.84  
Hartlepool      23    9  -28      31.00     6.40   -42.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R   87.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aldershot vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.81     7.03    32.67    41.93    81.59    97.64    86.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   43  +22      83.32     7.01    35.47    33.66    76.35    96.54    82.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      73.88     6.82     6.53     3.24    21.69    66.20    31.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             24   40  +18      79.07     6.77    31.45    14.13    54.82    90.13    67.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             23   39  +10      71.40     6.98    11.39     1.79    13.88    54.57    22.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            23   37   +3      71.49     7.05     7.34     1.73    13.92    53.98    23.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       23   36   +9      68.16     7.17     9.96     0.77     7.09    37.55    13.85P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   36   +1      63.44     6.80    -3.49     0.09     1.46    14.44     3.64P    0.20R    0.04  
Chesterfield         24   35   +5      69.23     7.03    11.12     0.95     8.70    43.30    18.74P    0.02R    0.01  
Exeter               23   34   -1      67.44     7.31     1.76     0.57     5.88    32.39    12.35P    0.07R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.98     7.00     4.60     0.15     2.19    18.27     5.40P    0.18R    0.04  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.87     7.00     7.96     0.53     6.18    35.45    13.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   33   +0      66.13     7.08     4.35     0.32     3.90    26.75    10.07P    0.10R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            23   31   +2      61.81     7.03     0.68     0.07     0.98    11.38     3.04P    0.56R    0.11  
York                 23   30   -4      56.66     6.94   -11.51     0.01     0.17     2.76     0.64P    3.01R    0.82  
Oxford_Utd           23   29   -4      60.56     6.99    -4.03     0.04     0.62     8.01     2.29P    0.81R    0.17  
Morecambe            23   27   -3      58.18     7.05    -3.69     0.01     0.28     4.54     1.27P    1.97R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   24   27   -9      53.82     6.67   -14.42     0.01     0.04     0.88     0.23P    6.55R    2.02  
Wycombe              23   26   -9      58.07     7.25    -8.51     0.01     0.26     4.62     1.29P    2.35R    0.62  
Plymouth             24   24   -5      52.23     6.74    -7.93     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.14P    9.13R    3.07  
Barnet               24   22  -15      44.75     6.47   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   44.91R   22.95  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.50     6.48   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.36R   11.34  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.11     6.80   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.48R   34.07  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.69     6.80   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.22R   24.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barrow vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      86.01     6.71    39.46    29.41    93.20    47.69P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.23     7.13    26.24    11.25    77.16    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   42  +22      87.35     6.73    43.81    39.33    95.21    60.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.72     7.16    24.03    15.36    82.24    34.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.45     6.66    22.88     1.60    42.13    11.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.09     7.09    17.84     1.67    39.44     9.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           24   36   +4      65.11     7.15     1.90     0.06     6.29     0.93P    0.56R    0.05  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      70.13     7.58     6.74     0.64    20.80     4.57P    0.17R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.24     7.32     2.53     0.17    10.65     2.28P    0.37R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      23   31   +4      65.89     7.02     9.20     0.11     7.90     1.59P    0.34R    0.02  
Gateshead          23   30   -1      62.02     7.05    -0.34     0.01     2.62     0.42P    1.69R    0.19  
Hyde_United        23   29   +3      59.11     7.37     0.14     0.01     1.51     0.22P    4.89R    0.68  
Lincoln_City       22   29   -2      61.32     7.27    -3.49     0.01     2.35     0.38P    2.65R    0.31  
Hereford           21   29   -2      68.95     7.62     6.69     0.36    16.91     3.92P    0.26R    0.02  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.49     7.04   -17.67     0.00     0.46     0.06P    9.98R    1.70  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.21     6.95   -25.84     0.00     0.09     0.01P   25.24R    6.17  
Tamworth           24   27   -6      53.01     6.60   -12.64     0.00     0.09     0.01P   18.36R    3.74  
Southport          22   27   -9      56.21     7.17   -16.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P   10.61R    1.97  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.69     7.09   -19.69     0.00     0.24     0.03P   15.43R    3.28  
AFC_Telford        22   25   -1      52.49     6.99    -9.69     0.00     0.07     0.02P   20.95R    4.44  
Stockport          22   24   -6      52.90     7.13   -13.08     0.00     0.13     0.02P   20.20R    4.69  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.67     6.79   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00P   48.66R   17.53  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.43     6.85   -26.83     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.19R   18.63  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.09     6.74   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.44R   36.57