Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 23 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 December 2012, Chelsea vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       18   43  +19      86.28     5.77    47.17    74.26    94.92    99.20    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      18   39  +19      79.76     5.93    40.60    21.04    74.47    93.12    98.24    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       17   32  +19      72.83     6.21    38.68     4.07    23.24    67.73    87.32    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       18   30  +14      67.20     6.18    29.84     0.49     5.30    25.22    60.48    90.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton       18   30   +8      61.42     6.18    13.78     0.06     0.82     5.72    19.54    64.67     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     18   30   +5      62.18     6.39    12.35     0.06     1.07     6.88    23.24    67.47     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     18   30   +4      55.11     6.17    -0.75     0.00     0.07     0.70     3.58    22.10     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool     18   25   +4      56.53     6.26     9.80     0.00     0.10     1.15     5.73    32.67     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         18   25   +2      50.75     6.05    -0.14     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.74     7.88     0.35R    0.00  
Norwich       18   25   -7      47.19     6.05   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     2.47     1.85R    0.03  
Swansea       18   24   +4      48.95     6.15    -0.26     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.42     5.21     0.85R    0.02  
West_Ham      18   23   +0      47.56     6.26    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     3.46     1.71R    0.08  
Fulham        18   20   -5      46.71     6.29    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     2.76     2.50R    0.13  
Newcastle     18   20   -6      44.93     6.22   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.42     4.38R    0.26  
Sunderland    18   19   -5      44.03     6.22    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.06     5.23R    0.35  
Aston_Villa   18   18  -17      40.29     6.01   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    17.33R    1.78  
Southampton   17   15  -11      34.76     6.24   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    48.90R   10.77  
Wigan         18   15  -15      34.15     5.79   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    53.75R   11.57  
QPR           18   10  -16      29.10     5.83   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.81R   36.77  
Reading       18    9  -16      28.97     6.02   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.28R   38.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Birmingham vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          23   47  +16      86.38     7.07    28.06    57.88    77.01    96.82    82.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             23   44   +8      78.55     7.00    12.50    12.48    32.01    78.45    42.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   43  +15      76.54     7.10    17.97     9.17    24.59    70.68    34.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   41   +9      75.96     7.12    14.11     7.62    21.49    67.04    32.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        23   37  +15      74.60     7.08    24.09     6.17    17.83    62.94    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          23   37  +10      70.64     7.16    13.04     2.06     7.11    39.82    14.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         24   37   +4      68.41     6.83     5.76     0.79     3.22    26.27     8.50P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   -1      66.25     7.13    -1.81     0.43     1.92    17.80     5.18P    0.31R    0.02  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.50     7.03     9.52     0.51     2.17    19.75     6.56P    0.21R    0.01  
Derby            23   33   +2      63.01     7.01    -0.56     0.13     0.68     8.95     2.39P    0.90R    0.05  
Nott'm_Forest    23   33   +2      64.58     6.97     2.17     0.19     1.06    12.85     3.73P    0.46R    0.02  
Blackpool        23   32   +7      69.06     7.12    15.69     1.24     4.83    32.22    13.13P    0.08R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    23   31   +1      65.49     7.22     5.52     0.43     1.76    16.63     5.93P    0.42R    0.04  
Burnley          23   30   -3      61.54     7.10    -3.45     0.07     0.40     6.37     1.78P    1.75R    0.13  
Huddersfield     23   30   -7      58.09     7.04   -12.62     0.01     0.10     2.31     0.61P    5.09R    0.44  
Bolton           23   29   -1      65.03     7.30     5.81     0.34     1.50    15.66     5.66P    0.67R    0.05  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.48     7.45     3.42     0.43     1.90    17.10     6.29P    0.59R    0.03  
Charlton         23   29   -2      59.25     7.10    -3.91     0.02     0.20     3.49     0.97P    3.34R    0.26  
Birmingham       23   26   -7      60.41     7.16    -2.76     0.03     0.21     4.77     1.57P    2.49R    0.19  
Ipswich          23   24  -21      48.00     6.75   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   43.70R   11.37  
Sheff_Wed        23   21  -13      45.64     6.88   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.61R   18.43  
Barnsley         23   21  -13      45.05     6.73   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.73R   20.31  
Bristol_City     23   19  -13      44.11     6.76   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.25R   24.34  
Peterborough     23   19  -14      44.31     6.85   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.28R   24.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Coventry vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Sheff_Utd       23   43  +13      84.65     6.89    28.10    37.85    59.14    93.15    69.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        23   41  +15      75.94     6.97    20.14     5.83    15.06    61.20    24.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.55     7.24    17.88    11.41    25.08    72.38    36.11P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.25     7.33    16.51     8.92    20.17    66.24    30.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon         23   39  +19      77.35     7.05    28.98     9.20    21.68    69.88    35.63P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.95     7.12    27.41    20.06    38.42    83.58    52.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.94     7.20     4.10     1.96     5.74    36.25    12.22P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.45     7.26    17.84     2.55     7.42    41.95    15.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      69.96     7.36     7.10     1.26     3.76    27.86     8.57P    0.19R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    23   35   -2      61.67     6.97    -9.70     0.05     0.21     4.08     0.77P    2.95R    0.02  
Yeovil          23   33   +2      62.46     7.04    -1.55     0.08     0.29     5.48     1.21P    2.20R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.03     7.28    -7.59     0.04     0.21     4.04     0.79P    4.28R    0.03  
