Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      80.91     7.20    43.74    35.71    73.40    90.89    97.25    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.49     6.81    49.29    54.04    84.93    95.80    98.93    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.26     7.42    33.14     7.79    27.84    62.95    83.60    96.35     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.16     7.53     2.24     0.07     0.56     2.84     9.46    35.33     0.15R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      60.21     7.59    12.52     0.19     1.56     7.02    19.02    53.86     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.05     7.52    31.96     2.05    10.34    32.20    61.81    87.48     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.40     7.55    -8.40     0.00     0.04     0.26     1.19     7.58     3.47R    0.21  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.45     7.75     7.93     0.09     0.76     4.18    13.49    44.13     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.44     7.61     3.56     0.01     0.10     0.90     3.51    17.83     0.97R    0.08  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.32     7.29    -7.07     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.51     4.30     5.21R    0.43  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.71     7.55     9.87     0.06     0.40     2.44     9.00    35.63     0.26R    0.01  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.39     7.55    -7.13     0.00     0.03     0.19     0.97     7.09     3.90R    0.32  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.78     7.28   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.08    18.22R    2.49  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.84     7.36    -6.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.30     3.03     8.22R    0.81  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.33     7.66    -4.98     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.81     5.82     4.95R    0.46  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.54     7.10   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    36.93R    7.67  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.45     7.61   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    42.77R   10.64  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.32     7.20   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    32.43R    6.46  
Southampton   12    8  -12      34.12     7.53   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    56.81R   17.76  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.60     6.84   -34.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.52R   52.66  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.16     8.33    15.09    12.27    25.40    65.36    33.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.69     8.37    25.10    33.51    52.08    85.47    61.47P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.23     8.39    13.68    10.09    21.96    61.16    31.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.39     8.28     7.95     5.37    12.93    47.44    20.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.91     8.37    25.32    15.65    30.30    70.70    41.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      75.94     8.60    18.79    11.19    22.87    60.70    34.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      68.99     8.18    12.39     2.12     5.61    28.95    11.23P    0.25R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      63.93     8.47    -4.51     0.56     1.75    12.57     3.86P    1.57R    0.10  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.39     8.30     6.23     1.36     4.04    22.59     8.32P    0.45R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.24     8.24     4.82     0.90     2.81    18.59     6.27P    0.66R    0.03  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.17     8.44     3.20     1.08     3.09    18.69     6.37P    0.83R    0.05  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.21     8.54    13.08     2.55     6.75    31.11    13.61P    0.34R    0.01  
Derby            17   23   +1      59.87     8.15    -3.64     0.11     0.46     5.14     1.38P    3.88R    0.39  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.42     8.53    -0.62     0.38     1.20     9.87     3.06P    2.58R    0.21  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.34     8.32    -3.37     0.31     1.03     9.08     2.84P    2.46R    0.20  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      64.90     8.70     4.79     0.80     2.42    16.36     6.16P    1.44R    0.12  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.36     8.73     6.65     1.23     3.51    20.82     8.61P    1.03R    0.08  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.35     8.33    -8.84     0.08     0.33     3.69     1.01P    6.48R    0.74  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.42     8.37    -0.69     0.44     1.45    11.33     4.28P    1.75R    0.12  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.33     7.82   -23.88     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   47.90R   12.61  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.55     8.29   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   41.83R   11.08  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.80     7.92   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.67R   33.42  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.37     8.00   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   56.66R   19.68  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      44.13     8.16   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   58.13R   21.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        19   38  +20      79.66     7.78    26.99    16.86    34.33    79.75    45.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   36  +11      85.02     7.75    29.07    40.45    61.45    92.66    71.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   33  +10      79.51     7.67    23.94    15.20    32.60    78.91    46.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       18   33   +8      76.46     8.28    15.59     9.09    20.39    63.53    30.96P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage       19   33   +0      72.78     7.86     4.21     3.05     8.78    44.74    16.42P    0.15R    0.00  
Swindon         19   32  +13      74.49     7.95    21.15     5.68    14.56    56.83    25.84P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       19   32   +7      71.18     7.75    10.40     2.37     6.80    37.93    13.76P    0.20R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31  +11      73.25     7.97    18.86     4.32    11.33    50.31    21.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    19   31   +1      63.03     7.91    -6.93     0.23     0.76     9.59     2.12P    3.82R    0.07  
Preston         19   28   +9      68.40     7.96    14.03     1.24     3.77    27.48     9.13P    0.68R    0.01  
Bournemouth     19   28   +2      67.78     7.97     6.13     0.91     2.89    23.70     7.35P    1.02R    0.03  
Yeovil          19   28   +1      62.87     7.93    -2.60     0.18     0.77     9.24     2.25P    4.18R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient   19   25   -3      57.71     7.64    -9.25     0.02     0.10     2.42     0.47P   12.40R    0.48  
