Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      80.94     7.17    43.76    35.42    73.38    91.01    97.28    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.54     6.82    49.37    54.51    85.17    95.67    98.92    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.26     7.42    33.15     7.62    27.62    62.56    83.71    96.26     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.12     7.55     2.12     0.07     0.53     2.82     9.48    35.39     0.16R    0.01  
Everton       12   20   +6      60.04     7.55    12.28     0.18     1.55     6.69    18.38    52.68     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.09     7.55    32.04     2.07    10.32    32.65    62.21    87.51     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.34     7.55    -8.49     0.00     0.03     0.26     1.09     7.58     3.64R    0.27  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.52     7.72     7.97     0.09     0.80     4.18    13.41    44.57     0.11R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.55     7.63     3.72     0.01     0.12     0.94     3.63    18.39     0.94R    0.05  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.24     7.32    -7.29     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.53     4.37     5.53R    0.46  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.70     7.59     9.86     0.02     0.41     2.62     9.00    35.63     0.23R    0.01  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.28     7.62    -7.28     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.10     7.11     4.20R    0.42  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.84     7.23   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.10    17.79R    2.48  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.90     7.37    -6.42     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.33     2.96     7.97R    0.75  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.34     7.69    -4.92     0.00     0.02     0.19     0.80     5.97     4.97R    0.54  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.61     7.13   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    36.53R    7.86  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.45     7.60   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28    42.66R   10.82  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.14     7.30   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.30    33.67R    7.05  
Southampton   12    8  -12      34.01     7.48   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    57.04R   18.04  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.82     6.93   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.50R   51.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.18     8.24    15.04    11.97    25.31    65.21    33.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.78     8.37    25.19    34.09    52.21    85.78    61.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.23     8.34    13.67     9.97    21.76    61.28    30.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.57     8.26     8.25     5.49    13.29    47.79    20.92P    0.05R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.96     8.35    25.40    15.73    30.60    70.60    42.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      75.96     8.57    18.81    10.96    22.60    60.72    34.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      68.76     8.20    12.07     1.98     5.37    28.16    10.69P    0.26R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      63.87     8.47    -4.65     0.54     1.78    12.29     3.81P    1.55R    0.09  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.31     8.26     6.15     1.25     3.68    22.21     7.87P    0.50R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.28     8.14     4.83     0.84     2.67    18.34     6.09P    0.62R    0.04  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.08     8.43     3.02     1.04     3.07    18.56     6.37P    0.81R    0.05  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.19     8.50    13.11     2.43     6.62    30.84    13.63P    0.31R    0.02  
Derby            17   23   +1      59.85     8.20    -3.67     0.14     0.44     5.21     1.39P    4.11R    0.39  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.58     8.52    -0.39     0.36     1.15    10.03     3.19P    2.48R    0.23  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.29     8.44    -3.38     0.37     1.11     9.13     2.93P    2.55R    0.22  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      65.22     8.67     5.19     0.89     2.76    17.09     6.61P    1.24R    0.11  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.59     8.76     6.98     1.38     3.87    21.62     9.26P    1.01R    0.09  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.27     8.39    -8.92     0.10     0.34     3.71     1.10P    6.63R    0.78  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.27     8.39    -0.81     0.45     1.35    11.08     4.18P    1.84R    0.15  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.24     7.79   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   47.94R   12.76  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.55     8.27   -21.36     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   41.45R   11.16  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.96     7.89   -44.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.69R   32.26  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.23     8.01   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.86R   19.89  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      43.88     8.06   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   59.03R   21.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        19   38  +20      79.57     7.82    26.86    16.76    33.69    79.05    44.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   36  +11      85.10     7.71    29.11    40.48    61.72    92.90    72.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   33  +10      79.77     7.77    24.29    16.19    33.82    79.75    48.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster       18   33   +8      76.27     8.23    15.32     8.49    19.51    62.94    29.96P    0.06R    0.00  
Stevenage       19   33   +0      72.82     7.88     4.28     3.24     8.95    45.38    16.64P    0.14R    0.00  
Swindon         19   32  +13      74.40     7.97    21.04     5.64    14.61    56.21    25.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       19   32   +7      71.46     7.80    10.79     2.59     7.06    39.64    14.81P    0.17R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31  +11      73.11     7.90    18.67     3.92    10.95    49.62    20.36P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    19   31   +1      62.96     7.95    -6.96     0.24     0.85     9.35     2.08P    4.10R    0.04  
Preston         19   28   +9      68.17     7.90    13.65     0.99     3.41    26.56     8.57P    0.77R    0.01  
Bournemouth     19   28   +2      67.78     7.96     6.15     0.88     2.96    23.74     7.26P    0.95R    0.01  
Yeovil          19   28   +1      62.82     7.91    -2.72     0.18     0.80     9.36     2.27P    4.19R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient   19   25   -3      57.92     7.67    -8.90     0.04     0.13     2.51     0.52P   12.16R    0.44  
