Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 November 2012, West_Ham vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      81.01     7.20    43.80    36.48    73.75    91.16    97.15    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.40     6.88    49.07    53.28    84.50    95.40    98.81    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.25     7.32    33.11     7.65    27.62    62.99    83.69    96.34     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.30     7.55     2.53     0.08     0.62     3.09     9.85    36.08     0.18R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      60.10     7.51    12.40     0.20     1.42     6.89    18.72    52.74     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      67.97     7.59    31.83     2.17    10.57    31.62    61.34    87.23     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham      12   19   +3      48.38     7.50    -8.39     0.00     0.04     0.30     1.14     7.31     3.41R    0.21  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.48     7.77     7.95     0.08     0.84     4.33    13.55    43.96     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.54     7.68     3.74     0.01     0.12     0.92     3.67    18.32     1.00R    0.06  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.28     7.35    -7.25     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.47     4.23     5.56R    0.42  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.85     7.58    10.05     0.04     0.45     2.78     9.31    36.26     0.27R    0.00  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.35     7.62    -7.15     0.00     0.03     0.18     0.99     6.98     4.04R    0.36  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.74     7.26   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.03    18.44R    2.52  
Stoke         12   13   -1      44.90     7.27    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.30     2.96     7.76R    0.67  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.33     7.76    -4.99     0.00     0.02     0.18     0.86     6.04     5.37R    0.56  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.61     7.11   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22    36.59R    7.37  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.44     7.64   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.27    42.61R   11.03  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.24     7.28   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34    32.54R    6.67  
Southampton   12    8  -12      33.90     7.50   -31.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    57.21R   18.26  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.70     6.90   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.85R   51.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.02     8.24    14.85    11.56    24.64    64.50    32.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.72     8.28    25.08    33.36    52.00    85.91    61.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.32     8.33    13.86    10.27    22.26    61.55    31.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.54     8.22     8.25     5.55    13.24    47.76    21.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.95     8.41    25.39    15.90    30.60    70.60    41.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      76.10     8.62    18.98    11.72    23.53    60.89    35.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      68.99     8.21    12.42     2.04     5.55    29.36    11.20P    0.21R    0.01  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      63.90     8.41    -4.56     0.56     1.78    12.27     3.88P    1.53R    0.08  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.23     8.27     6.02     1.34     3.80    22.05     7.98P    0.55R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.28     8.24     4.89     1.01     2.76    18.91     6.36P    0.54R    0.03  
Watford          17   26   +3      65.95     8.43     2.80     0.90     2.85    18.10     5.98P    0.92R    0.06  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      69.12     8.51    12.94     2.38     6.43    30.71    13.44P    0.35R    0.03  
Derby            17   23   +1      60.03     8.10    -3.41     0.12     0.46     5.17     1.41P    3.81R    0.33  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.44     8.51    -0.55     0.36     1.13     9.87     3.01P    2.52R    0.22  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.18     8.40    -3.59     0.32     1.09     9.14     2.86P    2.51R    0.17  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      65.03     8.58     4.97     0.86     2.53    16.35     6.39P    1.28R    0.07  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.49     8.69     6.84     1.24     3.53    21.33     8.77P    1.00R    0.07  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.27     8.31    -8.88     0.08     0.33     3.60     0.98P    6.60R    0.70  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.51     8.40    -0.51     0.45     1.47    11.57     4.45P    1.71R    0.11  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.28     7.83   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.98R   12.96  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.68     8.33   -21.22     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   40.69R   10.95  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.70     7.83   -44.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    72.23R   33.68  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.36     8.02   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.37R   19.32  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      43.95     8.14   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   59.11R   21.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        18   37  +20      80.74     8.01    28.02    17.19    35.75    81.76    46.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   35  +11      86.42     7.86    30.55    42.73    64.23    94.17    74.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         18   32  +14      76.68     8.20    23.29     8.04    19.61    65.58    32.29P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   32  +10      80.70     7.96    24.97    16.44    34.84    81.57    49.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       18   32   +0      73.22     8.10     4.27     3.05     8.72    46.18    16.47P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    18   31   +2      65.11     8.29    -4.93     0.45     1.45    14.69     3.46P    2.47R    0.04  
Notts_County    18   30  +11      73.57     8.18    18.86     3.98    10.89    50.80    20.21P    0.11R    0.00  
Doncaster       17   30   +6      74.09     8.51    12.57     4.57    12.25    51.72    21.84P    0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       18   29   +6      69.07     8.02     8.74     1.21     3.87    28.41     9.49P    0.48R    0.00  
Preston         18   27   +9      68.78     8.23    14.01     1.12     3.78    28.77     9.60P    0.71R    0.01  
Bournemouth     18   27   +2      68.17     8.16     6.19     0.86     2.95    25.00     7.83P    0.82R    0.01  
Yeovil          18   25   +0      60.94     8.16    -4.31     0.10     0.41     6.58     1.43P    6.64R    0.26  
