Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 3 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 December 2012, Newcastle vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.48     6.42    45.66    64.59    93.99    98.66    99.64    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.26     6.55    42.59    32.81    84.55    95.43    98.50    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.41     6.82    26.12     1.72    11.98    48.86    71.09    91.44     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.99     7.08    15.03     0.44     4.21    21.55    43.79    75.65     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.64     6.91     0.68     0.01     0.32     2.84     8.55    29.35     0.15R    0.00  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.62     6.88    11.95     0.07     0.91     6.95    17.85    48.14     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.53     6.81     0.98     0.00     0.05     0.81     2.94    13.53     0.66R    0.03  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.51     7.03    -3.33     0.00     0.05     0.68     2.38    11.48     1.44R    0.05  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.76     6.64    -1.80     0.00     0.02     0.46     1.97    10.77     0.98R    0.03  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.40     6.91    25.40     0.33     3.69    20.91    43.22    75.97     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.26     6.91     7.66     0.01     0.22     2.34     7.71    29.17     0.24R    0.01  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.26     6.69   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.75     9.13R    0.79  
Fulham        15   17   -1      48.87     6.99    -0.90     0.00     0.02     0.34     1.41     7.81     2.23R    0.17  
Newcastle     15   17   -4      46.38     6.86    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.57     3.59     4.85R    0.42  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.60     6.51   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    24.61R    3.40  
Wigan         15   14  -13      36.79     6.49   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08    41.97R    8.41  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.05     7.03   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.04    15.28R    1.95  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.32     6.80   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    50.42R   12.30  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.24     6.92   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    61.05R   19.04  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.70     6.43   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.97R   53.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.31     7.75    24.93    42.10    61.98    91.10    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      77.98     7.64    18.48    13.16    29.17    71.65    38.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.60     7.72    29.03    20.48    39.53    79.50    51.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      74.08     7.77    12.10     5.74    14.68    52.37    23.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.72     7.64     7.21     3.81    10.35    44.05    18.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      70.98     7.84    12.29     2.95     8.26    37.69    14.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.74     7.67    11.65     3.25     9.00    40.90    16.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      68.00     7.62    10.11     1.23     3.71    24.22     8.56P    0.11R    0.00  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.04     7.87    11.29     2.44     6.90    33.70    14.96P    0.10R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.29     7.54     1.53     0.31     1.23    11.53     3.48P    0.51R    0.01  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      64.88     7.78    -2.06     0.48     1.63    13.14     4.00P    0.59R    0.02  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.40     7.83    15.03     2.10     6.19    31.68    13.62P    0.12R    0.01  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.68     7.84     2.15     0.32     1.16    11.09     3.44P    0.83R    0.04  
Burnley          20   28   -1      63.90     7.75    -1.11     0.28     1.16    10.98     3.39P    0.75R    0.03  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.53     7.75   -11.68     0.09     0.30     3.93     0.99P    2.85R    0.16  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.33     7.64    -4.88     0.07     0.32     4.79     1.18P    2.16R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.12     7.91     4.73     0.25     1.08    10.47     3.65P    1.07R    0.06  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.77     7.99     5.73     0.68     2.33    17.26     6.83P    0.55R    0.04  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.42     7.78    -0.43     0.25     1.02     9.89     3.55P    0.92R    0.07  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      46.99     7.38   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.17R    9.36  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.42     7.17   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.88R   18.19  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      44.01     7.42   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   54.42R   16.84  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      42.80     7.49   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.43R   22.13  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.38     7.39   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   73.45R   32.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.28     7.51    26.94    14.70    29.91    78.36    41.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.36     7.77    21.50    17.94    34.40    80.35    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.88     7.44    29.14    24.00    43.44    86.92    57.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.48     7.50    25.27    25.67    45.36    87.81    58.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.93     7.61    13.99     4.14    10.66    50.91    19.94P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.11     7.69    20.28     5.99    14.67    58.62    25.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.48     7.60     4.30     2.57     7.20    41.96    14.22P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.62     7.80    19.40     3.52     9.10    46.34    18.90P    0.14R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.80     7.58   -10.14     0.08     0.29     4.86     0.89P    5.95R    0.12  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.15     7.82     5.82     0.62     2.14    20.14     5.96P    1.14R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.94     7.71    10.41     0.43     1.53    16.78     5.03P    1.28R    0.02  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.46     7.64    -6.38     0.06     0.23     4.49     0.89P    6.61R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.54     7.49    -5.43     0.04     0.22     4.51     0.91P    6.15R    0.11  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.19     7.63   -13.14     0.01     0.06     1.50     0.25P   17.67R    0.79  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.03     7.88     6.08     0.19     0.64     9.64     3.12P    3.51R    0.07  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.58     7.38    -9.39     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.17P   21.48R    0.97  
