Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Fulham vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City      12   28  +15      81.04     7.15    43.88    36.25    74.24    91.21    97.38    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd       12   27  +12      83.50     6.85    49.28    53.72    84.85    95.56    98.91    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       12   24  +11      73.24     7.39    33.11     7.58    27.18    62.79    83.62    96.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     12   23   +6      57.03     7.50     2.09     0.06     0.49     2.91     9.21    34.76     0.17R    0.00  
Everton       12   20   +6      60.04     7.49    12.27     0.19     1.46     6.55    18.20    52.54     0.04R    0.00  
Arsenal       12   19  +10      68.02     7.57    31.91     2.06    10.37    32.44    62.08    87.42     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.08     7.85    -7.91     0.01     0.06     0.45     1.73     9.47     3.53R    0.22  
Tottenham     12   17   -1      58.34     7.71     7.68     0.09     0.74     4.01    13.06    43.50     0.13R    0.00  
Fulham        12   16   +3      52.54     7.68     3.77     0.01     0.15     0.95     3.68    18.44     1.04R    0.06  
Swansea       12   16   +2      46.30     7.36    -7.22     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.59     4.55     5.58R    0.45  
Liverpool     12   15   +1      56.63     7.61     9.75     0.04     0.40     2.58     9.16    35.02     0.28R    0.01  
Newcastle     12   14   -4      48.33     7.62    -7.17     0.00     0.03     0.19     1.03     7.11     4.09R    0.40  
Norwich       12   14   -9      41.75     7.28   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     1.01    18.29R    2.60  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.87     7.49    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     3.13     8.60R    0.87  
Sunderland    11   12   -2      47.57     7.75    -4.59     0.00     0.02     0.17     0.85     6.34     4.98R    0.54  
Wigan         12   11   -9      37.62     7.08   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20    36.31R    7.55  
Reading       11    9   -5      36.42     7.62   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.26    42.95R   10.86  
Aston_Villa   12    9  -12      38.28     7.27   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.34    32.73R    6.72  
Southampton   12    8  -12      34.14     7.55   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    56.33R   17.72  
QPR           12    4  -14      27.72     6.88   -34.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.95R   51.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Millwall vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   17   36  +13      77.27     8.25    15.18    12.33    25.45    65.41    33.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          17   34  +11      82.62     8.38    24.93    32.86    51.29    85.47    60.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    17   32   +7      76.20     8.42    13.63    10.24    21.74    60.89    30.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             17   31   +4      73.60     8.20     8.33     5.48    13.31    48.18    21.19P    0.03R    0.00  
Leicester        17   30  +13      77.97     8.39    25.45    15.85    30.75    70.64    42.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn        17   28   +6      76.10     8.66    19.02    11.55    23.50    61.10    35.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         17   27   +9      69.05     8.20    12.50     2.12     5.86    29.18    11.36P    0.23R    0.02  
Huddersfield     17   27   +0      64.09     8.46    -4.30     0.57     1.79    12.92     4.02P    1.55R    0.07  
Millwall         17   26   +4      67.12     8.31     5.84     1.21     3.55    21.81     7.67P    0.54R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest    17   26   +4      66.09     8.24     4.61     0.93     2.70    18.14     6.02P    0.68R    0.03  
Watford          17   26   +3      66.07     8.35     2.99     0.87     2.78    18.16     5.98P    0.85R    0.07  
Blackpool        17   23   +3      68.95     8.50    12.66     2.42     6.36    30.07    13.19P    0.35R    0.03  
Derby            17   23   +1      59.95     8.14    -3.54     0.15     0.52     5.13     1.43P    3.81R    0.35  
Charlton         17   23   +0      62.59     8.54    -0.37     0.41     1.24    10.25     3.18P    2.35R    0.20  
Burnley          17   23   -2      62.35     8.37    -3.35     0.32     1.11     9.28     2.97P    2.28R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    17   22   +0      65.13     8.60     5.12     0.87     2.58    16.75     6.38P    1.21R    0.08  
Bolton           17   21   -2      66.57     8.67     6.97     1.30     3.66    21.28     8.96P    0.89R    0.07  
Leeds_United     17   20   -6      58.20     8.39    -9.00     0.08     0.33     3.68     0.97P    6.81R    0.85  
