Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      81.00     7.17    43.75    35.56    73.75    91.41    97.35    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.52     6.84    49.33    54.23    84.97    95.68    98.87    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.31     7.39    33.27     7.66    27.61    63.00    83.83    96.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.00     7.54     2.03     0.07     0.50     2.72     9.24    34.81     0.17R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      59.95     7.54    12.12     0.19     1.33     6.34    18.24    52.32     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.03     7.59    31.96     2.13    10.38    32.01    62.05    87.53     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.30     7.52    -8.59     0.00     0.04     0.27     1.13     7.40     3.60R    0.27  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.45     7.80     7.92     0.11     0.80     4.39    13.48    44.28     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.59     7.65     3.83     0.01     0.13     0.88     3.71    18.59     1.00R    0.05  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.36     7.31    -7.16     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.58     4.41     5.37R    0.50  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.80     7.60    10.00     0.04     0.43     2.73     9.10    36.31     0.25R    0.01  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.51     7.57    -6.87     0.00     0.03     0.21     1.11     7.29     3.71R    0.36  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.79     7.29   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.08    18.21R    2.47  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.79     7.32    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     3.00     8.18R    0.84  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.35     7.73    -4.94     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.85     6.07     5.20R    0.57  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.55     7.12   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    36.86R    7.66  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.49     7.57   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    42.31R   10.44  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.38     7.26   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36    32.13R    6.29  
Southampton   12    8  -12      33.88     7.49   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    57.61R   18.24  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.64     6.90   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.20R   52.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.07     8.32    14.87    12.10    24.99    64.85    33.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.73     8.33    25.11    33.77    52.28    85.76    61.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.39     8.35    13.94    10.59    22.47    61.73    31.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.32     8.18     7.88     5.28    12.68    46.49    20.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.89     8.37    25.28    15.50    30.33    70.40    41.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      76.02     8.60    18.92    11.29    23.20    61.11    34.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      69.10     8.27    12.51     2.16     5.98    29.92    11.86P    0.23R    0.00  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      64.06     8.51    -4.31     0.64     1.88    12.85     4.06P    1.52R    0.11  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.42     8.29     6.32     1.30     3.89    22.74     8.26P    0.54R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.16     8.18     4.71     0.85     2.67    18.17     6.04P    0.63R    0.02  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.15     8.43     3.13     0.93     2.87    18.64     6.12P    0.92R    0.07  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.20     8.53    13.11     2.46     6.57    31.41    13.72P    0.33R    0.02  
Derby            17   23   +1      60.21     8.19    -3.14     0.13     0.56     5.62     1.61P    3.72R    0.35  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.43     8.48    -0.61     0.34     1.12     9.75     3.08P    2.60R    0.20  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.13     8.36    -3.68     0.30     1.02     8.95     2.75P    2.61R    0.20  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      64.83     8.59     4.63     0.74     2.38    15.99     6.00P    1.35R    0.11  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.33     8.67     6.52     1.13     3.42    20.39     8.48P    1.07R    0.08  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.16     8.33    -9.10     0.07     0.31     3.59     1.07P    6.88R    0.82  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.43     8.36    -0.61     0.41     1.38    11.27     4.15P    1.73R    0.13  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.30     7.84   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   47.64R   12.98  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.74     8.35   -21.06     0.01     0.01     0.20     0.06P   40.66R   10.75  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.77     7.89   -44.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.83R   33.43  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.37     8.01   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   56.48R   19.15  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      43.93     8.12   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   59.14R   21.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        19   38  +20      79.76     7.79    27.13    16.91    34.25    80.22    45.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   36  +11      85.13     7.71    29.18    40.96    61.58    92.94    71.89P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         19   33  +10      79.67     7.70    24.12    15.54    33.29    79.63    47.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       18   33   +8      76.21     8.27    15.26     8.44    19.38    62.89    30.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       19   33   +0      72.74     7.84     4.16     3.06     8.71    44.61    16.24P    0.15R    0.00  
Swindon         19   32  +13      74.65     7.95    21.31     5.95    15.27    57.44    26.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       19   32   +7      71.31     7.74    10.57     2.40     6.90    38.74    14.03P    0.16R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31  +11      73.09     7.94    18.68     3.92    10.94    49.54    20.25P    0.13R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    19   31   +1      63.21     7.97    -6.56     0.24     0.83     9.93     2.26P    3.95R    0.07  
Preston         19   28   +9      68.28     7.98    13.87     1.12     3.69    27.10     9.09P    0.73R    0.01  
Bournemouth     19   28   +2      67.55     7.98     5.85     0.90     2.88    22.90     7.23P    1.05R    0.01  
Yeovil          19   28   +1      62.72     7.89    -2.90     0.17     0.73     8.94     2.07P    4.18R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient   19   25   -3      57.89     7.72    -9.00     0.03     0.10     2.46     0.50P   12.56R    0.47  
