Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 25 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2012, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       18   43  +19      86.24     5.78    47.14    73.99    94.69    99.11    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      18   39  +19      79.83     5.91    40.71    21.50    74.72    93.40    98.41    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       17   32  +19      72.75     6.23    38.53     3.83    22.67    66.90    86.85    98.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.27     6.26    29.95     0.54     5.82    25.59    60.38    90.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton       18   30   +8      61.40     6.21    13.73     0.05     0.82     5.89    19.84    64.28     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     18   30   +5      62.15     6.43    12.30     0.08     1.11     7.09    23.51    67.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     18   30   +4      55.04     6.22    -0.88     0.01     0.07     0.64     3.48    22.37     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool     18   25   +4      56.50     6.28     9.77     0.00     0.09     1.15     5.77    32.49     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         18   25   +2      50.66     6.07    -0.31     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.75     7.85     0.41R    0.01  
Norwich       18   25   -7      47.19     6.11   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     2.54     2.10R    0.06  
Swansea       18   24   +4      48.95     6.17    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.40     5.25     0.88R    0.03  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.50     6.29    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     3.52     1.87R    0.10  
Fulham        18   20   -5      46.77     6.28    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.69     2.30R    0.10  
Newcastle     18   20   -6      44.93     6.24   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.46     4.45R    0.28  
Sunderland    18   19   -5      44.02     6.24    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.00     5.45R    0.36  
Aston_Villa   18   18  -17      40.30     6.04   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    17.62R    1.82  
Southampton   17   15  -11      34.93     6.21   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    48.38R   10.40  
Wigan         18   15  -15      34.22     5.85   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    53.37R   11.48  
QPR           18   10  -16      29.03     5.85   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   37.84  
Reading       18    9  -16      29.06     6.04   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.06R   37.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          23   47  +16      86.29     7.08    27.97    57.55    76.71    96.79    82.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             23   44   +8      78.58     7.00    12.56    12.92    32.60    78.42    43.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   43  +15      76.58     7.06    18.08     9.11    24.60    70.69    34.32P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   41   +9      76.02     7.08    14.20     7.81    21.61    67.41    32.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        23   37  +15      74.56     7.07    24.06     5.92    17.70    62.84    31.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.64     7.16    13.03     2.11     7.04    39.65    14.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.29     6.83     5.61     0.74     3.08    25.50     7.99P    0.08R    0.01  
Leeds_United     23   35   -1      66.20     7.08    -1.91     0.38     1.71    17.34     4.86P    0.30R    0.02  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.47     7.03     9.45     0.50     2.12    19.72     6.36P    0.22R    0.01  
Derby            23   33   +2      62.91     6.98    -0.73     0.12     0.60     8.52     2.22P    0.93R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    23   33   +2      64.73     6.98     2.37     0.26     1.10    13.05     3.75P    0.40R    0.02  
Blackpool        23   32   +7      69.04     7.20    15.65     1.25     4.90    32.68    13.03P    0.11R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   31   +1      65.62     7.24     5.74     0.38     1.77    17.06     6.01P    0.42R    0.02  
Burnley          23   30   -3      61.54     7.15    -3.48     0.06     0.40     6.46     1.79P    1.82R    0.12  
Huddersfield     23   30   -7      58.02     7.09   -12.74     0.01     0.12     2.21     0.52P    5.31R    0.50  
Bolton           23   29   -1      64.93     7.33     5.69     0.33     1.55    15.57     5.64P    0.64R    0.04  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.72     7.42     3.78     0.48     1.95    17.69     6.59P    0.56R    0.03  
Charlton         23   29   -2      59.35     7.13    -3.75     0.03     0.19     3.63     0.97P    3.26R    0.29  
Birmingham       23   26   -7      60.32     7.12    -2.88     0.03     0.23     4.70     1.53P    2.62R    0.23  
Ipswich          23   24  -21      48.00     6.79   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.29R   11.30  
Sheff_Wed        23   21  -13      45.56     6.85   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.83R   18.81  
Barnsley         23   21  -13      44.90     6.67   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.87R   20.76  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.24     6.74   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.51R   23.72  
Peterborough     23   19  -14      44.39     6.91   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.80R   24.07  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       23   43  +13      84.56     6.90    27.96    37.46    58.95    92.92    69.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        23   41  +15      76.05     6.99    20.26     6.23    15.49    61.49    25.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.15     7.22    17.33    10.28    22.75    70.69    33.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.43     7.39    16.75     9.46    20.93    66.60    31.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.61     7.02    29.37     9.87    22.83    71.09    36.71P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.85     7.12    27.23    19.68    38.20    83.10    52.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.98     7.22     4.15     2.10     5.77    36.36    12.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.52     7.26    17.94     2.70     7.68    42.45    16.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.18     7.29     7.43     1.28     3.99    28.57     8.82P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    23   35   -2      61.67     7.01    -9.61     0.06     0.22     4.14     0.76P    2.95R    0.02  
Yeovil          23   33   +2      62.35     7.02    -1.70     0.04     0.24     5.12     1.03P    2.27R    0.02  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.05     7.19    -7.56     0.05     0.22     3.94     0.77P    4.01R    0.03  
