Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 22 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.50     6.00    48.65    78.67    97.04    99.47    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.96     6.03    43.28    19.27    80.80    94.68    98.63    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.19     6.57    28.40     1.54    13.64    54.18    77.76    95.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.66     6.66    14.08     0.12     2.40    14.90    36.64    77.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.30     6.50    30.07     0.38     5.34    28.64    58.11    89.01     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.61     6.49    12.56     0.02     0.65     5.72    17.02    56.65     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.89     6.48    -1.09     0.00     0.07     0.84     3.66    20.51     0.22R    0.00  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.07     6.32   -16.83     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.56     4.66     2.08R    0.08  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.27     6.27    -1.46     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.10     9.00     0.70R    0.02  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.45     6.41    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.58     5.86     1.54R    0.08  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.05     6.59    -3.92     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.87     7.42     1.64R    0.08  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.37     6.54     4.95     0.00     0.05     0.90     4.29    24.53     0.19R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.49     6.52    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.65     6.54     1.84R    0.08  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.27     6.25   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.59    12.36R    1.06  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.97     6.52   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.60     7.92R    0.67  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      41.96     6.45   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.77    12.73R    1.24  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.83     6.58   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    40.29R    7.80  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.78     6.00   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.27R   11.55  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.99     6.06   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.94R   33.94  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.86     6.14   -32.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.26R   43.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.12     7.29    26.14    44.08    64.09    92.48    71.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.65     7.25    19.08    13.03    28.80    72.79    38.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.51     7.36    15.41    12.34    27.52    70.81    37.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.56     7.20    11.08     9.20    22.01    66.05    32.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.50     7.22    25.92    11.11    24.85    69.34    38.07P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         23   37   +5      70.78     7.04     8.32     2.04     6.14    35.64    12.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.91     7.43    10.86     1.49     4.81    28.78    10.26P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.61     6.98     9.64     0.53     2.05    17.80     5.83P    0.14R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.30     7.23     4.66     0.60     2.01    16.98     5.31P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.53     7.20     0.70     0.30     1.15    11.48     3.19P    0.40R    0.01  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.29     7.38    18.07     3.08     8.67    41.42    18.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.29     7.34    -3.40     0.30     1.16    11.07     3.25P    0.53R    0.02  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.09     7.52     7.82     0.89     2.89    21.16     8.44P    0.25R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.53     7.29    -0.54     0.09     0.41     5.80     1.65P    1.31R    0.08  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.66     7.46     3.69     0.54     1.85    15.86     5.95P    0.36R    0.02  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.57     7.25    -3.94     0.06     0.42     5.87     1.71P    1.36R    0.08  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.93     7.29   -13.52     0.03     0.12     2.14     0.53P    4.34R    0.34  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      62.98     7.45     3.09     0.21     0.78     9.32     3.11P    0.88R    0.06  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.11     7.32    -2.25     0.07     0.27     5.15     1.70P    1.68R    0.14  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.53     7.01   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   34.40R    7.09  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.19     6.96   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.23R   17.70  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.35     6.81   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.49R   25.34  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.26     7.05   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.21R   21.94  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.06     7.02   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.10R   27.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.55     7.11    26.93    13.08    27.33    75.04    38.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.41     7.24    17.70    11.62    25.02    71.83    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.26     7.09    26.48    31.71    51.98    89.80    64.03P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.37     7.38    16.69     9.71    21.13    67.06    31.92P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.94     7.19    27.36    21.33    39.84    83.54    53.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.95     7.19     4.16     2.09     5.91    36.69    12.39P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.17     7.30    21.79     4.78    12.12    52.43    23.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.50     7.29    17.90     2.87     7.88    42.69    16.