Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 December 2012, Fulham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.89     6.14    48.33    80.34    96.86    99.43    99.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.37     6.32    40.91    17.02    75.90    92.53    97.47    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.22     6.55    28.51     2.08    17.77    57.96    78.66    94.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.27     6.65    12.95     0.07     1.26     7.99    21.27    56.62     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.65     6.85    14.03     0.15     2.80    14.07    33.41    69.42     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.62     6.72    -0.66     0.02     0.16     1.40     5.22    22.62     0.21R    0.00  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.45     6.70    26.34     0.32     4.80    22.18    47.47    79.98     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.28     6.65    -1.73     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.25     7.42     1.28R    0.04  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.49     6.48    -1.63     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.54     8.98     0.89R    0.03  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.10     6.71     9.00     0.01     0.37     3.11    10.45    37.25     0.07R    0.00  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      49.02     6.85    -4.64     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.16     7.19     1.96R    0.09  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.87     6.53   -17.04     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.40     3.14     3.83R    0.23  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.43     6.75    -0.02     0.00     0.02     0.32     1.55    10.04     1.09R    0.05  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.19     6.68    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     2.15     5.81R    0.58  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.88     6.56   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    39.84R    7.63  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.22     6.36   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    25.03R    3.40  
Wigan         16   15  -13      35.92     6.24   -29.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    45.93R    9.09  
Sunderland    15   13   -7      40.43     6.76   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49    19.70R    2.90  
Reading       15    9   -9      31.97     6.70   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.25R   23.42  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.71     6.20   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.11R   52.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.23     7.54    30.10    57.19    76.34    96.50    82.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.66     7.51    18.51    10.21    27.34    72.42    36.93P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.70     7.57    13.13     6.62    19.08    62.50    29.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      74.98     7.38     9.11     5.07    15.44    58.19    25.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.22     7.51    27.47    13.57    32.17    76.27    45.35P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      69.04     7.64    10.39     1.27     4.87    30.21    10.60P    0.11R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      68.95     7.44     6.46     1.16     4.26    28.28     9.74P    0.13R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.72     7.41    10.15     0.78     3.06    23.93     7.99P    0.13R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.41     7.41     4.29     0.49     2.16    18.13     5.72P    0.23R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.28     7.41    -2.32     0.11     0.62     7.69     1.94P    1.20R    0.05  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.36     7.60    15.66     1.38     5.17    32.86    13.65P    0.12R    0.00  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.17     7.60     1.80     0.21     0.96    10.06     3.03P    0.93R    0.04  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.42     7.72     6.28     0.78     3.14    23.73     9.30P    0.26R    0.01  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.90     7.55    -5.10     0.17     0.76     8.93     2.48P    1.16R    0.04  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.38     7.50   -11.40     0.04     0.28     3.69     0.96P    3.18R    0.16  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      65.09     7.71     6.26     0.38     1.71    15.81     5.61P    0.56R    0.02  
Burnley          21   28   -3      62.16     7.56    -3.68     0.11     0.55     7.72     2.18P    1.40R    0.07  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.11     7.79     5.29     0.38     1.63    15.96     5.75P    0.62R    0.03  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.79     7.56    -1.78     0.07     0.44     6.91     2.36P    1.59R    0.07  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      50.00     7.30   -31.68     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   28.08R    4.02  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.15     7.22   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.10R    9.69  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.16     7.08   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.35R   15.07  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      40.98     7.25   -30.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   73.43R   29.57  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      38.88     7.13   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.42R   41.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.88     7.37    26.88    13.61    27.97    75.79    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      79.98     7.56    21.41    16.15    32.30    78.37    43.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.01     7.32    27.18    33.86    54.57    90.99    66.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.33     7.41    16.09     6.95    16.57    62.09    26.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.23     7.44     6.45     3.88    10.21    49.41    18.31P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      80.06     7.33    27.59    16.74    33.79    80.62    48.73P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.15     7.47    19.33     4.56    11.44    52.03    21.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.03     7.50    19.08     2.53     7.29    40.88    16.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.75     7.50     6.69     0.92     2.78    23.91     7.11P    0.36R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.31     7.37   -10.51     0.05     0.19     3.67     0.71P    5.43R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.65     7.31    -2.67     0.08     0.39     6.39     1.37P    2.58R    0.04  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.31     7.51    -8.87     0.04     0.13     2.96     0.52P    7.54R    0.11  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.39     7.36    -5.76     0.04     0.19     3.73     0.75P    5.43R    0.06  