Coventry        23   31   +8      68.18     7.18    16.41     0.68     2.33    21.91     7.95P    0.34R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.58     7.07    -5.82     0.03     0.14     3.31     0.65P    4.01R    0.04  
Preston         23   30   +5      62.70     7.06     6.73     0.08     0.32     6.34     1.57P    2.02R    0.01  
Oldham          23   26   -7      53.39     6.78   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   22.46R    0.53  
Walsall         23   26  -11      53.04     6.85   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P   25.42R    0.73  
Shrewsbury      23   23   -5      50.50     6.95   -10.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   36.49R    1.61  
Colchester      23   23  -12      50.90     6.86   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   36.02R    1.45  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.77     7.17   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   33.67R    1.41  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.65     7.40    -0.36     0.01     0.03     1.57     0.51P    9.61R    0.27  
Bury            23   20  -13      44.76     6.74   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   70.70R    8.24  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.41     7.10   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.05R    3.64  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.58     6.66   -38.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   82.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.69     7.18    36.21    60.17    90.31    99.05    92.93P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.50     7.22    34.15    22.36    69.22    93.95    76.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           23   39   +0      71.74     7.04     1.71     1.81    15.48    54.65    23.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   37  +15      76.84     6.96    27.49     7.53    43.28    83.05    57.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.13     7.30     8.75     3.05    22.11    63.18    31.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.74     7.15    10.32     1.03    11.07    45.89    18.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.25     7.50     5.86     1.42    12.97    47.60    21.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.70     7.44     9.17     0.50     6.05    31.57    11.67P    0.09R    0.01  
Northampton          23   33   +6      63.85     7.01     4.41     0.14     2.37    18.12     5.49P    0.18R    0.03  
Rochdale             23   33   +1      67.81     7.32     5.84     0.62     7.35    35.67    14.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        23   33   +0      61.39     6.97    -5.12     0.04     1.01     9.80     2.50P    0.50R    0.10  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.05     7.16     7.68     0.60     7.49    36.93    15.32P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield         23   32   +2      67.43     7.23     7.79     0.52     6.48    34.16    14.30P    0.06R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.70     7.23     4.54     0.13     2.40    18.37     5.69P    0.23R    0.04  
York                 22   30   -1      58.06     7.17    -8.45     0.01     0.39     4.77     1.14P    1.82R    0.39  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.38     7.22    -2.95     0.02     0.59     6.85     1.97P    1.19R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   23   27   -8      54.91     6.86   -13.80     0.00     0.07     1.53     0.32P    4.43R    1.16  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.26     7.46    -3.18     0.03     0.99     9.11     3.11P    1.13R    0.29  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      58.09     7.17    -7.35     0.01     0.33     4.80     1.30P    1.91R    0.48  
Plymouth             23   23   -5      52.68     6.93    -7.83     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.22P    7.78R    2.36  
Aldershot            23   21  -16      48.32     6.74   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   21.98R    8.45  
Barnet               23   19  -16      41.58     6.53   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.96R   36.44  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.15     6.78   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.07R   28.33  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.64     7.01   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.56R   21.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 December 2012, Kidderminster vs Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            23   43  +21      83.99     6.91    35.70    25.30    87.94    42.80P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.01     7.34    24.23     9.52    66.39    19.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            22   39  +19      85.90     6.87    40.86    37.67    92.58    57.79P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.17     7.28    19.91     4.63    50.92    14.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.93     7.34    23.56    17.17    78.93    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   35  +12      72.18     6.94    20.90     1.26    30.26     8.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           23   33   +2      63.32     7.35    -0.39     0.07     4.31     0.63P    1.53R    0.19  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.80     7.69     9.90     2.25    32.45     8.51P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.06     7.50     4.21     0.57    16.49     3.92P    0.23R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      62.95     7.42     0.06     0.05     4.23     0.73P    1.82R    0.21  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.19     7.82     9.20     1.41    26.15     7.11P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      53.00     7.12   -25.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   23.09R    5.68  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.51     7.20     5.01     0.07     4.75     0.99P    1.24R    0.15  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.05     7.28    -2.82     0.01     1.79     0.32P    3.96R    0.67  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.48     6.81   -11.47     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.68R    2.74  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.48     7.60    -3.65     0.01     0.73     0.11P   10.80R    2.17  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.63     7.20   -20.89     0.00     0.19     0.01P   20.28R    4.72  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.91     7.38   -15.24     0.01     0.62     0.12P   10.23R    2.07  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.39     7.11    -7.40     0.00     0.21     0.02P   18.31R    3.87  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.16     7.32    -9.71     0.00     0.42     0.07P   13.65R    2.76  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.13     7.42   -17.69     0.00     0.29     0.03P   18.30R    4.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      49.21     7.15   -24.07     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.00R   14.04  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.69     7.08   -26.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.46R   28.64  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.87     7.04   -28.88     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.20R   27.80