Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 19 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.55     5.97    48.67    78.98    97.10    99.49    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.92     6.00    43.20    19.01    80.71    94.76    98.65    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.22     6.58    28.43     1.54    13.81    54.11    77.79    95.75     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.59     6.68    13.93     0.12     2.20    14.71    36.39    77.01     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.31     6.46    30.08     0.33     5.43    28.65    58.33    89.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.62     6.48    12.50     0.03     0.58     5.70    17.19    57.08     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.84     6.47    -1.15     0.00     0.07     0.89     3.59    20.49     0.21R    0.01  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.11     6.32   -16.71     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.47     4.68     2.05R    0.10  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.26     6.28    -1.48     0.00     0.02     0.18     1.05     8.83     0.83R    0.03  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.43     6.39    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.58     5.95     1.67R    0.04  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.14     6.57    -3.82     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.95     7.55     1.57R    0.07  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.29     6.50     4.83     0.00     0.06     0.98     4.20    23.92     0.17R    0.00  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.46     6.54    -1.99     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.68     6.57     1.79R    0.08  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.25     6.29   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.71    12.45R    1.15  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.96     6.45   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.38     8.08R    0.71  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.12     6.45   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.80    12.22R    1.16  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.80     6.54   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    40.47R    7.63  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.80     6.02   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    54.03R   11.66  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.98     6.02   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.28R   33.96  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.87     6.11   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.18R   43.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.22     7.28    26.29    44.39    64.58    92.73    72.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.53     7.28    18.92    12.53    28.02    72.02    37.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.69     7.37    15.63    12.60    28.43    71.96    38.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.58     7.23    11.06     9.43    22.21    66.09    32.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.43     7.33    25.81    11.34    25.09    68.80    38.23P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         23   37   +5      70.85     6.99     8.38     1.96     6.22    36.16    13.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.59     7.34    10.32     1.32     4.16    26.94     9.21P    0.11R    0.01  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.48     7.04     9.44     0.58     1.91    17.76     5.78P    0.15R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.23     7.19     4.57     0.50     1.94    16.80     5.12P    0.21R    0.00  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.55     7.20     0.76     0.33     1.20    11.78     3.32P    0.35R    0.01  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.22     7.35    17.99     2.87     8.32    41.14    18.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.49     7.33    -3.15     0.34     1.17    11.54     3.30P    0.54R    0.03  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.07     7.55     7.89     0.88     2.87    21.32     8.21P    0.31R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.42     7.31    -0.70     0.08     0.43     6.01     1.66P    1.46R    0.07  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.75     7.44     3.82     0.47     1.81    16.14     5.97P    0.44R    0.04  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.50     7.30    -4.09     0.09     0.43     5.93     1.61P    1.42R    0.07  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.91     7.27   -13.53     0.03     0.10     2.08     0.51P    4.32R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      62.96     7.42     3.10     0.20     0.77     9.08     3.03P    0.89R    0.04  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.24     7.37    -2.07     0.08     0.35     5.64     1.88P    1.64R    0.11  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.60     7.01   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   34.01R    7.02  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.28     6.98   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.15R   17.55  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.30     6.77   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.00R   25.66  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.26     7.05   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.47R   22.18  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.16     7.04   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.49R   26.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.70     7.18    27.12    13.57    28.31    75.19    39.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.31     7.19    17.52    11.24    24.30    71.84    35.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.38     7.09    26.64    32.28    52.82    90.12    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.31     7.39    16.57     9.62    20.76    66.40    31.48P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.84     7.17    27.24    20.40    38.87    83.25    52.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      72.01     7.23     4.23     2.14     6.07    36.85    12.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.16     7.35    21.74     4.92    12.12    52.08    22.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.49     7.23    17.88     2.95     7.75    42.51    15.