Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2012, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       13   30  +14      83.79     6.69    48.53    57.69    87.10    96.62    99.21    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      13   29  +15      80.60     6.93    43.51    34.18    75.15    92.16    97.57    99.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     13   26   +8      59.89     7.38     5.94     0.17     1.32     6.05    17.45    51.55     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea       13   25  +11      72.80     7.15    32.69     6.28    25.86    63.51    83.64    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton       13   21   +6      58.44     7.34    10.35     0.08     0.85     4.57    14.06    45.15     0.09R    0.00  
Arsenal       13   20  +10      66.91     7.35    30.59     1.42     8.10    28.01    57.64    85.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     13   20   +1      59.77     7.52     9.45     0.14     1.19     5.96    17.58    52.24     0.08R    0.00  
West_Ham      13   19   +1      47.06     7.26   -10.35     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.68     5.15     5.42R    0.40  
Swansea       13   17   +2      46.00     7.11    -6.93     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.47     3.92     6.23R    0.46  
Fulham        13   16   +2      50.91     7.42     2.37     0.01     0.06     0.55     2.35    13.37     1.71R    0.15  
Liverpool     13   16   +1      56.00     7.35     9.28     0.03     0.33     2.07     7.81    32.90     0.31R    0.01  
Stoke         13   16   +0      46.68     7.07    -5.04     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.52     4.54     5.15R    0.39  
Norwich       13   15   -9      42.39     7.05   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.10    17.20R    2.17  
Newcastle     13   14   -6      46.02     7.30   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.46     3.78     7.30R    0.77  
Wigan         13   14   -8      39.16     6.91   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.34    30.61R    5.68  
Sunderland    12   12   -4      44.96     7.44    -8.63     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.37     3.24     9.63R    1.19  
Southampton   13   11  -10      36.88     7.33   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27    43.82R   10.68  
Aston_Villa   13   10  -12      38.47     7.00   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32    33.67R    6.67  
Reading       12    9   -6      35.11     7.29   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    52.46R   14.96  
QPR           13    4  -16      27.74     6.81   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.27R   56.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   37  +12      84.23     8.19    25.90    42.37    62.02    90.23    69.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   36  +12      75.69     8.08    13.90     8.95    21.08    60.83    29.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        18   33  +15      79.74     8.12    27.59    21.95    41.13    79.38    52.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +5      73.32     8.18     9.31     5.24    13.64    49.30    21.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             18   31   +3      71.15     8.02     5.72     3.14     8.59    38.05    15.30P    0.09R    0.00  
Millwall         18   29   +6      70.33     8.13    10.36     2.83     7.74    36.07    14.63P    0.14R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    18   29   +5      68.76     8.05     7.12     1.76     5.33    28.63    10.43P    0.23R    0.01  
Brighton         18   28   +9      68.32     8.04    11.97     1.69     5.11    27.75    10.55P    0.25R    0.01  
Blackburn        18   28   +4      72.76     8.44    13.80     5.68    13.99    48.13    24.64P    0.09R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   28   +0      63.89     8.27    -3.96     0.48     1.71    12.79     3.93P    1.46R    0.07  
Watford          18   27   +3      66.45     8.29     4.28     1.14     3.53    20.59     7.22P    0.70R    0.04  
Derby            18   26   +2      61.94     8.07    -2.05     0.29     0.96     8.54     2.60P    2.11R    0.15  
Burnley          18   26   -1      65.03     8.23    -0.50     0.66     2.19    15.79     5.24P    1.10R    0.08  
Blackpool        18   24   +3      68.14     8.28    11.88     1.68     5.30    27.92    11.92P    0.39R    0.02  
Charlton         18   24   +0      61.76     8.30    -0.96     0.27     1.04     8.69     2.75P    2.78R    0.21  
Leeds_United     18   23   -5      60.01     8.17    -7.71     0.15     0.55     5.57     1.64P    4.20R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    18   22   -1      62.66     8.43     2.32     0.38     1.46    11.24     4.16P    2.13R    0.18  
Bolton           18   22   -2      66.42     8.51     7.27     1.13     3.77    21.89     9.29P    0.86R    0.06  
Birmingham       18   20   -7      61.68     8.19    -2.13     0.21     0.85     8.24     2.94P    2.59R    0.22  
Barnsley         18   16  -10      45.02     7.64   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   54.67R   16.22  
Bristol_City     18   15   -7      47.65     7.96   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   39.66R   10.03  
Sheff_Wed        18   15  -11      45.85     8.07   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   50.20R   14.95  
Ipswich          18   14  -25      41.02     7.62   -44.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.73R   36.49  
Peterborough     18   13  -10      43.73     7.93   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    60.57R   20.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.19     7.59    26.84    15.20    30.92    78.17    42.02P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.89     7.45    29.17    24.74    44.14    87.25    58.04P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       19   36  +12      78.97     7.99    20.88    14.63    29.32    75.24    40.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.57     7.58    25.42    27.13    47.06    87.89    60.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.92     7.62    13.96     4.20    11.09    51.88    20.38P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.19     7.67    20.36     6.13    15.07    59.70    25.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.45     7.70     4.28     2.86     7.60    42.66    14.85P    0.16R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.62     7.69    19.36     3.46     9.16    47.02    19.05P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.86     7.70   -10.06     0.13     0.37     5.35     1.04P    6.63R    0.12  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.08     7.80     5.69     0.70     2.25    20.06     6.10P    1.18R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.74     7.69    10.05     0.42     1.56    16.34     4.75P    1.45R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.42     7.62    -6.39     0.08     0.24     4.69     0.92P    6.75R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.52     7.48    -5.50     0.06     0.19     4.53     0.96P    6.34R    0.12  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.14     7.63   -13.18     0.02     0.07     1.58     0.31P   17.96R    0.70  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.10     7.86     6.17     0.20     0.70     9.97     3.09P    3.43R    0.06  
