Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2012, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       13   30  +14      83.71     6.71    48.33    57.59    87.02    96.71    99.17    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      13   29  +15      80.69     6.88    43.63    34.64    75.83    92.52    97.76    99.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     13   26   +8      59.88     7.36     6.01     0.19     1.26     5.86    17.44    51.67     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea       13   25  +11      72.68     7.15    32.56     6.03    25.41    63.14    83.42    96.46     0.00     0.00  
Everton       13   21   +6      58.41     7.31    10.29     0.07     0.91     4.64    13.90    45.13     0.09R    0.00  
Arsenal       13   20  +10      66.83     7.30    30.40     1.31     8.03    28.00    57.57    85.53     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham     13   20   +1      59.78     7.55     9.45     0.13     1.12     6.05    17.96    52.26     0.09R    0.00  
West_Ham      13   19   +1      47.17     7.27   -10.15     0.00     0.02     0.16     0.73     5.45     5.14R    0.38  
Swansea       13   17   +2      46.14     7.11    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.52     3.96     6.11R    0.50  
Fulham        13   16   +2      50.93     7.45     2.39     0.01     0.08     0.61     2.45    13.59     1.68R    0.12  
Liverpool     13   16   +1      56.01     7.31     9.31     0.01     0.29     1.95     7.66    32.78     0.32R    0.01  
Stoke         13   16   +0      46.74     7.06    -4.96     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.46     4.51     5.07R    0.36  
Norwich       13   15   -9      42.55     7.11   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.18    16.73R    2.10  
Newcastle     13   14   -6      46.01     7.24   -10.59     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.46     3.59     7.06R    0.74  
Wigan         13   14   -8      39.14     6.88   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.38    30.63R    5.51  
Sunderland    12   12   -4      44.96     7.47    -8.64     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.34     3.18     9.72R    1.19  
Southampton   13   11  -10      36.53     7.30   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    45.87R   11.32  
Aston_Villa   13   10  -12      38.62     6.99   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    32.66R    6.24  
Reading       12    9   -6      35.12     7.32   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    52.48R   14.99  
QPR           13    4  -16      27.67     6.81   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.29R   56.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   37  +12      84.23     8.15    25.91    42.24    61.96    90.39    70.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   36  +12      75.61     8.09    13.77     9.02    21.14    60.47    28.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        18   33  +15      79.67     8.13    27.51    21.74    40.98    79.43    52.19P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +5      73.19     8.20     9.11     5.38    13.63    48.51    21.63P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull             18   31   +3      71.07     8.01     5.63     3.19     8.49    37.81    15.06P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         18   29   +6      70.51     8.11    10.64     2.91     8.34    36.91    15.05P    0.15R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    18   29   +5      68.97     8.02     7.41     1.76     5.44    29.42    10.87P    0.20R    0.01  
Brighton         18   28   +9      68.35     7.97    12.02     1.64     5.04    27.92    10.59P    0.23R    0.01  
Blackburn        18   28   +4      72.71     8.41    13.70     5.71    13.99    47.69    24.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   28   +0      64.03     8.19    -3.72     0.57     1.86    13.01     4.10P    1.22R    0.07  
Watford          18   27   +3      66.34     8.21     4.14     1.00     3.28    20.28     6.94P    0.67R    0.03  
Derby            18   26   +2      61.85     8.02    -2.19     0.30     0.91     8.27     2.41P    2.22R    0.15  
Burnley          18   26   -1      64.93     8.22    -0.76     0.66     2.21    15.56     5.09P    1.11R    0.08  
Blackpool        18   24   +3      68.08     8.36    11.83     1.80     5.37    28.10    11.93P    0.44R    0.02  
Charlton         18   24   +0      61.73     8.24    -1.01     0.24     0.89     8.54     2.68P    2.75R    0.21  
Leeds_United     18   23   -5      60.28     8.16    -7.25     0.16     0.62     6.09     1.74P    3.91R    0.31  
Wolverhampton    18   22   -1      62.58     8.43     2.25     0.43     1.42    11.09     4.14P    2.30R    0.18  
Bolton           18   22   -2      66.31     8.47     7.01     1.03     3.61    21.51     9.03P    0.93R    0.06  
Birmingham       18   20   -7      61.86     8.20    -1.90     0.23     0.83     8.68     3.11P    2.54R    0.22  
Barnsley         18   16  -10      45.12     7.66   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   53.99R   15.60  
Bristol_City     18   15   -7      47.54     7.89   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   40.23R   10.45  
Sheff_Wed        18   15  -11      45.70     8.04   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   50.97R   15.39  
Ipswich          18   14  -25      41.04     7.63   -44.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.78R   36.29  
Peterborough     18   13  -10      43.79     7.95   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   60.15R   20.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.41     7.51    27.14    15.30    31.40    79.08    42.61P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.99     7.50    29.28    25.26    45.08    87.10    58.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       19   36  +12      79.17     7.97    21.15    15.51    29.88    76.11    41.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.36     7.56    25.08    25.92    45.73    87.65    59.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      74.05     7.61    14.15     4.52    11.34    52.45    20.57P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.03     7.71    20.15     5.98    14.57    58.78    25.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.37     7.66     4.17     2.58     7.40    42.09    14.55P    0.14R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.57     7.68    19.34     3.36     9.02    46.21    18.70P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.96     7.63    -9.91     0.10     0.34     5.32     1.10P    5.97R    0.13  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.00     7.81     5.48     0.67     2.12    20.05     5.84P    1.09R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.77     7.72    10.14     0.46     1.58    16.62     4.98P    1.43R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.48     7.59    -6.33     0.04     0.24     4.73     0.90P    6.69R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.51     7.53    -5.48     0.06     0.23     4.46     0.98P    6.45R    0.12  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.20     7.66   -13.12     0.01     0.06     1.61     0.28P   18.01R    0.67  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.10     7.87     6.15     0.18     0.75    10.09     3.23P    3.33R    0.06  