Coventry        23   31   +8      68.11     7.16    16.33     0.67     2.21    21.55     7.78P    0.29R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.41     7.11    -6.04     0.04     0.15     3.16     0.64P    4.41R    0.03  
Preston         23   30   +5      62.80     7.07     6.86     0.08     0.33     6.37     1.73P    1.93R    0.02  
Oldham          23   26   -7      53.35     6.78   -12.76     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   22.55R    0.62  
Walsall         23   26  -11      53.02     6.84   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   25.43R    0.71  
Shrewsbury      23   23   -5      50.45     6.96   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   36.56R    1.59  
Colchester      23   23  -12      50.96     6.88   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   35.43R    1.57  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.76     7.17   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   33.20R    1.50  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.67     7.37    -0.34     0.00     0.04     1.64     0.55P    9.52R    0.24  
Bury            23   20  -13      44.76     6.76   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.52R    8.58  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.20     7.10   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.17R    4.05  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.79     6.61   -38.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   81.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.58     7.16    35.98    59.84    90.10    98.97    92.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.41     7.22    33.98    22.11    68.61    93.65    75.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           23   39   +0      71.59     7.01     1.52     1.78    14.91    53.83    22.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             23   37  +15      76.86     6.95    27.57     7.99    43.30    83.28    57.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.33     7.27     9.06     3.13    22.95    64.17    32.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.86     7.18    10.48     1.18    11.58    46.42    18.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.08     7.43     5.59     1.31    12.70    46.95    21.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.74     7.35     9.25     0.49     6.12    31.27    11.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.75     6.93     4.27     0.13     2.30    17.46     5.45P    0.15R    0.01  
Rochdale             23   33   +1      67.86     7.32     5.90     0.63     7.44    36.01    14.93P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        23   33   +0      61.24     6.99    -5.37     0.06     0.93     9.54     2.38P    0.46R    0.10  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.24     7.17     7.98     0.66     7.80    37.95    15.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         23   32   +2      67.44     7.22     7.81     0.46     6.43    34.23    14.20P    0.04R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.69     7.23     4.54     0.12     2.49    18.17     5.81P    0.20R    0.03  
York                 22   30   -1      58.21     7.18    -8.20     0.02     0.43     5.02     1.25P    1.67R    0.35  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.23     7.24    -3.14     0.01     0.51     6.62     1.93P    1.24R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   23   27   -8      55.00     6.86   -13.70     0.00     0.08     1.50     0.34P    4.28R    1.07  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.47     7.45    -2.89     0.06     0.96     9.54     3.20P    1.00R    0.23  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.93     7.14    -7.53     0.00     0.31     4.43     1.29P    1.94R    0.47  
Plymouth             23   23   -5      52.75     6.93    -7.73     0.00     0.03     0.82     0.19P    7.45R    2.22  
Aldershot            23   21  -16      48.33     6.79   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   22.07R    8.29  
Barnet               23   19  -16      41.71     6.55   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.06R   35.35  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.05     6.81   -32.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.54R   29.00  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.47     7.01   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.73R   22.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Kidderminster vs Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            23   43  +21      83.88     6.93    35.52    24.79    87.63    42.13P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.06     7.35    24.32     9.66    66.45    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            22   39  +19      85.87     6.92    40.81    37.97    92.31    58.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.20     7.29    19.95     4.62    51.33    14.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.89     7.33    23.47    16.96    78.64    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   35  +12      72.22     6.91    20.94     1.30    30.33     8.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           23   33   +2      63.40     7.38    -0.18     0.08     4.55     0.72P    1.58R    0.18  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.91     7.74    10.07     2.35    33.09     8.64P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.18     7.45     4.42     0.57    16.63     3.96P    0.21R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.16     7.45     0.35     0.08     4.52     0.90P    1.63R    0.21  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.12     7.87     9.13     1.48    25.60     7.19P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.87     7.06   -25.32     0.00     0.14     0.01P   23.38R    5.70  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.47     7.22     4.92     0.09     4.53     0.96P    1.14R    0.11  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.01     7.25    -2.91     0.01     1.61     0.29P    3.95R    0.59  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.43     6.81   -11.51     0.00     0.15     0.01P   14.78R    2.99  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.28     7.63    -3.95     0.00     0.74     0.14P   11.33R    2.37  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.69     7.13   -20.79     0.00     0.19     0.02P   19.60R    4.66  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.95     7.40   -15.18     0.01     0.63     0.10P   10.29R    2.07  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.45     7.16    -7.29     0.00     0.21     0.03P   18.39R    3.88  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.22     7.35    -9.64     0.00     0.41     0.07P   13.21R    2.78  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.09     7.40   -17.74     0.00     0.28     0.05P   18.56R    4.41  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      49.06     7.08   -24.36     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.64R   14.34  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.71     6.99   -26.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.29R   28.14  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.88     7.01   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.78R   27.53