Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 30 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Chelsea vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       14   33  +15      83.77     6.58    45.99    55.73    89.18    97.31    99.34    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      14   32  +17      81.71     6.64    44.53    39.49    83.26    95.35    98.75    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       14   26  +11      71.00     6.95    30.06     3.49    17.49    57.05    79.85    95.56     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     14   26   +6      57.83     7.10     2.89     0.07     0.54     3.84    12.20    41.96     0.07R    0.00  
Tottenham     14   23   +2      61.43     7.33    10.49     0.19     1.67     9.64    25.87    62.95     0.02R    0.00  
Everton       14   22   +6      58.06     7.04    10.35     0.05     0.61     4.39    13.22    44.93     0.08R    0.00  
Arsenal       14   21  +10      66.63     7.09    30.53     0.98     7.02    29.87    59.26    87.03     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       14   20   +4      48.21     6.90    -3.88     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.99     6.75     2.78R    0.15  
Stoke         14   19   +1      48.46     6.83    -3.84     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.85     6.92     2.69R    0.13  
West_Ham      14   19   +0      47.34     7.15    -7.73     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.80     5.82     4.52R    0.35  
Fulham        14   17   +2      51.43     7.17     3.97     0.00     0.06     0.59     2.82    15.29     1.10R    0.08  
Liverpool     14   16   +0      54.51     7.04     8.11     0.01     0.12     1.35     5.38    26.51     0.44R    0.03  
Norwich       14   16   -9      42.53     6.81   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     1.11    15.01R    1.69  
Newcastle     14   14   -7      44.53     7.04   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.24     2.38     9.20R    1.08  
Wigan         14   14  -10      38.25     6.73   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    34.79R    6.68  
Sunderland    13   13   -4      43.66     7.14    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.23     2.15    11.40R    1.40  
Aston_Villa   14   13  -11      39.99     6.75   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41    24.60R    3.95  
Southampton   14   12  -10      35.84     6.90   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    48.61R   12.43  
Reading       13    9   -7      33.71     7.01   -24.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    59.22R   18.82  
QPR           14    5  -16      28.08     6.62   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R   53.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   38  +12      83.59     7.93    25.50    41.93    60.95    89.79    68.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   37  +12      75.58     7.83    14.23     9.18    21.65    60.47    29.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   35   +8      75.46     7.96    13.14     9.27    21.19    59.74    30.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        19   33  +14      77.72     7.87    25.62    16.50    32.85    72.24    44.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         19   32   +7      72.54     7.85    12.27     5.10    12.53    45.97    20.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             19   32   +3      70.50     7.76     5.36     2.58     7.25    34.68    13.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         19   31  +11      70.13     7.78    14.24     2.76     7.59    34.87    14.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Watford          19   30   +6      69.12     7.95     8.96     2.25     6.28    30.15    11.71P    0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    19   29   +3      66.14     7.77     3.29     0.82     2.54    17.98     5.89P    0.37R    0.01  
Blackburn        19   28   +3      70.54     8.14    11.46     3.76     9.12    37.36    17.77P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   28   -3      61.93     7.92    -7.84     0.27     0.88     7.74     2.14P    1.86R    0.11  
Derby            19   27   +2      61.88     7.77    -1.42     0.20     0.83     7.57     2.12P    1.66R    0.10  
Charlton         19   27   +2      63.55     8.05     1.28     0.47     1.54    11.80     3.89P    1.24R    0.09  
Burnley          19   27   -1      64.23     7.95    -1.23     0.48     1.69    12.79     4.21P    0.95R    0.07  
Leeds_United     19   26   -4      62.17     7.99    -5.69     0.29     0.94     8.28     2.46P    1.93R    0.18  
Blackpool        19   25   +3      67.34     8.02    11.28     1.49     4.37    24.14    10.06P    0.40R    0.02  
Bolton           19   25   -1      68.80     8.23     9.52     2.21     6.28    29.96    13.33P    0.33R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    19   22   -2      60.55     8.16     0.26     0.20     0.69     6.55     2.29P    3.03R    0.29  
Birmingham       19   21   -7      61.71     8.00    -1.50     0.24     0.84     7.76     2.89P    2.07R    0.16  
Barnsley         19   17  -10      44.91     7.38   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    52.89R   15.45  
Ipswich          19   17  -23      43.77     7.47   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.39R   21.37  
Bristol_City     19   15   -9      46.32     7.73   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   44.01R   12.41  
Sheff_Wed        19   15  -14      43.29     7.75   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   61.16R   23.26  
Peterborough     19   13  -12      42.24     7.63   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   66.23R   26.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.33     7.58    26.99    15.10    30.48    78.44    41.80P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.31     7.79    21.46    17.48    33.88    80.16    45.45P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.97     7.51    29.27    24.37    43.78    87.17    57.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.50     7.53    25.29    25.58    45.25    87.74    58.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.96     7.57    14.03     4.09    10.73    51.35    19.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.14     7.72    20.30     5.98    14.53    58.78    24.