Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 4 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2012, Newcastle vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.53     6.42    45.78    65.46    94.16    98.66    99.69    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.18     6.51    42.44    32.05    84.49    95.40    98.65    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.41     6.76    26.11     1.67    12.12    48.90    71.50    91.62     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.93     7.06    14.96     0.46     4.13    21.73    43.62    75.53     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.62     6.92     0.63     0.03     0.31     2.82     8.55    29.33     0.15R    0.01  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.55     6.97    11.82     0.04     0.81     7.00    17.89    48.14     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.47     6.78     0.90     0.00     0.06     0.78     2.85    13.44     0.73R    0.03  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.53     7.00    -3.26     0.00     0.04     0.63     2.29    11.39     1.37R    0.06  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.72     6.71    -1.82     0.00     0.04     0.48     1.99    10.96     0.92R    0.03  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.31     6.92    25.22     0.30     3.61    20.78    43.00    75.70     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.17     6.86     7.58     0.00     0.20     2.37     7.76    28.63     0.20R    0.01  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.28     6.68   -19.27     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.18     1.76     9.19R    0.68  
Fulham        15   17   -1      48.90     6.96    -0.84     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.33     8.09     2.37R    0.17  
Newcastle     15   17   -4      46.46     6.87    -8.17     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.56     3.96     4.83R    0.35  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.77     6.54   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.30    23.84R    3.18  
Wigan         15   14  -13      36.83     6.43   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    42.25R    8.18  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.00     7.02   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.12    15.50R    1.93  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.28     6.80   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    50.85R   12.58  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.32     6.91   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    60.69R   19.02  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.71     6.38   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.06R   53.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.25     7.68    24.83    41.31    61.60    91.18    69.87P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      78.17     7.68    18.76    13.86    29.94    72.48    38.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.74     7.67    29.27    20.75    39.90    80.26    51.83P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      74.10     7.80    12.11     5.87    14.71    52.47    23.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.81     7.58     7.35     3.80    10.27    44.47    18.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      70.91     7.90    12.18     3.03     8.25    37.56    14.76P    0.05R    0.00  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.62     7.64    11.48     3.10     8.95    40.01    16.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      67.75     7.63     9.74     1.10     3.43    23.06     8.05P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.17     7.95    11.49     2.49     7.03    34.75    15.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.38     7.61     1.66     0.34     1.27    11.87     3.49P    0.51R    0.03  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      64.63     7.72    -2.40     0.41     1.45    12.48     3.62P    0.65R    0.04  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.34     7.81    14.95     1.89     5.85    31.35    13.43P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.71     7.84     2.15     0.37     1.17    11.08     3.44P    0.75R    0.03  
Burnley          20   28   -1      64.00     7.79    -0.95     0.32     1.22    11.29     3.48P    0.71R    0.02  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.40     7.67   -11.85     0.06     0.28     3.70     0.96P    3.02R    0.19  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.37     7.60    -4.81     0.10     0.39     4.83     1.30P    2.08R    0.12  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.11     7.91     4.73     0.28     1.05    10.36     3.72P    1.06R    0.05  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.78     7.99     5.77     0.66     2.28    17.05     6.62P    0.58R    0.04  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.31     7.77    -0.60     0.28     0.96     9.68     3.45P    0.91R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      47.01     7.40   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.20R    9.45  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.44     7.15   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.12R   18.33  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      44.04     7.41   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.19R   16.74  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      42.97     7.49   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.84R   21.63  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.30     7.39   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.96R   33.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.29     7.54    26.97    14.82    30.23    78.53    41.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.40     7.75    21.58    17.63    34.23    80.75    46.19P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.83     7.54    29.06    23.85    43.11    86.56    57.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.61     7.58    25.45    26.35    46.00    87.83    59.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.88     7.64    13.92     4.14    10.74    50.92    19.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.09     7.70    20.23     5.88    14.58    58.37    24.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.36     7.64     4.15     2.47     7.02    41.30    13.