Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 November 2012 at 23:50:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      80.92     7.15    43.62    35.73    73.57    90.91    97.33    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.46     6.86    49.20    54.38    84.87    95.68    98.85    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.18     7.36    33.04     7.37    27.64    62.58    83.46    96.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.21     7.53     2.36     0.06     0.52     2.93     9.57    35.74     0.15R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      60.13     7.58    12.39     0.20     1.55     6.84    18.78    53.51     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.13     7.56    32.12     2.13    10.48    32.79    62.45    87.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.34     7.54    -8.51     0.00     0.02     0.26     1.14     7.49     3.57R    0.29  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.36     7.74     7.72     0.08     0.80     4.13    13.18    43.96     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.41     7.63     3.52     0.01     0.12     0.93     3.57    17.77     1.00R    0.05  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.44     7.32    -7.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.58     4.57     5.24R    0.43  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.58     7.55     9.68     0.04     0.37     2.37     8.70    35.13     0.26R    0.02  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.41     7.59    -7.02     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.08     7.31     3.97R    0.37  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.77     7.27   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.03    18.41R    2.59  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.86     7.30    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28     2.88     8.02R    0.79  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.40     7.76    -4.91     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.88     6.27     5.19R    0.64  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.51     7.10   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    37.37R    7.83  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.47     7.57   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.26    42.91R   10.70  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.30     7.21   -22.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    32.40R    6.43  
Southampton   12    8  -12      34.00     7.50   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    56.86R   18.45  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.82     6.93   -34.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.49R   51.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.34     8.31    15.31    12.68    26.17    66.17    34.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.60     8.36    24.85    33.00    51.48    85.36    60.59P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.33     8.39    13.84    10.43    22.40    61.63    31.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.30     8.26     7.90     5.40    12.73    46.59    20.17P    0.05R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.97     8.34    25.37    15.78    30.61    70.79    42.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      75.91     8.65    18.69    11.29    22.91    60.66    34.47P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      69.04     8.18    12.49     2.15     5.82    29.30    11.50P    0.18R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      63.99     8.42    -4.42     0.55     1.79    12.36     3.85P    1.46R    0.09  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.07     8.30     5.77     1.30     3.73    21.68     7.85P    0.56R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.12     8.22     4.64     0.87     2.66    18.12     6.08P    0.66R    0.04  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.21     8.46     3.21     0.99     3.04    19.09     6.44P    0.87R    0.06  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.01     8.50    12.77     2.29     6.21    30.43    13.23P    0.36R    0.02  
Derby            17   23   +1      60.14     8.20    -3.24     0.15     0.53     5.60     1.55P    3.90R    0.32  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.54     8.56    -0.43     0.38     1.24    10.05     3.25P    2.59R    0.24  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.34     8.42    -3.31     0.34     1.17     9.35     2.94P    2.55R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      65.02     8.54     4.91     0.81     2.38    16.49     6.10P    1.25R    0.09  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.34     8.71     6.59     1.13     3.41    20.67     8.56P    1.07R    0.09  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.24     8.39    -9.00     0.09     0.34     3.86     1.08P    6.68R    0.80  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.48     8.33    -0.52     0.37     1.36    11.43     4.15P    1.67R    0.12  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.37     7.86   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   47.67R   12.83  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.66     8.29   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   40.94R   10.87  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.85     7.91   -44.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    71.34R   32.78  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.12     7.99   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.99R   20.26  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      44.13     8.25   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   58.12R   21.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        19   38  +20      79.73     7.77    27.04    17.03    34.21    79.89    44.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   36  +11      85.01     7.71    28.96    40.32    61.34    92.62    71.46P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   33  +10      79.64     7.70    24.12    15.40    33.01    79.14    47.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       18   33   +8      76.27     8.34    15.31     8.71    19.84    62.88    30.24P    0.06R    0.00  
Stevenage       19   33   +0      72.84     7.82     4.31     3.15     8.76    45.08    16.24P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         19   32  +13      74.61     7.99    21.30     6.16    15.30    57.27    26.54P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       19   32   +7      71.46     7.81    10.83     2.57     7.24    39.63    14.84P    0.18R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31  +11      73.06     7.93    18.61     3.89    10.58    49.31    20.23P    0.14R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    19   31   +1      63.03     7.92    -6.86     0.27     0.85     9.41     2.09P    3.89R    0.06  
Preston         19   28   +9      68.34     7.98    13.97     1.14     3.73    27.16     8.97P    0.71R    0.01  
Bournemouth     19   28   +2      67.75     7.89     6.14     0.80     2.83    23.40     7.22P    0.88R    0.01  
Yeovil          19   28   +1      62.78     7.88    -2.80     0.15     0.71     9.04     2.04P    4.04R    0.10  
