Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 7 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2012, Newcastle vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.48     6.43    45.61    64.88    94.06    98.64    99.63    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.23     6.46    42.59    32.55    84.58    95.53    98.69    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.47     6.73    26.15     1.72    11.97    48.98    71.78    91.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.90     7.10    14.89     0.41     4.09    21.46    43.24    75.33     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.58     6.92     0.54     0.02     0.28     2.63     8.31    29.18     0.15R    0.00  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.53     6.89    11.82     0.05     0.83     6.70    17.30    48.09     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.65     6.78     1.17     0.01     0.09     0.78     2.97    13.79     0.62R    0.02  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.43     6.96    -3.42     0.00     0.05     0.59     2.29    11.06     1.38R    0.07  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.93     6.66    -1.50     0.00     0.04     0.55     2.24    11.26     0.86R    0.02  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.43     7.01    25.47     0.35     3.79    21.26    43.54    75.90     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.16     6.92     7.52     0.01     0.20     2.38     7.84    28.92     0.27R    0.00  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.12     6.60   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.58     9.19R    0.75  
Fulham        15   17   -1      48.86     6.98    -0.90     0.00     0.02     0.29     1.28     7.90     2.31R    0.15  
Newcastle     15   17   -4      46.43     6.86    -8.28     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.55     3.77     4.88R    0.39  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.71     6.54   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    24.36R    3.25  
Wigan         15   14  -13      36.82     6.48   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    41.72R    8.34  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.02     7.00   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.11    15.40R    1.89  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.30     6.76   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    50.62R   12.48  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.20     6.92   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.30R   19.40  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.73     6.39   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.90R   53.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.40     7.73    25.10    42.30    62.73    91.32    70.35P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      78.03     7.69    18.52    13.74    29.31    71.81    38.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.60     7.68    29.03    20.32    39.27    79.61    51.13P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      74.09     7.81    12.09     5.68    14.93    52.14    23.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.83     7.63     7.38     3.80    10.46    44.63    18.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      70.87     7.80    12.11     2.71     7.83    37.20    14.33P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.75     7.66    11.62     3.27     8.80    40.94    16.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      67.82     7.56     9.85     1.04     3.38    22.96     7.94P    0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.11     7.89    11.38     2.49     6.97    33.95    15.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.32     7.57     1.57     0.35     1.23    11.76     3.55P    0.49R    0.02  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      64.96     7.75    -1.90     0.45     1.62    13.31     4.10P    0.62R    0.02  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.57     7.82    15.26     1.94     6.07    32.04    14.03P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.72     7.78     2.16     0.24     1.09    11.07     3.38P    0.79R    0.04  
Burnley          20   28   -1      63.94     7.70    -1.04     0.28     1.12    10.85     3.36P    0.80R    0.04  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.45     7.71   -11.83     0.09     0.31     3.82     0.99P    2.95R    0.25  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.25     7.54    -4.88     0.09     0.35     4.43     1.18P    2.09R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.14     7.92     4.71     0.29     1.15    10.46     3.72P    1.05R    0.08  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.93     8.01     5.98     0.68     2.40    17.67     6.90P    0.52R    0.03  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.33     7.79    -0.52     0.24     0.97     9.95     3.52P    0.95R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      46.92     7.33   -37.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   41.12R    9.32  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.31     7.23   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.23R   18.87  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      44.12     7.45   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.53R   16.08  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      42.82     7.52   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.27R   21.80  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.17     7.38   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.19R   33.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.23     7.45    26.92    14.41    29.83    78.42    41.22P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.29     7.82    21.45    17.68    33.96    79.77    45.59P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.96     7.51    29.24    24.38    44.13    86.89    57.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.39     7.55    25.14    25.77    45.41    87.39    58.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.08     7.55    14.21     4.31    10.93    52.38    20.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.04     7.70    20.15     5.79    14.30    58.36    24.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.41     7.65     4.23     2.61     7.09    41.56    14.08P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.67     7.73    19.50     3.58     9.11    45.89    18.