Birmingham       17   20   -6      63.39     8.40    -0.66     0.45     1.45    11.32     4.36P    1.83R    0.15  
Barnsley         17   16   -9      46.14     7.79   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.53R   12.97  
Sheff_Wed        17   15   -9      47.60     8.32   -21.29     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   41.19R   11.08  
Ipswich          17   13  -25      41.97     7.91   -44.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   70.69R   32.16  
Bristol_City     17   12   -9      44.20     7.98   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.99R   20.04  
Peterborough     17   12  -10      43.91     8.16   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   59.11R   21.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2012, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        18   37  +20      80.75     8.04    28.01    17.45    35.78    81.82    47.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   35  +11      86.38     7.86    30.50    42.29    63.69    94.19    73.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         18   32  +14      76.94     8.17    23.73     8.45    20.43    66.67    33.07P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         18   32  +10      80.80     7.95    25.22    16.23    34.96    81.85    49.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       18   32   +0      73.10     8.12     4.11     2.91     8.52    45.62    16.40P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    18   31   +2      65.08     8.22    -4.99     0.42     1.44    14.40     3.51P    2.33R    0.03  
Notts_County    18   30  +11      73.88     8.22    19.34     4.10    11.57    52.28    21.33P    0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster       17   30   +6      74.01     8.52    12.41     4.60    11.89    50.99    21.21P    0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       18   29   +6      68.98     7.98     8.58     1.19     3.55    27.94     9.08P    0.51R    0.00  
Preston         18   27   +9      68.80     8.15    14.02     1.04     3.64    28.61     9.27P    0.66R    0.01  
Bournemouth     18   27   +2      68.11     8.19     6.10     0.94     2.89    24.67     7.37P    0.87R    0.02  
Yeovil          18   25   +0      60.83     8.11    -4.45     0.09     0.37     6.30     1.33P    6.68R    0.27  
Colchester      18   23   -2      59.95     8.00    -4.10     0.04     0.22     4.73     1.09P    7.59R    0.28  
Crewe           18   23   -5      52.70     7.98   -18.69     0.00     0.03     0.79     0.12P   31.56R    2.88  
Leyton_Orient   18   22   -4      55.20     7.84   -11.45     0.01     0.04     1.22     0.24P   19.85R    1.25  
Coventry        18   20   -1      61.40     8.19     3.56     0.11     0.43     7.51     2.25P    5.49R    0.19  
Walsall         18   20   -8      53.98     7.88   -14.52     0.01     0.02     0.88     0.18P   24.97R    1.99  
Carlisle        18   20  -12      53.85     8.03   -19.53     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.20P   26.84R    2.25  
Portsmouth      18   18   -5      61.06     8.38     2.06     0.12     0.46     7.30     2.50P    6.47R    0.34  
Shrewsbury      18   17   -5      50.17     8.02   -12.25     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.08P   41.68R    4.93  
Oldham          17   17   -5      51.87     7.94   -11.62     0.00     0.02     0.50     0.10P   33.14R    3.52  
Scunthorpe      18   17  -12      51.41     7.93   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.10P   36.52R    4.07  
Bury            18   15  -11      46.61     7.86   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   60.17R   11.26  
Hartlepool      18    8  -21      36.16     7.49   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.22R   66.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 November 2012, AFC_Wimbledon vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           18   40  +21      90.36     7.96    39.49    68.17    92.50    99.13    94.46P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            18   33  +17      80.65     8.10    31.12    15.60    61.42    90.10    69.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           18   32   +4      72.60     8.08     7.29     2.54    21.19    59.40    29.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       18   31  +11      70.88     8.22    13.15     2.04    16.82    52.70    25.11P    0.05R    0.01  
Rochdale             18   30   +4      74.36     8.33    12.90     4.15    29.13    68.08    40.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   29   +4      65.26     8.09     0.32     0.34     4.81    25.38     8.47P    0.45R    0.10  
Bradford             18   28   +7      66.79     7.99     7.72     0.52     7.08    33.08    12.73P    0.23R    0.05  
Rotherham            17   28   +3      71.14     8.38     7.96     2.20    17.39    53.06    25.84P    0.08R    0.02  
