Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 21 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.53     6.01    48.77    78.53    97.03    99.49    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.91     6.04    43.21    19.43    80.74    94.86    98.67    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.13     6.60    28.32     1.50    13.68    53.84    77.62    95.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.53     6.66    13.93     0.15     2.25    14.59    36.05    76.64     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.25     6.47    29.93     0.36     5.49    28.66    57.78    88.97     0.00R    0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.82     6.46    12.81     0.02     0.68     6.03    18.00    57.89     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.83     6.47    -1.25     0.00     0.06     0.81     3.55    20.51     0.15R    0.00  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.13     6.31   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.53     4.69     2.03R    0.06  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.32     6.32    -1.41     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.15     9.22     0.71R    0.01  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.56     6.41    -1.56     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.71     6.20     1.41R    0.06  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.10     6.58    -3.84     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.97     7.51     1.60R    0.10  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.29     6.49     4.81     0.00     0.05     0.98     4.09    23.84     0.18R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.50     6.52    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.77     6.34     1.77R    0.05  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.35     6.27   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.59    12.02R    1.08  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.99     6.47   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.35     8.00R    0.72  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.02     6.43   -10.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.75    12.53R    1.18  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.79     6.58   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    40.40R    7.82  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.75     6.04   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.47R   11.76  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.89     6.06   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.56R   34.31  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.84     6.16   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.19R   42.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.22     7.31    26.31    44.61    64.68    92.67    72.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.63     7.28    19.02    12.90    28.44    72.61    38.15P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.73     7.28    15.68    12.51    27.92    72.28    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.55     7.20    11.00     9.34    22.07    65.94    32.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.36     7.25    25.77    10.72    24.62    68.38    37.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         23   37   +5      70.82     7.04     8.34     2.00     6.18    36.02    12.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.79     7.38    10.65     1.49     4.41    28.11     9.78P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.44     6.98     9.40     0.51     1.95    17.35     5.46P    0.13R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.24     7.22     4.59     0.57     1.98    16.70     5.31P    0.19R    0.01  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.60     7.19     0.80     0.32     1.15    11.65     3.15P    0.41R    0.01  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.16     7.32    17.87     2.83     8.32    40.98    18.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.29     7.31    -3.42     0.33     1.24    10.98     3.34P    0.54R    0.02  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.26     7.51     8.14     0.87     3.05    22.02     8.87P    0.21R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.57     7.36    -0.50     0.14     0.50     6.25     1.85P    1.40R    0.09  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.65     7.40     3.67     0.48     1.76    15.57     5.66P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.38     7.35    -4.29     0.09     0.39     5.70     1.52P    1.58R    0.12  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.90     7.28   -13.53     0.02     0.11     2.00     0.47P    4.49R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      62.99     7.51     3.13     0.21     0.86     9.27     3.22P    0.95R    0.05  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.20     7.35    -2.14     0.07     0.38     5.42     1.78P    1.60R    0.11  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.58     7.03   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.17R    7.09  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.20     6.97   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.43R   17.55  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.39     6.85   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.26R   25.28  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.28     7.05   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.26R   22.04  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.09     7.11   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.87R   27.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.57     7.16    26.95    13.49    27.87    74.80    38.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.32     7.26    17.53    11.67    25.14    71.56    35.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.17     7.10    26.32    31.27    51.41    89.71    63.71P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.38     7.34    16.75     9.83    21.36    66.88    32.24P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.97     7.12    27.38    21.39    39.69    83.85    53.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      72.08     7.21     4.34     2.12     6.20    37.18    12.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.20     7.28    21.83     4.76    12.02    52.38    22.