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.90     7.69    -9.99     0.11     0.36     5.42     1.05P    6.10R    0.12  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.28     7.71     6.01     0.62     2.02    20.22     5.83P    0.95R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.82     7.75    10.21     0.42     1.52    16.44     4.71P    1.30R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.42     7.61    -6.38     0.06     0.22     4.60     0.90P    6.61R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.71     7.50    -5.16     0.03     0.20     4.58     0.92P    5.87R    0.11  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.26     7.64   -13.04     0.01     0.05     1.55     0.25P   17.23R    0.68  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.03     7.83     6.07     0.18     0.65     9.59     3.05P    3.33R    0.08  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.46     7.38    -9.60     0.01     0.01     0.72     0.12P   21.87R    0.97  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.04     7.57   -11.98     0.01     0.03     1.24     0.28P   17.45R    0.77  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.80     7.56   -18.51     0.01     0.03     0.83     0.14P   22.84R    1.24  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.46     7.47   -14.06     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.10P   26.91R    1.51  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.49     7.94    -0.21     0.02     0.14     3.35     1.07P   10.41R    0.53  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.64     7.49   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   52.04R    5.79  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.03     7.65   -12.44     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   48.47R    5.19  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.06     7.46   -25.66     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.41R    8.67  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.85     7.03   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.93R   74.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.05     7.58    36.13    48.47    85.81    98.13    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.49     7.64    38.20    33.80    77.94    96.25    83.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.45     7.67     3.11     1.85    14.57    51.93    22.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.09     7.75     9.12     3.02    20.58    61.43    29.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.52     7.60    25.39     6.79    38.18    79.15    52.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.79     7.62     8.28     0.59     7.17    35.61    13.23P    0.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.50     7.82     7.68     0.55     5.81    30.38    11.16P    0.16R    0.04  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.77     7.64    10.22     1.44    13.28    50.69    23.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      70.11     7.99     7.71     1.42    12.60    46.92    21.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.73     7.88     4.43     0.87     8.91    39.91    16.53P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.74     7.60     3.03     0.19     2.67    18.75     5.80P    0.38R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.86     7.66    -6.28     0.06     1.08    10.48     2.72P    1.26R    0.27  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.55     7.85     8.81     0.76     7.41    35.07    15.35P    0.12R    0.02  
York                 20   27   -2      57.20     7.51   -10.30     0.02     0.32     4.08     0.99P    3.51R    0.90  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.20     7.57    -9.10     0.03     0.62     6.64     1.78P    2.12R    0.48  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.79     7.66     2.95     0.07     1.17    10.76     3.26P    1.25R    0.32  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.02     7.64    -3.16     0.02     0.79     8.86     2.50P    1.46R    0.32  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.92     7.65    -7.28     0.03     0.51     6.63     1.86P    2.28R    0.56  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.82     7.91    -5.57     0.03     0.57     7.16     2.23P    2.68R    0.71  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.86     7.48   -11.31     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.15P   15.12R    5.51  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.48     7.28   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.52R   25.11  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.30     7.50   -25.10     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   26.82R   11.17  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.26     7.31   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   30.68R   12.65  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.28     7.17   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.39R   41.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2012, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.56     7.75    20.29     8.08    59.21    17.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.94     7.35    32.94    15.24    77.63    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.25     7.75    23.99    10.78    68.06    23.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.92     7.29    37.16    38.04    91.85    57.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           21   33   +8      68.08     7.83     9.20     0.62    16.53     3.44P    0.37R    0.03  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.01     7.80    25.58    22.66    82.03    40.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       20   30   -2      70.66     8.02     5.61     1.33    24.99     6.49P    0.26R    0.04  
Kidderminster      21   29   +7      68.69     7.37    15.36     0.52    18.03     4.48P    0.18R    0.01  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.20     7.99     6.99     1.67    27.12     7.11P    0.23R    0.03  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.62     7.49     0.56     0.04     3.39     0.63P    2.78R    0.43  
Tamworth           22   27   -3      55.50     6.96    -9.91     0.00     0.34     0.04P   11.91R    2.42  
Lincoln_City       20   26   -1      60.63     7.67    -3.00     0.03     2.75     0.52P    3.97R    0.64  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.97     8.17     6.15     0.89    19.93     5.22P    0.46R    0.05  
Woking             22   26  -12      50.70     7.33   -27.40     0.00     0.09     0.01P   34.42R   11.28  
AFC_Telford        20   25   +3      54.86     7.38    -6.08     0.00     0.47     0.08P   14.17R    3.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.60     7.61   -19.03     0.00     0.51     0.08P   17.68R    4.31  
Cambridge_Utd      20   24   -2      62.03     7.73     1.57     0.06     4.23     0.85P    2.89R    0.39  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.81     7.71    -8.24     0.01     1.00     0.18P   10.68R    2.31  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.49     7.73   -13.97     0.01     0.91     0.15P   12.07R    2.75  
Hyde_United        21   23   +0      54.80     7.88    -4.68     0.01     0.64     0.11P   16.36R    4.16  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   22  -10      50.03     7.36   -21.77     0.00     0.09     0.01P   36.78R   12.44  
Nuneaton           21   20  -10      46.94     7.48   -22.07     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.07R   23.90  
Barrow             20   20  -12      47.43     7.33   -26.29     0.00     0.03     0.00    50.81R   21.50  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.44     7.72   -22.97     0.00     0.16     0.02P   30.90R   10.27