Leyton_Orient   19   25   -3      57.91     7.66    -8.92     0.03     0.10     2.60     0.56P   12.05R    0.35  
Crewe           19   24   -5      53.75     7.83   -16.53     0.00     0.03     0.91     0.14P   27.76R    1.87  
Coventry        19   23   +1      63.57     8.17     6.37     0.28     1.08    12.11     4.14P    3.44R    0.10  
Colchester      19   23   -4      58.10     7.73    -6.80     0.02     0.12     2.82     0.66P   11.49R    0.41  
Walsall         19   21   -8      53.96     7.72   -13.86     0.01     0.03     0.80     0.17P   25.63R    1.79  
Oldham          18   20   -4      53.78     7.82   -10.23     0.00     0.03     0.88     0.18P   26.26R    1.67  
Carlisle        19   20  -14      52.14     7.77   -22.16     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P   35.50R    2.99  
Shrewsbury      19   18   -5      50.75     7.88   -10.95     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   39.64R    3.82  
Portsmouth      19   18   -6      58.67     8.14    -0.48     0.03     0.19     4.00     1.31P   10.70R    0.55  
Bury            19   18  -10      48.65     7.67   -20.25     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.02P   52.49R    6.44  
Scunthorpe      19   17  -13      49.33     7.68   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   48.54R    5.44  
Hartlepool      19    8  -22      34.87     7.27   -36.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   74.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           19   40  +20      88.03     7.73    37.10    55.73    88.35    98.51    91.44P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +21      82.80     7.86    36.02    25.92    71.34    94.07    78.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   32   +1      70.39     7.92     2.94     1.63    13.14    47.98    20.80P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +9      68.01     8.10     8.89     1.17     9.28    38.21    15.68P    0.14R    0.03  
Bradford             19   31   +8      68.09     7.78     8.28     0.70     8.33    38.08    14.70P    0.11R    0.03  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.35     8.39    12.93     4.84    28.66    67.26    39.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               19   30   +1      70.87     8.19     6.61     2.06    15.53    51.01    24.61P    0.07R    0.01  
Southend             19   29  +10      74.53     7.79    22.77     4.60    29.79    71.37    43.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          19   29   +6      65.29     7.86     4.32     0.40     4.48    25.74     8.68P    0.43R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        19   29   +3      63.11     7.86    -1.90     0.20     2.56    17.47     5.19P    0.80R    0.16  
Rotherham            18   28   +2      68.89     8.23     5.56     1.41    10.89    41.87    17.96P    0.15R    0.03  
Chesterfield         19   25   +2      65.70     8.03     7.42     0.46     5.43    28.49    11.96P    0.38R    0.07  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.20     8.06     6.70     0.63     7.36    34.60    14.57P    0.22R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   18   25   -4      61.03     8.01    -8.07     0.13     1.58    11.75     3.61P    1.81R    0.45  
York                 18   24   -1      56.51     7.98    -9.84     0.02     0.41     4.54     1.17P    5.71R    1.66  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.17     8.12     2.36     0.06     1.44    11.45     3.63P    2.08R    0.64  
Morecambe            19   22   -4      58.46     7.87    -5.00     0.03     0.69     6.95     2.09P    3.36R    0.94  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -7      57.15     7.81    -8.48     0.01     0.38     4.85     1.34P    4.68R    1.38  
Plymouth             19   18   -6      52.20     7.75   -10.37     0.00     0.07     1.33     0.31P   13.35R    4.73  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   18  -14      45.91     7.53   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   42.70R   22.29  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17  -14      49.98     7.94   -23.00     0.00     0.04     0.76     0.16P   23.18R    9.89  
Aldershot            19   17  -14      48.69     7.50   -21.47     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.08P   26.61R   11.28  
Wycombe              18   16  -12      54.39     8.44   -12.41     0.01     0.23     3.23     1.00P   10.84R    4.16  
Barnet               19   15  -15      41.99     7.44   -31.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.29R   42.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.94     7.56    34.00    15.90    80.41    34.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.19     7.49    40.52    47.64    94.57    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.80     8.00    18.07     4.79    49.57    12.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.61     7.93    24.48     8.33    64.61    20.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      72.09     8.36    13.13     2.01    31.94     7.15P    0.12R    0.01  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.79     7.74    25.15    17.97    81.26    37.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.48     8.01     7.41     1.44    28.05     7.18P    0.16R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.43     7.67     3.18     0.05     5.92     1.00P    1.53R    0.18  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.66     8.27     5.57     0.91    21.86     5.49P    0.42R    0.05  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.38     7.95     1.26     0.10     6.17     1.18P    1.89R    0.25  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.96     8.14     6.12     0.64    19.51     4.98P    0.46R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.66     7.59   -18.91     0.00     0.46     0.05P   15.81R    3.38  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.81     7.60    -5.19     0.00     0.73     0.08P   11.03R    2.17  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.00     7.87    -5.70     0.02     2.10     0.38P    5.82R    1.06  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.83     7.41   -10.44     0.00     0.42     0.05P   13.72R    2.85  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.45     7.87    10.76     0.14     8.45     2.08P    1.19R    0.11  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.52     7.96   -20.33     0.00     0.28     0.03P   28.65R    8.72  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.04     7.90    -1.02     0.03     2.60     0.58P    4.70R    0.81  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.40     7.82   -20.32     0.00     0.20     0.02P   28.39R    8.41  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.76     7.88   -16.67     0.00     0.45     0.06P   19.19R    4.86  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      50.79     8.11   -16.73     0.00     0.20     0.03P   31.20R   10.31  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.71     7.76   -22.45     0.00     0.19     0.02P   27.63R    8.18  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.29     7.50   -27.17     0.00     0.04     0.00P   49.36R   19.51  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.25     7.87   -24.75     0.00     0.02     0.01P   58.72R   29.08