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.59     7.64     4.47     2.64     7.37    42.63    14.56P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.56     7.77    19.30     3.40     8.95    45.99    18.98P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.75     7.58   -10.21     0.08     0.28     4.91     0.92P    6.26R    0.11  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      66.98     7.75     5.50     0.57     1.92    19.44     5.63P    1.10R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.67     7.71     9.97     0.41     1.39    16.04     4.50P    1.44R    0.02  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.39     7.67    -6.44     0.04     0.22     4.57     0.87P    6.81R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.55     7.49    -5.43     0.05     0.21     4.41     0.88P    6.09R    0.14  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.24     7.62   -13.01     0.01     0.06     1.52     0.27P   17.39R    0.72  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.31     7.82     6.46     0.17     0.72    10.06     3.20P    3.14R    0.05  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.62     7.37    -9.33     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.12P   21.21R    0.96  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.08     7.57   -11.89     0.00     0.04     1.31     0.27P   17.37R    0.80  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.77     7.60   -18.53     0.00     0.03     0.82     0.18P   23.33R    1.24  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.45     7.52   -14.11     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.09P   27.53R    1.60  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.43     7.87    -0.26     0.02     0.14     3.09     0.93P   10.25R    0.57  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.77     7.52   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   51.57R    5.79  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.06     7.65   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   48.25R    5.19  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.15     7.46   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   61.07R    8.54  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.90     7.03   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.87R   74.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.25     7.58    36.45    48.52    85.89    98.22    89.64P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.49     7.70    38.19    33.17    76.84    96.10    82.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.46     7.67     3.15     1.81    14.03    51.73    21.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.24     7.74     9.35     3.01    20.38    61.77    29.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.52     7.58    25.33     6.35    36.99    78.71    50.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.71     7.62     8.18     0.63     6.70    34.63    12.50P    0.04R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.27     7.81     7.38     0.45     5.24    28.58    10.34P    0.14R    0.03  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.87     8.17    10.74     3.06    20.52    59.73    31.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.63     7.90     4.33     0.89     8.58    38.58    16.24P    0.07R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.91     7.64     3.24     0.16     2.55    19.14     5.82P    0.42R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      61.07     7.61    -5.93     0.05     1.08    10.19     2.64P    1.10R    0.24  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.64     7.88     8.91     0.69     7.24    35.19    15.35P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.44     7.84     9.62     1.01    10.08    43.71    18.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.24     7.57    -9.08     0.02     0.53     6.77     1.80P    1.94R    0.49  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.71     7.90     3.23     0.09     1.53    13.47     3.99P    1.07R    0.28  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.07     7.70    -3.07     0.02     0.78     8.70     2.58P    1.61R    0.39  
York                 19   24   -3      54.60     7.65   -12.65     0.00     0.14     2.21     0.50P    7.17R    2.22  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.86     7.60    -7.34     0.03     0.48     6.28     1.78P    2.19R    0.54  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      56.96     8.17    -7.88     0.01     0.39     5.09     1.60P    4.80R    1.51  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.68     7.47   -11.57     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.16P   15.23R    5.54  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.69     7.74   -23.14     0.00     0.03     0.44     0.10P   21.35R    8.45  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.49     7.22   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   47.05R   24.75  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.06     7.27   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   31.16R   13.17  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.19     7.17   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.44R   42.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.94     7.57    34.04    16.08    80.49    34.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.12     7.46    40.41    47.46    94.79    64.94P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.80     7.98    18.10     4.70    50.18    12.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.63     7.94    24.52     8.17    64.86    20.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.88     8.40    12.80     1.97    31.63     7.03P    0.16R    0.02  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.79     7.77    25.14    18.28    81.52    37.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.08     8.00     6.79     1.33    26.52     6.52P    0.18R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.33     7.69     3.01     0.07     5.83     1.09P    1.66R    0.22  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.69     8.20     5.66     0.90    21.77     5.43P    0.34R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.30     7.92     1.12     0.10     6.09     1.09P    1.89R    0.26  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.16     8.19     6.44     0.78    20.24     5.31P    0.44R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.66     7.55   -18.98     0.00     0.43     0.05P   15.90R    3.51  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.79     7.60    -5.24     0.00     0.76     0.08P   11.34R    2.16  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.18     7.93    -5.48     0.01     2.28     0.40P    5.90R    1.02  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.97     7.41   -10.28     0.00     0.36     0.04P   13.42R    2.90  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.43     7.79    10.77     0.13     8.19     1.99P    1.20R    0.17  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.44     7.95   -20.42     0.00     0.24     0.03P   29.16R    8.89  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.99     7.94    -1.04     0.02     2.73     0.56P    4.85R    0.85  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.59     7.77   -19.96     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.79R    7.96  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.92     7.82   -16.50     0.00     0.42     0.05P   18.63R    4.58  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      50.97     8.15   -16.35     0.00     0.25     0.05P   30.82R   10.12  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.53     7.82   -22.77     0.00     0.19     0.03P   28.81R    8.81  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.38     7.47   -27.01     0.00     0.03     0.00    48.75R   19.21  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.24     7.82   -24.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.76R   29.23