Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 2 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Norwich vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       15   36  +16      84.41     6.42    45.42    64.39    93.92    98.57    99.65    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      15   33  +17      80.29     6.51    42.66    32.94    84.69    95.59    98.62    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       15   26   +9      68.47     6.81    26.09     1.83    12.28    49.38    71.70    91.59     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham     15   26   +5      63.91     7.09    14.91     0.43     4.05    21.59    43.44    75.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     15   26   +5      55.61     6.88     0.67     0.02     0.28     2.76     8.36    29.14     0.16R    0.00  
Everton       15   23   +6      58.58     6.89    11.85     0.05     0.81     6.77    17.77    48.52     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea       15   23   +6      51.65     6.83     1.16     0.01     0.08     0.82     2.97    14.18     0.74R    0.02  
West_Ham      15   22   +2      50.40     7.04    -3.48     0.00     0.05     0.67     2.41    11.32     1.59R    0.06  
Stoke         15   22   +2      50.65     6.67    -1.90     0.01     0.04     0.48     2.16    10.64     1.00R    0.03  
Arsenal       15   21   +8      63.34     6.93    25.21     0.32     3.53    20.42    42.90    75.92     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     15   19   +1      55.26     6.91     7.67     0.01     0.24     2.48     7.84    29.47     0.23R    0.01  
Norwich       15   19   -8      44.13     6.68   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20     1.73     9.76R    0.82  
Fulham        15   17   -1      48.97     6.98    -0.79     0.00     0.03     0.34     1.46     8.15     2.27R    0.18  
Newcastle     14   14   -7      44.64     7.06   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.35     2.51     9.05R    0.96  
Wigan         14   14  -10      38.32     6.75   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.23    34.03R    6.07  
Aston_Villa   15   14  -11      39.68     6.59   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35    25.36R    3.44  
Sunderland    14   13   -5      42.01     6.96   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.06    15.91R    2.00  
Southampton   15   12  -11      35.42     6.81   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    50.76R   12.52  
Reading       14    9   -8      33.33     6.93   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    61.41R   18.97  
QPR           15    6  -16      27.61     6.42   -31.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.68R   54.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 December 2012, Burnley vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          20   41  +13      84.02     7.76    24.45    40.85    60.77    90.44    68.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   20   40  +15      78.12     7.71    18.66    13.95    29.91    72.20    39.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        20   36  +17      79.41     7.66    28.76    19.98    38.48    78.79    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      74.19     7.84    12.27     6.11    15.20    52.63    23.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             20   35   +4      72.75     7.55     7.25     3.83    10.36    44.19    17.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          20   33   +9      71.04     7.89    12.41     3.11     8.59    37.97    15.06P    0.05R    0.01  
Millwall         20   33   +7      71.75     7.64    11.66     3.35     9.11    40.81    16.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         20   31   +8      67.82     7.61     9.88     1.09     3.46    23.11     8.03P    0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn        20   29   +3      70.08     7.87    11.30     2.46     6.84    33.80    14.89P    0.08R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    20   29   +2      64.41     7.59     1.67     0.37     1.37    11.82     3.61P    0.51R    0.02  
Leeds_United     20   29   -2      64.83     7.82    -2.12     0.45     1.62    13.16     4.01P    0.56R    0.02  
Blackpool        20   28   +6      69.54     7.90    15.22     2.21     6.47    32.39    14.43P    0.12R    0.00  
Charlton         20   28   +2      63.64     7.83     2.10     0.35     1.22    11.00     3.47P    0.83R    0.05  
Burnley          20   28   -1      63.83     7.73    -1.23     0.32     1.21    10.88     3.36P    0.68R    0.04  
Huddersfield     20   28   -5      59.50     7.71   -11.76     0.07     0.29     3.84     0.99P    3.06R    0.23  
Derby            20   27   -1      60.38     7.58    -4.76     0.09     0.39     4.57     1.21P    2.12R    0.12  
Wolverhampton    20   25   +1      63.24     7.96     4.89     0.34     1.23    10.84     3.90P    1.01R    0.06  
Bolton           20   25   -2      65.80     8.08     5.79     0.77     2.44    17.67     7.03P    0.58R    0.03  
Birmingham       20   24   -6      63.30     7.79    -0.56     0.28     1.04     9.81     3.50P    1.04R    0.05  
Ipswich          20   20  -22      46.93     7.39   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   41.55R    9.65  
Barnsley         20   17  -13      43.43     7.17   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.04R   18.25  
Bristol_City     20   15  -12      44.22     7.45   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.23R   16.14  
Sheff_Wed        20   15  -15      42.83     7.52   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.46R   22.20  
Peterborough     20   13  -15      40.28     7.33   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.89R   33.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.21     7.54    26.85    14.60    29.74    78.03    41.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.49     7.75    21.71    18.13    34.71    80.82    46.33P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.79     7.51    29.00    23.61    43.08    86.45    56.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.57     7.54    25.37    25.96    46.05    87.80    59.54P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.10     7.62    14.23     4.44    11.04    51.89    20.58P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.03     7.67    20.15     5.76    13.92    58.26    24.