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.71     7.72    19.52     3.43     8.97    46.71    18.88P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.95     7.62    -9.93     0.10     0.34     5.27     1.06P    6.01R    0.09  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.09     7.78     5.63     0.59     1.94    20.04     5.74P    1.03R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.81     7.68    10.18     0.43     1.45    16.39     4.71P    1.28R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.62     7.61    -6.05     0.05     0.26     4.79     1.00P    6.39R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.51     7.52    -5.46     0.05     0.23     4.49     0.91P    6.24R    0.14  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.41     7.69   -12.78     0.01     0.05     1.64     0.25P   16.82R    0.61  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.09     7.82     6.16     0.18     0.68     9.64     2.94P    3.29R    0.07  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.65     7.41    -9.30     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P   21.25R    1.01  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.04     7.60   -11.97     0.01     0.04     1.37     0.30P   17.72R    0.78  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.82     7.61   -18.43     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.19P   22.77R    1.28  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.50     7.48   -13.99     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.12P   27.09R    1.55  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.22     7.88    -0.56     0.02     0.09     2.99     0.86P   10.97R    0.52  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.70     7.49   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   51.53R    5.72  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.05     7.65   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   48.62R    5.09  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.00     7.45   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.74R    8.78  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.83     7.03   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.97R   74.18  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.14     7.54    36.21    49.07    86.27    98.29    89.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.46     7.61    38.16    33.27    78.17    96.36    83.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.39     7.65     3.01     1.87    14.42    51.85    22.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.30     7.72     9.42     3.12    21.30    62.43    30.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.48     7.65    25.25     6.74    37.86    78.72    51.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.53     7.61     7.93     0.56     6.68    34.48    12.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.42     7.83     7.57     0.53     5.72    29.95    11.11P    0.16R    0.04  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.74     7.59    10.16     1.42    13.07    50.40    22.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      69.98     7.99     7.45     1.46    12.21    46.41    21.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.62     7.90     4.30     0.86     8.97    38.98    16.51P    0.11R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.87     7.60     3.21     0.18     2.71    19.29     6.09P    0.42R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.89     7.62    -6.20     0.05     1.07    10.19     2.55P    1.25R    0.29  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.72     7.80     9.05     0.69     7.52    36.11    15.53P    0.12R    0.03  
York                 20   27   -2      57.42     7.60    -9.97     0.02     0.35     4.58     1.11P    3.31R    0.87  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.29     7.59    -9.00     0.03     0.60     6.91     1.89P    2.15R    0.49  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.58     7.70     2.65     0.04     1.07    10.63     3.10P    1.41R    0.33  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.09     7.67    -3.01     0.03     0.79     8.95     2.59P    1.49R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      59.00     7.62    -7.17     0.02     0.50     6.69     1.91P    2.17R    0.56  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.87     7.99    -5.44     0.03     0.69     7.67     2.54P    2.63R    0.69  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.72     7.50   -11.53     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.14P   15.45R    5.59  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.58     7.22   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   46.89R   24.29  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.38     7.57   -25.02     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   26.66R   10.90  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.10     7.32   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   31.36R   13.43  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.26     7.21   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.23R   42.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 December 2012, AFC_Telford vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.68     7.73    20.51     8.02    59.49    17.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.91     7.38    32.94    15.22    77.26    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.45     7.73    24.26    11.24    68.83    23.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.85     7.35    36.96    37.71    91.26    56.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           21   33   +8      67.91     7.89     8.88     0.59    16.05     3.25P    0.41R    0.05  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.05     7.73    25.65    22.59    82.39    40.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       20   30   -2      70.78     8.01     5.88     1.26    25.15     6.32P    0.24R    0.02  
Kidderminster      21   29   +7      68.54     7.39    15.11     0.57    17.34     4.52P    0.20R    0.01  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.46     7.97     7.39     1.68    28.08     7.11P    0.14R    0.01  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.90     7.48     0.91     0.06     3.61     0.70P    2.39R    0.37  
Tamworth           22   27   -3      55.40     7.00   -10.06     0.00     0.28     0.05P   12.26R    2.44  
Lincoln_City       20   26   -1      60.56     7.63    -3.09     0.04     2.66     0.48P    4.02R    0.60  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.10     8.11     6.37     0.92    19.79     5.29P    0.49R    0.06  
Woking             22   26  -12      50.73     7.28   -27.24     0.00     0.10     0.01P   33.95R   10.93  
AFC_Telford        20   25   +3      54.87     7.40    -6.09     0.00     0.47     0.06P   14.18R    2.94  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.83     7.59   -18.69     0.00     0.45     0.04P   16.76R    3.98  
Cambridge_Utd      20   24   -2      62.03     7.74     1.57     0.06     4.23     0.90P    2.87R    0.38  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.70     7.66    -8.41     0.01     0.92     0.14P   10.48R    2.22  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.24     7.68   -14.41     0.01     0.77     0.12P   12.36R    2.77  
Hyde_United        21   23   +0      54.64     7.86    -4.97     0.00     0.56     0.10P   16.61R    4.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   21   22  -10      50.07     7.34   -21.76     0.00     0.07     0.00P   36.21R   12.11  
Nuneaton           21   20  -10      46.74     7.41   -22.33     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.69R   24.30  
Barrow             20   20  -12      47.33     7.35   -26.44     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.38R   21.84  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.43     7.83   -22.92     0.00     0.18     0.03P   31.36R   10.66