Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 20 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.45     6.04    48.56    78.19    96.98    99.51    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.89     6.09    43.11    19.68    80.72    94.65    98.56    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.19     6.57    28.43     1.61    13.95    54.35    77.88    95.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.61     6.61    13.98     0.13     2.25    14.65    36.11    77.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.22     6.47    29.98     0.36     5.25    28.35    57.95    88.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.75     6.41    12.75     0.03     0.69     5.88    17.51    57.36     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.93     6.47    -1.09     0.00     0.06     0.84     3.61    20.80     0.17R    0.01  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.04     6.28   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.44     4.41     2.08R    0.07  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.28     6.31    -1.46     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.14     8.83     0.78R    0.03  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.40     6.42    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.58     5.71     1.68R    0.07  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.14     6.55    -3.83     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.91     7.23     1.51R    0.09  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.44     6.55     5.08     0.00     0.08     1.09     4.47    24.68     0.17R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.54     6.53    -1.85     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.70     6.44     1.79R    0.08  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.12     6.24   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61    12.81R    1.11  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.90     6.49   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.40     8.17R    0.70  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.09     6.53   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.86    12.66R    1.32  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.93     6.56   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    39.72R    7.50  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.77     6.04   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    54.56R   11.74  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.91     6.06   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.14R   34.28  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.90     6.15   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.76R   43.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.17     7.30    26.25    44.36    64.37    92.68    72.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.54     7.28    18.89    12.54    28.13    72.15    37.52P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.69     7.40    15.65    12.89    28.29    71.68    38.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.62     7.23    11.11     9.37    22.26    66.11    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.41     7.29    25.78    10.85    24.71    68.86    38.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         23   37   +5      70.94     7.04     8.54     2.08     6.43    36.32    13.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.75     7.43    10.59     1.47     4.66    28.03    10.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.53     7.00     9.50     0.51     1.85    17.73     5.67P    0.12R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.29     7.19     4.66     0.50     1.95    16.86     5.20P    0.20R    0.01  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.60     7.19     0.86     0.33     1.10    11.87     3.13P    0.40R    0.01  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.21     7.36    17.96     2.87     8.28    41.02    18.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.28     7.29    -3.48     0.26     1.08    10.87     3.12P    0.53R    0.03  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.10     7.50     7.93     0.95     2.96    21.28     8.43P    0.23R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.54     7.32    -0.53     0.12     0.48     6.05     1.78P    1.41R    0.06  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.70     7.41     3.78     0.50     1.73    15.81     5.77P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.53     7.33    -4.08     0.07     0.39     5.85     1.62P    1.42R    0.08  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.69     7.26   -13.88     0.03     0.11     1.95     0.44P    4.52R    0.35  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      63.09     7.43     3.31     0.22     0.88     9.40     3.17P    0.90R    0.04  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.14     7.36    -2.21     0.09     0.36     5.41     1.71P    1.63R    0.12  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.66     7.02   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   33.90R    7.03  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.43     6.95   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.80R   16.68  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.20     6.82   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.61R   26.00  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.25     7.06   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.45R   22.04  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.01     7.04   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.40R   27.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.68     7.12    27.12    13.34    27.94    75.75    39.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.31     7.25    17.58    11.31    24.44    71.59    35.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.27     7.12    26.52    31.41    51.90    89.96    64.14P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.27     7.42    16.56     9.66    21.18    66.48    31.84P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      81.07     7.16    27.54    21.81    40.21    84.04    53.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.88     7.21     4.07     2.16     6.09    36.34    12.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.14     7.31    21.74     4.64    11.80    52.22    22.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.40     7.31    17.79     2.88     7.69    42.35    16.