Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 December 2012, Tottenham vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       17   42  +19      87.49     5.98    48.54    78.71    97.37    99.62    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      17   36  +18      79.85     6.05    42.99    19.38    81.52    95.40    98.74    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.14     6.55    28.36     1.51    14.05    56.87    79.02    95.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     17   29   +5      63.61     6.68    13.98     0.14     2.46    16.15    39.49    77.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton       17   27   +7      59.78     6.46    12.81     0.01     0.71     6.82    19.31    58.56     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     17   27   +3      53.80     6.45    -1.25     0.00     0.06     0.92     4.03    21.26     0.22R    0.01  
Norwich       17   25   -6      48.08     6.29   -16.79     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.51     4.70     2.30R    0.09  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.60     6.71    26.63     0.25     3.73    22.26    49.62    83.50     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         17   24   +2      50.27     6.32    -1.48     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.38     9.38     0.80R    0.02  
Swansea       17   23   +4      48.46     6.38    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.77     6.22     1.73R    0.07  
West_Ham      17   23   +1      49.05     6.55    -3.91     0.00     0.02     0.17     1.03     7.52     1.68R    0.09  
Liverpool     17   22   +0      54.46     6.50     5.05     0.00     0.06     1.15     5.05    25.71     0.17R    0.01  
Fulham        17   20   -1      48.47     6.50    -2.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.83     6.57     1.90R    0.08  
Aston_Villa   17   18   -9      42.27     6.32   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.73    13.13R    1.29  
Newcastle     17   17   -7      43.98     6.49   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.56     8.30R    0.91  
Sunderland    17   16   -6      42.00     6.49   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.81    13.48R    1.43  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.82     6.57   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    41.63R    8.48  
Wigan         17   15  -14      34.89     6.03   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    54.72R   12.64  
QPR           17   10  -15      30.00     6.06   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.58R   37.48  
Reading       16    9  -12      30.05     6.36   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.36R   37.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Barnsley vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          22   44  +15      84.20     7.32    26.25    44.22    64.30    92.71    72.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   42  +15      77.59     7.26    18.96    12.67    28.20    72.39    37.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41  +10      77.61     7.35    15.53    12.64    27.76    71.15    37.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   41   +7      76.55     7.20    11.04     9.14    21.74    65.72    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        22   37  +16      76.37     7.25    25.72    10.77    24.36    68.53    37.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         22   36   +5      70.95     7.20     8.07     2.31     6.76    36.33    13.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Watford          22   34   +8      68.76     7.36    10.66     1.41     4.46    27.58     9.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         22   33   +8      66.98     7.18     9.73     0.72     2.49    19.78     6.53P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   33   +4      66.20     7.20     4.52     0.51     1.88    16.51     5.15P    0.21R    0.01  
Derby            22   33   +3      64.61     7.23     0.85     0.36     1.23    11.92     3.38P    0.45R    0.03  
Blackpool        22   32   +8      71.23     7.35    18.03     2.95     8.55    40.93    18.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   32   -2      64.47     7.30    -3.10     0.29     1.14    11.36     3.28P    0.53R    0.02  
Bolton           22   29   +0      67.15     7.54     7.96     0.88     3.07    21.49     8.78P    0.27R    0.01  
Charlton         22   29   +0      61.47     7.36    -0.63     0.12     0.45     5.90     1.64P    1.50R    0.09  
Blackburn        22   29   -2      65.59     7.47     3.58     0.54     1.87    15.36     5.72P    0.37R    0.01  
Burnley          22   29   -3      61.42     7.27    -4.20     0.09     0.40     5.52     1.51P    1.43R    0.06  
Huddersfield     22   29   -7      57.83     7.23   -13.63     0.02     0.10     1.91     0.42P    4.42R    0.41  
Wolverhampton    22   28   +0      63.15     7.50     3.40     0.25     0.87     9.48     3.23P    0.82R    0.05  
Birmingham       22   25   -7      61.18     7.37    -2.13     0.09     0.38     5.35     1.81P    1.61R    0.10  
Ipswich          22   23  -21      48.63     7.02   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.97R    6.96  
Bristol_City     22   18  -13      44.38     7.02   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.23R   17.15  
Barnsley         22   18  -14      42.21     6.80   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.36R   25.99  
Sheff_Wed        22   18  -15      43.17     7.06   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.13R   22.32  
Peterborough     22   16  -15      42.18     7.08   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.43R   26.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Bournemouth vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        22   41  +20      78.77     7.14    27.24    13.75    28.44    75.81    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   41  +11      78.24     7.28    17.47    11.44    24.27    71.29    35.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   40  +11      83.21     7.15    26.39    31.25    51.58    89.63    63.74P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       22   40  +10      77.22     7.40    16.45     9.58    20.85    66.09    31.34P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         22   39  +14      80.94     7.11    27.38    21.27    39.79    83.83    53.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   37   +1      71.98     7.24     4.18     2.24     6.17    36.87    12.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon         22   36  +14      74.21     7.32    21.86     4.85    12.20    52.73    22.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   35  +11      72.41     7.34    17.79     2.83     7.83    42.19    16.23P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth     22   35   +4      70.08     7.33     7.27     1.37     3.99    28.66     8.91P    0.13R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    22   35   +0      62.92     7.25    -7.87     0.14     0.55     6.55     1.39P    2.37R    0.01  
Crewe           22   33   +0      61.03     7.17    -7.52     0.04     0.18     4.07     0.71P    4.07R    0.04  
Leyton_Orient   22   31   -1      60.53     7.08    -5.86     0.04     0.15     3.26     0.65P    4.45R    0.03  
