Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Sunderland vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.88     6.16    48.38    80.22    96.77    99.42    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.38     6.26    41.04    16.93    76.16    92.78    97.62    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.22     6.52    28.57     2.25    17.66    57.87    78.85    94.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.24     6.68    12.96     0.06     1.37     7.93    21.22    56.49     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.47     6.91    13.76     0.18     2.62    13.58    32.62    68.28     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.77     6.71    -0.46     0.01     0.21     1.53     5.47    23.32     0.16R    0.00  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.50     6.70    26.50     0.34     4.74    22.36    47.66    80.36     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.30     6.56    -1.68     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.10     7.10     1.30R    0.05  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.45     6.42    -1.66     0.00     0.02     0.31     1.43     8.76     0.74R    0.02  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.16     6.66     9.06     0.02     0.37     3.15    10.51    37.31     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      48.99     6.83    -4.78     0.00     0.03     0.27     1.22     7.05     1.86R    0.10  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.74     6.52   -17.29     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.38     3.05     3.92R    0.20  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.49     6.74     0.04     0.00     0.03     0.39     1.70    10.19     1.00R    0.04  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.22     6.65    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.26     2.12     5.63R    0.42  
Sunderland    16   16   -4      42.40     6.59   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.89    11.83R    1.03  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.92     6.57   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    39.02R    6.88  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.25     6.39   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    24.84R    3.15  
Wigan         16   15  -13      35.97     6.24   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    45.70R    8.03  
Reading       16    9  -12      30.28     6.37   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.99R   30.41  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.68     6.25   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.92R   49.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.08     7.50    29.84    57.53    76.30    96.35    81.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.49     7.45    18.27    10.08    27.07    71.88    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.59     7.58    12.92     6.58    19.19    62.13    29.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      74.92     7.41     9.01     5.13    15.41    58.16    25.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.10     7.51    27.32    13.22    31.85    76.29    45.12P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      68.93     7.64    10.25     1.27     4.71    29.85    10.34P    0.14R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      69.02     7.42     6.54     1.11     4.44    28.73     9.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.77     7.45    10.27     0.86     3.30    24.67     8.49P    0.18R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.43     7.42     4.34     0.50     2.02    18.74     5.71P    0.25R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.35     7.35    -2.19     0.11     0.59     7.70     1.94P    1.15R    0.04  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.18     7.64    15.36     1.43     5.33    32.15    13.46P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.05     7.58     1.63     0.19     0.84     9.97     3.00P    1.03R    0.04  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.47     7.72     6.33     0.77     3.30    23.63     9.24P    0.30R    0.01  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.95     7.52    -5.01     0.15     0.77     9.01     2.52P    1.15R    0.07  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.30     7.44   -11.43     0.04     0.21     3.60     0.87P    3.27R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      64.84     7.70     5.91     0.36     1.59    15.22     5.35P    0.70R    0.03  
Burnley          21   28   -3      62.19     7.60    -3.67     0.13     0.62     7.84     2.28P    1.46R    0.08  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.48     7.74     5.87     0.46     1.96    16.83     6.45P    0.66R    0.04  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.82     7.54    -1.78     0.10     0.51     7.02     2.34P    1.65R    0.10  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      49.96     7.25   -31.77     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.62R    4.31  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.34     7.28   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.89R    9.80  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.14     7.06   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.94R   15.86  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      41.22     7.30   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.30R   28.89  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      39.05     7.18   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.11R   40.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.73     7.38    26.67    13.30    27.69    75.38    38.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      80.00     7.56    21.50    16.44    32.73    78.60    44.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.02     7.34    27.14    34.20    54.56    91.04    65.96P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.24     7.42    15.94     6.74    16.35    61.34    26.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.28     7.40     6.55     3.90    10.29    50.02    18.54P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      80.00     7.34    27.48    16.76    33.77    80.56    48.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.10     7.49    19.26     4.37    11.31    51.98    21.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.11     7.55    19.18     2.72     7.54    41.81    16.58P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.45     7.54     6.26     0.79     2.64    22.99     6.79P    0.40R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.45     7.37   -10.25     0.05     0.26     3.85     0.73P    5.18R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.88     7.33    -2.34     0.10     0.43     6.80     1.49P    2.46R    0.02  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.46     7.48    -8.61     0.03     0.14     3.11     0.58P    7.32R    0.10  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.55     7.38    -5.46     0.02     0.15     3.77     0.77P    5.25R    0.06  
