Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 December 2012, Fulham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       16   39  +17      86.93     6.15    48.39    80.71    96.91    99.38    99.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      16   33  +16      78.30     6.31    40.78    16.68    75.29    92.35    97.53    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       16   29  +11      70.19     6.59    28.41     2.03    18.00    58.10    78.24    94.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton       16   26   +7      60.23     6.71    12.88     0.05     1.33     8.15    21.53    56.47     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham     16   26   +4      62.67     6.88    14.02     0.19     2.79    14.00    33.75    69.49     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     16   26   +3      54.66     6.75    -0.62     0.01     0.17     1.61     5.59    23.17     0.18R    0.00  
Arsenal       16   24  +10      64.45     6.70    26.31     0.30     5.00    22.07    47.44    80.39     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea       16   23   +5      49.29     6.57    -1.72     0.00     0.02     0.23     1.14     7.09     1.27R    0.05  
Stoke         16   23   +2      50.48     6.48    -1.66     0.00     0.03     0.28     1.51     9.09     0.83R    0.02  
Liverpool     16   22   +2      57.07     6.68     8.95     0.01     0.40     3.06     9.95    36.80     0.09R    0.01  
West_Ham      16   22   +1      48.89     6.81    -4.93     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.10     6.90     2.02R    0.10  
Norwich       16   22   -7      46.77     6.56   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.38     3.10     4.04R    0.21  
Fulham        16   20   +0      50.40     6.75    -0.04     0.00     0.04     0.39     1.65     9.94     1.06R    0.07  
Newcastle     16   17   -5      45.19     6.69    -9.11     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25     2.28     6.07R    0.56  
Southampton   16   15  -10      36.88     6.58   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    39.90R    7.60  
Aston_Villa   16   15  -11      39.17     6.37   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19    25.72R    3.37  
Wigan         16   15  -13      36.07     6.27   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    45.32R    8.93  
Sunderland    15   13   -7      40.58     6.74   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.46    19.49R    2.73  
Reading       15    9   -9      32.03     6.68   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    67.11R   23.25  
QPR           16    7  -16      27.75     6.24   -31.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.88R   53.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Charlton vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          21   44  +16      87.07     7.46    29.84    56.84    76.21    96.34    81.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   41  +15      77.68     7.49    18.55    10.58    27.30    72.66    37.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      75.66     7.55    13.03     6.51    18.80    62.22    28.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             21   38   +5      74.92     7.39     9.04     5.00    15.38    57.72    24.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        21   37  +17      78.16     7.53    27.41    13.42    31.98    76.20    45.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          21   33   +8      68.97     7.66    10.34     1.36     4.78    29.94    10.58P    0.13R    0.00  
Millwall         21   33   +4      68.90     7.46     6.34     1.20     4.42    28.22     9.99P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +8      67.86     7.46    10.40     0.79     3.38    24.81     8.50P    0.12R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    21   32   +4      66.30     7.39     4.10     0.45     2.09    17.93     5.45P    0.24R    0.01  
Derby            21   30   +1      62.35     7.43    -2.28     0.12     0.59     7.69     2.08P    1.32R    0.07  
Blackpool        21   29   +6      69.28     7.68    15.48     1.54     5.45    32.57    13.74P    0.13R    0.01  
Charlton         21   29   +2      63.34     7.62     2.07     0.21     0.96    10.62     3.15P    0.96R    0.04  
Blackburn        21   29   +0      67.50     7.69     6.43     0.81     3.24    23.57     9.28P    0.26R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   29   -4      62.88     7.51    -5.09     0.18     0.74     8.70     2.36P    1.22R    0.08  
Huddersfield     21   29   -5      59.25     7.47   -11.56     0.03     0.21     3.64     0.79P    3.26R    0.17  
Wolverhampton    21   28   +2      65.08     7.69     6.25     0.37     1.64    15.79     5.53P    0.57R    0.02  
Burnley          21   28   -3      62.16     7.51    -3.69     0.13     0.60     7.65     2.16P    1.34R    0.06  
