Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aston_Villa vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       19   46  +20      86.65     5.62    46.05    81.49    95.80    99.26    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      19   39  +18      77.54     5.75    38.12    12.67    61.76    87.67    96.25    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       18   35  +20      73.68     6.07    38.24     5.08    31.88    70.14    88.09    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     19   33   +9      64.39     6.23    17.31     0.15     2.59    11.18    32.36    78.23     0.00     0.00  
Everton       19   33   +9      62.07     6.03    13.20     0.05     1.11     6.02    19.27    65.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     19   33   +5      56.71     5.99     0.26     0.00     0.12     0.94     4.23    26.50     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.19     6.24    29.83     0.54     6.68    24.09    55.50    89.26     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         19   28   +4      52.98     5.91     2.59     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.18    11.60     0.08R    0.00  
Swansea       19   25   +4      48.54     5.97    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.63     0.56R    0.02  
Liverpool     19   25   +2      54.58     6.12     6.84     0.00     0.05     0.42     2.46    18.74     0.05R    0.00  
Norwich       19   25   -8      46.33     5.89   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.34     1.96R    0.05  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.67     6.29    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     3.01     1.45R    0.04  
Sunderland    19   22   -4      46.57     6.08    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.84     1.76R    0.06  
Fulham        19   21   -5      45.44     6.04    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.17     2.50R    0.10  
Newcastle     19   20   -7      44.78     6.13    -9.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.99     3.59R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   19   18  -21      38.30     5.79   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    24.09R    2.71  
Southampton   18   16  -11      35.25     6.05   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    41.86R    7.49  
Wigan         19   15  -16      33.71     5.68   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.91R   10.56  
Reading       19   10  -16      28.65     5.78   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.93R   35.54  
QPR           19   10  -17      27.69     5.60   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.25R   43.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barnsley vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          24   50  +17      87.62     6.91    28.52    64.90    82.71    98.40    86.94P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             24   45   +8      78.02     6.83    12.27     9.93    29.46    78.52    40.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   44  +10      77.66     6.91    15.23     9.85    29.05    77.34    40.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   24   43  +14      75.52     6.85    17.56     5.76    19.81    68.59    30.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        24   38  +15      74.23     6.82    24.03     4.55    15.81    63.91    30.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.76     7.18    13.25     1.93     7.51    42.45    15.66P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.42     6.82     5.80     0.71     3.26    28.09     8.88P    0.09R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    24   36   +4      66.52     6.78     4.62     0.36     1.88    19.52     5.93P    0.26R    0.01  
Leeds_United     24   35   -3      64.67     6.89    -4.28     0.17     0.99    13.02     3.43P    0.78R    0.06  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.52     7.00     9.51     0.45     2.15    21.49     6.75P    0.30R    0.02  
Blackpool        24   33   +7      68.35     6.94    15.10     0.84     3.74    30.46    12.07P    0.16R    0.01  
Derby            24   33   +0      61.42     6.80    -2.86     0.03     0.31     5.99     1.45P    2.14R    0.18  
Burnley          24   33   -1      63.41     6.92    -1.01     0.11     0.74    10.38     2.99P    1.14R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    24   31   -2      62.35     7.02    -0.22     0.07     0.52     8.58     2.70P    1.71R    0.12  
Huddersfield     24   31   -7      57.99     6.86   -12.11     0.00     0.07     2.07     0.46P    6.83R    0.72  
Bolton           24   29   -2      62.33     7.12     2.64     0.10     0.60     8.82     3.06P    1.85R    0.16  
Blackburn        23   29   -3      64.11     7.21     2.45     0.18     0.94    13.41     4.69P    1.18R    0.08  
Charlton         24   29   -3      56.88     6.81    -6.35     0.00     0.04     1.61     0.40P    7.82R    0.83  
Birmingham       24   29   -6      61.91     6.95    -1.94     0.07     0.40     7.14     2.48P    2.08R    0.13  
Ipswich          24   27  -20      50.36     6.64   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   36.19R    7.82  
Sheff_Wed        24   24  -12      48.53     6.73   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   44.59R   11.87  
Peterborough     24   22  -11      47.44     6.76   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.54R   15.18  
Barnsley         24   21  -14      43.74     6.50   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   72.72R   32.52  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.16     6.80   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.54R   30.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       24   46  +16      86.03     6.70    30.70    44.86    65.49    95.31    75.16P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        24   44  +16      77.33     6.78    20.75     6.86    17.67    66.79    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       23   44  +13      80.12     7.02    19.81    13.76    30.13    78.33    41.40P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       23   43  +11      78.88     7.19    17.51    10.85    24.73    72.32    35.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.52     7.05    29.25     8.64    21.05    69.28    35.03P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         23   39  +12      78.17     7.00    23.39     9.58    22.71    70.99    37.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     23   38   +7      72.16     7.11    10.94     1.76     5.62    36.86    12.22P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    24   38   -1      64.28     6.82    -7.20     0.11     0.46     6.85     1.34P    0.99R    0.00  
Stevenage       23   37   -1      70.09     7.07     1.39     0.85     2.92    25.06     7.40P    0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County    23   36  +11      71.70     7.12    17.24     1.69     5.42    35.97    12.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry        24   34  +10      70.26     6.95    19.11     0.95     3.31    29.03    10.80P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil          24   33   -1      60.57     6.77    -5.39     0.02     0.10     2.50     0.51P    3.55R    0.01  
Crewe           23   33   -1      59.94     7.07    -8.22     0.02     0.10     2.43     0.42P    5.01R    0.04  