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.10     7.29     7.30     1.31     3.93    28.71     9.10P    0.16R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.90     7.23    -7.98     0.14     0.47     6.30     1.31P    2.48R    0.02  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.07     7.23    -7.49     0.07     0.26     4.05     0.77P    4.19R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.47     7.07    -5.93     0.04     0.17     3.25     0.71P    4.49R    0.03  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.99     7.47    17.10     1.16     3.52    26.47    10.22P    0.27R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.15     7.19    -5.54     0.04     0.14     3.05     0.63P    5.30R    0.03  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.81     7.27     6.33     0.10     0.45     7.07     1.85P    2.15R    0.01  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.37     6.96    -8.67     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.17P   15.42R    0.36  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.48     7.13   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   29.03R    1.12  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.00     7.05   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.13R    1.74  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.93     7.19   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   32.92R    1.44  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.80     7.16   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   35.84R    1.81  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.58     7.47    -0.50     0.01     0.05     1.61     0.52P   10.15R    0.31  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.21     7.07   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.82R    3.93  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.07     6.98   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.06R    8.40  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.74     6.65   -38.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.44R   80.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.79     7.18    36.31    61.35    90.49    99.04    93.14P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.41     7.23    33.99    22.05    68.84    93.54    76.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.47     7.24     5.29     3.09    22.90    63.78    31.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.17     7.25     8.87     2.91    22.43    63.22    31.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.75     7.22    10.29     1.13    11.48    45.82    18.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.74     7.16    23.75     4.80    31.77    73.75    45.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.13     7.47     5.70     1.38    12.90    46.86    21.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.67     7.34     9.12     0.56     5.86    30.76    11.45P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      63.15     7.19    -3.42     0.11     2.02    15.04     4.30P    0.30R    0.05  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.55     7.47    11.95     1.26    12.17    45.63    22.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.22     7.16     7.96     0.67     7.90    37.69    15.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.58     7.23     4.36     0.16     2.47    17.75     5.60P    0.22R    0.04  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.15     7.16     2.26     0.05     1.51    12.83     3.81P    0.40R    0.08  
York                 22   30   -1      58.07     7.12    -8.42     0.02     0.42     4.52     1.17P    1.73R    0.33  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.57     7.50     1.90     0.34     4.62    25.45    10.07P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.41     7.28    -2.90     0.03     0.63     7.07     2.10P    1.17R    0.24  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.41     7.53    -2.98     0.06     1.07     9.42     3.20P    1.02R    0.17  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.80     7.23    -7.80     0.00     0.35     4.45     1.27P    2.06R    0.37  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.58     7.10   -13.37     0.01     0.11     2.12     0.51P    3.81R    0.90  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.81     7.13    -8.16     0.00     0.05     0.96     0.23P    7.35R    2.04  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.70     6.94   -20.04     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   15.80R    5.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.04     6.80   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.39R   25.67  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.49     7.01   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    42.89R   19.28  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.62     6.74   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.56R   45.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.03     7.38    24.25     9.07    67.32    19.46P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.00     7.10    34.15    16.71    82.00    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.66     7.07    42.57    49.12    95.02    66.24P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.38     7.32    20.22     4.63    53.52    14.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.73     7.36    23.29    15.42    78.58    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.49     7.55     5.08     0.19     8.83     1.63P    0.76R    0.07  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.25     7.07    16.26     0.64    22.41     5.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.85     7.78     9.94     2.21    33.77     8.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.06     7.54     4.21     0.53    17.19     4.10P    0.21R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.14     7.51     0.39     0.08     4.93     0.92P    1.75R    0.19  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.08     7.89     8.97     1.31    26.69     7.12P    0.15R    0.02  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.80     7.01   -25.37     0.00     0.14     0.02P   23.23R    5.62  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.50     7.22     4.96     0.07     5.05     1.05P    1.23R    0.14  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.92     7.22    -3.10     0.02     1.73     0.29P    3.99R    0.61  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.47     6.77   -11.49     0.00     0.15     0.02P   14.49R    2.87  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.62     7.63    -3.34     0.00     0.86     0.13P   10.49R    2.02  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.47     7.18   -21.05     0.00     0.17     0.01P   20.39R    4.92  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.87     7.38   -15.32     0.00     0.66     0.08P   10.19R    1.98  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.35     7.07    -7.38     0.00     0.17     0.02P   18.28R    3.85  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.10     7.43    -9.83     0.00     0.50     0.08P   13.94R    2.91  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.95     7.34   -17.97     0.00     0.27     0.04P   18.76R    4.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      49.01     7.13   -24.35     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.90R   14.64  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.63     7.04   -26.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.52R   28.53  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.93     7.02   -28.72     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.62R   27.30