Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 8 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2012, Newcastle vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.53     6.42    45.70    65.74    94.20    98.71    99.67    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.10     6.51    42.36    31.73    84.40    95.29    98.51    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.37     6.75    26.06     1.70    12.03    48.80    71.17    91.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.91     7.08    14.91     0.42     4.16    21.69    43.59    75.34     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.53     6.89     0.48     0.01     0.26     2.57     8.29    28.94     0.17R    0.01  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.74     6.93    12.14     0.05     0.99     7.27    18.43    49.06     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.54     6.78     0.99     0.00     0.07     0.80     2.91    13.47     0.75R    0.03  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.45     7.00    -3.33     0.00     0.05     0.57     2.27    11.32     1.37R    0.07  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.83     6.66    -1.66     0.00     0.02     0.52     2.07    10.77     0.95R    0.03  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.34     6.94    25.31     0.34     3.61    20.79    42.94    75.37     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.28     6.85     7.70     0.01     0.18     2.42     7.85    29.31     0.16R    0.00  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.12     6.62   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.65     9.39R    0.77  
Fulham        15   17   -1      49.01     6.93    -0.66     0.00     0.03     0.36     1.46     8.03     2.14R    0.13  
Newcastle     15   17   -4      46.45     6.83    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.48     3.61     4.85R    0.38  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.71     6.57   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    24.45R    3.24  
Wigan         15   14  -13      36.74     6.48   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    42.15R    8.65  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.05     7.00   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.16     1.16    15.24R    2.02  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.22     6.83   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    51.16R   12.98  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.33     6.90   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    60.53R   18.70  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.75     6.43   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.65R   53.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.09     7.75    24.56    40.96    60.96    90.56    68.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      78.07     7.66    18.60    13.70    29.60    71.77    38.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.60     7.66    29.04    20.67    39.61    79.66    51.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.99     7.76    11.98     5.75    14.44    51.94    23.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.71     7.61     7.16     3.91    10.29    43.95    17.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      70.96     7.90    12.30     3.02     8.38    37.79    14.93P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.73     7.69    11.66     3.34     9.16    40.60    16.51P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      67.91     7.59     9.99     1.15     3.74    23.64     8.56P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.19     7.86    11.48     2.55     7.13    34.04    15.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.41     7.59     1.71     0.36     1.29    11.89     3.61P    0.48R    0.01  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      65.03     7.84    -1.80     0.57     1.75    13.63     4.41P    0.60R    0.03  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.43     7.81    15.05     1.94     6.06    31.80    13.63P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.76     7.80     2.21     0.31     1.22    11.29     3.62P    0.84R    0.04  
Burnley          20   28   -1      63.65     7.73    -1.51     0.31     1.12    10.43     3.20P    0.84R    0.03  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.54     7.66   -11.66     0.06     0.30     3.86     0.92P    2.82R    0.21  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.19     7.62    -5.01     0.07     0.31     4.50     1.14P    2.18R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.20     7.95     4.88     0.36     1.23    10.77     3.97P    0.96R    0.06  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.90     8.05     5.99     0.72     2.42    17.94     7.16P    0.53R    0.03  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.42     7.76    -0.36     0.26     0.98     9.88     3.55P    0.93R    0.03  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      46.84     7.37   -37.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.56R    9.65  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.34     7.12   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.65R   18.51  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      43.96     7.43   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   54.45R   16.89  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      42.98     7.49   -27.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.53R   21.51  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.40     7.42   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   73.21R   32.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.32     7.57    27.01    14.82    30.29    78.19    41.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.43     7.82    21.63    17.90    34.34    80.21    45.76P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.84     7.56    29.06    24.00    43.39    86.42    56.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.51     7.54    25.32    26.01    45.62    87.72    59.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.12     7.58    14.23     4.29    10.95    52.14    20.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.10     7.67    20.22     5.66    14.19    58.68    24.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.47     7.62     4.29     2.52     6.97    41.85    14.25P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.73     7.75    19.60     3.46     9.19    46.80    19.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.78     7.64   -10.18     0.06     0.31     4.99     0.95P    6.16R    0.11  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.00     7.70     5.54     0.56     1.96    19.35     5.47P    1.04R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.83     7.74    10.22     0.42     1.44    16.50     4.67P    1.39R    0.02  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.33     7.57    -6.54     0.06     0.19     4.33     0.81P    6.67R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.64     7.54    -5.24     0.06     0.22     4.71     0.97P    5.90R    0.12  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.28     7.68   -12.96     0.01     0.05     1.49     0.23P   17.46R    0.76  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.19     7.81     6.32     0.13     0.67     9.92     3.18P    3.21R    0.06  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.58     7.34    -9.40     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.16P   21.43R    0.90  