Preston         24   31   +5      61.77     6.84     5.89     0.03     0.17     4.00     1.04P    2.16R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.40     7.05    -6.08     0.02     0.09     2.79     0.53P    4.12R    0.03  
Walsall         24   29   -9      55.90     6.79   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P   13.47R    0.15  
Oldham          24   26   -8      52.12     6.59   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   27.59R    0.52  
Carlisle        23   26  -12      54.01     7.00   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   21.55R    0.40  
Shrewsbury      24   24   -5      50.50     6.79   -10.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   35.35R    0.97  
Colchester      24   23  -14      49.38     6.65   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.15R    1.50  
Portsmouth      23   21   -7      55.53     7.24    -2.47     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.19P   14.28R    0.32  
Bury            24   21  -13      45.08     6.60   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.80R    5.13  
Scunthorpe      23   20  -19      46.97     6.90   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.43R    3.78  
Hartlepool      23    9  -28      31.02     6.39   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.21R   87.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Aldershot vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           23   45  +20      84.62     6.99    32.35    40.92    80.81    97.50    85.79P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            23   43  +22      83.35     7.01    35.54    34.31    76.52    96.47    82.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   42   +4      74.02     6.80     6.68     3.39    22.06    67.32    31.67P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   40  +18      79.00     6.78    31.37    14.10    54.07    89.84    66.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             23   39  +10      71.28     7.00    11.18     1.76    13.50    53.50    21.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            23   37   +3      71.61     7.07     7.48     1.78    14.45    54.76    23.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       23   36   +9      68.42     7.15    10.34     0.85     7.61    38.72    14.69P    0.02R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        24   36   +1      63.35     6.78    -3.68     0.08     1.40    13.83     3.49P    0.22R    0.05  
Chesterfield         24   35   +5      69.27     7.00    11.14     0.95     8.95    43.20    18.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               23   34   -1      67.54     7.35     1.86     0.66     6.22    32.95    12.98P    0.07R    0.02  
Northampton          23   33   +6      64.07     7.03     4.76     0.16     2.26    18.41     5.51P    0.20R    0.03  
Torquay              23   33   +3      67.85     6.96     7.95     0.57     6.04    35.00    13.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             24   33   +0      66.11     7.09     4.35     0.37     3.85    26.60     9.99P    0.12R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            23   31   +2      61.71     7.02     0.58     0.04     0.95    11.13     3.06P    0.50R    0.10  
York                 23   30   -4      56.56     6.94   -11.62     0.01     0.14     2.60     0.53P    3.32R    0.93  
Oxford_Utd           23   29   -4      60.66     6.92    -3.84     0.01     0.57     7.98     2.22P    0.73R    0.15  
Morecambe            23   27   -3      58.05     7.03    -3.87     0.01     0.24     4.30     1.15P    1.90R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   24   27   -9      53.76     6.63   -14.47     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.18P    6.29R    1.89  
Wycombe              23   26   -9      58.03     7.25    -8.59     0.01     0.30     4.55     1.30P    2.42R    0.67  
Plymouth             24   24   -5      52.34     6.69    -7.86     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.11P    8.87R    3.01  
Barnet               24   22  -15      44.68     6.42   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.00R   22.65  
Aldershot            24   22  -16      47.63     6.53   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   27.36R   11.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.06     6.75   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.59R   34.04  
Bristol_Rovers       23   19  -20      44.67     6.84   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.36R   24.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 December 2012, Barrow vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            24   46  +24      86.11     6.73    39.58    30.42    93.38    48.72P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     23   45  +19      81.25     7.10    26.25    11.40    77.49    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            23   42  +22      87.28     6.67    43.60    38.56    95.14    59.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   39   +7      82.66     7.11    23.95    14.92    82.17    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   38  +13      74.32     6.72    22.63     1.49    41.31    10.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   38  +11      74.24     7.07    18.04     1.74    39.69     9.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           24   36   +4      64.89     7.09     1.54     0.05     5.88     0.96P    0.58R    0.04  
Mansfield          21   32   +1      70.23     7.55     6.89     0.68    20.98     4.80P    0.16R    0.01  
Macclesfield       23   32   -3      67.24     7.27     2.54     0.14    10.47     2.24P    0.30R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      23   31   +4      65.83     7.04     9.06     0.09     7.96     1.66P    0.36R    0.04  
Gateshead          23   30   -1      62.23     7.02    -0.02     0.03     2.79     0.47P    1.50R    0.19  
Hyde_United        23   29   +3      59.23     7.43     0.38     0.01     1.50     0.24P    4.97R    0.74  
Lincoln_City       22   29   -2      61.10     7.33    -3.82     0.01     2.33     0.30P    3.04R    0.46  
Hereford           21   29   -2      69.07     7.65     6.94     0.46    17.48     4.36P    0.28R    0.02  
Alfreton_Town      22   29   -8      56.41     7.03   -17.84     0.00     0.38     0.04P    9.99R    1.73  
Woking             24   29  -13      52.41     6.96   -25.55     0.00     0.10     0.01P   24.29R    5.83  
Tamworth           24   27   -6      52.98     6.62   -12.67     0.00     0.06     0.00P   18.50R    3.73  
Southport          22   27   -9      56.19     7.16   -15.94     0.00     0.44     0.04P   10.63R    1.93  
Braintree_Town     22   26  -12      54.60     7.09   -19.81     0.00     0.18     0.02P   15.63R    3.44  
AFC_Telford        22   25   -1      52.26     7.01    -9.99     0.00     0.10     0.01P   21.94R    4.74  
Stockport          22   24   -6      52.96     7.18   -12.98     0.00     0.14     0.02P   20.27R    4.67  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.63     6.81   -24.70     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.05R   17.55  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   22  -15      47.59     6.89   -26.58     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.19R   18.28  
Barrow             22   20  -16      44.09     6.78   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.31R   36.56