Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 14 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Sunderland vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.92     6.17    48.47    80.31    96.93    99.39    99.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.43     6.30    41.11    17.18    76.16    92.66    97.48    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.17     6.51    28.45     1.89    17.56    57.51    78.60    94.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.20     6.66    12.90     0.06     1.28     7.85    21.06    55.97     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.59     6.90    13.95     0.17     2.69    14.05    33.06    68.80     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.58     6.73    -0.74     0.00     0.17     1.39     5.36    22.68     0.14R    0.00  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.51     6.73    26.51     0.36     4.73    22.59    47.78    80.25     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.18     6.59    -1.82     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.09     6.95     1.36R    0.07  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.62     6.51    -1.43     0.00     0.03     0.34     1.55     9.48     0.76R    0.03  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.23     6.70     9.22     0.02     0.38     3.29    10.63    37.91     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      49.02     6.80    -4.74     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.18     7.09     1.86R    0.12  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.81     6.55   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.35     3.07     3.84R    0.20  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.32     6.75    -0.19     0.00     0.02     0.32     1.63     9.82     1.07R    0.04  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.25     6.66    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     2.14     5.85R    0.44  
Sunderland    16   16   -4      42.54     6.62   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.87    11.27R    1.00  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.64     6.54   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    40.69R    7.44  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.28     6.37   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    24.15R    2.95  
Wigan         16   15  -13      36.03     6.26   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    44.94R    8.16  
Reading       16    9  -12      30.23     6.36   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.08R   30.40  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.71     6.22   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.92R   49.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.17     7.47    30.01    57.62    76.34    96.41    82.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.51     7.40    18.36     9.82    26.34    72.01    35.95P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.67     7.57    13.04     6.55    19.02    62.37    29.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      74.95     7.43     9.03     5.06    15.45    57.98    25.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.42     7.52    27.78    13.77    33.24    77.12    46.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      68.99     7.63    10.36     1.25     4.67    30.14    10.48P    0.10R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      69.03     7.43     6.61     1.08     4.39    28.68     9.92P    0.09R    0.01  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.74     7.41    10.22     0.74     3.10    24.35     8.14P    0.13R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.31     7.38     4.13     0.42     1.99    17.99     5.50P    0.28R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.40     7.46    -2.20     0.12     0.62     7.91     2.08P    1.26R    0.05  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.25     7.65    15.43     1.39     5.27    32.35    13.20P    0.13R    0.01  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.13     7.58     1.76     0.19     0.88    10.01     3.09P    0.94R    0.04  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.36     7.70     6.18     0.81     3.14    23.08     9.02P    0.21R    0.01  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.91     7.51    -5.05     0.14     0.72     8.92     2.50P    1.16R    0.04  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.44     7.50   -11.25     0.05     0.26     3.85     0.98P    3.20R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      65.00     7.69     6.20     0.37     1.71    15.53     5.57P    0.58R    0.02  
Burnley          21   28   -3      61.99     7.52    -3.94     0.11     0.52     7.22     1.93P    1.37R    0.07  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.40     7.78     5.74     0.40     1.84    16.74     6.35P    0.58R    0.04  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.85     7.56    -1.67     0.09     0.51     7.18     2.44P    1.51R    0.08  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      49.81     7.30   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   29.41R    4.43  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.34     7.24   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.54R    9.43  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.19     7.02   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.16R   15.10  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      40.91     7.23   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.47R   29.63  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      38.93     7.20   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.85R   40.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.75     7.33    26.71    13.12    27.44    75.44    38.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      80.05     7.61    21.56    16.34    32.71    78.71    44.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.05     7.30    27.23    34.16    54.68    90.89    66.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.37     7.50    16.09     7.17    16.93    61.98    27.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.26     7.49     6.50     4.03    10.46    49.42    18.59P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      79.97     7.33    27.45    16.57    33.21    80.34    47.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.11     7.48    19.28     4.35    11.43    52.16    21.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.07     7.52    19.11     2.61     7.30    41.19    16.29P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.63     7.46     6.57     0.85     2.69    23.31     6.83P    0.40R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.41     7.37   -10.36     0.07     0.22     3.75     0.69P    5.38R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.79     7.36    -2.47     0.09     0.38     6.93     1.52P    2.53R    0.02  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.37     7.49    -8.75     0.03     0.14     3.06     0.56P    7.38R    0.13  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.50     7.39    -5.53     0.04     0.17     3.84     0.79P    5.29R    0.08  
