Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 November 2012, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       13   30  +14      83.74     6.73    48.56    57.49    87.11    96.65    99.14    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      13   29  +15      80.65     6.91    43.61    34.56    75.79    92.32    97.74    99.74     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     13   26   +8      59.76     7.33     5.80     0.18     1.18     5.76    16.96    50.86     0.05R    0.00  
Chelsea       13   25  +11      72.74     7.16    32.67     6.26    25.01    63.06    83.73    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton       13   21   +6      58.50     7.29    10.42     0.10     0.93     4.71    13.95    45.75     0.09R    0.00  
Arsenal       13   20  +10      66.97     7.33    30.65     1.24     8.33    28.25    57.97    86.04     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham     13   20   +1      59.69     7.62     9.35     0.13     1.21     6.11    17.86    51.96     0.09R    0.00  
West_Ham      13   19   +1      47.17     7.29   -10.19     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.73     5.52     5.19R    0.44  
Swansea       13   17   +2      46.12     7.06    -6.73     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.48     3.80     5.71R    0.46  
Fulham        13   16   +2      50.78     7.33     2.19     0.00     0.07     0.52     2.15    12.93     1.74R    0.12  
Liverpool     13   16   +1      56.05     7.30     9.41     0.03     0.33     2.13     7.76    33.18     0.29R    0.01  
Stoke         13   16   +0      46.90     7.08    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.59     4.76     4.83R    0.35  
Norwich       13   15   -9      42.51     7.13   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.27    16.76R    1.97  
Newcastle     13   14   -6      46.03     7.28   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.39     3.75     7.16R    0.73  
Wigan         13   14   -8      39.26     6.91   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36    30.25R    5.39  
Sunderland    12   12   -4      45.00     7.45    -8.63     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.37     3.08     9.72R    1.19  
Southampton   13   11  -10      36.63     7.29   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    44.96R   11.14  
Aston_Villa   13   10  -12      38.48     7.02   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.27    33.54R    6.73  
Reading       12    9   -6      34.89     7.33   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    53.66R   15.65  
QPR           13    4  -16      27.76     6.85   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.95R   55.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Barnsley vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          18   37  +12      84.12     8.19    25.70    41.97    61.44    90.09    69.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   18   36  +12      75.58     8.10    13.70     8.78    20.56    60.04    28.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        18   33  +15      79.88     8.11    27.83    22.29    41.74    79.82    52.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    18   32   +5      73.32     8.23     9.31     5.41    13.81    49.53    21.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull             18   31   +3      71.11     8.00     5.72     2.94     8.58    38.20    15.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Millwall         18   29   +6      70.26     8.13    10.28     2.88     7.96    35.37    14.32P    0.17R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    18   29   +5      68.68     8.00     7.05     1.64     5.17    28.25    10.36P    0.26R    0.01  
Brighton         18   28   +9      68.25     7.98    11.85     1.65     4.88    27.67    10.32P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn        18   28   +4      73.09     8.48    14.30     6.09    15.07    49.80    25.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     18   28   +0      63.94     8.19    -3.92     0.51     1.83    12.82     4.05P    1.39R    0.09  
Watford          18   27   +3      66.41     8.29     4.25     0.95     3.30    20.81     7.14P    0.68R    0.05  
Derby            18   26   +2      62.00     8.05    -1.93     0.25     0.93     8.71     2.32P    2.18R    0.15  
Burnley          18   26   -1      64.79     8.15    -0.96     0.61     2.07    14.83     4.86P    1.14R    0.07  
Blackpool        18   24   +3      68.03     8.31    11.73     1.76     5.31    27.71    11.76P    0.39R    0.02  
Charlton         18   24   +0      61.73     8.30    -1.08     0.29     1.02     8.72     2.76P    2.72R    0.25  
Leeds_United     18   23   -5      60.11     8.17    -7.56     0.14     0.55     5.89     1.71P    4.09R    0.36  
Wolverhampton    18   22   -1      62.62     8.48     2.32     0.42     1.36    11.37     4.21P    2.38R    0.21  