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      69.99     7.32     7.09     1.38     3.94    28.09     8.90P    0.19R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      63.03     7.26    -7.73     0.15     0.51     6.71     1.36P    2.24R    0.02  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.18     7.23    -7.30     0.07     0.24     4.23     0.82P    4.12R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.41     7.06    -6.01     0.03     0.15     3.13     0.65P    4.60R    0.04  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.82     7.41    16.87     1.03     3.34    25.60     9.66P    0.29R    0.01  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.00     7.20    -5.76     0.03     0.13     2.99     0.60P    5.37R    0.08  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.83     7.24     6.33     0.10     0.41     7.02     1.81P    2.21R    0.02  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.37     7.02    -8.71     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.12P   15.44R    0.34  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.59     7.12   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   28.55R    1.08  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.02     7.02   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   36.77R    1.72  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.80     7.20   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   33.85R    1.63  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.92     7.16   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   35.25R    1.75  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.60     7.45    -0.47     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.52P    9.99R    0.28  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.15     7.06   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    53.42R    4.10  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.07     6.98   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.10R    8.51  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.85     6.67   -38.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   80.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.74     7.25    36.21    61.06    90.36    98.82    92.90P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.49     7.23    34.10    22.23    69.35    93.78    76.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.28     7.26     5.00     2.89    22.21    62.86    30.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.10     7.26     8.73     2.99    22.00    62.74    31.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.87     7.20    10.50     1.14    11.66    46.43    18.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.92     7.20    23.97     5.11    32.71    74.51    47.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.23     7.46     5.85     1.43    12.95    47.16    21.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.74     7.43     9.25     0.51     6.21    31.10    11.74P    0.07R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      62.91     7.20    -3.82     0.13     1.86    14.15     3.88P    0.34R    0.04  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.46     7.39    11.81     1.16    11.56    45.20    21.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.13     7.21     7.82     0.64     7.93    37.39    15.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.69     7.24     4.50     0.15     2.55    18.41     5.81P    0.21R    0.02  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.12     7.16     2.23     0.09     1.46    12.87     3.81P    0.38R    0.07  
York                 22   30   -1      58.15     7.14    -8.29     0.02     0.41     4.80     1.16P    1.61R    0.33  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.57     7.60     1.90     0.37     4.71    25.69    10.08P    0.23R    0.05  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.30     7.21    -3.04     0.04     0.61     6.63     1.92P    1.09R    0.18  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.58     7.47    -2.71     0.04     0.98     9.74     3.34P    0.88R    0.20  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.85     7.19    -7.74     0.01     0.33     4.43     1.26P    1.93R    0.41  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.47     7.07   -13.47     0.00     0.10     2.08     0.50P    4.02R    0.99  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.76     7.09    -8.27     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.20P    7.33R    1.96  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.81     7.04   -19.87     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   15.81R    5.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.07     6.78   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.27R   25.36  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.57     7.02   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.49R   18.94  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.56     6.73   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.26R   46.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.98     7.34    24.19     8.83    67.58    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.08     7.17    34.36    17.46    82.33    35.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.63     7.07    42.55    49.01    95.04    65.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.22     7.30    20.00     4.37    52.93    14.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.80     7.36    23.37    15.43    79.30    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.50     7.57     5.07     0.19     9.08     1.75P    0.79R    0.09  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.22     7.14    16.17     0.71    22.56     5.68P    0.09R    0.01  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.60     7.79     9.54     2.08    32.93     8.59P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      68.95     7.52     4.07     0.54    16.89     4.02P    0.24R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.12     7.48     0.33     0.08     4.87     0.92P    1.69R    0.20  
Hereford           20   29   -1      70.97     7.85     8.81     1.19    26.34     6.98P    0.22R    0.02  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.75     7.11   -25.42     0.00     0.17     0.02P   24.04R    5.98  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.54     7.26     5.03     0.08     5.18     1.18P    1.28R    0.12  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.08     7.29    -2.81     0.02     1.85     0.34P    4.11R    0.64  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.48     6.80   -11.48     0.00     0.16     0.01P   14.62R    2.85  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.58     7.58    -3.45     0.01     0.89     0.13P   10.47R    2.00  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.48     7.15   -21.05     0.00     0.17     0.02P   20.58R    4.93  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.75     7.37   -15.46     0.00     0.68     0.07P   10.58R    2.23  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.50     7.12    -7.22     0.00     0.21     0.02P   17.93R    3.92  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.14     7.39    -9.71     0.00     0.49     0.09P   13.78R    3.01  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.91     7.39   -18.11     0.00     0.31     0.04P   19.29R    4.66  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.98     7.10   -24.42     0.00     0.03     0.01P   42.25R   14.78  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.82     7.06   -26.04     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.27R   28.22  
Barrow             21   20  -14      46.15     7.03   -28.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.69R   26.34