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.43     7.25    17.81     2.79     7.74    42.51    15.99P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.04     7.26     7.24     1.29     3.88    28.17     8.78P    0.18R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.93     7.18    -7.83     0.13     0.46     6.42     1.26P    2.24R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      60.93     7.29    -7.70     0.06     0.20     4.08     0.77P    4.46R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.47     7.10    -5.94     0.05     0.18     3.33     0.68P    4.51R    0.04  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.83     7.40    16.89     1.00     3.22    25.90     9.68P    0.37R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.05     7.17    -5.74     0.04     0.15     3.07     0.62P    5.30R    0.06  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.79     7.29     6.30     0.11     0.42     7.08     1.99P    2.25R    0.02  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.43     7.05    -8.62     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.13P   15.47R    0.33  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.49     7.11   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   29.32R    1.16  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.19     7.01   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   35.91R    1.61  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.77     7.17   -21.96     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   33.87R    1.48  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.95     7.16   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   35.52R    1.65  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.64     7.40    -0.37     0.00     0.04     1.70     0.49P    9.81R    0.24  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.27     7.11   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.79R    4.11  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.11     6.92   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.23R    8.26  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.78     6.64   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.60R   81.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.59     7.18    35.97    60.23    90.26    98.88    92.72P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.43     7.24    34.00    22.47    68.93    93.50    76.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.51     7.26     5.33     3.32    23.16    63.93    31.60P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.10     7.26     8.71     2.99    21.73    62.74    31.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.79     7.20    10.41     1.18    11.49    45.96    18.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.91     7.23    24.03     5.22    32.92    74.44    46.84P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.06     7.47     5.64     1.46    12.85    46.35    21.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.74     7.37     9.25     0.53     6.17    31.37    11.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      63.06     7.24    -3.59     0.13     2.01    14.82     4.12P    0.35R    0.05  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.24     7.38    11.53     1.09    11.14    44.18    20.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.15     7.22     7.85     0.64     7.90    37.43    15.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.71     7.25     4.55     0.15     2.62    18.11     5.89P    0.24R    0.04  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.25     7.20     2.41     0.10     1.56    13.45     4.06P    0.40R    0.08  
York                 22   30   -1      58.19     7.11    -8.28     0.02     0.40     4.82     1.17P    1.51R    0.32  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.67     7.57     2.04     0.38     4.82    26.11    10.43P    0.14R    0.02  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.29     7.24    -3.05     0.02     0.55     6.69     1.97P    1.18R    0.27  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.43     7.51    -2.97     0.05     0.96     9.50     3.34P    1.10R    0.20  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.87     7.19    -7.62     0.00     0.37     4.51     1.35P    1.91R    0.36  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.47     7.02   -13.48     0.00     0.12     1.97     0.43P    3.87R    0.93  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.83     7.09    -8.15     0.00     0.04     0.96     0.26P    7.20R    1.97  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.67     6.98   -20.16     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   16.34R    5.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.14     6.79   -32.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.80R   25.01  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.59     7.02   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   42.76R   19.11  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.63     6.75   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.02R   46.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.08     7.38    24.32     9.00    67.50    19.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.07     7.11    34.30    17.23    82.35    35.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.50     7.12    42.35    48.14    94.77    65.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.30     7.27    20.12     4.46    52.67    14.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.91     7.39    23.53    16.28    79.16    35.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.45     7.54     5.01     0.18     8.70     1.58P    0.80R    0.09  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.16     7.16    16.11     0.61    22.35     5.69P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.87     7.75     9.96     2.22    33.90     8.90P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.03     7.53     4.16     0.44    17.00     3.99P    0.22R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.31     7.46     0.60     0.09     5.17     0.95P    1.56R    0.17  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.02     7.93     8.89     1.25    26.39     7.28P    0.19R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.94     7.08   -25.08     0.00     0.16     0.02P   22.99R    5.59  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.43     7.29     4.84     0.06     4.97     1.05P    1.33R    0.14  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.11     7.23    -2.86     0.02     1.91     0.36P    3.68R    0.58  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.53     6.83   -11.34     0.00     0.15     0.02P   14.43R    2.82  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.54     7.66    -3.55     0.00     0.87     0.16P   10.70R    2.11  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.54     7.16   -20.98     0.00     0.19     0.01P   20.01R    4.69  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.91     7.40   -15.22     0.00     0.76     0.11P   10.37R    2.03  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.37     7.13    -7.41     0.00     0.22     0.03P   18.40R    3.93  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.02     7.42    -9.95     0.00     0.49     0.07P   14.15R    2.88  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.86     7.37   -18.12     0.00     0.29     0.04P   18.90R    4.65  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.97     7.09   -24.47     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.03R   14.41  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.59     6.99   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.48R   28.67  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.90     7.05   -28.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.64R   27.21