Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Chelsea vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       14   33  +15      83.87     6.60    46.26    56.79    89.52    97.36    99.38    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      14   32  +17      81.56     6.69    44.24    38.60    82.98    95.20    98.70    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       14   26  +11      70.94     6.88    29.99     3.21    17.44    57.25    80.15    95.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     14   26   +6      57.96     7.01     3.05     0.07     0.54     3.90    12.36    42.59     0.08R    0.00  
Tottenham     14   23   +2      61.20     7.32    10.17     0.16     1.61     9.36    25.02    61.86     0.03R    0.00  
Everton       14   22   +6      57.97     7.05    10.26     0.06     0.65     4.33    13.22    44.83     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       14   21  +10      66.55     7.09    30.42     1.10     7.05    29.95    59.26    86.74     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       14   20   +4      48.20     6.90    -3.86     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.94     6.80     2.74R    0.16  
Stoke         14   19   +1      48.49     6.89    -3.81     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.99     7.21     2.50R    0.17  
West_Ham      14   19   +0      47.48     7.13    -7.55     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.88     5.97     4.24R    0.34  
Fulham        14   17   +2      51.46     7.19     4.06     0.00     0.04     0.64     2.91    15.63     1.15R    0.09  
Liverpool     14   16   +0      54.46     7.06     8.02     0.00     0.12     1.33     5.57    26.62     0.38R    0.02  
Norwich       14   16   -9      42.39     6.88   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.12    16.16R    1.95  
Newcastle     14   14   -7      44.47     7.00   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     2.31     9.33R    1.11  
Wigan         14   14  -10      38.33     6.71   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    34.14R    6.59  
Sunderland    13   13   -4      43.79     7.18    -9.60     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     1.99    11.30R    1.37  
Aston_Villa   14   13  -11      40.01     6.78   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.42    24.76R    4.04  
Southampton   14   12  -10      35.83     7.01   -27.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    48.99R   12.82  
Reading       13    9   -7      33.74     7.08   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    59.09R   19.22  
QPR           14    5  -16      28.21     6.62   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.03R   52.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 28 November 2012, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   38  +12      83.71     7.89    25.69    42.19    61.37    89.95    69.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   19   37  +12      75.41     7.86    14.07     9.27    21.00    59.68    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   35   +8      75.59     7.93    13.32     9.52    21.52    60.48    30.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        19   33  +14      77.65     7.89    25.46    16.03    32.20    72.22    43.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         19   32   +7      72.63     7.82    12.44     5.11    12.68    46.23    20.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             19   32   +3      70.78     7.81     5.75     2.92     7.92    35.88    14.14P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         19   31  +11      69.96     7.76    13.97     2.54     7.28    34.32    14.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Watford          19   30   +6      69.13     8.03     8.95     2.19     6.31    30.46    11.72P    0.16R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    19   29   +3      66.16     7.77     3.31     0.76     2.70    18.06     5.91P    0.37R    0.01  
Blackburn        19   28   +3      70.41     8.13    11.30     3.57     8.98    36.58    17.23P    0.14R    0.00  
Huddersfield     19   28   -3      61.80     7.98    -8.06     0.26     0.86     7.74     2.14P    1.91R    0.13  
Derby            19   27   +2      61.94     7.74    -1.34     0.26     0.87     7.62     2.27P    1.64R    0.07  
Charlton         19   27   +2      63.53     8.04     1.29     0.47     1.58    11.68     3.98P    1.17R    0.07  
Burnley          19   27   -1      64.31     7.98    -1.03     0.58     1.87    13.20     4.43P    0.94R    0.07  
Leeds_United     19   26   -4      62.17     7.95    -5.68     0.25     0.91     8.13     2.45P    1.90R    0.14  
Blackpool        19   25   +3      67.44     8.01    11.42     1.54     4.45    24.30    10.34P    0.37R    0.02  
Bolton           19   25   -1      68.72     8.17     9.34     2.14     6.05    29.09    13.02P    0.29R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    19   22   -2      60.42     8.14     0.09     0.20     0.64     6.31     2.09P    3.10R    0.29  
Birmingham       19   21   -7      61.83     7.99    -1.32     0.20     0.81     7.95     2.95P    1.98R    0.17  
Barnsley         19   17  -10      44.87     7.39   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   52.96R   15.72  
Ipswich          19   17  -23      43.75     7.48   -41.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.41R   21.72  
Bristol_City     19   15   -9      46.31     7.68   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.89R   12.22  
Sheff_Wed        19   15  -14      43.31     7.66   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    61.50R   22.82  
Peterborough     19   13  -12      42.20     7.68   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.09R   26.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Doncaster vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.21     7.57    26.85    14.68    29.68    78.12    41.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   39  +13      80.40     7.75    21.58    17.71    34.17    80.51    45.78P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.76     7.49    29.01    23.44    42.90    86.37    56.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.53     7.61    25.34    26.32    45.87    87.33    59.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.15     7.60    14.27     4.32    11.26    52.14    20.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.19     7.75    20.36     6.15    14.80    58.87    25.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.53     7.59     4.39     2.54     6.98    42.27    14.04P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.67     7.77    19.48     3.36     9.22    46.29    19.10P    0.14R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.80     7.67   -10.16     0.09     0.33     5.10     0.95P    6.36R    0.11  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.03     7.77     5.57     0.62     2.02    19.59     5.79P    1.07R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.81     7.69    10.19     0.41     1.41    16.35     4.68P    1.30R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.47     7.62    -6.30     0.04     0.20     4.62     0.88P    6.56R    0.18  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.45     7.50    -5.59     0.05     0.22     4.29     0.93P    6.22R    0.13  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.17     7.60   -13.14     0.01     0.06     1.44     0.27P   17.46R    0.71  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.20     7.82     6.32     0.19     0.66     9.83     3.08P    3.23R    0.07  