Bolton           21   26   -2      65.26     7.79     5.54     0.39     1.74    16.43     6.12P    0.62R    0.02  
Birmingham       21   24   -7      61.86     7.54    -1.65     0.08     0.48     7.09     2.39P    1.64R    0.08  
Ipswich          21   23  -19      49.91     7.28   -31.86     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   28.62R    4.16  
Bristol_City     21   18  -11      46.26     7.30   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.56R    9.51  
Barnsley         21   18  -13      44.25     7.05   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.80R   15.06  
Sheff_Wed        21   15  -16      40.87     7.27   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R   30.12  
Peterborough     21   13  -16      38.98     7.22   -31.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   40.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        21   40  +20      78.78     7.34    26.76    13.13    27.70    75.53    38.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       21   40  +13      79.96     7.63    21.46    16.55    32.57    78.27    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   39  +11      84.01     7.34    27.18    34.19    54.44    91.06    66.04P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   38  +10      76.12     7.46    15.75     6.59    15.99    60.71    26.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       21   37   +2      74.32     7.45     6.62     4.12    10.81    50.01    18.79P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   36  +13      80.02     7.35    27.52    16.47    33.70    80.57    48.69P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    21   35  +12      74.18     7.44    19.38     4.44    11.36    52.38    21.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon         21   33  +12      72.16     7.54    19.30     2.80     7.56    42.05    16.61P    0.08R    0.00  
Bournemouth     21   32   +3      68.55     7.56     6.41     0.93     2.78    23.36     7.10P    0.39R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    21   32   -1      60.23     7.41   -10.57     0.05     0.22     3.60     0.66P    5.91R    0.08  
Leyton_Orient   21   31   +1      62.74     7.35    -2.58     0.09     0.40     6.71     1.44P    2.66R    0.02  
Crewe           21   30   -1      59.30     7.45    -8.85     0.02     0.12     2.88     0.58P    7.42R    0.10  
Yeovil          21   29   -1      60.47     7.39    -5.60     0.05     0.19     3.76     0.72P    5.25R    0.06  
Preston         21   28   +5      63.09     7.47     6.10     0.12     0.50     8.08     2.12P    2.22R    0.03  
Coventry        21   27   +5      66.03     7.64    12.07     0.43     1.53    16.08     5.68P    1.10R    0.02  
Oldham          21   26   -2      56.97     7.24    -6.34     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.29P   11.38R    0.21  
Colchester      21   23  -10      53.93     7.31   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P   22.93R    0.84  
Carlisle        21   23  -14      53.48     7.43   -20.41     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P   26.21R    1.15  
Walsall         21   22  -12      51.46     7.26   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   35.02R    1.75  
Portsmouth      21   20   -6      58.43     7.70     0.26     0.01     0.08     2.57     0.80P    8.93R    0.30  
Shrewsbury      21   19   -6      48.88     7.44   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   46.59R    3.66  
Bury            21   19  -12      46.75     7.23   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   60.11R    6.42  
Scunthorpe      21   17  -18      45.80     7.24   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.63R    8.22  
Hartlepool      21    9  -24      33.38     6.79   -38.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   77.15  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 December 2012, Burton_Albion vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           21   44  +21      88.99     7.36    37.58    62.93    91.27    99.07    93.66P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   39  +21      82.02     7.46    34.38    21.06    68.55    93.32    75.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   38   +3      73.72     7.49     5.04     3.01    22.39    63.11    30.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             21   35   +9      69.55     7.36     9.50     0.88    10.02    43.21    16.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   34   +3      71.59     7.50     7.89     1.71    15.50    53.30    24.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             21   33  +12      75.95     7.37    24.99     5.56    35.59    77.02    49.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               21   33   +1      71.05     7.71     6.55     1.49    14.56    50.33    23.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   32   +8      66.25     7.52     7.98     0.38     4.93    27.89    10.05P    0.13R    0.03  