Oldham          19   23   -3      55.67     7.57    -8.87     0.00     0.05     1.27     0.26P   18.30R    0.74  
Colchester      20   23   -8      56.05     7.56   -11.99     0.01     0.05     1.33     0.28P   17.79R    0.73  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.88     7.63   -18.34     0.01     0.03     0.98     0.17P   23.22R    1.28  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.62     7.53   -13.90     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.11P   27.30R    1.56  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.36     7.86    -0.36     0.03     0.12     3.17     0.91P   10.73R    0.49  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.79     7.48   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   51.83R    5.72  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.11     7.61   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   48.57R    5.18  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.22     7.51   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   61.10R    8.73  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.91     7.01   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.09R   74.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.19     7.60    36.34    48.00    85.88    98.27    89.69P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.75     7.61    38.59    34.11    78.63    96.66    83.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.45     7.69     3.09     1.87    14.69    52.00    22.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.74     7.58    25.67     6.91    38.36    79.83    52.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.52     7.56     7.87     0.56     6.43    34.26    12.23P    0.08R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.42     7.85     7.54     0.55     5.74    30.03    11.03P    0.15R    0.02  
Rotherham            19   31   +3      71.23     8.04     7.64     1.95    15.10    52.34    23.60P    0.05R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.74     8.17    10.57     3.02    20.52    59.83    31.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.60     7.92     4.28     0.92     8.77    38.91    16.45P    0.13R    0.03  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.77     7.61     3.07     0.16     2.44    19.21     5.74P    0.40R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.85     7.65    -6.24     0.05     1.15    10.28     2.62P    1.16R    0.30  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.64     7.83     8.92     0.67     7.44    35.69    15.32P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.31     7.81     9.42     0.96     9.96    43.43    18.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4      60.99     7.85    -7.52     0.06     1.24    10.89     3.18P    1.37R    0.35  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      61.84     7.83     3.47     0.12     1.69    13.91     4.20P    1.02R    0.23  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.11     7.64    -2.99     0.04     0.83     8.89     2.60P    1.46R    0.34  
York                 19   24   -3      54.37     7.67   -13.01     0.01     0.14     2.24     0.49P    7.60R    2.35  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.85     7.61    -7.38     0.02     0.49     6.34     1.79P    2.30R    0.59  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      57.13     8.22    -7.67     0.01     0.44     5.55     1.80P    4.69R    1.48  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.92     7.54   -11.22     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.20P   14.85R    5.33  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.70     7.75   -23.16     0.00     0.02     0.52     0.10P   21.54R    8.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.44     7.27   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.44R   24.92  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.22     7.29   -23.75     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   30.54R   12.92  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.16     7.15   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   65.04R   42.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.95     7.54    34.01    15.53    80.58    33.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.22     7.51    40.56    47.33    94.73    64.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.64     7.98    17.85     4.40    49.20    12.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.72     8.00    24.66     8.69    65.37    21.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.88     8.35    12.79     1.87    31.34     6.86P    0.14R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      83.03     7.71    25.45    18.88    82.45    38.33P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.29     7.97     7.12     1.33    27.35     6.97P    0.15R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.55     7.69     3.38     0.08     6.19     1.18P    1.51R    0.18  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.42     8.18     5.26     0.81    20.76     5.21P    0.39R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.22     7.94     1.04     0.13     6.10     1.17P    1.97R    0.26  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.07     8.19     6.31     0.73    20.05     5.20P    0.46R    0.06  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.65     7.59   -18.98     0.01     0.44     0.05P   15.92R    3.34  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.89     7.64    -5.06     0.01     0.83     0.13P   10.96R    2.11  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.02     7.89    -5.71     0.01     2.00     0.37P    6.14R    1.04  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.95     7.38   -10.32     0.00     0.36     0.04P   13.32R    2.79  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.36     7.82    10.67     0.16     8.14     1.94P    1.21R    0.16  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.40     7.99   -20.56     0.00     0.23     0.03P   29.46R    9.16  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.02     7.94    -1.05     0.02     2.72     0.58P    4.83R    0.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.52     7.70   -20.07     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.83R    7.99  
Southport          19   21   -9      54.00     7.89   -16.33     0.00     0.49     0.06P   18.43R    4.59  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.05     8.13   -16.18     0.00     0.21     0.02P   30.43R    9.60  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.48     7.76   -22.85     0.00     0.19     0.02P   28.76R    8.84  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.36     7.53   -27.13     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.15R   19.29  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.19     7.91   -24.85     0.00     0.03     0.01P   58.92R   29.75