Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Sunderland vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.86     6.15    48.35    80.61    96.80    99.39    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.29     6.28    40.79    16.71    75.61    92.41    97.53    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.28     6.54    28.61     2.06    18.19    58.42    78.90    94.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.09     6.72    12.69     0.07     1.31     7.92    20.63    55.44     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.50     6.85    13.79     0.19     2.57    13.33    32.58    68.47     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.70     6.67    -0.54     0.01     0.14     1.41     5.38    22.82     0.15R    0.00  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.55     6.74    26.59     0.34     4.85    22.54    48.00    80.43     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.28     6.62    -1.69     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.06     7.26     1.35R    0.05  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.48     6.51    -1.65     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.46     9.23     0.75R    0.02  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.26     6.74     9.22     0.01     0.43     3.34    11.05    38.06     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      49.02     6.81    -4.76     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.16     7.22     1.78R    0.08  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.91     6.51   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.34     3.04     3.76R    0.18  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.46     6.73     0.06     0.00     0.02     0.37     1.66     9.96     1.02R    0.04  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.19     6.65    -9.06     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.28     2.17     5.80R    0.48  
Sunderland    16   16   -4      42.59     6.56    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.87    11.08R    0.94  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.71     6.53   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    40.18R    7.03  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.20     6.36   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    24.86R    3.10  
Wigan         16   15  -13      35.95     6.27   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    45.63R    8.44  
Reading       16    9  -12      30.27     6.38   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.73R   30.35  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.73     6.27   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   49.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.12     7.47    29.93    57.18    76.25    96.50    81.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.65     7.50    18.49    10.48    27.35    72.54    37.01P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.69     7.58    13.06     6.63    19.28    62.46    29.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      75.03     7.41     9.18     5.36    15.96    58.53    25.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.02     7.54    27.22    12.95    31.38    75.45    44.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      68.94     7.65    10.29     1.33     4.73    29.99    10.45P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      69.05     7.41     6.60     1.07     4.19    28.88     9.82P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.71     7.45    10.19     0.85     3.14    24.05     8.23P    0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.42     7.42     4.28     0.49     2.12    18.44     5.71P    0.25R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.31     7.36    -2.29     0.12     0.56     7.58     1.86P    1.24R    0.03  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.29     7.63    15.45     1.35     5.37    32.52    13.72P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.07     7.63     1.68     0.21     0.97    10.11     3.07P    1.05R    0.04  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.56     7.68     6.53     0.85     3.35    23.74     9.47P    0.23R    0.01  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.93     7.56    -5.04     0.15     0.78     9.13     2.60P    1.23R    0.06  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.37     7.52   -11.41     0.06     0.26     3.74     0.99P    3.29R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      64.86     7.71     5.92     0.34     1.64    15.06     5.28P    0.64R    0.03  
Burnley          21   28   -3      62.11     7.50    -3.76     0.07     0.49     7.60     2.11P    1.35R    0.07  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.20     7.79     5.53     0.41     1.67    16.30     6.06P    0.71R    0.03  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.84     7.54    -1.71     0.10     0.50     7.18     2.34P    1.63R    0.09  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      50.04     7.29   -31.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   28.32R    4.06  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.37     7.27   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.94R    9.24  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.22     7.04   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.10R   15.05  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      40.92     7.30   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   74.41R   30.14  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      38.93     7.18   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.15R   40.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.76     7.37    26.72    13.32    27.97    75.42    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      79.89     7.57    21.31    15.96    32.19    78.08    43.85P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.05     7.35    27.22    34.35    54.63    91.05    66.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.17     7.52    15.83     6.83    16.47    61.16    26.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.25     7.49     6.51     4.09    10.56    49.75    18.95P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      80.02     7.34    27.49    16.74    33.97    80.45    48.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.09     7.41    19.24     4.27    10.94    52.07    20.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.04     7.52    19.10     2.73     7.37    41.31    16.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.60     7.51     6.54     0.89     2.69    23.48     7.05P    0.39R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.55     7.43   -10.11     0.03     0.21     4.02     0.82P    5.31R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.78     7.35    -2.49     0.12     0.42     6.87     1.48P    2.56R    0.02  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.41     7.51    -8.69     0.04     0.14     3.11     0.64P    7.39R    0.15  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.59     7.42    -5.42     0.03     0.17     3.99     0.76P    5.11R    0.08  