Crewe           19   24   -5      53.91     7.85   -16.31     0.02     0.05     1.02     0.18P   27.08R    1.76  
Coventry        19   23   +1      63.66     8.08     6.46     0.27     1.08    12.16     4.14P    3.23R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      58.11     7.81    -6.81     0.02     0.12     3.05     0.66P   11.93R    0.40  
Walsall         19   21   -8      54.06     7.64   -13.71     0.01     0.02     0.81     0.18P   25.13R    1.63  
Oldham          18   20   -4      53.77     7.81   -10.25     0.01     0.02     0.91     0.16P   26.25R    1.62  
Carlisle        19   20  -14      52.11     7.87   -22.18     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.10P   36.07R    3.09  
Shrewsbury      19   18   -5      50.78     7.82   -10.88     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   39.72R    3.64  
Portsmouth      19   18   -6      58.64     8.08    -0.52     0.03     0.22     3.93     1.36P   10.61R    0.53  
Bury            19   18  -10      48.57     7.68   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   52.57R    6.60  
Scunthorpe      19   17  -13      49.46     7.68   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   48.18R    5.27  
Hartlepool      19    8  -22      34.83     7.26   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.53R   74.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           19   40  +20      88.05     7.80    37.11    56.03    88.37    98.45    91.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +21      82.68     7.90    35.74    25.47    70.77    93.98    77.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   32   +1      70.29     7.87     2.81     1.51    13.10    47.30    20.42P    0.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +9      68.10     8.09     9.00     0.97     9.30    39.02    15.76P    0.14R    0.02  
Bradford             19   31   +8      68.22     7.78     8.41     0.83     8.60    38.53    15.01P    0.10R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.42     8.36    13.06     5.02    28.85    67.73    39.64P    0.03R    0.01  
Exeter               19   30   +1      71.07     8.19     6.93     2.16    16.42    52.03    25.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Southend             19   29  +10      74.53     7.86    22.70     4.76    30.32    71.11    44.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          19   29   +6      65.31     7.81     4.39     0.33     4.40    25.98     8.64P    0.32R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        19   29   +3      63.01     7.89    -2.07     0.15     2.37    17.33     4.94P    0.91R    0.22  
Rotherham            18   28   +2      68.84     8.24     5.42     1.37    10.80    41.82    17.91P    0.17R    0.04  
Chesterfield         19   25   +2      65.66     8.09     7.39     0.52     5.35    28.58    12.07P    0.43R    0.09  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.04     8.00     6.47     0.61     6.93    33.70    13.99P    0.21R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   18   25   -4      60.86     7.97    -8.32     0.10     1.41    11.23     3.28P    1.83R    0.43  
York                 18   24   -1      56.40     8.00    -9.95     0.02     0.42     4.60     1.16P    5.94R    1.89  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.04     8.11     2.12     0.08     1.25    11.01     3.38P    2.30R    0.68  
Morecambe            19   22   -4      58.40     7.85    -5.05     0.03     0.56     6.68     1.87P    3.50R    1.01  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -7      57.18     7.84    -8.40     0.01     0.38     5.01     1.42P    4.74R    1.49  
Plymouth             19   18   -6      52.24     7.73   -10.34     0.00     0.06     1.33     0.31P   13.45R    4.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   18  -14      46.02     7.48   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   42.34R   21.68  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17  -14      50.08     7.91   -22.86     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.15P   22.91R    9.66  
Aldershot            19   17  -14      48.74     7.52   -21.36     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   26.83R   11.38  
Wycombe              18   16  -12      54.53     8.45   -12.18     0.01     0.28     3.32     1.03P   10.55R    4.02  
Barnet               19   15  -15      42.06     7.39   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.18R   42.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.91     7.55    33.96    15.58    80.67    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.31     7.49    40.75    48.05    95.06    65.42P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.77     7.96    18.04     4.51    49.55    12.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.76     7.96    24.75     8.51    65.29    21.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.86     8.42    12.83     1.96    31.13     7.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.89     7.75    25.27    18.10    81.94    37.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.33     7.98     7.19     1.38    27.40     6.71P    0.16R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.43     7.69     3.15     0.09     6.03     1.18P    1.42R    0.18  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.29     8.23     5.04     0.82    20.20     4.94P    0.43R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.41     8.00     1.33     0.11     6.48     1.24P    1.97R    0.24  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.17     8.08     6.47     0.68    19.97     5.12P    0.37R    0.03  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.64     7.63   -18.99     0.00     0.49     0.07P   15.91R    3.54  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.97     7.59    -4.91     0.00     0.81     0.11P   10.50R    2.05  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.08     7.90    -5.67     0.02     2.20     0.36P    5.92R    0.97  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.89     7.35   -10.38     0.00     0.37     0.04P   13.34R    2.62  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.51     7.85    10.84     0.14     8.29     2.07P    1.22R    0.16  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.31     7.89   -20.71     0.00     0.22     0.02P   29.32R    8.85  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.08     7.99    -0.94     0.03     2.82     0.58P    4.66R    0.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.56     7.77   -20.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   27.60R    7.98  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.70     7.89   -16.82     0.00     0.41     0.06P   19.44R    4.93  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.01     8.21   -16.29     0.00     0.26     0.03P   30.91R   10.07  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.47     7.73   -22.82     0.00     0.16     0.01P   28.73R    8.69  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.32     7.48   -27.18     0.00     0.03     0.00P   48.92R   19.28  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.15     7.90   -24.91     0.00     0.03     0.00    59.03R   29.57