Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 6 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2012, Newcastle vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.56     6.42    45.79    65.25    94.29    98.72    99.67    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.20     6.51    42.52    32.20    84.08    95.47    98.61    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.46     6.81    26.15     1.73    12.36    49.63    71.83    91.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.87     7.06    14.84     0.41     3.97    21.30    43.36    75.44     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.61     6.89     0.62     0.02     0.33     2.75     8.27    29.11     0.17R    0.01  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.48     6.96    11.70     0.06     0.92     6.85    17.66    47.72     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.49     6.76     0.93     0.00     0.06     0.74     2.92    13.34     0.65R    0.04  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.40     6.95    -3.46     0.00     0.06     0.57     2.14    11.06     1.47R    0.06  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.92     6.69    -1.53     0.00     0.03     0.54     2.28    11.40     0.89R    0.03  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.32     6.90    25.29     0.31     3.67    20.62    43.06    75.82     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.22     6.89     7.62     0.01     0.22     2.32     7.89    29.18     0.21R    0.01  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.19     6.68   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.73     9.31R    0.81  
Fulham        15   17   -1      48.93     6.96    -0.77     0.00     0.01     0.34     1.41     8.11     2.26R    0.13  
Newcastle     15   17   -4      46.50     6.87    -8.12     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.52     3.86     4.83R    0.36  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.72     6.57   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29    24.40R    3.34  
Wigan         15   14  -13      36.81     6.47   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    41.66R    8.25  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.07     7.00   -11.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.08    15.14R    1.94  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.20     6.81   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    51.24R   13.06  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.25     6.92   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05    60.88R   18.94  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.78     6.40   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.84R   53.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.44     7.78    25.08    42.31    62.18    91.14    70.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      78.23     7.69    18.78    13.69    30.00    72.31    39.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.67     7.72    29.16    20.47    39.72    79.75    51.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      74.12     7.79    12.20     5.63    14.68    52.35    23.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.76     7.63     7.23     3.77    10.45    44.50    18.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      70.91     7.83    12.19     2.81     8.00    37.56    14.44P    0.06R    0.00  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.77     7.64    11.65     3.23     8.85    41.07    16.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      67.84     7.59     9.89     1.06     3.50    23.37     8.24P    0.13R    0.00  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.04     7.91    11.28     2.41     6.81    33.65    14.64P    0.09R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.32     7.57     1.60     0.32     1.17    11.60     3.44P    0.56R    0.02  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      64.76     7.75    -2.28     0.43     1.44    12.87     3.99P    0.65R    0.03  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.44     7.77    15.07     1.87     5.83    31.73    13.59P    0.09R    0.00  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.61     7.83     2.01     0.29     1.13    10.98     3.40P    0.86R    0.05  
Burnley          20   28   -1      63.85     7.70    -1.14     0.32     1.20    10.64     3.33P    0.72R    0.02  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.30     7.71   -12.05     0.08     0.27     3.58     0.85P    3.09R    0.22  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.20     7.61    -5.00     0.07     0.33     4.47     1.07P    2.31R    0.13  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.12     7.96     4.73     0.30     1.07    10.56     3.71P    1.11R    0.06  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.97     8.01     6.11     0.71     2.40    17.94     6.91P    0.52R    0.03  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.41     7.77    -0.39     0.23     0.97     9.84     3.44P    0.96R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      46.99     7.36   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.07R    9.59  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.26     7.16   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.81R   18.90  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      44.03     7.43   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.12R   16.65  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      43.03     7.44   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.31R   21.06  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.32     7.42   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   73.48R   33.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.36     7.59    27.06    14.91    30.03    78.58    41.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.36     7.79    21.55    17.89    34.38    80.14    45.94P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.87     7.48    29.12    24.00    43.41    86.61    57.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.59     7.52    25.40    26.22    46.10    87.85    59.42P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.04     7.60    14.11     4.17    10.86    51.98    20.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.14     7.64    20.29     5.74    14.15    58.88    24.