Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      80.94     7.19    43.68    35.40    73.69    90.99    97.24    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.56     6.85    49.51    54.55    85.13    95.80    98.97    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.21     7.42    33.04     7.62    27.52    62.78    83.29    96.22     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.06     7.55     2.09     0.06     0.51     2.82     9.35    35.15     0.19R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      59.98     7.53    12.16     0.18     1.40     6.54    18.38    52.75     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.07     7.55    32.04     2.05    10.31    32.53    62.56    87.51     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.48     7.49    -8.23     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.11     7.65     3.48R    0.23  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.40     7.78     7.78     0.09     0.81     4.28    13.39    44.14     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.58     7.69     3.83     0.02     0.12     0.96     3.88    18.75     1.01R    0.05  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.35     7.36    -7.13     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.59     4.69     5.43R    0.38  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.68     7.57     9.80     0.04     0.43     2.52     8.98    35.48     0.19R    0.01  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.27     7.53    -7.28     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.94     6.77     4.02R    0.34  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.75     7.23   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.98    18.33R    2.35  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.87     7.32    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     3.08     7.97R    0.72  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.44     7.73    -4.87     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.83     6.26     5.12R    0.52  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.61     7.10   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.23    36.62R    7.66  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.40     7.64   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.28    43.07R   11.20  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.21     7.26   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34    33.19R    6.66  
Southampton   12    8  -12      34.14     7.51   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    56.25R   17.54  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.69     6.91   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.92R   52.32  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.26     8.31    15.18    12.47    25.61    65.63    33.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.72     8.34    25.08    33.50    52.13    85.57    61.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.14     8.37    13.55    10.00    21.58    60.72    30.59P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.37     8.20     7.95     5.30    12.71    46.83    20.28P    0.06R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.99     8.33    25.45    15.79    30.66    70.92    41.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      76.00     8.61    18.84    11.29    23.13    61.22    34.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      69.06     8.26    12.53     2.06     5.82    29.61    11.65P    0.25R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      63.83     8.39    -4.63     0.54     1.59    12.19     3.69P    1.59R    0.10  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.39     8.32     6.26     1.34     3.96    22.87     8.29P    0.53R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.10     8.15     4.64     0.89     2.70    17.85     6.06P    0.67R    0.03  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.41     8.44     3.52     1.10     3.05    19.50     6.48P    0.77R    0.05  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.08     8.51    12.91     2.37     6.49    30.96    13.60P    0.35R    0.02  
Derby            17   23   +1      59.90     8.15    -3.62     0.16     0.52     5.10     1.50P    4.02R    0.32  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.48     8.51    -0.52     0.34     1.17     9.83     3.05P    2.55R    0.21  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.13     8.37    -3.65     0.32     1.06     8.78     2.77P    2.61R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      65.00     8.68     4.93     0.83     2.61    16.52     6.32P    1.31R    0.09  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.31     8.70     6.51     1.19     3.52    20.48     8.52P    1.05R    0.07  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.23     8.34    -9.03     0.10     0.33     3.60     1.01P    6.63R    0.83  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.41     8.38    -0.64     0.44     1.33    11.45     4.20P    1.84R    0.14  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.15     7.80   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.71R   13.27  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.79     8.35   -20.93     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   40.49R   10.79  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.90     7.89   -44.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   71.31R   32.58  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.27     7.98   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   56.96R   20.05  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      44.10     8.17   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   58.24R   21.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        19   38  +20      79.75     7.72    27.11    17.12    34.61    80.49    45.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   36  +11      84.87     7.78    28.77    39.92    60.70    92.39    71.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   33  +10      79.50     7.71    23.86    15.41    32.75    78.92    47.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       18   33   +8      76.14     8.27    15.14     8.48    19.52    62.51    29.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Stevenage       19   33   +0      72.88     7.85     4.32     3.40     9.26    45.50    17.06P    0.11R    0.00  
Swindon         19   32  +13      74.45     8.01    21.07     6.07    15.00    56.46    26.04P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       19   32   +7      71.33     7.81    10.61     2.52     7.26    39.41    14.82P    0.21R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31  +11      73.09     7.97    18.66     4.20    11.29    49.87    20.93P    0.13R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    19   31   +1      63.19     7.95    -6.60     0.29     0.89     9.83     2.19P    3.89R    0.05  
Preston         19   28   +9      68.14     7.94    13.65     1.08     3.50    26.54     8.66P    0.76R    0.01  
Bournemouth     19   28   +2      67.60     7.96     5.91     0.90     2.89    23.07     7.09P    1.11R    0.01  
Yeovil          19   28   +1      62.69     7.95    -2.93     0.18     0.73     9.03     2.10P    4.40R    0.10  
Leyton_Orient   19   25   -3      57.80     7.67    -9.11     0.02     0.08     2.50     0.47P   12.68R    0.47  
