Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 December 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Chelsea vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       14   33  +15      83.81     6.59    46.11    56.05    89.25    97.45    99.41    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      14   32  +17      81.59     6.67    44.32    39.09    83.07    95.26    98.73    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       14   26  +11      71.05     6.96    30.16     3.53    17.96    57.61    80.39    95.66     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     14   26   +6      57.91     7.08     2.96     0.06     0.58     4.06    12.58    41.82     0.08R    0.00  
Tottenham     14   23   +2      61.24     7.31    10.23     0.19     1.55     9.26    24.92    62.09     0.03R    0.00  
Everton       14   22   +6      57.99     7.04    10.30     0.06     0.63     4.34    13.36    44.47     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal       14   21  +10      66.48     7.06    30.33     1.01     6.72    29.44    58.61    86.76     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       14   20   +4      48.16     6.92    -3.95     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.96     6.73     2.83R    0.16  
Stoke         14   19   +1      48.54     6.87    -3.76     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.94     7.22     2.58R    0.18  
West_Ham      14   19   +0      47.36     7.17    -7.74     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.90     5.99     4.55R    0.37  
Fulham        14   17   +2      51.65     7.17     4.31     0.01     0.07     0.62     3.00    16.16     1.12R    0.07  
Liverpool     14   16   +0      54.50     7.08     8.07     0.00     0.11     1.37     5.55    26.80     0.40R    0.01  
Norwich       14   16   -9      42.42     6.87   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.06    15.63R    1.72  
Newcastle     14   14   -7      44.48     7.05   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     2.37     9.51R    1.04  
Wigan         14   14  -10      38.25     6.66   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    34.43R    6.64  
Sunderland    13   13   -4      43.74     7.21    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     2.13    11.50R    1.39  
Aston_Villa   14   13  -11      40.01     6.75   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.45    24.37R    3.95  
Southampton   14   12  -10      35.94     6.97   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    48.30R   12.27  
Reading       13    9   -7      33.66     7.05   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    59.70R   19.51  
QPR           14    5  -16      28.19     6.65   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.93R   52.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   38  +12      83.62     7.86    25.55    42.13    61.11    89.84    68.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   37  +12      75.38     7.87    14.00     9.09    20.76    59.48    28.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   35   +8      75.58     8.06    13.34     9.73    21.84    60.10    30.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        19   33  +14      77.46     7.89    25.23    15.73    31.45    71.41    43.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         19   32   +7      72.68     7.87    12.50     5.10    12.82    46.54    20.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             19   32   +3      70.53     7.81     5.43     2.84     7.76    34.57    13.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Brighton         19   31  +11      70.03     7.79    14.08     2.77     7.49    34.65    14.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Watford          19   30   +6      69.06     8.02     8.82     2.23     6.33    30.21    11.63P    0.20R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    19   29   +3      66.27     7.81     3.44     0.95     2.85    18.63     6.36P    0.38R    0.02  
Blackburn        19   28   +3      70.59     8.14    11.55     3.68     9.31    37.45    17.76P    0.13R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   28   -3      61.87     7.93    -7.89     0.24     0.90     7.65     2.28P    1.95R    0.13  
Derby            19   27   +2      62.01     7.74    -1.24     0.21     0.81     7.90     2.20P    1.60R    0.12  
Charlton         19   27   +2      63.56     7.96     1.31     0.42     1.47    11.57     3.77P    1.16R    0.09  
Burnley          19   27   -1      64.11     7.99    -1.42     0.55     1.79    12.63     4.24P    1.02R    0.04  
Leeds_United     19   26   -4      62.38     7.98    -5.41     0.30     1.07     8.69     2.73P    1.73R    0.12  
Blackpool        19   25   +3      67.31     8.05    11.18     1.48     4.47    24.37    10.33P    0.37R    0.02  
Bolton           19   25   -1      68.86     8.22     9.57     2.21     6.33    30.06    13.51P    0.28R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    19   22   -2      60.40     8.10     0.02     0.14     0.65     6.26     2.30P    2.98R    0.28  
Birmingham       19   21   -7      61.80     7.96    -1.34     0.20     0.78     7.88     2.89P    1.93R    0.15  
Barnsley         19   17  -10      44.82     7.41   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.28R   16.08  
Ipswich          19   17  -23      43.68     7.40   -41.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    62.28R   21.94  
Bristol_City     19   15   -9      46.25     7.69   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   44.41R   12.66  
Sheff_Wed        19   15  -14      43.54     7.71   -28.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.30R   22.13  
Peterborough     19   13  -12      42.28     7.60   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.79R   26.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.32     7.50    26.99    14.80    30.10    78.72    41.59P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.29     7.80    21.39    17.76    34.17    79.89    45.52P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.75     7.46    28.97    23.46    42.91    86.56    56.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.59     7.55    25.44    26.34    46.45    88.03    59.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.98     7.57    14.01     4.28    10.75    51.25    19.97P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.13     7.70    20.31     5.99    14.50    59.00    25.