Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 18 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.46     5.99    48.57    78.53    97.08    99.52    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.89     6.06    43.20    19.43    80.70    94.65    98.58    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.22     6.55    28.41     1.52    13.82    53.98    77.73    95.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.52     6.62    13.87     0.13     2.11    14.33    35.76    76.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.31     6.50    30.08     0.38     5.50    29.04    58.17    88.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.78     6.48    12.72     0.01     0.64     5.97    17.78    57.41     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.85     6.46    -1.15     0.00     0.06     0.80     3.61    20.55     0.18R    0.00  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.13     6.30   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.51     4.56     2.03R    0.09  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.28     6.31    -1.46     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.15     9.04     0.79R    0.02  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.49     6.43    -1.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.62     6.11     1.63R    0.05  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.15     6.56    -3.73     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.92     7.56     1.48R    0.07  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.32     6.54     4.83     0.00     0.06     1.02     4.35    24.02     0.18R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.52     6.55    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.72     6.48     1.85R    0.08  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.19     6.25   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.58    12.44R    1.05  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.94     6.46   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.42     7.76R    0.69  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.07     6.47   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.74    12.56R    1.19  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.80     6.59   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    40.36R    7.77  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.88     6.05   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    53.54R   11.37  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.95     6.05   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R   33.53  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.71     6.10   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.11R   44.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Brighton vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.19     7.30    26.24    44.45    64.18    92.73    72.33P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.53     7.27    18.87    12.69    28.00    72.04    37.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.60     7.33    15.50    12.34    27.70    71.39    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.62     7.15    11.07     9.24    22.22    66.52    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.53     7.24    25.97    11.27    25.19    69.27    38.40P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         23   37   +5      70.73     7.02     8.23     1.93     6.11    35.10    12.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.82     7.40    10.71     1.51     4.60    28.36    10.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         23   34   +8      66.44     7.02     9.43     0.59     2.05    17.48     5.83P    0.10R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.39     7.20     4.80     0.57     2.00    17.12     5.35P    0.19R    0.00  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.57     7.18     0.76     0.30     1.12    11.79     3.28P    0.39R    0.02  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.16     7.40    17.90     2.87     8.62    41.06    18.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.27     7.28    -3.45     0.29     1.15    10.80     3.13P    0.52R    0.02  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.03     7.52     7.81     0.91     2.97    21.24     8.38P    0.25R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.57     7.33    -0.49     0.11     0.54     6.12     1.73P    1.48R    0.09  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.68     7.43     3.72     0.53     1.81    15.86     5.92P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.51     7.33    -4.13     0.07     0.39     6.00     1.68P    1.45R    0.09  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.93     7.27   -13.48     0.02     0.13     2.15     0.52P    4.24R    0.35  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      63.08     7.47     3.30     0.22     0.84     9.45     3.24P    0.95R    0.05  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.22     7.39    -2.09     0.09     0.36     5.44     1.80P    1.70R    0.12  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.57     6.96   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   34.11R    6.91  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.32     7.04   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.49R   17.35  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.43     6.85   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.05R   24.73  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.16     7.10   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.88R   22.77  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.00     6.98   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.70R   27.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.59     7.15    26.99    13.15    27.71    74.95    38.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.38     7.19    17.65    11.49    24.85    72.12    35.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.27     7.13    26.49    31.98    52.11    89.69    64.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.27     7.38    16.54     9.61    20.95    66.40    31.59P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.89     7.15    27.29    21.09    39.66    83.42    53.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      72.03     7.25     4.26     2.25     6.27    37.20    12.76P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.14     7.35    21.74     4.68    11.88    52.25    22.