Exeter               18   27   +0      67.99     8.31     3.67     0.95     9.66    38.23    17.13P    0.20R    0.04  
Southend             18   26   +6      72.05     8.07    17.43     2.30    20.90    59.82    33.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          18   26   +3      62.84     8.07     0.01     0.16     2.82    17.94     5.95P    1.01R    0.20  
Torquay              18   25   +1      67.28     8.08     6.83     0.62     7.85    35.26    15.24P    0.22R    0.05  
York                 18   24   -1      56.43     8.01    -9.91     0.02     0.44     4.71     1.25P    5.90R    1.78  
Dag_&_Red            18   22   +3      60.03     8.13     2.15     0.06     1.39    11.39     3.69P    2.20R    0.62  
Morecambe            18   22   -1      60.67     8.11    -0.66     0.06     1.54    12.45     4.08P    1.99R    0.52  
Chesterfield         18   22   -1      63.19     8.29     3.12     0.20     3.47    20.30     8.19P    1.01R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   17   22   -6      57.71     8.12   -12.60     0.02     0.66     6.30     1.86P    4.67R    1.32  
Oxford_Utd           18   20   -7      57.72     8.00    -8.14     0.01     0.52     6.16     1.79P    4.43R    1.43  
Plymouth             18   18   -5      53.82     7.95    -9.01     0.01     0.17     2.36     0.61P   10.21R    3.64  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   18  -10      48.11     7.71   -24.28     0.00     0.03     0.39     0.11P   30.63R   14.34  
Bristol_Rovers       17   17  -10      51.94     8.17   -18.01     0.01     0.09     1.56     0.37P   16.41R    6.46  
Barnet               18   14  -15      41.86     7.60   -31.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   63.43R   42.62  
Aldershot            18   14  -15      46.32     7.70   -23.56     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P   38.79R   18.80  
Wycombe              17   13  -13      51.71     8.65   -15.04     0.00     0.13     1.99     0.59P   18.03R    7.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 November 2012, Mansfield vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            20   36  +18      81.96     7.55    34.05    18.66    80.81    35.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     19   36  +14      75.72     7.95    17.92     5.50    49.71    13.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       19   34  +13      78.71     7.95    24.65     9.93    65.71    22.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            18   33  +13      85.95     7.77    35.36    37.70    90.49    56.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           19   33  +10      71.79     8.33    12.66     2.27    31.02     7.32P    0.16R    0.02  
Luton              19   33   +5      82.78     7.76    25.21    21.08    81.56    39.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead          20   27   +2      63.53     7.71     3.28     0.10     6.21     1.24P    1.63R    0.19  
Macclesfield       18   27   +0      72.81     8.42    11.49     2.78    35.55    10.47P    0.18R    0.01  
Lincoln_City       19   26   +1      63.30     7.90     1.15     0.16     6.07     1.21P    2.13R    0.28  
Hereford           19   26   -3      68.82     8.16     5.94     0.86    19.29     5.05P    0.48R    0.06  
Mansfield          18   26   -4      68.09     8.20     1.53     0.69    16.64     3.88P    0.62R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        19   24   +3      55.79     7.57    -5.20     0.01     0.77     0.14P   11.57R    2.21  
Stockport          19   24   -2      59.10     7.89    -5.55     0.03     2.12     0.38P    6.28R    1.12  
Tamworth           20   24   -3      54.91     7.41   -10.32     0.00     0.45     0.06P   14.00R    3.05  
Alfreton_Town      18   24   -6      54.63     7.81   -19.72     0.01     0.54     0.05P   17.53R    4.12  
Kidderminster      19   23   +4      64.57     7.80    11.02     0.18     8.56     2.20P    1.19R    0.11  
Woking             20   23   -7      51.29     7.96   -20.74     0.00     0.29     0.05P   30.84R    9.66  
Cambridge_Utd      19   21   -4      59.92     7.90    -1.17     0.03     2.70     0.53P    5.10R    0.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   21   -8      51.59     7.74   -20.03     0.00     0.21     0.02P   28.42R    8.26  
Southport          19   21   -9      53.68     7.84   -16.96     0.00     0.42     0.05P   20.38R    5.20  
Braintree_Town     18   20   -9      53.54     8.00   -17.42     0.00     0.38     0.08P   21.57R    5.86  
Hyde_United        18   19   -6      52.02     8.47   -15.37     0.00     0.44     0.05P   28.02R    9.08  
Barrow             19   19  -12      47.38     7.52   -27.03     0.00     0.05     0.01P   49.83R   19.82  
Nuneaton           19   17  -10      45.20     7.87   -24.77     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.06R   30.11