Crewe           19   24   -5      53.70     7.83   -16.60     0.01     0.02     0.89     0.13P   27.97R    1.85  
Coventry        19   23   +1      63.57     8.07     6.32     0.27     1.02    11.89     3.95P    3.36R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      58.15     7.74    -6.76     0.03     0.12     2.90     0.66P   11.43R    0.42  
Walsall         19   21   -8      54.07     7.66   -13.72     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.16P   25.49R    1.70  
Oldham          18   20   -4      53.76     7.79   -10.30     0.00     0.03     0.86     0.17P   26.17R    1.67  
Carlisle        19   20  -14      52.12     7.78   -22.22     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P   35.61R    2.96  
Shrewsbury      19   18   -5      50.71     7.89   -10.98     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P   40.01R    3.79  
Portsmouth      19   18   -6      58.68     8.17    -0.43     0.04     0.20     4.17     1.39P   10.75R    0.58  
Bury            19   18  -10      48.66     7.70   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   51.81R    6.42  
Scunthorpe      19   17  -13      49.46     7.76   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   47.95R    5.31  
Hartlepool      19    8  -22      34.92     7.24   -36.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.42R   74.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           19   40  +20      87.98     7.83    37.00    55.55    88.09    98.57    91.23P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +21      82.72     7.90    35.80    25.69    71.21    93.97    78.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   32   +1      70.35     7.84     2.93     1.57    13.04    47.66    20.44P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +9      68.07     8.08     8.93     1.06     9.09    38.72    15.43P    0.14R    0.03  
Bradford             19   31   +8      68.14     7.82     8.30     0.82     8.70    38.39    14.85P    0.10R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.62     8.35    13.32     5.38    29.52    68.57    40.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter               19   30   +1      70.81     8.20     6.55     2.11    15.35    50.57    24.38P    0.06R    0.01  
Southend             19   29  +10      74.61     7.82    22.85     4.67    30.25    71.59    43.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          19   29   +6      65.24     7.86     4.26     0.34     4.48    25.75     8.62P    0.36R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        19   29   +3      62.87     7.87    -2.22     0.16     2.41    16.67     4.99P    0.92R    0.22  
Rotherham            18   28   +2      68.84     8.21     5.43     1.23    10.63    41.74    17.90P    0.18R    0.02  
Chesterfield         19   25   +2      65.70     8.06     7.45     0.47     5.59    28.67    12.09P    0.40R    0.09  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.09     8.02     6.58     0.68     6.98    33.85    14.10P    0.23R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   18   25   -4      60.92     8.01    -8.23     0.11     1.48    11.65     3.47P    1.86R    0.43  
York                 18   24   -1      56.22     7.92   -10.25     0.02     0.42     4.17     1.08P    6.15R    1.89  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.05     8.13     2.13     0.08     1.30    11.13     3.38P    2.37R    0.64  
Morecambe            19   22   -4      58.67     7.88    -4.65     0.03     0.66     7.27     2.07P    3.16R    0.96  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -7      57.13     7.88    -8.53     0.02     0.40     5.02     1.40P    4.74R    1.47  
Plymouth             19   18   -6      52.36     7.74   -10.17     0.00     0.07     1.40     0.37P   13.17R    4.71  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   18  -14      45.93     7.49   -29.90     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   42.65R   22.22  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17  -14      50.15     7.91   -22.77     0.00     0.04     0.74     0.17P   22.69R    9.65  
Aldershot            19   17  -14      48.57     7.48   -21.66     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   27.45R   11.57  
Wycombe              18   16  -12      54.65     8.46   -11.98     0.01     0.26     3.40     1.05P   10.28R    3.87  
Barnet               19   15  -15      42.10     7.40   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   63.00R   42.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      82.06     7.56    34.19    15.94    80.86    33.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.22     7.42    40.60    47.60    94.99    65.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.66     8.02    17.86     4.56    49.06    12.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.61     7.95    24.50     8.15    64.77    20.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      72.10     8.41    13.15     2.12    32.53     7.26P    0.15R    0.00  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.79     7.74    25.11    18.19    81.20    37.54P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.39     8.00     7.25     1.53    27.77     6.97P    0.16R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.51     7.66     3.28     0.09     5.99     1.12P    1.42R    0.14  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.54     8.17     5.49     0.82    21.07     5.37P    0.34R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.32     7.96     1.17     0.09     6.19     1.16P    1.91R    0.20  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.99     8.16     6.23     0.67    19.54     5.04P    0.41R    0.05  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.59     7.60   -19.14     0.00     0.41     0.04P   16.13R    3.58  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.78     7.54    -5.25     0.00     0.67     0.11P   11.05R    2.17  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.01     7.86    -5.68     0.01     2.08     0.31P    5.90R    1.00  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.74     7.37   -10.54     0.00     0.41     0.06P   13.74R    2.92  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.53     7.84    10.88     0.19     8.41     2.03P    1.14R    0.13  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.39     7.87   -20.55     0.00     0.19     0.02P   28.96R    8.81  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      60.00     7.93    -1.04     0.02     2.71     0.58P    4.72R    0.82  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.62     7.77   -19.96     0.00     0.20     0.04P   27.28R    8.05  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.78     7.87   -16.74     0.00     0.46     0.06P   19.07R    4.87  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.05     8.14   -16.22     0.00     0.22     0.04P   30.58R    9.78  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.55     7.84   -22.73     0.00     0.19     0.03P   28.80R    8.88  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.23     7.45   -27.23     0.00     0.03     0.00P   49.65R   19.51  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.31     7.93   -24.64     0.00     0.04     0.01P   58.56R   29.04