Oldham          20   23   -4      54.52     7.43    -9.52     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.12P   21.83R    1.04  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.06     7.62   -12.00     0.01     0.03     1.41     0.29P   17.49R    0.81  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.93     7.60   -18.29     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.17P   22.46R    1.22  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.43     7.46   -14.14     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.09P   27.03R    1.61  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.44     7.85    -0.23     0.03     0.13     2.98     0.95P   10.35R    0.52  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.69     7.46   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.73R    5.89  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      48.93     7.59   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   48.98R    5.21  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.15     7.42   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   60.85R    8.92  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.99     7.05   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.78R   73.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.06     7.54    36.15    47.87    85.42    98.18    89.20P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.55     7.61    38.29    33.38    77.45    96.29    82.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.35     7.63     2.97     1.74    13.71    51.03    21.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   34   +4      73.27     7.76     9.39     3.02    20.43    61.72    30.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.59     7.63    25.48     6.67    37.06    78.74    51.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.74     7.59     8.19     0.62     6.66    34.76    12.76P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.41     7.76     7.51     0.49     5.32    29.21    10.37P    0.14R    0.02  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.97     8.17    10.93     3.10    20.70    60.29    31.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.76     7.92     4.49     0.93     8.84    39.29    16.40P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.76     7.70     3.03     0.15     2.54    18.94     5.72P    0.44R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.98     7.62    -6.06     0.06     1.01    10.05     2.51P    1.21R    0.26  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.51     7.82     8.77     0.71     6.92    34.22    14.52P    0.13R    0.03  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.29     7.85     9.40     1.06     9.88    42.69    18.91P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -5      59.32     7.59    -8.91     0.03     0.62     6.86     1.83P    1.88R    0.44  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.87     7.92     3.53     0.10     1.57    14.12     4.23P    1.00R    0.27  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      59.94     7.66    -3.26     0.04     0.76     8.28     2.37P    1.53R    0.38  
York                 19   24   -3      54.51     7.74   -12.79     0.00     0.15     2.25     0.51P    7.54R    2.37  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.93     7.61    -7.30     0.02     0.47     6.44     1.87P    2.10R    0.53  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      57.04     8.24    -7.78     0.01     0.46     5.28     1.66P    4.81R    1.35  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.79     7.43   -11.41     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.15P   14.74R    5.38  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.65     7.77   -23.18     0.00     0.03     0.54     0.13P   21.57R    8.82  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.36     7.24   -32.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.09R   25.47  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.17     7.24   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   30.56R   12.87  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.25     7.15   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.02R   41.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.91     7.52    33.90    15.87    80.27    33.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.13     7.50    40.43    47.34    94.72    64.70P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.84     7.98    18.13     4.65    50.12    12.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.65     7.91    24.55     8.40    64.86    20.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.91     8.34    12.86     1.99    31.18     6.97P    0.14R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.88     7.72    25.31    18.43    81.81    38.22P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.50     7.97     7.45     1.31    28.13     6.82P    0.16R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.54     7.67     3.31     0.08     5.86     1.11P    1.53R    0.18  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.52     8.22     5.43     0.85    21.34     5.41P    0.40R    0.05  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.26     8.00     1.07     0.14     6.20     1.20P    2.03R    0.25  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.00     8.21     6.27     0.72    19.75     5.16P    0.46R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.63     7.61   -19.01     0.00     0.43     0.05P   15.98R    3.56  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.89     7.55    -5.04     0.01     0.69     0.12P   10.70R    2.08  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.00     7.87    -5.72     0.02     1.98     0.31P    5.99R    0.98  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.73     7.42   -10.60     0.00     0.39     0.06P   14.32R    2.99  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.42     7.84    10.73     0.15     8.24     2.01P    1.24R    0.15  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.40     8.01   -20.59     0.00     0.28     0.03P   29.52R    9.20  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.05     7.95    -0.95     0.03     2.69     0.53P    4.79R    0.83  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.49     7.74   -20.10     0.00     0.19     0.03P   27.99R    7.96  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.92     7.86   -16.48     0.00     0.41     0.07P   18.61R    4.71  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.17     8.14   -16.04     0.00     0.26     0.04P   29.75R    9.60  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.51     7.80   -22.83     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.43R    8.84  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.23     7.48   -27.26     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.32R   19.36  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.24     7.88   -24.79     0.00     0.03     0.00P   58.63R   29.17