Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 13 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Sunderland vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.87     6.16    48.41    80.19    96.87    99.48    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.38     6.27    41.01    17.16    76.34    92.75    97.60    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.08     6.54    28.31     2.04    17.54    57.40    78.29    94.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.20     6.67    12.83     0.04     1.23     7.85    21.06    56.31     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.47     6.89    13.79     0.20     2.60    13.85    32.78    68.33     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.55     6.72    -0.78     0.00     0.17     1.51     5.25    22.27     0.20R    0.01  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.54     6.70    26.57     0.34     4.80    22.59    48.16    80.56     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.20     6.62    -1.84     0.00     0.02     0.27     1.26     7.32     1.27R    0.03  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.60     6.49    -1.46     0.00     0.02     0.32     1.57     9.48     0.77R    0.04  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.13     6.69     9.04     0.01     0.36     3.21    10.53    37.37     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      49.09     6.78    -4.58     0.00     0.02     0.28     1.22     7.25     1.77R    0.11  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.84     6.50   -17.21     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.41     3.07     3.78R    0.21  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.41     6.77    -0.04     0.00     0.02     0.34     1.66     9.97     1.04R    0.02  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.19     6.67    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     2.16     5.97R    0.44  
Sunderland    16   16   -4      42.46     6.63   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.95    11.83R    1.04  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.79     6.53   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    40.07R    7.09  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.22     6.34   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    24.81R    3.21  
Wigan         16   15  -13      36.04     6.27   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    45.14R    8.22  
Reading       16    9  -12      30.30     6.36   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.97R   31.24  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.94     6.24   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.30R   48.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.19     7.55    30.06    57.47    76.10    96.35    81.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.67     7.48    18.52    10.30    27.49    72.53    37.10P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.73     7.59    13.13     7.01    19.45    62.60    29.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      75.04     7.41     9.19     5.13    15.72    58.68    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.02     7.50    27.20    12.85    31.42    75.63    44.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      69.05     7.59    10.47     1.31     4.84    30.10    10.49P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      68.99     7.44     6.50     1.13     4.32    28.61     9.78P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.63     7.43    10.05     0.71     3.11    23.76     8.03P    0.13R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.34     7.36     4.19     0.48     2.07    18.11     5.57P    0.23R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.47     7.43    -2.06     0.12     0.61     8.16     2.18P    1.13R    0.04  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.27     7.62    15.50     1.43     5.25    32.68    13.58P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.12     7.60     1.78     0.16     0.87    10.10     3.00P    0.97R    0.03  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.40     7.61     6.27     0.73     3.23    23.14     9.07P    0.25R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.84     7.54    -5.21     0.17     0.78     8.80     2.40P    1.26R    0.06  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.28     7.48   -11.48     0.05     0.22     3.63     0.89P    3.29R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      65.06     7.65     6.26     0.39     1.71    15.52     5.64P    0.56R    0.02  
Burnley          21   28   -3      62.10     7.53    -3.82     0.11     0.60     7.59     2.12P    1.44R    0.06  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.29     7.75     5.62     0.35     1.72    16.65     6.14P    0.58R    0.02  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.92     7.56    -1.57     0.09     0.50     7.21     2.50P    1.57R    0.07  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      49.91     7.26   -31.88     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   28.53R    4.21  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.17     7.28   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.69R    9.82  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.27     7.10   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.80R   15.21  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      40.95     7.26   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.21R   29.56  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      38.96     7.16   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   40.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.83     7.36    26.81    13.55    28.03    75.78    39.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      80.07     7.64    21.60    16.68    32.93    78.46    44.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.04     7.34    27.22    34.21    54.86    90.87    66.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.13     7.38    15.72     6.47    15.88    60.96    25.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.21     7.43     6.47     3.95    10.07    49.46    18.33P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      80.01     7.28    27.48    16.55    33.63    80.27    48.56P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.15     7.42    19.36     4.33    11.24    51.77    20.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.29     7.45    19.46     2.61     7.53    42.63    16.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.62     7.47     6.53     0.80     2.65    23.12     6.82P    0.36R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.25     7.35   -10.59     0.05     0.18     3.78     0.70P    5.48R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.83     7.31    -2.43     0.10     0.37     6.79     1.38P    2.42R    0.01  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.36     7.50    -8.75     0.04     0.15     2.95     0.60P    7.52R    0.12  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.42     7.37    -5.71     0.02     0.17     3.66     0.70P    5.37R    0.07  