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.07     7.26     7.24     1.29     3.87    28.60     8.86P    0.16R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.90     7.26    -7.94     0.13     0.48     6.52     1.38P    2.46R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.14     7.25    -7.39     0.07     0.25     4.13     0.83P    4.16R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.48     7.05    -5.92     0.03     0.13     3.16     0.61P    4.44R    0.03  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.74     7.43    16.73     1.10     3.37    25.66     9.74P    0.34R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.02     7.18    -5.74     0.03     0.13     2.99     0.50P    5.44R    0.06  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.84     7.27     6.38     0.13     0.44     7.10     1.86P    2.20R    0.02  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.35     7.01    -8.71     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.14P   15.64R    0.31  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.59     7.12   -15.95     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   28.40R    1.05  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.05     7.03   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   36.77R    1.56  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.87     7.17   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   33.32R    1.53  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.82     7.13   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   35.92R    1.57  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.82     7.44    -0.15     0.01     0.07     1.80     0.59P    9.61R    0.27  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.25     7.13   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.00R    4.02  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.04     7.00   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.40R    8.16  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.71     6.65   -38.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   81.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.73     7.17    36.18    61.03    90.61    98.91    93.10P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.52     7.19    34.14    22.19    69.53    93.92    76.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.43     7.27     5.20     3.09    22.61    63.45    31.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.18     7.24     8.88     2.99    22.08    63.15    31.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.89     7.20    10.52     1.13    11.67    46.54    19.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.92     7.17    24.01     5.07    32.72    74.87    46.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.19     7.51     5.82     1.41    12.82    47.53    21.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.50     7.35     8.88     0.48     5.68    29.88    11.04P    0.08R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      62.97     7.18    -3.72     0.14     1.77    14.52     3.86P    0.29R    0.04  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.33     7.42    11.62     1.15    11.45    44.56    21.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.13     7.23     7.82     0.67     7.89    37.32    15.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.73     7.21     4.58     0.15     2.47    18.23     5.88P    0.20R    0.04  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.13     7.19     2.18     0.09     1.66    12.91     3.90P    0.45R    0.07  
York                 22   30   -1      58.10     7.15    -8.40     0.02     0.38     4.74     1.12P    1.57R    0.32  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.56     7.55     1.89     0.33     4.55    25.56    10.27P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.38     7.25    -2.92     0.02     0.63     6.91     2.01P    1.07R    0.20  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.39     7.49    -2.99     0.05     0.98     9.26     3.13P    1.04R    0.22  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.92     7.17    -7.65     0.01     0.34     4.43     1.26P    1.89R    0.41  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.45     7.06   -13.54     0.00     0.11     2.04     0.48P    3.98R    0.93  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.91     7.14    -8.04     0.00     0.02     0.98     0.25P    7.25R    1.98  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.79     6.93   -19.92     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   15.57R    4.88  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.01     6.82   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.53R   25.73  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.50     6.99   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.21R   19.40  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.70     6.72   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.61R   45.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.92     7.39    24.09     8.75    66.82    19.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.03     7.12    34.23    17.20    82.21    35.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.60     7.08    42.53    49.03    94.87    65.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.28     7.30    20.12     4.52    53.12    14.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.80     7.40    23.33    15.80    79.07    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.50     7.52     5.10     0.18     8.98     1.65P    0.71R    0.07  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.20     7.13    16.16     0.64    22.63     5.67P    0.07R    0.01  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.78     7.76     9.79     2.08    33.99     8.83P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.00     7.47     4.15     0.49    17.15     4.05P    0.23R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.12     7.51     0.31     0.08     4.93     0.88P    1.78R    0.23  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.02     7.82     8.89     1.17    26.31     6.98P    0.17R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.97     7.07   -25.09     0.00     0.17     0.02P   22.86R    5.52  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.44     7.22     4.88     0.04     4.98     1.02P    1.30R    0.15  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.01     7.25    -2.98     0.02     1.78     0.32P    3.96R    0.65  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.39     6.77   -11.61     0.00     0.19     0.02P   14.73R    2.99  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.37     7.63    -3.79     0.01     0.83     0.15P   11.13R    2.22  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.60     7.16   -20.88     0.00     0.18     0.02P   19.99R    4.56  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.98     7.41   -15.09     0.00     0.75     0.10P   10.25R    1.94  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.37     7.14    -7.41     0.00     0.18     0.02P   18.47R    4.12  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.18     7.41    -9.68     0.00     0.53     0.09P   13.74R    2.89  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.04     7.44   -17.84     0.00     0.31     0.04P   18.72R    4.50  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.92     7.10   -24.56     0.00     0.02     0.00    42.63R   15.21  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.82     7.00   -26.01     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.78R   27.68  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.98     7.05   -28.65     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.40R   27.21