Crewe           19   24   -5      53.68     7.86   -16.66     0.01     0.04     0.96     0.20P   28.12R    1.81  
Coventry        19   23   +1      63.76     8.07     6.57     0.32     1.06    12.35     4.01P    3.11R    0.06  
Colchester      19   23   -4      58.16     7.75    -6.71     0.02     0.12     2.82     0.63P   11.66R    0.43  
Walsall         19   21   -8      54.06     7.73   -13.73     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.13P   25.54R    1.67  
Oldham          18   20   -4      53.69     7.77   -10.37     0.00     0.03     0.85     0.17P   26.00R    1.69  
Carlisle        19   20  -14      52.15     7.83   -22.11     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.12P   35.47R    3.07  
Shrewsbury      19   18   -5      50.72     7.88   -11.04     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.08P   40.10R    3.72  
Portsmouth      19   18   -6      58.74     8.11    -0.37     0.04     0.18     4.02     1.36P   10.46R    0.50  
Bury            19   18  -10      48.56     7.70   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   52.50R    6.54  
Scunthorpe      19   17  -13      49.47     7.73   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   47.86R    5.40  
Hartlepool      19    8  -22      34.93     7.23   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.51R   74.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           19   40  +20      88.06     7.81    37.16    55.88    88.42    98.52    91.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +21      82.70     7.87    35.83    25.37    71.00    94.17    78.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   32   +1      70.26     7.84     2.73     1.50    12.74    47.27    20.03P    0.06R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +9      68.17     8.08     9.11     1.08     9.34    39.28    15.84P    0.14R    0.03  
Bradford             19   31   +8      68.31     7.78     8.52     0.84     8.80    38.86    15.08P    0.09R    0.02  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.41     8.37    13.01     5.00    28.62    67.46    39.21P    0.02R    0.01  
Exeter               19   30   +1      70.96     8.18     6.78     2.11    15.82    51.78    25.18P    0.06R    0.01  
Southend             19   29  +10      74.61     7.81    22.89     4.86    30.14    71.51    43.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          19   29   +6      65.30     7.86     4.32     0.36     4.62    25.92     8.99P    0.33R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        19   29   +3      63.02     7.89    -2.00     0.16     2.46    17.29     5.03P    0.79R    0.17  
Rotherham            18   28   +2      68.73     8.18     5.25     1.38    10.49    40.91    17.52P    0.18R    0.03  
Chesterfield         19   25   +2      65.61     8.11     7.29     0.47     5.69    28.15    12.06P    0.42R    0.10  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.14     8.05     6.60     0.72     7.23    33.99    14.40P    0.23R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   18   25   -4      60.97     8.05    -8.14     0.09     1.50    11.73     3.38P    1.95R    0.48  
York                 18   24   -1      56.33     7.94   -10.10     0.02     0.38     4.38     1.11P    5.99R    1.92  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.10     8.10     2.19     0.08     1.38    11.05     3.55P    2.27R    0.68  
Morecambe            19   22   -4      58.40     7.90    -5.12     0.03     0.63     6.75     2.01P    3.59R    1.04  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -7      57.10     7.80    -8.59     0.02     0.36     4.73     1.25P    4.60R    1.48  
Plymouth             19   18   -6      52.21     7.75   -10.38     0.00     0.06     1.41     0.38P   13.32R    4.89  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   18  -14      45.91     7.47   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   42.65R   22.27  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17  -14      50.04     7.93   -22.95     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.19P   23.03R    9.59  
Aldershot            19   17  -14      48.74     7.46   -21.39     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   26.53R   11.01  
Wycombe              18   16  -12      54.66     8.49   -11.91     0.01     0.27     3.59     1.08P   10.26R    3.79  
Barnet               19   15  -15      42.03     7.39   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   63.49R   42.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.94     7.57    33.92    16.03    80.24    34.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.20     7.49    40.53    47.65    94.73    64.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.71     7.96    17.89     4.40    49.14    12.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.75     7.87    24.74     8.53    65.57    21.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      72.03     8.36    13.00     2.08    31.76     7.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.80     7.66    25.13    18.00    81.77    37.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.35     7.99     7.22     1.40    27.52     6.72P    0.12R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.48     7.70     3.21     0.09     5.98     1.13P    1.44R    0.19  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.55     8.20     5.43     0.78    21.33     5.18P    0.40R    0.03  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.44     7.97     1.34     0.12     6.34     1.19P    1.92R    0.23  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.03     8.19     6.31     0.70    19.69     5.10P    0.42R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.72     7.60   -18.86     0.00     0.46     0.05P   15.73R    3.32  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.87     7.57    -5.11     0.00     0.73     0.09P   10.77R    2.12  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.03     7.94    -5.69     0.02     2.22     0.36P    6.00R    1.03  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.76     7.37   -10.53     0.00     0.37     0.05P   13.82R    2.95  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.45     7.81    10.80     0.14     8.21     2.05P    1.20R    0.13  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.56     7.89   -20.25     0.00     0.25     0.03P   28.62R    8.51  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.92     7.94    -1.14     0.03     2.61     0.56P    4.78R    0.86  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.42     7.79   -20.25     0.00     0.22     0.03P   28.24R    8.32  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.87     7.85   -16.55     0.00     0.42     0.04P   18.56R    4.72  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      50.91     8.15   -16.45     0.00     0.21     0.04P   30.72R    9.99  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.47     7.81   -22.82     0.00     0.19     0.02P   28.72R    8.71  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.26     7.55   -27.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.69R   19.87  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.30     7.89   -24.65     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.69R   28.98