Oldham          19   23   -3      55.69     7.62    -8.81     0.02     0.05     1.29     0.24P   18.51R    0.79  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.09     7.59   -11.91     0.00     0.03     1.35     0.31P   17.69R    0.78  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.89     7.57   -18.34     0.01     0.03     0.88     0.18P   22.91R    1.25  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.50     7.48   -13.99     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.09P   27.24R    1.51  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.45     7.91    -0.24     0.03     0.14     3.29     1.07P   10.72R    0.44  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.80     7.46   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   51.81R    5.57  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      48.89     7.63   -12.65     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.03P   49.66R    5.26  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.21     7.40   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   61.15R    8.42  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.81     7.01   -36.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.99R   74.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.16     7.57    36.32    48.23    85.94    98.30    89.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.59     7.67    38.35    33.83    78.12    96.38    83.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.31     7.69     2.90     1.82    14.35    51.23    21.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.47     7.62    25.26     6.61    37.24    78.95    51.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.78     7.59     8.30     0.61     6.92    35.43    12.87P    0.06R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.47     7.84     7.66     0.56     5.72    30.11    10.92P    0.13R    0.02  
Rotherham            19   31   +3      71.34     7.93     7.90     2.03    15.35    52.69    23.93P    0.03R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.72     8.24    10.54     3.15    20.75    59.37    31.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.73     7.89     4.43     0.86     9.05    39.71    16.96P    0.10R    0.01  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.75     7.66     3.03     0.20     2.62    19.09     5.92P    0.41R    0.10  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.91     7.63    -6.13     0.07     1.07    10.30     2.65P    1.23R    0.26  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.61     7.81     8.89     0.68     7.29    35.52    15.26P    0.15R    0.03  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.51     7.81     9.71     1.09    10.89    44.32    19.88P    0.05R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4      60.87     7.82    -7.70     0.07     1.12    10.60     2.87P    1.48R    0.37  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.71     7.92     3.25     0.10     1.67    13.99     4.26P    1.09R    0.26  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.14     7.69    -3.00     0.05     0.81     8.98     2.63P    1.50R    0.33  
York                 19   24   -3      54.41     7.67   -12.94     0.00     0.13     2.18     0.50P    7.62R    2.30  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.83     7.56    -7.44     0.02     0.51     6.30     1.78P    2.27R    0.54  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      56.98     8.14    -7.87     0.01     0.39     5.17     1.54P    4.67R    1.46  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.76     7.50   -11.47     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.16P   15.21R    5.53  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.70     7.75   -23.13     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.12P   21.67R    8.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.64     7.26   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.61R   24.59  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.15     7.29   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   31.33R   13.35  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.29     7.25   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.36R   42.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.83     7.57    33.86    15.35    80.04    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.25     7.47    40.61    48.13    94.74    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.78     7.99    18.04     4.44    49.73    12.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.72     7.98    24.68     8.70    64.96    21.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      72.12     8.39    13.18     2.08    32.24     7.43P    0.11R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.79     7.72    25.09    17.89    81.27    37.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.32     8.01     7.15     1.40    27.50     6.79P    0.17R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.43     7.70     3.13     0.10     5.93     1.12P    1.55R    0.21  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.61     8.25     5.57     0.85    21.53     5.43P    0.39R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.42     7.92     1.29     0.12     6.37     1.24P    1.82R    0.23  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.05     8.13     6.27     0.67    19.82     4.88P    0.42R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.59     7.56   -19.07     0.00     0.40     0.04P   15.97R    3.62  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.76     7.70    -5.28     0.00     0.78     0.11P   11.53R    2.22  
Stockport          19   24   -2      58.97     7.89    -5.80     0.03     2.15     0.36P    5.95R    0.99  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      55.00     7.41   -10.28     0.00     0.41     0.08P   13.22R    2.84  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.35     7.80    10.64     0.16     8.08     1.99P    1.15R    0.13  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.54     7.99   -20.28     0.00     0.28     0.03P   28.83R    8.74  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.01     7.90    -1.05     0.04     2.66     0.58P    4.63R    0.80  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.40     7.78   -20.31     0.00     0.20     0.01P   28.39R    8.43  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.96     7.82   -16.41     0.01     0.47     0.08P   18.26R    4.50  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      50.92     8.17   -16.34     0.00     0.25     0.05P   30.90R   10.08  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.45     7.75   -22.83     0.00     0.16     0.02P   28.80R    8.67  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.30     7.48   -27.12     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.15R   19.36  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.27     7.81   -24.73     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.74R   29.08