Preston         21   28   +5      62.99     7.49     5.98     0.12     0.54     8.10     2.18P    2.43R    0.02  
Coventry        21   27   +5      66.02     7.67    12.10     0.48     1.60    16.40     5.78P    0.99R    0.01  
Oldham          21   26   -2      57.08     7.25    -6.18     0.01     0.05     1.37     0.33P   11.03R    0.19  
Colchester      21   23  -10      53.90     7.34   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P   23.27R    0.91  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.62     7.41   -20.21     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.08P   25.41R    1.11  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.36     7.26   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   35.35R    1.76  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.34     7.70     0.14     0.02     0.10     2.46     0.80P    9.16R    0.25  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.87     7.38   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   46.94R    3.48  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.68     7.22   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.38R    6.34  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.80     7.25   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.71R    8.10  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.26     6.81   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.05R   77.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.87     7.35    37.41    62.48    91.30    99.09    93.54P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      82.03     7.42    34.35    21.13    68.66    93.57    75.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.72     7.43     5.05     2.99    22.12    62.83    30.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.49     7.35     9.42     0.91     9.76    42.78    16.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.71     7.51     8.09     1.82    15.78    53.98    24.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.81     7.38    24.77     5.42    34.89    76.42    48.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.05     7.74     6.54     1.64    14.57    50.43    23.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.32     7.53     8.04     0.44     5.10    27.98    10.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.67     7.38    -4.81     0.10     1.61    13.28     3.46P    0.45R    0.10  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.69     7.64    13.10     1.40    13.92    50.49    24.51P    0.02R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.11     7.40     8.75     0.78     9.24    41.05    17.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.92     7.73     5.44     0.64     7.72    35.19    15.01P    0.08R    0.02  
Northampton          21   29   +4      61.99     7.39     1.31     0.07     1.51    12.33     3.70P    0.51R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.55     7.48     4.25     0.10     1.77    14.58     4.42P    0.54R    0.08  
York                 21   27   -4      55.67     7.29   -12.55     0.01     0.19     2.34     0.56P    4.56R    1.28  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      59.98     7.44    -2.59     0.03     0.69     8.01     2.36P    1.11R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.56     7.35   -10.49     0.01     0.28     3.85     0.97P    2.81R    0.66  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      57.95     7.40    -8.16     0.02     0.35     4.60     1.29P    2.15R    0.52  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      58.21     7.76    -5.89     0.01     0.51     5.89     1.99P    2.59R    0.68  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.78     7.29    -8.83     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.26P    8.66R    2.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.29     7.08   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.78R   22.93  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.25     7.13   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   28.50R   11.60  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.50     7.26   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.32R   14.38  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.41     6.95   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.74R   44.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Newport_County vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.96     7.31    24.15     8.46    64.76    18.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      81.95     7.15    34.09    16.32    80.03    33.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.53     7.11    42.41    46.65    94.08    64.07P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.60     7.52    23.49     8.06    62.82    19.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.78     7.34    23.26    15.14    77.30    33.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.55     7.56     5.15     0.22     8.11     1.54P    0.79R    0.06  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.14     7.13    16.11     0.60    20.38     5.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.77     7.71     9.82     2.11    31.24     8.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.75     7.73     6.36     1.00    22.28     5.86P    0.16R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.16     7.51     0.41     0.07     4.34     0.81P    1.66R    0.21  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.14     7.81     9.13     1.25    24.80     6.63P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.75     7.06   -25.47     0.00     0.12     0.01P   22.62R    5.32  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.25     7.53     5.55     0.11     6.05     1.36P    1.14R    0.16  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      60.01     7.26    -2.94     0.01     1.54     0.27P    3.77R    0.54  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.33     6.81   -11.64     0.00     0.13     0.02P   14.10R    2.75  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.57     7.54    -3.44     0.00     0.65     0.11P    9.74R    1.88  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.45     7.14    -7.28     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.29R    3.62  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.58     7.41   -21.57     0.00     0.21     0.02P   19.96R    4.79  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.11     7.40    -9.76     0.00     0.40     0.06P   12.92R    2.70  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.97     7.40   -17.92     0.00     0.26     0.03P   17.81R    4.17  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.36     7.59   -18.71     0.00     0.33     0.04P   17.28R    4.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.98     7.13   -24.46     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.57R   13.81  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.98     7.04   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.95R   25.36  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.11     7.18   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.02R   30.35