Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 December 2012, Reading vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.48     5.99    48.52    78.52    97.09    99.52    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.94     6.02    43.29    19.33    80.88    94.77    98.66    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.20     6.57    28.45     1.60    13.59    54.09    77.86    95.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.55     6.67    13.95     0.13     2.19    14.59    36.02    76.91     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal       17   27  +13      66.30     6.49    30.02     0.38     5.41    28.71    58.26    88.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.74     6.48    12.71     0.04     0.68     5.82    17.59    57.56     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.79     6.46    -1.19     0.00     0.06     0.88     3.43    20.35     0.20R    0.00  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.16     6.34   -16.70     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.51     4.74     2.14R    0.07  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.29     6.26    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.13     8.83     0.70R    0.02  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.46     6.39    -1.67     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.60     5.95     1.50R    0.06  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.10     6.53    -3.81     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.86     7.30     1.53R    0.08  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.40     6.51     4.94     0.00     0.07     0.95     4.26    24.53     0.19R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.59     6.49    -1.77     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.65     6.41     1.70R    0.09  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.22     6.25   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.59    12.42R    1.15  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      44.01     6.46   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.51     7.77R    0.60  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.01     6.48   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.78    12.66R    1.17  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.83     6.56   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    40.00R    7.56  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.73     6.05   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.41R   11.76  
QPR           17   10  -15      29.88     6.01   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    80.41R   34.02  
Reading       17    9  -15      28.81     6.13   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.36R   43.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Barnsley vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.28     7.33    26.40    44.59    64.37    92.69    72.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.61     7.26    19.00    12.64    28.06    72.28    37.69P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.74     7.30    15.72    12.41    28.11    72.03    38.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.60     7.24    11.09     9.39    22.01    65.79    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.38     7.29    25.76    11.00    24.72    68.17    37.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         22   36   +5      70.96     7.18     8.05     2.17     6.64    36.27    13.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.75     7.32    10.63     1.35     4.31    27.42     9.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         22   33   +8      67.05     7.17     9.78     0.65     2.52    19.92     6.63P    0.14R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.29     7.24     4.69     0.51     1.96    16.92     5.44P    0.20R    0.01  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.59     7.19     0.78     0.35     1.10    11.60     3.27P    0.39R    0.02  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.28     7.39    18.09     2.97     8.52    41.28    18.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.30     7.32    -3.40     0.27     1.07    10.81     3.08P    0.58R    0.02  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.02     7.53     7.77     0.78     2.77    20.83     8.28P    0.26R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.59     7.29    -0.45     0.08     0.42     6.02     1.65P    1.35R    0.07  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.63     7.41     3.66     0.44     1.69    15.41     5.57P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.53     7.29    -4.08     0.08     0.40     5.89     1.65P    1.36R    0.06  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.62     7.24   -13.98     0.01     0.11     1.92     0.47P    4.59R    0.44  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      63.20     7.46     3.48     0.23     0.89     9.62     3.26P    0.91R    0.05  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.00     7.35    -2.43     0.08     0.34     5.05     1.74P    1.75R    0.10  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.58     7.00   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   34.16R    7.02  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.37     6.99   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.88R   17.19  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.35     6.82   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.82R   25.11  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.11     7.06   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.66R   23.03  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.14     7.07   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.43R   26.85  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.54     7.13    26.94    13.05    27.38    74.91    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.20     7.20    17.40    11.11    23.96    71.28    34.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.23     7.10    26.48    31.74    52.28    89.72    64.19P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.27     7.41    16.55     9.70    21.13    66.14    31.84P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      81.02     7.16    27.47    21.74    40.36    83.93    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      72.03     7.22     4.26     2.13     6.21    37.24    12.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.14     7.33    21.76     4.85    12.09    52.29    22.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.45     7.25    17.88     2.84     7.68    42.50    16.