Colchester      18   23   -2      60.03     8.01    -3.91     0.06     0.25     4.92     1.19P    7.61R    0.26  
Crewe           18   23   -5      52.81     7.94   -18.50     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.10P   30.95R    2.74  
Leyton_Orient   18   22   -4      55.50     7.86   -11.05     0.01     0.05     1.39     0.28P   19.19R    1.18  
Coventry        18   20   -1      61.23     8.21     3.31     0.09     0.44     7.40     2.30P    5.67R    0.23  
Walsall         18   20   -8      53.89     7.94   -14.65     0.01     0.02     0.96     0.19P   25.55R    2.26  
Carlisle        18   20  -12      53.74     8.05   -19.74     0.01     0.02     0.85     0.17P   27.34R    2.40  
Portsmouth      18   18   -5      61.06     8.32     2.00     0.08     0.43     7.16     2.38P    6.35R    0.28  
Shrewsbury      18   17   -5      50.24     8.00   -12.19     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P   41.03R    5.15  
Oldham          17   17   -5      51.88     7.96   -11.61     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.09P   33.09R    3.58  
Scunthorpe      18   17  -12      51.43     7.93   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P   36.65R    3.87  
Bury            18   15  -11      46.49     7.86   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.87R   11.74  
Hartlepool      18    8  -21      36.30     7.50   -35.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.14R   66.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           18   40  +21      90.28     8.06    39.42    67.31    92.14    99.12    94.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            18   33  +17      80.56     8.12    30.95    15.79    61.10    89.87    69.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           18   32   +4      72.64     8.02     7.29     2.59    21.03    59.73    29.93P    0.03R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       18   31  +11      71.05     8.33    13.42     2.26    17.73    53.75    25.90P    0.06R    0.02  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.36     8.36    12.92     4.22    29.17    67.90    40.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   29   +4      65.35     8.08     0.47     0.39     5.03    26.26     8.68P    0.45R    0.09  
Bradford             18   28   +7      66.64     7.93     7.47     0.49     6.58    32.39    12.03P    0.25R    0.04  
Rotherham            17   28   +3      71.08     8.41     7.87     2.29    17.26    52.77    25.55P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               18   27   +0      67.96     8.38     3.67     1.01     9.69    38.14    17.04P    0.25R    0.05  
Southend             18   26   +6      72.15     8.07    17.59     2.39    21.22    60.05    33.71P    0.03R    0.01  
Northampton          18   26   +3      62.66     8.06    -0.22     0.15     2.57    17.51     5.59P    1.11R    0.27  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.31     8.07     6.88     0.65     7.83    35.48    15.31P    0.22R    0.05  
York                 18   24   -1      56.30     7.95   -10.13     0.02     0.43     4.48     1.24P    5.98R    1.83  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      59.81     8.16     1.80     0.08     1.44    10.94     3.52P    2.50R    0.75  
Morecambe            18   22   -1      60.62     8.09    -0.75     0.05     1.49    12.20     3.89P    2.03R    0.56  
Chesterfield         18   22   -1      63.13     8.30     3.03     0.22     3.55    20.02     8.14P    1.06R    0.25  
Accrington_Stanley   17   22   -6      57.83     8.16   -12.43     0.05     0.72     6.44     1.80P    4.74R    1.43  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -7      57.64     8.06    -8.24     0.02     0.58     6.22     1.81P    4.76R    1.53  
Plymouth             18   18   -5      53.94     7.95    -8.82     0.01     0.19     2.58     0.77P    9.92R    3.40  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   18  -10      48.08     7.78   -24.39     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.06P   31.25R   14.60  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17  -10      52.04     8.17   -17.88     0.01     0.11     1.57     0.41P   16.61R    6.51  
Barnet               18   14  -15      42.08     7.60   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   62.74R   42.09  
Aldershot            18   14  -15      46.38     7.71   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   38.68R   19.28  
Wycombe              17   13  -13      51.87     8.54   -14.78     0.00     0.13     1.92     0.59P   17.25R    7.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Mansfield vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.94     7.58    34.03    18.70    80.67    35.78P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.79     7.96    18.04     5.49    50.03    13.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.61     7.92    24.47     9.66    64.66    21.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   33  +13      85.94     7.72    35.28    37.53    90.52    56.34P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.86     8.35    12.80     2.26    31.34     7.23P    0.13R    0.02  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.89     7.76    25.33    21.34    81.87    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.39     7.77     3.13     0.14     6.21     1.27P    1.78R    0.21  
Macclesfield       18   27   +0      72.90     8.45    11.63     2.92    35.90    10.74P    0.13R    0.02  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.44     7.93     1.30     0.14     6.52     1.17P    1.89R    0.26  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.82     8.20     5.94     0.82    19.12     5.14P    0.48R    0.05  
Mansfield          18   26   -4      68.00     8.17     1.38     0.70    16.28     3.82P    0.62R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.86     7.58    -5.08     0.01     0.69     0.09P   11.47R    2.17  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.13     7.88    -5.55     0.04     2.30     0.40P    6.02R    1.01  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.99     7.42   -10.20     0.00     0.44     0.05P   13.94R    2.69  
Alfreton_Town      18   24   -6      55.04     7.85   -18.98     0.00     0.64     0.06P   16.24R    3.68  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.56     7.80    10.99     0.21     8.44     2.24P    1.29R    0.14  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.31     7.93   -20.71     0.00     0.25     0.03P   30.45R    9.36  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.73     7.94    -1.45     0.03     2.66     0.53P    5.37R    0.94  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.50     7.75   -20.13     0.00     0.18     0.04P   28.86R    8.23  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.63     7.79   -16.91     0.00     0.40     0.04P   20.04R    5.05  
Braintree_Town     18   20   -9      53.61     7.99   -17.28     0.00     0.46     0.06P   21.14R    5.70  
Hyde_United        18   19   -6      51.77     8.43   -15.74     0.00     0.36     0.04P   28.83R    9.35  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.40     7.51   -26.99     0.00     0.04     0.01P   49.86R   19.75  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      44.94     7.88   -25.30     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.47R   31.30