Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Chelsea vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       14   33  +15      83.76     6.57    46.00    55.10    89.30    97.43    99.36    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      14   32  +17      81.85     6.66    44.77    40.29    83.94    95.60    98.81    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       14   26  +11      70.94     6.93    29.95     3.35    17.12    57.03    79.83    95.52     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     14   26   +6      57.88     7.09     2.89     0.04     0.53     3.91    12.49    42.01     0.09R    0.00  
Tottenham     14   23   +2      61.28     7.26    10.28     0.15     1.47     9.35    25.44    62.07     0.02R    0.00  
Everton       14   22   +6      57.84     7.08    10.08     0.05     0.56     4.18    13.08    44.13     0.08R    0.00  
Arsenal       14   21  +10      66.49     7.04    30.34     1.02     6.80    29.58    58.67    86.98     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       14   20   +4      48.15     6.88    -3.94     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.95     6.72     2.83R    0.14  
Stoke         14   19   +1      48.49     6.86    -3.79     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.90     7.13     2.48R    0.12  
West_Ham      14   19   +0      47.34     7.13    -7.77     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.79     5.82     4.43R    0.35  
Fulham        14   17   +2      51.42     7.19     4.00     0.01     0.05     0.63     2.90    15.63     1.10R    0.06  
Liverpool     14   16   +0      54.69     7.12     8.37     0.01     0.17     1.67     6.12    27.57     0.40R    0.02  
Norwich       14   16   -9      42.36     6.83   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.01    15.81R    1.96  
Newcastle     14   14   -7      44.60     7.00   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26     2.42     9.22R    1.14  
Wigan         14   14  -10      38.29     6.71   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    34.35R    6.63  
Sunderland    13   13   -4      43.75     7.15    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.18    11.42R    1.28  
Aston_Villa   14   13  -11      40.06     6.77   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53    24.22R    3.95  
Southampton   14   12  -10      35.76     6.95   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    49.23R   12.99  
Reading       13    9   -7      33.78     7.10   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    59.04R   19.19  
QPR           14    5  -16      28.26     6.60   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.27R   52.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   38  +12      83.68     7.94    25.63    42.30    61.25    89.79    69.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   37  +12      75.56     7.86    14.27     9.36    21.51    60.68    29.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   35   +8      75.38     7.97    13.03     9.19    21.07    59.50    29.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        19   33  +14      77.77     7.85    25.66    16.61    32.88    72.68    44.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         19   32   +7      72.71     7.86    12.53     5.14    13.08    46.93    21.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             19   32   +3      70.43     7.75     5.32     2.60     7.06    34.34    13.38P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         19   31  +11      69.93     7.76    13.95     2.56     7.16    34.16    13.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Watford          19   30   +6      69.16     7.92     9.02     2.22     6.18    30.28    11.55P    0.16R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    19   29   +3      66.10     7.84     3.19     0.82     2.68    18.07     6.00P    0.42R    0.01  
Blackburn        19   28   +3      70.65     8.12    11.62     3.61     9.59    37.90    18.10P    0.11R    0.01  
Huddersfield     19   28   -3      61.68     7.96    -8.22     0.20     0.84     7.57     2.14P    1.98R    0.11  
Derby            19   27   +2      61.77     7.77    -1.58     0.23     0.80     7.53     2.17P    1.75R    0.15  
Charlton         19   27   +2      63.48     7.97     1.24     0.51     1.54    11.62     3.88P    1.20R    0.08  
Burnley          19   27   -1      64.18     7.98    -1.27     0.49     1.76    12.82     4.39P    0.93R    0.04  
Leeds_United     19   26   -4      62.27     7.91    -5.53     0.25     0.93     8.26     2.36P    1.84R    0.14  
Blackpool        19   25   +3      67.29     8.04    11.20     1.35     4.23    24.19    10.06P    0.39R    0.02  
Bolton           19   25   -1      68.66     8.20     9.26     2.15     5.97    29.26    12.90P    0.32R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    19   22   -2      60.58     8.12     0.28     0.16     0.64     6.67     2.33P    3.02R    0.31  
Birmingham       19   21   -7      61.65     7.99    -1.57     0.24     0.80     7.58     2.83P    2.10R    0.17  
Barnsley         19   17  -10      45.09     7.40   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   52.32R   15.29  
Ipswich          19   17  -23      43.82     7.50   -40.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.45R   21.87  
Bristol_City     19   15   -9      46.30     7.74   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.55R   13.03  
Sheff_Wed        19   15  -14      43.38     7.68   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.58R   23.00  
Peterborough     19   13  -12      42.43     7.65   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    65.65R   25.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.36     7.56    27.05    14.78    30.33    78.54    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.32     7.82    21.47    17.81    34.05    80.15    45.54P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.86     7.54    29.11    23.85    43.38    86.41    57.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.50     7.56    25.29    25.90    45.54    87.63    59.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.98     7.60    14.07     4.18    10.68    51.73    20.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.14     7.67    20.32     5.78    14.35    58.88    25.