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.16     7.31     7.36     1.34     3.98    29.13     9.14P    0.18R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.92     7.23    -7.92     0.12     0.46     6.38     1.34P    2.43R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.03     7.21    -7.51     0.06     0.21     4.00     0.81P    4.17R    0.03  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.52     7.06    -5.86     0.04     0.21     3.28     0.69P    4.42R    0.04  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.91     7.42    17.00     1.11     3.40    26.08     9.98P    0.32R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.00     7.19    -5.76     0.03     0.13     3.01     0.53P    5.59R    0.06  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.75     7.29     6.22     0.12     0.44     7.15     1.86P    2.27R    0.00  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.38     7.03    -8.65     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.10P   15.91R    0.34  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.55     7.10   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   28.53R    1.15  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.19     7.02   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   36.18R    1.70  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.76     7.18   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   34.22R    1.54  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.88     7.22   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   36.12R    1.69  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.57     7.42    -0.49     0.01     0.06     1.68     0.54P    9.94R    0.31  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.34     7.09   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.21R    3.94  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.12     6.97   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.86R    8.25  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.79     6.67   -38.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   80.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.76     7.18    36.23    60.92    90.37    98.99    92.93P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.59     7.24    34.27    22.54    69.67    93.83    76.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.47     7.26     5.24     3.04    22.80    63.99    31.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.22     7.24     8.93     2.95    22.34    63.58    31.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.76     7.21    10.33     1.10    11.38    45.94    18.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      74.82     7.25    23.86     5.04    32.63    73.82    46.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.04     7.51     5.62     1.37    12.75    46.58    21.70P    0.02R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.67     7.36     9.16     0.46     6.09    30.75    11.67P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      63.01     7.19    -3.65     0.09     1.86    14.63     3.91P    0.27R    0.03  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.32     7.39    11.62     1.15    11.03    44.75    20.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.18     7.24     7.89     0.69     7.89    37.76    15.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.71     7.23     4.55     0.15     2.57    18.14     5.59P    0.24R    0.03  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.15     7.19     2.21     0.07     1.55    13.19     3.94P    0.40R    0.09  
York                 22   30   -1      58.11     7.15    -8.38     0.02     0.35     4.66     1.11P    1.67R    0.32  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.50     7.59     1.77     0.31     4.67    25.34     9.99P    0.17R    0.02  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.35     7.23    -2.94     0.02     0.53     6.80     1.88P    1.09R    0.21  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.47     7.46    -2.88     0.07     1.04     9.45     3.18P    0.99R    0.21  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.94     7.19    -7.56     0.01     0.30     4.37     1.23P    1.83R    0.38  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.52     7.08   -13.44     0.01     0.15     2.16     0.54P    3.93R    0.96  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.81     7.10    -8.13     0.00     0.03     0.96     0.25P    7.36R    2.04  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.69     6.94   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   15.89R    5.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      42.93     6.73   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.17R   26.06  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.47     6.98   -30.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.11R   19.67  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.81     6.83   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.72R   44.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Macclesfield vs Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.97     7.32    24.14     8.43    65.68    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      81.92     7.17    34.05    16.46    80.45    34.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.62     7.12    42.55    47.47    94.56    64.89P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.55     7.48    23.45     7.90    63.60    19.94P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.67     7.37    23.09    14.88    77.19    33.35P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.32     7.56     4.80     0.19     8.00     1.41P    0.77R    0.06  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.31     7.18    16.33     0.73    21.48     5.72P    0.09R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.94     7.72    10.04     2.13    32.80     8.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.08     7.56     4.23     0.50    16.64     3.98P    0.22R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.11     7.45     0.36     0.07     4.45     0.77P    1.67R    0.21  
Hereford           20   29   -1      70.93     7.85     8.74     1.13    24.69     6.52P    0.16R    0.02  
Woking             23   29  -11      53.00     7.13   -24.99     0.00     0.18     0.02P   22.02R    5.32  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.31     7.49     5.66     0.09     6.15     1.33P    1.12R    0.12  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.14     7.29    -2.76     0.01     1.75     0.28P    3.78R    0.56  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.45     6.78   -11.48     0.00     0.15     0.03P   13.88R    2.71  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.51     7.62    -3.52     0.00     0.80     0.12P   10.43R    2.10  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.43     7.12    -7.31     0.00     0.17     0.03P   17.42R    3.60  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.60     7.39   -21.55     0.00     0.18     0.01P   20.28R    5.10  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.21     7.38    -9.56     0.00     0.41     0.06P   12.98R    2.75  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.01     7.38   -17.84     0.00     0.29     0.04P   17.79R    4.22  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.23     7.63   -18.96     0.00     0.36     0.04P   18.23R    4.68  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.97     7.12   -24.49     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.04R   14.10  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.67     7.02   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.21R   27.82  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.92     7.02   -28.69     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.85R   26.59