Colchester      20   23   -8      55.92     7.53   -12.15     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.21P   17.85R    0.77  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.84     7.63   -18.41     0.01     0.02     0.90     0.15P   22.93R    1.33  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.65     7.49   -13.84     0.01     0.01     0.58     0.12P   26.28R    1.43  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.40     7.88    -0.29     0.03     0.13     3.08     0.92P   10.55R    0.43  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.63     7.50   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   51.96R    5.89  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      48.94     7.61   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   48.80R    5.24  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.13     7.45   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   61.05R    8.61  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.81     7.01   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.03R   74.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      86.95     7.55    35.95    47.52    85.68    98.14    89.44P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.69     7.60    38.43    34.65    78.97    96.51    84.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.49     7.64     3.14     1.86    14.72    52.28    22.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.14     7.68     9.24     3.00    20.38    61.72    29.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.59     7.60    25.42     6.86    38.30    79.14    51.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.53     7.56     7.93     0.54     6.39    34.49    12.28P    0.08R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.50     7.77     7.69     0.61     5.92    30.23    11.35P    0.11R    0.01  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.91     7.62    10.36     1.57    13.67    51.22    23.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      69.95     7.98     7.43     1.40    11.91    46.03    21.10P    0.05R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.78     7.91     4.53     0.89     9.16    39.95    17.11P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.79     7.58     3.13     0.18     2.50    18.86     5.65P    0.41R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.93     7.51    -6.19     0.05     1.01     9.86     2.41P    1.10R    0.24  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.62     7.84     8.93     0.71     7.48    35.66    15.59P    0.13R    0.02  
York                 20   27   -2      57.47     7.56    -9.90     0.02     0.30     4.42     1.03P    3.22R    0.83  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.22     7.58    -9.10     0.02     0.57     6.78     1.78P    2.04R    0.49  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.63     7.66     2.72     0.05     1.02    10.65     3.10P    1.35R    0.33  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.08     7.68    -3.07     0.03     0.83     9.00     2.62P    1.56R    0.39  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.87     7.58    -7.33     0.03     0.49     6.37     1.73P    2.16R    0.49  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.94     7.97    -5.32     0.03     0.67     7.59     2.60P    2.70R    0.73  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.65     7.49   -11.58     0.00     0.02     0.61     0.15P   15.51R    5.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.61     7.20   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   46.69R   24.22  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.25     7.45   -25.21     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   26.97R   11.01  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.17     7.35   -23.83     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   30.86R   13.18  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.12     7.20   -31.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.92R   42.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2012, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.61     7.76    20.40     8.10    59.48    17.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.88     7.34    32.89    15.13    77.38    32.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.49     7.70    24.34    11.50    69.45    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.79     7.31    36.99    37.44    91.53    56.47P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           21   33   +8      67.97     7.86     9.00     0.57    15.87     3.26P    0.37R    0.04  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.05     7.71    25.66    22.76    82.60    40.99P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       20   30   -2      70.70     7.95     5.78     1.31    24.75     6.35P    0.24R    0.02  
Kidderminster      21   29   +7      68.64     7.37    15.26     0.53    17.81     4.49P    0.23R    0.03  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.32     7.97     7.15     1.66    27.78     7.05P    0.20R    0.02  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.88     7.48     0.85     0.03     3.59     0.63P    2.56R    0.37  
Tamworth           22   27   -3      55.50     7.01    -9.87     0.00     0.27     0.03P   12.35R    2.51  
Lincoln_City       20   26   -1      60.53     7.69    -3.06     0.03     2.81     0.50P    4.22R    0.62  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.82     8.12     5.95     0.88    18.93     4.90P    0.50R    0.07  
Woking             22   26  -12      50.82     7.30   -27.19     0.00     0.13     0.01P   33.98R   10.75  
AFC_Telford        20   25   +3      54.91     7.32    -6.03     0.00     0.45     0.07P   13.87R    3.01  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.82     7.61   -18.75     0.01     0.49     0.06P   16.98R    4.19  
Cambridge_Utd      20   24   -2      61.93     7.70     1.43     0.05     4.07     0.83P    2.96R    0.44  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.72     7.64    -8.38     0.00     0.97     0.14P   10.42R    2.11  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.33     7.67   -14.24     0.01     0.79     0.13P   12.20R    2.80  
Hyde_United        21   23   +0      54.77     7.77    -4.82     0.00     0.59     0.07P   16.21R    4.08  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   22  -10      50.10     7.34   -21.66     0.00     0.04     0.01P   36.23R   12.21  
Nuneaton           21   20  -10      46.75     7.47   -22.40     0.00     0.03     0.00P   53.95R   24.65  
Barrow             20   20  -12      47.45     7.30   -26.31     0.00     0.03     0.00    51.14R   21.63  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.39     7.75   -22.98     0.00     0.17     0.03P   31.38R   10.44