Burton_Albion        21   32   +1      62.53     7.42    -5.06     0.09     1.58    13.34     3.56P    0.48R    0.10  
Chesterfield         21   31   +5      70.60     7.60    12.94     1.31    13.75    49.72    24.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +3      69.16     7.45     8.78     0.78     9.18    41.38    17.73P    0.04R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   30   +0      67.82     7.73     5.26     0.61     7.36    35.26    14.73P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          21   29   +4      61.94     7.38     1.29     0.04     1.36    12.35     3.53P    0.61R    0.16  
Dag_&_Red            21   28   +4      62.63     7.48     4.34     0.08     1.81    14.77     4.71P    0.45R    0.10  
York                 21   27   -4      55.72     7.32   -12.43     0.01     0.18     2.48     0.59P    4.44R    1.24  
Morecambe            21   26   -2      60.00     7.48    -2.57     0.04     0.84     8.17     2.47P    1.22R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   21   26   -6      57.57     7.39   -10.40     0.00     0.29     3.93     0.95P    2.67R    0.65  
Oxford_Utd           21   25   -6      58.03     7.34    -8.01     0.00     0.32     4.58     1.31P    2.25R    0.56  
Wycombe              21   23   -7      58.15     7.70    -6.01     0.02     0.49     5.55     1.73P    2.58R    0.72  
Plymouth             21   21   -5      52.55     7.29    -9.11     0.00     0.04     0.94     0.23P    9.20R    2.83  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   19  -16      44.29     7.00   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   46.97R   23.05  
Aldershot            21   18  -16      47.33     7.09   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   27.93R   11.35  
Bristol_Rovers       21   18  -17      46.46     7.23   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   33.73R   14.80  
Barnet               21   16  -16      40.57     6.94   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   67.12R   44.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 December 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            22   40  +20      82.02     7.13    34.14    15.33    80.84    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            21   39  +20      87.57     7.09    42.45    44.35    94.47    62.56P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     21   39  +15      76.11     7.59    19.22     4.53    49.83    11.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       21   38  +14      78.71     7.48    23.69     7.47    64.28    19.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              20   36   +8      84.20     7.52    27.86    23.45    85.50    43.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           22   33   +6      65.52     7.61     5.17     0.17     8.58     1.55P    0.78R    0.05  
Kidderminster      22   32   +8      70.15     7.11    16.13     0.59    20.73     5.14P    0.09R    0.01  
Mansfield          20   32   +2      72.99     7.80    10.27     1.99    33.34     8.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield       21   31   -2      70.65     7.77     6.19     0.89    22.75     5.48P    0.15R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       21   29   +1      63.21     7.47     0.51     0.05     4.52     0.73P    1.55R    0.14  
Hereford           20   29   -1      70.96     7.89     8.81     1.07    24.78     6.43P    0.17R    0.01  
Woking             23   29  -11      52.79     7.07   -25.39     0.00     0.14     0.02P   22.70R    5.35  
Cambridge_Utd      21   27   +1      64.31     7.47     5.64     0.08     6.31     1.28P    1.08R    0.08  
Gateshead          22   27   -3      59.97     7.25    -3.00     0.01     1.57     0.30P    3.68R    0.52  
Tamworth           23   27   -5      54.59     6.83   -11.30     0.00     0.14     0.02P   13.30R    2.63  
Hyde_United        22   26   +1      56.43     7.60    -3.70     0.01     0.76     0.12P   10.12R    2.00  
AFC_Telford        21   25   +2      53.52     7.13    -7.11     0.00     0.23     0.04P   16.73R    3.41  
Alfreton_Town      20   25   -9      53.58     7.38   -21.54     0.00     0.25     0.03P   19.90R    4.73  
Stockport          21   24   -4      55.04     7.38    -9.89     0.00     0.41     0.06P   13.10R    2.53  
Southport          21   24  -10      53.78     7.39   -18.28     0.00     0.23     0.04P   18.47R    4.31  
Braintree_Town     20   23  -11      54.37     7.56   -18.69     0.00     0.29     0.03P   17.36R    4.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   22   22  -13      49.05     7.10   -24.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.92R   13.32  
Barrow             21   20  -14      45.83     7.03   -28.79     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.58R   26.04  
Nuneaton           22   20  -15      45.05     7.15   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.26R   30.57