Preston         21   28   +5      62.97     7.52     5.95     0.11     0.46     7.79     2.07P    2.47R    0.02  
Coventry        21   27   +5      66.05     7.70    12.12     0.45     1.55    16.41     5.69P    1.09R    0.01  
Oldham          21   26   -2      57.02     7.19    -6.19     0.00     0.04     1.22     0.23P   11.07R    0.21  
Colchester      21   23  -10      53.93     7.36   -15.16     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P   23.02R    0.88  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.70     7.45   -20.10     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.09P   25.15R    1.08  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.35     7.26   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   35.21R    1.90  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.43     7.70     0.21     0.01     0.10     2.55     0.78P    9.10R    0.25  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.78     7.40   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   46.86R    3.80  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.58     7.22   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.06R    6.47  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.82     7.25   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   65.52R    8.25  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.41     6.85   -38.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.95R   76.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.86     7.35    37.38    62.42    91.26    99.04    93.46P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      81.92     7.43    34.23    21.32    68.30    93.45    75.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.72     7.44     5.05     3.08    22.40    63.25    30.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.58     7.37     9.52     0.96    10.17    43.20    17.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.60     7.51     7.92     1.71    15.48    53.33    24.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.85     7.39    24.84     5.39    35.09    76.55    49.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.08     7.75     6.57     1.64    14.66    50.37    23.81P    0.04R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.26     7.58     7.97     0.41     5.18    28.01    10.27P    0.10R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.70     7.42    -4.71     0.11     1.79    13.79     3.73P    0.50R    0.11  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.54     7.64    12.93     1.33    13.68    49.44    23.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.11     7.44     8.74     0.75     9.14    41.67    17.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.94     7.72     5.43     0.64     7.65    35.26    15.07P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          21   29   +4      61.96     7.35     1.31     0.07     1.43    12.33     3.53P    0.51R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.56     7.44     4.20     0.10     1.78    14.37     4.42P    0.52R    0.08  
York                 21   27   -4      55.63     7.27   -12.56     0.00     0.15     2.29     0.56P    4.66R    1.21  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      59.98     7.47    -2.63     0.02     0.71     8.16     2.41P    1.24R    0.25  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.64     7.37   -10.33     0.01     0.30     4.10     1.02P    2.59R    0.69  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      57.94     7.40    -8.16     0.01     0.34     4.66     1.30P    2.27R    0.60  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      58.06     7.71    -6.18     0.01     0.44     5.59     1.77P    2.56R    0.69  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.66     7.25    -8.98     0.00     0.04     0.92     0.22P    8.90R    2.71  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.40     7.05   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.59R   23.01  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.27     7.12   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   28.83R   11.59  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.63     7.26   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   33.06R   14.35  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.55     6.98   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   67.46R   44.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.15     7.11    34.41    15.83    81.33    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.47     7.09    42.29    44.10    94.27    62.04P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   39  +15      76.13     7.54    19.20     4.19    50.14    11.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.70     7.47    23.68     7.40    64.26    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              20   36   +8      84.25     7.48    27.87    23.70    85.62    42.67P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.53     7.60     5.20     0.18     8.49     1.50P    0.71R    0.07  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.16     7.17    16.14     0.57    21.28     5.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.69     7.78     9.79     1.88    31.50     7.90P    0.08R    0.01  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.69     7.73     6.26     0.88    22.70     5.45P    0.18R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.17     7.52     0.40     0.05     4.53     0.81P    1.59R    0.18  
Hereford           20   29   -1      71.11     7.84     9.06     1.10    25.62     6.65P    0.11R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.79     7.07   -25.41     0.00     0.17     0.02P   22.48R    5.06  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.26     7.49     5.53     0.10     6.11     1.27P    1.07R    0.13  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.96     7.29    -2.98     0.02     1.64     0.28P    3.66R    0.55  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.55     6.83   -11.30     0.00     0.13     0.01P   13.39R    2.60  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.46     7.57    -3.65     0.01     0.78     0.12P    9.95R    1.94  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.39     7.18    -7.33     0.00     0.17     0.03P   17.62R    3.67  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.79     7.45   -21.23     0.00     0.27     0.02P   19.27R    4.64  
Stockport          21   24   -4      54.86     7.37   -10.13     0.00     0.34     0.05P   13.68R    2.90  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.95     7.35   -17.99     0.00     0.25     0.03P   17.53R    4.07  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.39     7.58   -18.60     0.00     0.37     0.03P   17.31R    4.36  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      48.89     7.16   -24.54     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.50R   13.96  
Barrow             21   20  -14      46.01     7.05   -28.44     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.70R   25.01  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.04     7.18   -28.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   30.83