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.58     7.66     4.49     2.77     7.49    42.37    14.71P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.72     7.75    19.55     3.55     9.26    46.62    19.18P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.83     7.63   -10.06     0.06     0.27     5.01     0.94P    6.28R    0.09  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.00     7.72     5.53     0.58     1.95    19.30     5.44P    1.06R    0.02  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.60     7.72     9.90     0.38     1.31    15.78     4.36P    1.43R    0.03  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.43     7.61    -6.42     0.05     0.21     4.59     0.97P    6.65R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.47     7.45    -5.52     0.06     0.23     4.32     0.80P    6.01R    0.12  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.30     7.62   -12.97     0.01     0.05     1.55     0.26P   17.11R    0.70  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.17     7.81     6.25     0.19     0.67     9.92     3.08P    3.21R    0.07  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.67     7.35    -9.27     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.17P   20.87R    0.88  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.19     7.62   -11.82     0.01     0.06     1.35     0.25P   17.08R    0.75  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.91     7.63   -18.36     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.17P   22.78R    1.26  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.46     7.45   -14.07     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.07P   26.98R    1.58  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.55     7.89    -0.10     0.04     0.14     3.27     1.09P   10.20R    0.46  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.58     7.53   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   52.96R    5.97  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      48.91     7.57   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   48.88R    5.36  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.12     7.43   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   61.34R    8.64  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.85     7.08   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   73.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.11     7.55    36.17    48.07    85.43    98.11    89.24P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.55     7.59    38.26    33.29    77.57    96.44    83.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.57     7.66     3.29     1.81    14.25    52.05    22.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.23     7.72     9.38     3.03    20.03    61.30    29.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.64     7.61    25.54     6.77    37.32    79.06    51.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.74     7.61     8.20     0.57     6.60    34.66    12.49P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.40     7.83     7.57     0.46     5.42    29.21    10.76P    0.14R    0.02  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.79     8.12    10.62     2.91    19.95    59.44    30.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.73     7.92     4.44     0.96     8.88    38.94    16.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.81     7.62     3.11     0.19     2.46    18.82     5.66P    0.42R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.85     7.58    -6.26     0.06     0.99     9.82     2.48P    1.08R    0.24  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.62     7.87     8.92     0.70     7.13    35.02    15.00P    0.11R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.36     7.86     9.56     1.00     9.97    43.23    18.71P    0.05R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.21     7.61    -9.08     0.01     0.57     6.67     1.77P    2.00R    0.49  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.90     7.86     3.56     0.09     1.60    13.86     4.25P    1.01R    0.23  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      59.92     7.70    -3.33     0.04     0.74     8.51     2.35P    1.59R    0.36  
York                 19   24   -3      54.40     7.66   -12.94     0.00     0.11     2.17     0.48P    7.60R    2.33  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.89     7.60    -7.34     0.03     0.52     6.29     1.76P    2.13R    0.52  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      57.02     8.19    -7.82     0.02     0.39     5.13     1.56P    4.72R    1.48  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.69     7.48   -11.55     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.14P   15.50R    5.39  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.71     7.74   -23.12     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.11P   21.39R    8.71  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.44     7.21   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.60R   25.16  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.09     7.24   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   31.09R   13.23  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.35     7.19   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.40R   41.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      82.01     7.54    34.10    16.11    80.70    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.08     7.52    40.29    46.97    94.49    64.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.82     8.00    18.11     4.59    50.11    12.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.53     7.91    24.41     8.11    64.49    20.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.96     8.40    12.92     2.13    31.93     7.31P    0.12R    0.00  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.92     7.76    25.33    18.85    81.81    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.31     7.92     7.16     1.31    27.52     6.88P    0.12R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.51     7.70     3.27     0.09     6.07     1.19P    1.42R    0.15  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.45     8.26     5.28     0.83    21.15     5.28P    0.43R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.35     7.95     1.21     0.08     6.29     1.15P    1.90R    0.26  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.84     8.21     5.96     0.69    19.42     5.00P    0.49R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.59     7.54   -19.05     0.00     0.43     0.05P   16.19R    3.71  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      56.07     7.62    -4.79     0.00     0.80     0.13P   10.52R    2.03  
Stockport          19   24   -2      58.91     7.90    -5.89     0.01     2.06     0.27P    6.29R    1.14  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.85     7.44   -10.40     0.00     0.36     0.05P   14.00R    2.88  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.42     7.84    10.70     0.18     8.14     2.01P    1.30R    0.16  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.60     8.02   -20.19     0.00     0.28     0.05P   28.63R    8.83  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.96     7.97    -1.14     0.02     2.81     0.57P    5.10R    0.85  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.46     7.77   -20.13     0.00     0.21     0.01P   28.59R    8.34  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.85     7.83   -16.58     0.01     0.40     0.05P   18.84R    4.67  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      50.95     8.17   -16.39     0.00     0.28     0.04P   30.80R    9.99  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.61     7.75   -22.58     0.00     0.18     0.03P   28.48R    8.55  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.47     7.51   -26.90     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.28R   19.15  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.28     7.88   -24.71     0.00     0.04     0.00P   58.49R   29.20