Colchester      20   23   -8      55.98     7.56   -12.12     0.00     0.02     1.28     0.25P   17.60R    0.82  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.78     7.57   -18.55     0.01     0.03     0.82     0.21P   23.23R    1.28  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.59     7.50   -13.83     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P   26.87R    1.62  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.50     7.81    -0.16     0.02     0.11     3.05     0.89P   10.10R    0.47  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.76     7.49   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   51.39R    5.85  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.07     7.61   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   48.32R    5.04  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.05     7.49   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   61.57R    8.92  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.93     7.07   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.79R   73.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.06     7.57    36.07    48.07    85.89    98.14    89.50P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.64     7.65    38.45    34.41    78.68    96.44    83.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.41     7.72     3.09     1.90    14.70    51.82    22.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.25     7.70     9.35     3.13    20.83    62.10    30.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.48     7.56    25.28     6.55    37.78    79.04    51.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.57     7.54     7.91     0.57     6.58    34.45    12.43P    0.06R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.58     7.77     7.82     0.52     5.79    30.40    11.24P    0.13R    0.03  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.72     7.61    10.10     1.41    13.14    50.42    23.13P    0.03R    0.01  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      70.16     7.95     7.73     1.46    12.48    47.09    21.91P    0.06R    0.02  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.62     7.88     4.32     0.84     8.78    39.06    16.57P    0.09R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.82     7.59     3.14     0.21     2.56    19.16     5.77P    0.38R    0.04  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.97     7.66    -6.09     0.05     1.12    10.52     2.60P    1.19R    0.26  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.71     7.82     9.05     0.72     7.62    36.32    15.94P    0.09R    0.02  
York                 20   27   -2      57.55     7.59    -9.76     0.01     0.35     4.63     1.13P    3.29R    0.79  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.17     7.54    -9.18     0.04     0.61     6.56     1.68P    2.01R    0.50  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.68     7.68     2.78     0.03     1.12    10.79     3.05P    1.35R    0.36  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      59.84     7.63    -3.40     0.02     0.78     8.30     2.38P    1.55R    0.37  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.87     7.60    -7.36     0.02     0.52     6.45     1.85P    2.24R    0.60  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.80     7.94    -5.59     0.03     0.65     7.24     2.44P    2.69R    0.69  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.74     7.41   -11.49     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.13P   15.13R    5.33  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.49     7.24   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.65R   24.73  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.31     7.48   -25.01     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P   26.37R   10.82  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.21     7.30   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   30.78R   12.93  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.18     7.20   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.89R   42.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Ebbsfleet_United vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.49     7.76    20.20     7.85    58.18    16.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.98     7.32    33.08    14.93    77.56    31.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.33     7.70    24.12    10.93    67.98    23.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.77     7.38    36.88    37.37    91.17    56.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           20   33   +9      70.05     8.15    11.05     1.27    23.39     4.96P    0.21R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.28     7.70    26.15    23.60    83.08    42.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.17     7.97     6.99     1.58    26.71     6.77P    0.18R    0.01  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.68     7.46     0.57     0.03     3.35     0.62P    2.36R    0.26  
Tamworth           21   27   -2      57.01     7.25    -8.75     0.00     0.77     0.09P    8.27R    1.29  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.63     8.22     5.65     1.05    21.43     5.26P    0.44R    0.05  
Kidderminster      20   26   +6      66.99     7.59    14.25     0.33    13.15     3.36P    0.44R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.51     7.91     1.50     0.11     6.51     1.19P    1.83R    0.25  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.06     8.15     6.32     0.87    19.89     5.32P    0.44R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.98     7.60   -18.37     0.00     0.50     0.05P   15.37R    3.07  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.63     7.58    -5.53     0.01     0.65     0.09P   11.93R    2.27  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.89     7.66    -8.14     0.01     1.00     0.15P    9.33R    1.63  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.34     7.65   -14.20     0.00     0.75     0.13P   11.42R    2.13  
Hyde_United        20   23   +1      55.76     8.07    -4.33     0.02     1.02     0.17P   13.24R    2.72  
Woking             21   23  -14      47.38     7.43   -32.79     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.78R   19.67  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   22   -8      51.85     7.56   -18.87     0.00     0.15     0.02P   26.43R    6.85  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.82     7.94    -1.29     0.04     2.56     0.56P    5.20R    0.85  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.54     7.71   -22.75     0.00     0.15     0.04P   28.80R    8.22  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.29     7.48   -27.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.36R   19.02  
Nuneaton           20   17  -11      44.54     7.66   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.96R   31.64