Bolton           18   22   -2      66.22     8.55     6.94     1.19     3.49    21.19     8.92P    1.00R    0.09  
Birmingham       18   20   -7      61.90     8.21    -1.83     0.24     0.92     8.92     3.32P    2.43R    0.20  
Barnsley         18   16  -10      45.20     7.62   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   53.81R   15.83  
Bristol_City     18   15   -7      47.53     7.96   -17.05     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   40.54R   10.39  
Sheff_Wed        18   15  -11      45.83     8.00   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   50.52R   15.01  
Ipswich          18   14  -25      41.16     7.64   -44.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.21R   36.03  
Peterborough     18   13  -10      43.71     7.89   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.64R   21.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Brentford vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        20   39  +20      79.17     7.55    26.82    14.65    30.17    78.23    41.53P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   36  +14      81.95     7.51    29.22    25.25    44.90    87.05    58.28P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       19   36  +12      79.06     8.04    20.97    14.93    29.67    75.46    41.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   36   +9      82.64     7.50    25.50    26.95    47.11    88.61    60.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   35   +9      73.99     7.60    14.03     4.29    11.19    52.06    20.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   34  +12      75.09     7.74    20.23     6.21    14.75    58.82    25.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   34   +0      72.52     7.64     4.33     2.72     7.48    42.66    14.97P    0.13R    0.00  
Swindon         20   32  +12      72.68     7.69    19.48     3.44     9.17    46.91    19.07P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    20   31   -1      60.77     7.69   -10.22     0.10     0.29     5.31     0.97P    6.55R    0.13  
Bournemouth     20   29   +2      67.12     7.78     5.70     0.63     2.19    20.14     5.96P    1.04R    0.01  
Preston         20   28   +7      65.66     7.74    10.00     0.45     1.56    16.31     4.68P    1.46R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   28   -1      60.43     7.64    -6.36     0.05     0.29     4.79     0.99P    6.88R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   20   28   -1      60.45     7.47    -5.56     0.05     0.19     4.38     0.88P    6.23R    0.12  
Crewe           20   27   -3      56.41     7.66   -12.79     0.02     0.09     1.75     0.34P   17.23R    0.67  
Coventry        20   24   +1      63.08     7.81     6.10     0.21     0.71     9.83     3.12P    3.24R    0.06  
Oldham          19   23   -3      55.63     7.62    -8.87     0.01     0.06     1.36     0.30P   18.75R    0.71  
Colchester      20   23   -8      55.98     7.59   -12.12     0.01     0.03     1.27     0.26P   18.25R    0.77  
Carlisle        20   23  -12      54.82     7.61   -18.41     0.00     0.02     0.83     0.13P   23.61R    1.22  
Walsall         20   22   -8      53.56     7.46   -13.93     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.11P   27.14R    1.38  
Portsmouth      20   19   -6      58.56     7.91    -0.07     0.03     0.14     3.37     1.07P   10.45R    0.44  
Bury            20   19  -10      48.76     7.51   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   52.11R    5.58  
Shrewsbury      20   18   -6      49.10     7.59   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   48.48R    4.97  
Scunthorpe      20   17  -17      47.21     7.48   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   61.00R    8.34  
Hartlepool      20    9  -22      34.69     6.99   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.23R   75.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           20   41  +20      87.03     7.53    36.14    48.10    85.80    98.28    89.53P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            20   39  +23      84.61     7.61    38.39    34.00    78.44    96.50    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   35   +2      71.48     7.63     3.18     1.84    14.66    52.12    22.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             20   32  +12      76.44     7.59    25.25     6.75    37.53    78.80    51.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             20   32   +8      67.75     7.56     8.24     0.60     7.00    35.23    13.02P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       20   31   +8      66.30     7.79     7.44     0.47     5.52    29.26    10.75P    0.18R    0.03  
Rotherham            19   31   +3      71.14     7.91     7.52     1.98    14.70    51.72    23.11P    0.03R    0.01  
