Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 24 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2012, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       18   43  +19      86.29     5.72    47.18    74.31    94.87    99.18    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      18   39  +19      79.80     5.93    40.65    21.36    74.41    93.24    98.36    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       17   32  +19      72.72     6.24    38.45     3.72    22.92    66.81    86.58    97.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.26     6.22    29.98     0.50     5.68    25.62    60.67    90.57     0.00     0.00  
Everton       18   30   +8      61.37     6.21    13.65     0.03     0.78     5.83    19.61    64.22     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham     18   30   +5      62.28     6.44    12.54     0.07     1.13     7.23    23.81    68.23     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     18   30   +4      55.07     6.21    -0.79     0.01     0.07     0.73     3.50    22.20     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool     18   25   +4      56.47     6.29     9.67     0.00     0.12     1.15     5.74    32.53     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke         18   25   +2      50.74     6.06    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.70     7.88     0.36R    0.01  
Norwich       18   25   -7      47.19     6.04   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     2.45     1.86R    0.07  
Swansea       18   24   +4      48.95     6.16    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.41     5.17     0.80R    0.03  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.68     6.27    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28     3.63     1.62R    0.07  
Fulham        18   20   -5      46.64     6.31    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     2.60     2.46R    0.13  
Newcastle     18   20   -6      44.93     6.23   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.40     4.40R    0.27  
Sunderland    18   19   -5      43.94     6.23    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.07     5.57R    0.37  
Aston_Villa   18   18  -17      40.16     6.02   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    18.06R    1.92  
Southampton   17   15  -11      34.90     6.22   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    48.15R   10.34  
Wigan         18   15  -15      34.20     5.84   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    53.41R   11.49  
QPR           18   10  -16      29.19     5.83   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.31R   36.34  
Reading       18    9  -16      28.94     6.00   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.91R   38.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          23   47  +16      86.35     7.07    28.07    58.26    77.13    96.86    82.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             23   44   +8      78.40     7.01    12.31    12.54    31.65    77.95    42.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   43  +15      76.46     7.06    17.86     8.85    24.28    70.04    34.21P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   41   +9      75.83     7.09    13.89     7.37    20.99    66.61    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        23   37  +15      74.49     7.10    23.91     6.05    17.62    62.17    31.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.73     7.17    13.25     2.10     7.52    40.09    15.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.40     6.85     5.75     0.84     3.38    26.25     8.77P    0.11R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   -1      66.32     7.11    -1.72     0.44     1.96    17.90     5.22P    0.33R    0.01  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.43     6.98     9.37     0.48     2.07    19.27     6.14P    0.23R    0.01  
Derby            23   33   +2      62.90     7.05    -0.80     0.13     0.67     8.81     2.25P    0.98R    0.06  
Nott'm_Forest    23   33   +2      64.73     6.97     2.39     0.21     1.08    13.19     3.73P    0.43R    0.02  
Blackpool        23   32   +7      69.14     7.15    15.84     1.30     5.12    33.02    13.79P    0.09R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   31   +1      65.58     7.23     5.67     0.40     1.80    16.90     6.07P    0.46R    0.02  
Burnley          23   30   -3      61.63     7.13    -3.32     0.09     0.45     6.57     1.69P    1.69R    0.12  
Huddersfield     23   30   -7      58.13     7.08   -12.54     0.02     0.13     2.36     0.55P    5.07R    0.48  
Bolton           23   29   -1      64.91     7.35     5.68     0.35     1.58    15.50     5.74P    0.68R    0.04  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.82     7.44     3.91     0.50     2.20    18.12     6.93P    0.51R    0.02  
Charlton         23   29   -2      59.36     7.12    -3.74     0.05     0.17     3.60     0.92P    3.39R    0.31  
Birmingham       23   26   -7      60.35     7.14    -2.85     0.03     0.22     4.69     1.48P    2.57R    0.20  
Ipswich          23   24  -21      47.92     6.80   -33.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    43.97R   11.56  
Sheff_Wed        23   21  -13      45.60     6.87   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.26R   18.55  
Barnsley         23   21  -13      44.99     6.68   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.26R   20.22  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      43.98     6.81   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.82R   25.09  
Peterborough     23   19  -14      44.48     6.92   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.10R   23.29  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       23   43  +13      84.58     6.91    27.99    37.83    59.13    92.94    69.80P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        23   41  +15      76.01     6.94    20.20     6.07    15.05    61.62    25.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.38     7.24    17.64    10.73    24.27    71.69    35.15P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.28     7.40    16.56     9.08    20.54    66.09    31.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.54     7.03    29.26     9.58    22.27    71.08    36.51P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.91     7.12    27.33    19.99    38.54    83.39    52.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.93     7.26     4.14     1.98     5.80    36.22    12.12P    0.08R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.38     7.21    17.75     2.60     7.11    41.59    15.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.16     7.31     7.42     1.31     3.97    28.58     8.97P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    23   35   -2      61.59     7.00    -9.80     0.04     0.20     4.08     0.71P    3.12R    0.02  
Yeovil          23   33   +2      62.40     7.00    -1.64     0.07     0.25     5.19     1.04P    2.33R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.14     7.24    -7.45     0.04     0.22     4.15     0.77P    3.79R    0.03  
Coventry        23   31   +8      68.09     7.17    16.31     0.59     2.18    21.56     7.87P    0.30R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.38     7.01    -6.07     0.01     0.12     3.06     0.59P    4.24R    0.02  