Preston         21   28   +5      63.03     7.52     6.04     0.10     0.53     8.19     2.19P    2.30R    0.02  
Coventry        21   27   +5      65.87     7.65    11.90     0.45     1.54    15.81     5.61P    1.09R    0.01  
Oldham          21   26   -2      57.11     7.26    -6.14     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.33P   10.97R    0.19  
Colchester      21   23  -10      54.02     7.35   -15.04     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.11P   22.59R    0.80  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.58     7.42   -20.24     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   25.53R    1.17  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.36     7.22   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   35.42R    1.62  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.35     7.65     0.10     0.03     0.09     2.38     0.77P    8.86R    0.27  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.73     7.39   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   47.33R    3.54  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.65     7.21   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.50R    6.35  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.68     7.27   -26.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   66.17R    8.52  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.30     6.79   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   77.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.93     7.35    37.46    62.71    91.44    99.08    93.76P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      82.05     7.46    34.40    21.44    68.90    93.62    76.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.67     7.44     4.96     2.99    22.40    62.86    30.88P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.53     7.36     9.47     0.86    10.04    42.91    16.83P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.68     7.50     8.04     1.76    15.79    53.98    24.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.74     7.34    24.66     5.10    34.64    76.41    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.03     7.69     6.54     1.59    14.47    50.02    23.34P    0.03R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.37     7.48     8.10     0.40     5.05    28.26    10.18P    0.12R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.64     7.35    -4.88     0.09     1.60    13.32     3.41P    0.49R    0.07  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.51     7.65    12.87     1.44    13.60    49.38    24.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.12     7.45     8.74     0.80     9.48    41.33    17.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.84     7.69     5.30     0.63     7.36    35.08    14.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Northampton          21   29   +4      61.92     7.43     1.29     0.07     1.38    12.59     3.82P    0.60R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.70     7.44     4.41     0.07     1.79    14.86     4.55P    0.45R    0.11  
York                 21   27   -4      55.53     7.29   -12.74     0.01     0.14     2.26     0.48P    4.80R    1.29  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      59.96     7.54    -2.67     0.03     0.76     8.29     2.45P    1.32R    0.34  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.60     7.32   -10.40     0.01     0.26     4.02     0.97P    2.48R    0.64  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      58.10     7.39    -7.88     0.02     0.39     4.93     1.41P    2.23R    0.54  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      58.13     7.75    -6.01     0.01     0.48     5.61     1.76P    2.73R    0.73  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.64     7.28    -9.00     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.21P    8.83R    2.70  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.34     7.01   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.65R   23.00  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.26     7.09   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   28.56R   11.83  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.50     7.22   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.56R   14.73  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.65     6.94   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.98R   43.85  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Newport_County vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      79.02     7.39    24.28     8.72    64.89    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.08     7.11    34.27    16.25    80.69    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.65     7.08    42.60    47.27    94.33    64.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.59     7.47    23.47     7.83    62.88    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.77     7.32    23.27    14.74    77.19    33.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.28     7.57     4.81     0.18     7.62     1.44P    0.73R    0.07  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.26     7.10    16.27     0.61    20.55     5.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.87     7.76    10.01     2.11    31.58     8.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.65     7.74     6.17     0.89    21.91     5.45P    0.17R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.06     7.52     0.23     0.08     4.07     0.73P    1.60R    0.19  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.10     7.89     9.01     1.23    24.48     6.60P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.86     7.07   -25.34     0.00     0.15     0.01P   21.94R    5.16  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.31     7.47     5.68     0.08     5.92     1.30P    1.03R    0.10  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.03     7.29    -2.89     0.01     1.52     0.30P    3.73R    0.52  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.50     6.79   -11.46     0.00     0.15     0.02P   13.78R    2.68  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.50     7.58    -3.57     0.01     0.72     0.09P   10.12R    1.96  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.39     7.13    -7.37     0.00     0.16     0.02P   17.40R    3.73  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.47     7.38   -21.76     0.01     0.18     0.03P   20.37R    4.76  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.13     7.43    -9.77     0.00     0.43     0.06P   13.07R    2.74  
Southport          21   24  -10      54.02     7.46   -17.87     0.00     0.27     0.02P   17.88R    4.04  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.33     7.50   -18.81     0.00     0.26     0.04P   17.03R    4.14  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.98     7.11   -24.43     0.00     0.02     0.01P   40.55R   13.70  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.84     7.09   -28.84     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.68R   25.98  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.18     7.24   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.65R   30.20