Coventry        22   30   +8      68.88     7.45    16.98     1.06     3.38    26.07     9.81P    0.38R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   30   -1      60.01     7.19    -5.75     0.03     0.14     2.93     0.62P    5.61R    0.06  
Preston         22   29   +5      62.78     7.26     6.25     0.10     0.41     7.05     1.88P    2.28R    0.02  
Oldham          22   26   -4      55.38     7.02    -8.67     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.12P   15.83R    0.32  
Colchester      22   23  -11      52.63     7.15   -15.94     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   28.59R    1.09  
Walsall         22   23  -12      51.04     7.03   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   37.08R    1.73  
Carlisle        22   23  -15      51.89     7.20   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   33.51R    1.50  
Shrewsbury      22   22   -5      50.98     7.14   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   35.00R    1.64  
Portsmouth      22   21   -6      57.54     7.46    -0.55     0.01     0.05     1.68     0.53P   10.11R    0.31  
Scunthorpe      22   20  -16      48.26     7.10   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.66R    3.99  
Bury            22   19  -13      45.05     6.98   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.29R    8.42  
Hartlepool      22    9  -25      32.82     6.65   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   80.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           22   45  +21      87.80     7.13    36.29    60.77    90.78    99.05    93.21P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   40  +21      81.54     7.28    34.18    22.34    69.02    93.83    76.40P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   39   +3      73.61     7.25     5.49     3.13    23.39    64.27    31.85P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   37   +4      73.24     7.32     8.96     3.10    22.52    63.34    31.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             22   36   +9      69.76     7.27    10.32     1.15    11.34    45.93    18.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             22   34  +12      75.01     7.19    24.12     5.10    33.02    74.82    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               22   34   +1      70.10     7.41     5.70     1.38    12.18    46.89    20.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   33   +8      66.61     7.38     9.03     0.45     5.82    30.33    11.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        22   33   +1      63.03     7.19    -3.59     0.09     1.88    14.53     4.09P    0.29R    0.04  
Chesterfield         22   32   +5      69.41     7.44    11.72     1.15    11.45    44.89    21.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              22   32   +3      68.17     7.15     7.92     0.68     7.61    37.26    15.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red            22   31   +5      63.62     7.22     4.39     0.16     2.42    17.80     5.58P    0.21R    0.02  
Northampton          22   30   +4      62.09     7.25     2.17     0.07     1.48    12.96     3.86P    0.44R    0.07  
York                 22   30   -1      58.09     7.12    -8.42     0.02     0.40     4.69     1.17P    1.55R    0.33  
Rochdale             22   30   -2      65.63     7.52     1.95     0.33     4.64    25.78    10.13P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe            22   27   -2      59.28     7.18    -3.05     0.02     0.54     6.54     1.87P    1.14R    0.21  
Wycombe              22   26   -5      60.41     7.52    -2.96     0.04     1.03     9.48     3.29P    1.07R    0.21  
Oxford_Utd           22   26   -6      57.92     7.15    -7.60     0.02     0.32     4.34     1.20P    1.76R    0.42  
Accrington_Stanley   22   26   -8      55.45     7.07   -13.55     0.00     0.11     2.01     0.46P    3.84R    0.88  
Plymouth             22   22   -5      52.98     7.10    -7.92     0.00     0.04     1.00     0.25P    6.92R    1.88  
Aldershot            22   21  -14      49.70     6.92   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   15.64R    4.85  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   19  -17      42.98     6.80   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.55R   25.33  
Bristol_Rovers       22   18  -20      44.47     6.97   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   42.66R   19.33  
Barnet               22   16  -17      39.50     6.70   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.61R   46.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 December 2012, Macclesfield vs Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.99     7.31    24.25     8.39    65.87    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.14     7.17    34.39    16.76    81.36    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.59     7.11    42.51    46.90    94.38    64.22P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.59     7.54    23.52     7.98    63.28    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.85     7.36    23.42    15.24    77.85    33.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.61     7.52     5.28     0.21     8.44     1.55P    0.62R    0.06  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.22     7.16    16.23     0.66    21.01     5.45P    0.07R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.87     7.73     9.97     1.97    32.42     8.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       22   32   -2      69.11     7.49     4.30     0.51    16.03     3.83P    0.19R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.10     7.48     0.27     0.07     4.40     0.81P    1.59R    0.18  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.01     7.84     8.87     1.20    24.97     6.75P    0.16R    0.03  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.72     7.00   -25.47     0.00     0.14     0.01P   22.97R    5.38  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.19     7.43     5.45     0.08     5.93     1.25P    1.13R    0.14  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.94     7.30    -3.05     0.01     1.67     0.30P    3.92R    0.61  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.64     6.83   -11.18     0.00     0.19     0.02P   13.31R    2.77  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.52     7.56    -3.50     0.00     0.75     0.12P   10.19R    2.01  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.45     7.17    -7.27     0.00     0.18     0.04P   17.55R    3.84  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.66     7.36   -21.53     0.00     0.25     0.03P   19.68R    4.77  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.02     7.37    -9.94     0.00     0.34     0.06P   13.53R    2.85  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.90     7.33   -18.03     0.00     0.22     0.03P   18.18R    4.43  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.12     7.58   -19.10     0.00     0.31     0.04P   18.48R    4.87  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.92     7.06   -24.50     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.13R   13.98  
Nuneaton           23   21  -15      45.58     6.94   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.70R   27.93  
Barrow             21   20  -14      46.05     7.04   -28.49     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.56R   26.12