Preston         23   30   +5      62.84     7.03     6.94     0.07     0.31     6.20     1.61P    1.89R    0.01  
Oldham          23   26   -7      53.38     6.82   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   22.76R    0.60  
Walsall         23   26  -11      52.98     6.82   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   25.49R    0.75  
Shrewsbury      23   23   -5      50.43     6.96   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   36.80R    1.64  
Colchester      23   23  -12      50.82     6.90   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   36.38R    1.63  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.87     7.15   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   32.60R    1.57  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.71     7.46    -0.27     0.01     0.04     1.74     0.53P    9.66R    0.26  
Bury            23   20  -13      44.84     6.78   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.23R    8.11  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.28     7.08   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   51.66R    3.89  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.70     6.64   -38.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   81.46  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.63     7.15    36.06    60.18    90.53    98.99    93.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.40     7.25    33.99    22.03    68.84    93.71    76.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           23   39   +0      71.58     7.04     1.43     1.77    15.14    53.80    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   37  +15      76.95     6.94    27.68     7.87    43.86    83.46    57.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.16     7.25     8.83     2.92    21.96    63.34    31.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.98     7.21    10.67     1.29    11.85    47.11    19.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.00     7.49     5.56     1.30    12.47    46.53    21.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.73     7.30     9.18     0.43     5.76    31.51    11.61P    0.06R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.97     6.96     4.59     0.16     2.31    18.15     5.47P    0.15R    0.02  
Rochdale             23   33   +1      68.00     7.34     6.15     0.67     7.90    36.71    15.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        23   33   +0      61.34     6.97    -5.21     0.04     0.94     9.80     2.39P    0.47R    0.07  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.18     7.14     7.88     0.62     7.60    37.27    15.54P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield         23   32   +2      67.29     7.21     7.60     0.46     6.19    33.55    13.76P    0.07R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.73     7.22     4.56     0.16     2.44    18.53     5.69P    0.20R    0.02  
York                 22   30   -1      57.90     7.12    -8.72     0.02     0.36     4.41     1.02P    1.93R    0.43  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.39     7.28    -2.85     0.02     0.61     7.05     2.11P    1.31R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   23   27   -8      55.05     6.87   -13.65     0.00     0.08     1.68     0.39P    4.29R    1.21  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.25     7.49    -3.26     0.05     0.83     9.15     3.04P    1.14R    0.29  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      58.03     7.10    -7.42     0.01     0.31     4.49     1.22P    1.95R    0.44  
Plymouth             23   23   -5      52.55     6.87    -8.02     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.15P    7.89R    2.42  
Aldershot            23   21  -16      48.19     6.73   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   22.54R    8.71  
Barnet               23   19  -16      41.71     6.60   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.27R   35.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.18     6.77   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.83R   28.42  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.62     7.02   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.77R   21.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Kidderminster vs Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            23   43  +21      83.90     6.92    35.57    24.92    87.63    42.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.04     7.36    24.31     9.64    66.36    19.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            22   39  +19      85.91     6.97    40.94    37.96    92.22    57.87P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.29     7.31    20.10     4.81    51.35    14.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.89     7.31    23.49    16.79    78.36    34.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      23   35  +12      72.37     6.95    21.18     1.37    31.11     8.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           23   33   +2      63.29     7.35    -0.45     0.07     4.38     0.67P    1.48R    0.16  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.90     7.72    10.11     2.33    32.74     8.74P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.02     7.59     4.20     0.63    16.61     4.02P    0.28R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.07     7.47     0.23     0.09     4.38     0.81P    1.76R    0.20  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.08     7.84     9.02     1.29    25.72     6.92P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.83     7.07   -25.35     0.00     0.15     0.02P   23.33R    5.65  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.51     7.26     4.95     0.07     4.75     0.95P    1.30R    0.14  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.07     7.22    -2.83     0.01     1.67     0.28P    3.73R    0.56  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.46     6.82   -11.49     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.66R    2.89  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.60     7.61    -3.41     0.01     0.77     0.13P   10.57R    2.06  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.54     7.20   -21.06     0.00     0.17     0.01P   20.64R    4.79  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.89     7.36   -15.26     0.00     0.57     0.06P   10.23R    2.02  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.53     7.12    -7.16     0.00     0.22     0.03P   17.93R    3.69  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.34     7.35    -9.46     0.00     0.43     0.08P   12.86R    2.64  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.15     7.37   -17.68     0.00     0.24     0.03P   17.98R    4.21  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.95     7.06   -24.51     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.03R   14.32  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.51     6.99   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.00R   29.07  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.87     6.97   -28.84     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.99R   27.56