Crewe           19   24   -5      53.75     7.88   -16.55     0.00     0.04     1.02     0.19P   28.09R    1.76  
Coventry        19   23   +1      63.65     8.08     6.46     0.31     1.11    12.19     4.00P    3.24R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      58.24     7.81    -6.58     0.03     0.13     3.15     0.76P   11.66R    0.46  
Walsall         19   21   -8      54.12     7.70   -13.63     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.18P   25.24R    1.73  
Oldham          18   20   -4      53.72     7.82   -10.32     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.15P   26.64R    1.67  
Carlisle        19   20  -14      52.14     7.81   -22.08     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P   35.95R    3.01  
Shrewsbury      19   18   -5      50.78     7.89   -10.95     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   40.31R    3.72  
Portsmouth      19   18   -6      58.82     8.09    -0.25     0.05     0.17     4.10     1.34P   10.34R    0.55  
Bury            19   18  -10      48.79     7.70   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   51.29R    6.37  
Scunthorpe      19   17  -13      49.64     7.77   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   47.38R    5.40  
Hartlepool      19    8  -22      34.91     7.29   -36.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.41R   74.60  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           19   40  +20      87.92     7.80    36.93    55.38    88.14    98.46    91.11P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            19   36  +21      82.71     7.81    35.79    25.42    70.94    94.22    77.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   32   +1      70.59     7.85     3.27     1.70    13.65    48.73    21.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       19   31   +9      68.04     8.06     8.92     1.12     9.22    38.24    15.45P    0.11R    0.01  
Bradford             19   31   +8      68.11     7.81     8.29     0.75     8.42    38.23    14.83P    0.12R    0.02  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.34     8.37    12.90     5.12    28.58    67.01    39.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               19   30   +1      70.84     8.15     6.59     1.97    15.47    50.89    24.53P    0.05R    0.01  
Southend             19   29  +10      74.76     7.81    23.07     4.94    30.63    72.00    44.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          19   29   +6      65.25     7.81     4.27     0.33     4.29    25.69     8.56P    0.35R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        19   29   +3      62.93     7.84    -2.19     0.17     2.41    16.52     4.83P    0.80R    0.15  
Rotherham            18   28   +2      68.83     8.22     5.43     1.39    10.70    41.35    17.94P    0.12R    0.03  
Chesterfield         19   25   +2      65.86     8.14     7.68     0.59     5.80    29.36    12.72P    0.37R    0.09  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.19     8.11     6.70     0.81     7.27    34.51    14.51P    0.22R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   18   25   -4      60.94     8.07    -8.20     0.13     1.55    11.70     3.48P    1.92R    0.50  
York                 18   24   -1      56.30     7.95   -10.18     0.02     0.40     4.33     1.04P    5.99R    1.76  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.06     8.11     2.13     0.09     1.21    11.08     3.32P    2.34R    0.65  
Morecambe            19   22   -4      58.51     7.88    -4.92     0.03     0.58     6.86     1.91P    3.43R    1.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -7      57.15     7.85    -8.45     0.02     0.43     4.97     1.44P    4.70R    1.51  
Plymouth             19   18   -6      52.33     7.69   -10.20     0.00     0.07     1.36     0.33P   12.93R    4.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   18  -14      45.89     7.47   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   42.76R   22.04  
Bristol_Rovers       18   17  -14      50.04     7.93   -22.94     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.15P   22.97R    9.70  
Aldershot            19   17  -14      48.80     7.47   -21.28     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   26.22R   10.76  
Wycombe              18   16  -12      54.56     8.42   -12.13     0.00     0.23     3.32     1.01P   10.42R    3.94  
Barnet               19   15  -15      41.87     7.39   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.10R   43.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 November 2012, Braintree_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.99     7.57    34.04    16.03    80.44    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            19   36  +17      88.23     7.48    40.58    47.26    94.76    64.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.85     7.99    18.11     4.64    50.19    12.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.77     7.87    24.75     8.42    65.47    21.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.88     8.34    12.79     1.91    31.27     6.90P    0.14R    0.00  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.95     7.73    25.38    18.45    81.70    38.10P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          19   29   -1      71.40     7.95     7.31     1.32    27.86     6.81P    0.11R    0.01  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.30     7.63     2.99     0.08     5.50     0.96P    1.41R    0.17  
Macclesfield       19   27   -3      69.54     8.22     5.42     0.84    21.06     5.29P    0.40R    0.03  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.45     7.93     1.39     0.08     6.12     1.13P    1.88R    0.25  
Hereford           19   26   -3      69.12     8.13     6.42     0.72    20.00     5.06P    0.39R    0.04  
Alfreton_Town      19   25   -6      54.66     7.59   -19.01     0.00     0.52     0.06P   15.76R    3.41  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.78     7.57    -5.21     0.00     0.69     0.11P   10.95R    2.18  
Stockport          19   24   -2      58.91     7.89    -5.87     0.03     2.04     0.33P    6.15R    1.06  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.85     7.41   -10.43     0.01     0.37     0.05P   13.76R    2.81  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.44     7.80    10.78     0.15     8.14     2.05P    1.20R    0.15  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.13     7.93   -21.01     0.00     0.19     0.02P   30.35R    9.71  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.83     7.93    -1.30     0.03     2.57     0.55P    5.06R    0.92  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.39     7.76   -20.28     0.00     0.18     0.02P   28.43R    8.58  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.96     7.88   -16.42     0.00     0.46     0.05P   18.39R    4.65  
Hyde_United        19   20   -6      51.18     8.16   -16.05     0.00     0.21     0.03P   29.95R    9.56  
Braintree_Town     19   20  -13      51.45     7.74   -22.82     0.00     0.18     0.03P   28.93R    8.83  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.41     7.50   -26.98     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.71R   18.85  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.34     7.85   -24.57     0.00     0.02     0.01P   58.01R   28.78