Preston         21   28   +5      63.12     7.47     6.14     0.14     0.50     8.05     2.08P    2.27R    0.02  
Coventry        21   27   +5      65.78     7.69    11.75     0.41     1.48    15.56     5.52P    1.13R    0.01  
Oldham          21   26   -2      57.12     7.21    -6.10     0.01     0.05     1.36     0.24P   10.83R    0.18  
Colchester      21   23  -10      53.94     7.35   -15.12     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.12P   22.96R    0.82  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.44     7.38   -20.49     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.09P   26.32R    1.14  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.33     7.20   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   35.48R    1.76  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.38     7.66     0.16     0.02     0.08     2.52     0.78P    9.02R    0.27  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.86     7.37   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   46.83R    3.50  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.60     7.22   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   60.81R    6.73  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.80     7.23   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   65.64R    8.14  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.36     6.82   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.96R   77.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.85     7.36    37.28    62.45    91.14    99.02    93.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      81.89     7.48    34.23    21.03    67.74    93.22    75.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.57     7.46     4.86     2.86    21.87    62.58    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.62     7.34     9.57     0.91    10.13    43.45    17.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.76     7.53     8.14     1.91    16.19    54.24    24.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.91     7.39    24.92     5.56    35.43    76.87    49.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.09     7.71     6.61     1.60    14.49    50.30    23.34P    0.02R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.16     7.56     7.80     0.39     4.98    27.43     9.93P    0.09R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.57     7.35    -4.94     0.09     1.60    13.10     3.38P    0.48R    0.08  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.61     7.63    13.01     1.44    13.89    49.98    24.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.25     7.42     8.95     0.86     9.54    41.85    18.30P    0.04R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.89     7.74     5.34     0.65     7.70    35.29    15.05P    0.07R    0.01  
Northampton          21   29   +4      62.09     7.38     1.49     0.07     1.51    12.71     3.78P    0.57R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.49     7.44     4.11     0.09     1.70    14.36     4.43P    0.56R    0.09  
York                 21   27   -4      55.57     7.29   -12.69     0.00     0.15     2.28     0.49P    4.76R    1.28  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      60.07     7.46    -2.49     0.04     0.78     8.21     2.38P    1.16R    0.25  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.64     7.30   -10.35     0.01     0.27     4.03     1.01P    2.56R    0.68  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      58.07     7.36    -7.93     0.01     0.35     4.63     1.27P    2.15R    0.53  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      57.82     7.70    -6.48     0.02     0.48     5.22     1.72P    2.92R    0.79  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.61     7.28    -9.03     0.00     0.05     0.99     0.25P    9.26R    3.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.32     7.03   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   47.02R   23.40  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.24     7.07   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   28.76R   11.85  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.60     7.24   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   33.24R   14.71  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.77     6.98   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.29R   43.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Newport_County vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.03     7.36    24.32     8.63    65.17    18.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.07     7.17    34.29    16.73    80.36    34.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.50     7.11    42.40    46.62    94.15    63.93P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.48     7.46    23.35     7.62    62.08    19.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.81     7.31    23.32    15.01    77.15    33.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.37     7.54     4.89     0.11     7.68     1.31P    0.73R    0.08  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.26     7.19    16.29     0.60    20.87     5.39P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.92     7.75    10.12     2.12    31.85     8.52P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.75     7.78     6.34     1.02    22.43     5.75P    0.13R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.18     7.45     0.40     0.08     4.24     0.85P    1.43R    0.17  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.01     7.87     8.91     1.32    24.17     6.79P    0.14R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.75     7.10   -25.46     0.00     0.13     0.01P   22.83R    5.28  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.26     7.50     5.58     0.11     5.99     1.36P    1.07R    0.10  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.89     7.26    -3.09     0.01     1.52     0.30P    3.89R    0.55  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.65     6.85   -11.17     0.00     0.17     0.02P   13.36R    2.52  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.47     7.58    -3.59     0.00     0.74     0.11P    9.99R    1.95  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.40     7.14    -7.36     0.00     0.21     0.03P   17.26R    3.65  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.65     7.41   -21.50     0.00     0.23     0.02P   19.56R    4.59  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.13     7.35    -9.77     0.00     0.35     0.06P   12.77R    2.62  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.88     7.33   -18.11     0.00     0.23     0.04P   17.84R    4.06  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.28     7.54   -18.86     0.00     0.26     0.04P   17.74R    4.34  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.99     7.12   -24.43     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.84R   13.67  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.88     7.04   -28.76     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.59R   25.81  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.13     7.23   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.68R   30.57