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.53     7.64     4.35     2.60     7.28    42.37    14.34P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.56     7.69    19.33     3.20     8.75    45.91    18.51P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.93     7.66    -9.93     0.07     0.30     5.20     1.01P    5.98R    0.10  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      66.96     7.77     5.47     0.51     1.97    19.19     5.50P    1.10R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.67     7.65    10.03     0.35     1.36    15.92     4.53P    1.34R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.43     7.61    -6.36     0.06     0.25     4.45     0.92P    6.63R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.53     7.51    -5.43     0.05     0.20     4.50     0.91P    6.18R    0.11  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.14     7.65   -13.18     0.00     0.06     1.40     0.25P   17.74R    0.79  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.22     7.92     6.38     0.17     0.73    10.16     3.24P    3.33R    0.06  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.54     7.38    -9.48     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.14P   21.64R    0.95  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.01     7.59   -12.07     0.01     0.02     1.33     0.29P   17.73R    0.71  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.84     7.56   -18.39     0.01     0.03     0.90     0.17P   22.75R    1.22  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.44     7.51   -14.12     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.13P   27.58R    1.51  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.50     7.83    -0.14     0.03     0.10     3.09     0.97P   10.19R    0.43  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.75     7.48   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   51.54R    5.47  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.17     7.58   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   47.91R    4.90  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.16     7.46   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   60.98R    8.44  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.73     7.00   -36.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.08R   75.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.39     7.62    36.61    49.72    86.79    98.27    90.34P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.63     7.61    38.40    33.21    78.59    96.50    83.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.49     7.63     3.16     1.88    14.65    52.06    22.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.10     7.72     9.12     2.93    20.51    61.77    29.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.52     7.57    25.36     6.48    37.95    79.08    51.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.61     7.57     7.98     0.62     6.64    34.83    12.56P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.29     7.82     7.38     0.53     5.53    29.32    10.80P    0.15R    0.01  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.63     7.57    10.01     1.23    12.54    50.07    22.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      70.11     7.96     7.67     1.37    12.25    46.91    21.63P    0.07R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.78     7.92     4.55     0.95     9.26    40.12    17.25P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.96     7.58     3.37     0.17     2.68    19.65     6.15P    0.32R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.93     7.62    -6.17     0.05     1.16    10.28     2.68P    1.09R    0.23  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.51     7.85     8.72     0.67     7.39    35.32    15.05P    0.12R    0.02  
York                 20   27   -2      57.27     7.61   -10.17     0.02     0.42     4.44     1.16P    3.55R    0.95  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.21     7.57    -9.12     0.02     0.58     6.72     1.75P    1.93R    0.42  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.71     7.71     2.82     0.06     1.08    10.90     3.19P    1.34R    0.34  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.06     7.69    -3.12     0.03     0.84     9.07     2.67P    1.46R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.74     7.59    -7.55     0.02     0.47     6.23     1.66P    2.35R    0.62  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.89     7.95    -5.41     0.04     0.63     7.35     2.34P    2.60R    0.72  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.93     7.49   -11.19     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.13P   14.75R    5.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.40     7.24   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.77R   24.88  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.19     7.47   -25.29     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   27.11R   11.08  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.32     7.30   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   30.38R   12.80  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.17     7.14   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.80R   42.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2012, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.53     7.78    20.27     7.81    59.09    16.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.86     7.36    32.89    14.88    77.25    31.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.44     7.73    24.25    11.35    68.98    23.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.89     7.32    37.08    38.11    91.65    56.99P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           21   33   +8      67.91     7.80     8.90     0.63    15.94     3.28P    0.41R    0.04  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.02     7.75    25.52    22.52    82.29    40.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       20   30   -2      70.62     8.01     5.63     1.30    24.83     6.40P    0.22R    0.02  
Kidderminster      21   29   +7      68.67     7.34    15.32     0.53    17.96     4.63P    0.21R    0.02  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.39     8.02     7.29     1.81    28.07     7.47P    0.18R    0.01  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.87     7.45     0.81     0.05     3.47     0.67P    2.49R    0.37  
Tamworth           22   27   -3      55.53     7.02    -9.87     0.00     0.36     0.03P   12.05R    2.37  
Lincoln_City       20   26   -1      60.38     7.67    -3.32     0.04     2.78     0.49P    4.13R    0.71  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.93     8.06     6.11     0.85    19.32     5.23P    0.45R    0.05  
Woking             22   26  -12      50.91     7.35   -27.10     0.00     0.07     0.00P   33.44R   10.62  
AFC_Telford        20   25   +3      54.81     7.35    -6.15     0.00     0.41     0.06P   14.26R    3.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.73     7.59   -18.82     0.00     0.47     0.06P   17.41R    4.14  
Cambridge_Utd      20   24   -2      62.08     7.76     1.70     0.08     4.28     0.95P    2.95R    0.44  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.69     7.69    -8.46     0.00     0.94     0.13P   10.84R    2.30  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.41     7.69   -14.11     0.01     0.91     0.12P   12.09R    2.71  
Hyde_United        21   23   +0      54.78     7.88    -4.71     0.00     0.60     0.11P   16.46R    4.17  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   22  -10      50.07     7.36   -21.71     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.27R   12.34  
Nuneaton           21   20  -10      46.77     7.45   -22.33     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.65R   24.45  
Barrow             20   20  -12      47.40     7.30   -26.32     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.11R   21.63  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.46     7.85   -22.89     0.00     0.21     0.03P   31.35R   10.58