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.64     7.63     4.54     2.66     7.32    42.82    14.69P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.75     7.70    19.60     3.42     9.05    46.95    19.06P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.73     7.66   -10.29     0.07     0.28     4.97     0.92P    6.49R    0.13  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      66.87     7.75     5.39     0.56     1.87    18.84     5.38P    1.10R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.78     7.75    10.16     0.44     1.54    16.18     4.73P    1.43R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.38     7.61    -6.44     0.06     0.24     4.40     0.88P    6.78R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.57     7.53    -5.44     0.06     0.23     4.56     0.92P    6.32R    0.14  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.22     7.63   -13.11     0.01     0.07     1.57     0.29P   17.60R    0.69  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.08     7.83     6.10     0.19     0.68     9.54     3.06P    3.34R    0.07  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.57     7.33    -9.43     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.12P   21.24R    1.00  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.03     7.52   -11.97     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.27P   17.36R    0.77  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.70     7.59   -18.59     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.16P   23.63R    1.27  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.49     7.48   -14.02     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.11P   27.12R    1.63  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.56     7.84    -0.06     0.02     0.11     3.26     1.02P   10.02R    0.46  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.65     7.48   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   52.15R    5.90  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.25     7.64   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   47.42R    4.98  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.23     7.47   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.80R    8.57  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.83     7.09   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.91R   74.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Rochdale vs York; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.09     7.63    36.19    48.35    85.44    98.15    89.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.57     7.65    38.29    33.89    78.22    96.38    83.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.48     7.60     3.17     1.83    14.38    52.18    22.39P    0.02R    0.01  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.18     7.74     9.24     3.11    20.67    61.54    29.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.67     7.60    25.54     6.80    38.83    79.51    52.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.65     7.63     8.04     0.62     6.96    34.74    12.89P    0.08R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.56     7.76     7.78     0.53     5.70    30.37    11.07P    0.12R    0.02  
Torquay              20   31   +4      70.80     7.63    10.23     1.43    13.15    50.54    23.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   30   +1      70.06     8.00     7.61     1.33    12.31    46.68    21.61P    0.05R    0.01  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.73     7.94     4.42     0.95     9.18    39.75    16.95P    0.11R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.78     7.64     3.03     0.16     2.59    18.78     5.82P    0.38R    0.05  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.95     7.59    -6.08     0.06     0.97    10.15     2.44P    1.20R    0.27  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.67     7.91     8.99     0.75     7.66    35.87    15.66P    0.14R    0.04  
York                 20   27   -2      57.47     7.55    -9.86     0.02     0.31     4.37     1.01P    3.41R    0.90  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.09     7.59    -9.32     0.03     0.63     6.63     1.75P    2.18R    0.54  
Dag_&_Red            20   25   +3      60.58     7.68     2.67     0.06     1.04    10.56     2.98P    1.41R    0.32  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.07     7.70    -3.04     0.04     0.84     9.01     2.61P    1.54R    0.37  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.80     7.62    -7.40     0.03     0.50     6.47     1.82P    2.30R    0.53  
Wycombe              20   22   -7      58.76     7.92    -5.61     0.02     0.61     7.21     2.36P    2.69R    0.76  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.67     7.48   -11.59     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.14P   15.32R    5.54  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.62     7.25   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.56R   24.26  
Bristol_Rovers       20   18  -16      48.29     7.50   -25.12     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   26.39R   10.78  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.15     7.24   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   30.97R   12.94  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.13     7.19   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    65.10R   42.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 December 2012, Ebbsfleet_United vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     20   39  +16      77.71     7.78    20.56     7.89    59.49    16.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            21   37  +18      80.94     7.35    32.98    15.32    77.46    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       20   37  +14      79.34     7.71    24.12    11.09    68.17    23.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            20   36  +15      85.73     7.31    36.91    37.00    91.31    56.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           20   33   +9      69.88     8.10    10.79     1.28    22.97     4.89P    0.25R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.16     7.70    25.90    23.26    82.79    41.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.23     7.97     7.02     1.58    26.95     6.83P    0.18R    0.02  
Gateshead          21   27   +0      61.84     7.45     0.80     0.04     3.35     0.66P    2.28R    0.24  
Tamworth           21   27   -2      57.00     7.23    -8.73     0.00     0.68     0.09P    8.40R    1.32  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.43     8.20     5.33     1.05    20.98     5.35P    0.41R    0.05  
Kidderminster      20   26   +6      67.03     7.61    14.30     0.38    13.59     3.40P    0.48R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.50     8.00     1.48     0.15     6.50     1.31P    1.83R    0.25  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.92     8.18     6.13     0.87    19.13     5.12P    0.43R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.87     7.55   -18.65     0.00     0.43     0.04P   15.67R    3.21  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.51     7.59    -5.69     0.01     0.63     0.09P   12.40R    2.28  
Stockport          20   24   -3      56.85     7.68    -8.12     0.01     1.02     0.17P    9.74R    1.80  
Southport          20   24   -8      56.47     7.69   -14.01     0.02     0.87     0.13P   11.15R    2.14  
Hyde_United        20   23   +1      55.69     8.04    -4.44     0.01     0.94     0.16P   13.44R    2.91  
Woking             21   23  -14      47.61     7.41   -32.34     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.59R   18.91  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   22   -8      51.95     7.56   -18.69     0.00     0.16     0.01P   26.14R    6.74  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.74     7.88    -1.41     0.04     2.37     0.48P    5.38R    0.88  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.52     7.73   -22.79     0.00     0.13     0.02P   29.16R    8.52  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.45     7.50   -26.94     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.57R   18.87  
Nuneaton           20   17  -11      44.53     7.62   -24.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.49R   31.74