Preston         21   28   +5      63.05     7.46     6.08     0.15     0.55     8.07     2.08P    2.32R    0.03  
Coventry        21   27   +5      65.95     7.68    11.99     0.41     1.56    16.21     5.62P    1.06R    0.01  
Oldham          21   26   -2      57.05     7.21    -6.22     0.01     0.03     1.30     0.24P   10.99R    0.20  
Colchester      21   23  -10      53.86     7.32   -15.25     0.01     0.02     0.49     0.11P   23.41R    0.86  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.52     7.42   -20.36     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.10P   25.86R    1.23  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.41     7.23   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   34.92R    1.80  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.32     7.65     0.13     0.02     0.09     2.46     0.73P    9.02R    0.27  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.81     7.38   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   46.83R    3.54  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.65     7.18   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.50R    6.52  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.73     7.26   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   66.17R    8.50  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.43     6.81   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.02R   76.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.95     7.34    37.51    62.92    91.59    99.10    93.73P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      81.93     7.41    34.23    20.90    68.20    93.41    75.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.78     7.40     5.15     2.93    22.37    63.62    30.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.65     7.39     9.66     0.90    10.38    43.68    17.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.72     7.54     8.10     1.80    15.90    53.88    24.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.84     7.30    24.81     5.21    34.79    76.82    48.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.20     7.72     6.74     1.73    14.71    50.99    23.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.21     7.55     7.87     0.39     4.96    27.73     9.97P    0.14R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.61     7.36    -4.88     0.09     1.58    13.19     3.45P    0.45R    0.11  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.73     7.66    13.18     1.48    14.23    50.24    24.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.02     7.37     8.63     0.71     8.78    40.60    17.10P    0.02R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.68     7.77     5.07     0.71     7.22    34.11    14.11P    0.14R    0.03  
Northampton          21   29   +4      62.00     7.38     1.36     0.05     1.43    12.38     3.61P    0.56R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.61     7.47     4.27     0.09     1.77    14.56     4.49P    0.40R    0.07  
York                 21   27   -4      55.50     7.25   -12.80     0.01     0.15     2.24     0.52P    4.68R    1.28  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      60.05     7.50    -2.57     0.04     0.82     8.16     2.49P    1.26R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.58     7.42   -10.42     0.01     0.32     4.10     1.07P    2.79R    0.72  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      57.90     7.43    -8.20     0.01     0.35     4.59     1.24P    2.47R    0.59  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      58.06     7.69    -6.16     0.01     0.39     5.37     1.76P    2.67R    0.74  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.63     7.32    -9.04     0.00     0.04     0.94     0.25P    9.13R    2.85  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.41     6.99   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.46R   22.98  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.35     7.07   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   28.08R   11.33  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.58     7.25   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   33.25R   14.60  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.55     6.93   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   67.43R   44.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 December 2012, Newport_County vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     22   42  +18      78.93     7.34    24.11     8.46    64.31    18.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.04     7.19    34.24    16.63    80.13    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.58     7.14    42.50    46.76    94.15    64.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.62     7.48    23.55     7.86    62.69    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              21   36   +5      81.79     7.33    23.28    15.07    77.37    33.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.40     7.65     4.94     0.16     8.10     1.50P    0.72R    0.08  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.15     7.16    16.12     0.64    20.38     5.17P    0.06R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.84     7.72     9.98     2.07    31.67     8.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.65     7.74     6.21     0.85    22.23     5.46P    0.16R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.07     7.51     0.28     0.09     4.39     0.75P    1.60R    0.20  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.17     7.87     9.09     1.30    25.02     6.98P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.85     7.07   -25.27     0.00     0.12     0.01P   22.44R    5.40  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.27     7.46     5.62     0.08     5.80     1.25P    1.10R    0.12  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.88     7.23    -3.12     0.01     1.49     0.25P    3.76R    0.54  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.43     6.82   -11.52     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.01R    2.83  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.42     7.60    -3.70     0.00     0.70     0.13P   10.20R    1.99  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.65     7.10    -6.96     0.00     0.17     0.03P   16.56R    3.38  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.57     7.37   -21.67     0.00     0.20     0.03P   20.09R    4.74  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.17     7.40    -9.67     0.00     0.44     0.08P   12.99R    2.63  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.99     7.37   -17.93     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.87R    4.15  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.26     7.52   -18.92     0.00     0.30     0.05P   17.75R    4.32  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.97     7.14   -24.44     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.74R   13.71  
Barrow             21   20  -14      46.05     7.01   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.85R   24.75  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.07     7.21   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.89R   31.15