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.47     7.27    17.85     2.95     7.80    42.62    16.16P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.14     7.27     7.36     1.35     3.99    28.90     9.26P    0.18R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.85     7.24    -7.98     0.13     0.53     6.46     1.37P    2.36R    0.02  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.10     7.26    -7.45     0.07     0.23     4.13     0.81P    4.01R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.38     7.07    -6.08     0.03     0.16     3.00     0.61P    4.75R    0.04  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.80     7.45    16.83     1.08     3.23    25.68     9.54P    0.32R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.16     7.22    -5.52     0.03     0.13     3.08     0.64P    5.44R    0.06  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.92     7.26     6.44     0.11     0.45     7.13     1.90P    2.15R    0.02  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.28     6.96    -8.77     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.11P   15.58R    0.38  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.54     7.10   -16.08     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   28.77R    1.06  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.01     7.02   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   37.11R    1.63  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.78     7.21   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   33.80R    1.65  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.69     7.20   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   36.74R    1.78  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.82     7.42    -0.10     0.01     0.04     1.75     0.57P    9.47R    0.24  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.36     7.12   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   52.26R    3.91  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.21     6.93   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.44R    8.04  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.74     6.66   -38.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.48R   81.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.66     7.20    36.11    60.49    90.50    98.95    92.95P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.51     7.21    34.16    22.65    69.32    93.81    76.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.46     7.28     5.26     3.18    22.90    63.61    31.59P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.10     7.29     8.72     3.03    22.19    62.88    31.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.82     7.25    10.40     1.19    11.66    46.28    18.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.78     7.21    23.75     4.92    32.32    73.73    46.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.06     7.48     5.62     1.38    12.75    46.83    21.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.64     7.36     9.10     0.44     5.76    30.67    11.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      62.92     7.21    -3.77     0.13     1.84    14.42     4.00P    0.32R    0.05  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.54     7.35    11.93     1.22    11.68    45.66    21.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.05     7.20     7.66     0.66     7.63    37.25    15.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.75     7.25     4.60     0.16     2.67    18.39     5.97P    0.19R    0.03  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.13     7.18     2.28     0.09     1.58    13.16     3.81P    0.39R    0.05  
York                 22   30   -1      58.24     7.20    -8.19     0.01     0.42     5.10     1.21P    1.59R    0.31  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.50     7.53     1.83     0.33     4.70    25.04     9.93P    0.15R    0.02  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.36     7.21    -2.94     0.04     0.63     6.83     2.06P    1.18R    0.22  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.60     7.50    -2.69     0.07     1.03     9.76     3.30P    1.01R    0.22  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.83     7.19    -7.71     0.00     0.28     4.36     1.13P    2.03R    0.43  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.45     7.07   -13.58     0.00     0.11     2.06     0.48P    3.88R    0.87  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.81     7.11    -8.14     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.24P    7.56R    2.06  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.85     6.99   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   16.12R    5.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      43.12     6.81   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.01R   25.18  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.56     7.01   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.50R   19.00  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.58     6.76   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.91R   46.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 18 December 2012, Alfreton_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.06     7.34    24.33     9.10    67.93    19.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      81.97     7.20    34.11    17.09    81.73    35.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.61     7.07    42.55    48.94    95.00    66.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       22   38  +12      76.14     7.29    19.86     4.41    52.22    14.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.72     7.32    23.20    15.20    78.81    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.50     7.48     5.09     0.21     8.60     1.54P    0.72R    0.06  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.27     7.13    16.29     0.72    22.74     5.90P    0.09R    0.01  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.74     7.78     9.75     2.25    33.47     8.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.05     7.49     4.24     0.53    17.46     4.22P    0.23R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.21     7.48     0.47     0.09     5.11     0.90P    1.74R    0.21  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.05     7.92     8.93     1.38    26.83     7.43P    0.18R    0.02  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.81     7.04   -25.36     0.00     0.15     0.02P   23.47R    5.71  
Cambridge_Utd      22   28   +1      63.60     7.24     5.13     0.06     5.09     1.01P    1.13R    0.10  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.94     7.28    -3.04     0.01     1.88     0.37P    4.07R    0.64  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.56     6.80   -11.30     0.00     0.17     0.03P   14.32R    2.79  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.46     7.64    -3.56     0.01     0.87     0.14P   10.74R    2.20  
Alfreton_Town      21   26   -9      53.60     7.16   -20.89     0.00     0.22     0.02P   20.22R    4.76  
Braintree_Town     21   26   -9      56.90     7.36   -15.26     0.00     0.76     0.08P   10.15R    2.07  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.47     7.10    -7.24     0.00     0.24     0.04P   17.97R    3.73  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.05     7.42    -9.89     0.00     0.42     0.06P   14.08R    3.13  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.10     7.36   -17.77     0.00     0.29     0.03P   18.12R    4.27  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.84     7.05   -24.59     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.80R   14.72  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.58     6.99   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.94R   28.82  
Barrow             21   20  -14      46.05     7.07   -28.54     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.95R   26.75