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.43     7.61     4.25     2.66     7.02    41.80    14.17P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.63     7.70    19.44     3.28     8.93    46.26    18.72P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.76     7.66   -10.17     0.09     0.32     5.13     1.05P    6.32R    0.12  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      66.93     7.76     5.44     0.60     1.92    19.35     5.52P    1.16R    0.02  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.79     7.73    10.17     0.42     1.49    16.46     4.72P    1.42R    0.02  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.51     7.60    -6.25     0.06     0.25     4.85     1.00P    6.50R    0.13  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.45     7.51    -5.54     0.03     0.18     4.30     0.83P    6.43R    0.16  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.35     7.57   -12.82     0.01     0.04     1.47     0.23P   16.93R    0.69  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.21     7.81     6.32     0.20     0.70     9.72     3.13P    3.27R    0.06  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.61     7.40    -9.38     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.16P   21.47R    0.98  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.01     7.60   -12.05     0.00     0.03     1.32     0.28P   17.91R    0.70  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.89     7.63   -18.33     0.01     0.04     0.97     0.22P   22.79R    1.29  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.50     7.47   -14.03     0.01     0.01     0.55     0.11P   27.03R    1.52  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.51     7.93    -0.18     0.02     0.16     3.30     1.03P   10.65R    0.48  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.68     7.49   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   52.03R    5.74  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.07     7.64   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   48.24R    5.24  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.25     7.45   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   60.61R    8.38  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.81     7.09   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.95R   74.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.22     7.61    36.39    48.34    85.36    98.28    89.25P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.63     7.63    38.38    33.32    77.68    96.38    83.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.49     7.63     3.17     1.76    14.03    51.59    21.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.15     7.79     9.25     3.00    20.00    61.07    29.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.62     7.61    25.52     6.64    37.50    78.97    51.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.65     7.57     8.05     0.55     6.56    34.28    12.28P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.43     7.78     7.59     0.46     5.33    29.15    10.47P    0.18R    0.04  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.76     8.18    10.59     2.97    20.27    59.24    30.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.66     7.88     4.38     0.85     8.43    38.90    16.12P    0.09R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.80     7.65     3.11     0.18     2.44    19.07     5.66P    0.46R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.96     7.58    -6.10     0.05     1.01    10.02     2.50P    1.06R    0.23  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.76     7.87     9.07     0.69     7.51    35.80    15.56P    0.14R    0.03  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.36     7.81     9.46     1.00     9.83    43.12    18.68P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.14     7.58    -9.25     0.02     0.57     6.48     1.76P    2.11R    0.50  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.75     7.86     3.39     0.11     1.64    13.65     4.20P    0.98R    0.23  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.00     7.68    -3.19     0.02     0.78     8.68     2.46P    1.50R    0.34  
York                 19   24   -3      54.41     7.71   -12.94     0.00     0.14     2.29     0.52P    7.67R    2.32  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.89     7.60    -7.35     0.02     0.47     6.35     1.73P    2.11R    0.50  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      57.24     8.18    -7.51     0.04     0.42     5.39     1.75P    4.44R    1.31  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.73     7.50   -11.52     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.11P   15.20R    5.61  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.73     7.77   -23.07     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.12P   21.14R    8.64  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.32     7.22   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   47.99R   25.35  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.18     7.25   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   30.62R   13.07  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.25     7.17   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.15R   41.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.86     7.58    33.86    15.92    80.23    33.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.14     7.47    40.44    47.21    94.74    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.79     8.00    18.02     4.53    49.82    12.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.76     7.90    24.76     8.62    65.76    21.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.95     8.35    12.90     1.94    31.74     6.90P    0.12R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.95     7.71    25.37    18.61    82.14    38.58P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.13     8.00     6.83     1.33    26.93     6.58P    0.13R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.41     7.70     3.10     0.07     5.92     1.16P    1.61R    0.17  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.55     8.17     5.44     0.77    21.30     5.24P    0.34R    0.03  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.32     7.94     1.17     0.12     6.30     1.21P    1.83R    0.24  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.96     8.10     6.20     0.68    19.40     4.91P    0.40R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.81     7.61   -18.66     0.00     0.48     0.06P   15.34R    3.45  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.90     7.59    -5.05     0.00     0.77     0.10P   10.75R    2.02  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.03     7.93    -5.71     0.03     2.09     0.33P    6.18R    0.99  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.94     7.44   -10.23     0.00     0.42     0.07P   13.47R    2.80  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.41     7.76    10.69     0.16     7.97     2.01P    1.15R    0.14  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.28     7.94   -20.72     0.00     0.25     0.04P   29.94R    9.16  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.91     7.94    -1.21     0.02     2.55     0.48P    4.97R    0.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.48     7.72   -20.11     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.05R    8.00  
Southport          19   21   -9      54.00     7.89   -16.37     0.00     0.50     0.05P   18.47R    4.70  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.15     8.22   -16.05     0.00     0.29     0.06P   30.17R    9.76  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.40     7.77   -22.92     0.00     0.19     0.02P   29.20R    9.16  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.49     7.54   -26.80     0.00     0.04     0.00P   48.46R   18.78  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.16     7.84   -24.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P   59.39R   29.61