Rochdale             19   30   +2      72.68     8.15    10.48     2.89    20.36    59.29    30.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter               20   30   +0      68.59     7.95     4.27     0.91     8.95    38.92    16.44P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          20   29   +5      63.83     7.64     3.13     0.17     2.58    19.14     5.79P    0.45R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        20   29   +0      60.98     7.66    -6.05     0.09     1.16    10.59     2.67P    1.17R    0.25  
Chesterfield         20   28   +3      67.67     7.90     8.97     0.76     7.64    36.21    15.72P    0.10R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +3      69.39     7.87     9.52     1.19    10.56    43.92    19.58P    0.06R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4      60.86     7.84    -7.76     0.08     1.23    10.66     2.98P    1.44R    0.34  
Dag_&_Red            19   25   +4      62.03     7.86     3.77     0.11     1.80    14.50     4.52P    0.97R    0.23  
Morecambe            20   25   -2      60.20     7.66    -2.88     0.02     0.88     9.31     2.76P    1.40R    0.34  
York                 19   24   -3      54.39     7.65   -12.92     0.02     0.14     2.16     0.50P    7.65R    2.31  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -6      58.88     7.65    -7.38     0.01     0.54     6.70     1.92P    2.25R    0.56  
Wycombe              19   19   -9      57.03     8.19    -7.77     0.02     0.44     5.30     1.66P    4.93R    1.50  
Plymouth             20   18   -7      50.78     7.49   -11.40     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.17P   15.23R    5.52  
Bristol_Rovers       19   18  -14      49.69     7.73   -23.17     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.10P   21.43R    8.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   18  -16      44.54     7.25   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.53R   24.91  
Aldershot            20   17  -16      47.29     7.26   -23.64     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   30.33R   12.71  
Barnet               20   15  -16      41.20     7.15   -31.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.65R   42.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.96     7.60    33.99    16.01    80.61    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.18     7.44    40.48    47.88    94.76    65.05P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.60     7.97    17.72     4.49    48.96    12.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.67     7.94    24.60     8.44    65.11    21.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      72.11     8.25    13.14     1.97    32.09     7.18P    0.12R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.68     7.70    24.92    17.81    80.98    37.25P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.38     8.00     7.27     1.47    27.83     6.96P    0.19R    0.02  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.60     7.67     3.42     0.08     6.17     1.20P    1.46R    0.14  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.68     8.24     5.64     0.86    22.03     5.50P    0.39R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.30     7.97     1.12     0.12     6.14     1.13P    1.96R    0.23  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.86     8.16     6.06     0.65    19.38     4.89P    0.42R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.72     7.61   -18.74     0.00     0.45     0.04P   15.81R    3.46  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.82     7.57    -5.13     0.01     0.72     0.11P   10.89R    2.08  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.04     7.84    -5.68     0.01     2.04     0.32P    5.93R    1.09  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.81     7.41   -10.49     0.00     0.39     0.04P   13.81R    2.96  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.47     7.80    10.83     0.16     8.28     1.97P    1.14R    0.14  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.39     7.90   -20.51     0.00     0.22     0.03P   29.34R    8.88  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.07     7.91    -0.92     0.04     2.77     0.59P    4.67R    0.77  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.34     7.74   -20.39     0.00     0.17     0.02P   28.61R    8.44  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.79     7.90   -16.69     0.00     0.45     0.06P   19.19R    4.83  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.11     8.18   -16.11     0.00     0.24     0.04P   30.22R    9.83  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.47     7.77   -22.86     0.00     0.17     0.03P   28.89R    8.83  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.52     7.49   -26.82     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.05R   18.90  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.22     7.89   -24.82     0.00     0.03     0.00P   58.89R   29.34