Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 17 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      87.01     6.96    54.77    69.78    91.51    98.15    99.55    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.23     7.45    38.07    19.79    60.23    85.34    94.59    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.61     7.59    35.60     9.21    37.51    72.82    88.24    97.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.39     7.76    14.79     0.28     2.67    10.40    27.18    63.46     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.79     7.70     0.03     0.02     0.28     1.67     5.90    23.97     0.37R    0.02  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.01     7.75    -7.92     0.01     0.05     0.35     1.50     8.65     2.51R    0.19  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.05     7.94    11.16     0.13     1.21     6.23    18.88    51.31     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.88     7.85    27.59     0.74     5.91    20.95    47.72    79.43     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.24     7.89     7.96     0.02     0.32     1.98     7.19    28.45     0.34R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.94     7.81    -4.08     0.00     0.06     0.47     2.22    12.22     1.73R    0.14  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.74     7.49    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.26     2.27     9.05R    0.99  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.77     7.45    -6.95     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.30     2.88     6.87R    0.71  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.92     7.81     6.60     0.01     0.23     1.48     6.00    26.41     0.48R    0.03  
Wigan         11   11   -6      39.11     7.33   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45    25.26R    4.66  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.36     7.44   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35    29.85R    6.02  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.01     7.86    -9.39     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.32     2.65     9.85R    1.49  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.74     7.46   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.60    22.32R    4.03  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.77     7.77   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.13    52.13R   17.63  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.22     7.70   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    66.29R   29.86  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.86     7.17   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.85R   34.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.81     8.45    10.95     9.51    20.06    56.09    27.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.62     8.67    14.67    16.63    31.27    68.55    39.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.22     8.63    24.34    31.74    49.20    82.28    58.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.84     8.39     5.71     3.74     9.62    37.80    16.04P    0.18R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      75.17     8.64    17.62    11.41    23.02    59.43    32.70P    0.07R    0.01  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.93     8.66    -2.52     1.40     3.82    19.52     7.09P    1.23R    0.09  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.48     8.94    14.29     8.86    18.47    51.71    28.63P    0.16R    0.00  
Brighton         16   24   +8      67.08     8.43    10.96     1.75     4.73    24.61     9.62P    0.71R    0.04  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.28     8.42     1.02     0.48     1.50    10.59     3.39P    2.97R    0.26  
Millwall         16   23   +3      65.91     8.60     5.43     1.47     3.95    20.27     7.68P    1.23R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      64.76     8.45     3.97     0.90     2.74    16.38     5.90P    1.46R    0.12  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.33     8.66     1.76     0.95     2.70    15.79     5.54P    1.98R    0.14  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.66     8.58    -0.79     0.94     2.75    15.96     5.63P    1.85R    0.16  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      69.85     8.76    13.53     4.02     9.64    36.40    17.37P    0.48R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.62     8.98     6.25     2.05     5.20    23.98    10.24P    1.27R    0.10  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.70     8.80    -3.38     0.26     0.88     6.84     2.23P    6.73R    0.84  
Bolton           16   20   -2      67.74     8.95     8.19     2.45     6.25    27.71    12.65P    1.12R    0.11  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.59     8.62    -8.09     0.22     0.72     6.24     1.89P    6.27R    0.75  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.57     8.61     1.58     1.20     3.44    19.01     8.06P    1.38R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.82     8.60   -20.65     0.01     0.03     0.41     0.11P   39.56R   11.21  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.63     8.04   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   55.56R   18.31  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.29     8.22   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   62.85R   25.82  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      46.11     8.43   -19.88     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   51.69R   17.54  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      44.11     8.29   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   61.16R   24.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.45     8.18    29.46    27.21    47.24    86.96    56.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      84.07     8.11    26.17    33.29    54.27    90.20    66.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      74.96     8.21     7.87     5.71    14.34    56.14    23.38P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.37     8.50    -4.94     0.63     1.98    16.77     4.09P    2.62R    0.10  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.59     8.40    19.74     6.05    15.27    56.92    25.52P    0.13R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.18     8.50    19.07     5.86    14.34    54.79    25.09P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.69     8.10    23.48    13.04    28.55    75.33    43.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.55     8.17     8.87     1.87     5.13    32.25    11.42P    0.52R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.98     8.65    10.84     3.43     9.33    43.48    17.62P    0.40R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.27     8.36    14.19     1.75     5.11    32.18    11.36P    0.69R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.73     8.27    -0.44     0.24     0.87    10.26     2.52P    4.66R    0.24  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.38     8.27     1.49     0.44     1.68    16.64     4.65P    2.43R    0.09  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.36     8.25   -17.16     0.02     0.10     1.40     0.30P   25.92R    3.04  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.24     8.17    -6.12     0.03     0.18     3.59     0.85P   12.33R    0.90  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.39     8.26   -14.48     0.02     0.11     2.32     0.48P   18.51R    1.84  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.10     7.95   -16.46     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.10P   34.23R    4.49  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.20     8.07   -14.66     0.01     0.05     1.24     0.26P   25.33R    2.89  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.33     8.56     4.30     0.34     1.17    12.65     4.69P    4.33R    0.28  
Oldham          16   17   -2      54.20     8.19    -7.03     0.01     0.04     1.41     0.29P   24.08R    2.79  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.67     8.46    -4.45     0.05     0.19     3.79     1.10P   13.97R    1.21  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.47     8.14   -18.54     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.11P   37.49R    5.90  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.32     8.16   -19.33     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   52.49R   11.53  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.35     8.27   -13.54     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P   50.83R   10.84  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      38.99     7.69   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   53.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.50     8.19    39.66    62.56    90.90    98.86    93.33P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      81.93     8.28    32.48    20.78    67.82    92.72    75.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.61     8.23    10.32     4.74    29.84    69.97    38.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.46     8.26     9.17     1.04    10.90    42.55    17.80P    0.19R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.47     8.46     9.03     1.21    11.43    42.80    18.42P    0.21R    0.05  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.51     8.62    13.12     4.00    27.13    65.60    38.10P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.34     8.31    -1.07     0.23     3.37    20.85     6.47P    1.26R    0.31  
Torquay              17   25   +4      70.09     8.23    11.95     1.62    14.87    50.86    25.06P    0.09R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.70     8.57     4.70     1.34    11.85    43.10    19.29P    0.28R    0.07  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.52     8.59     1.44     0.61     6.54    29.90    12.57P    0.76R    0.18  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.15     8.22    12.49     1.18    12.71    47.15    23.54P    0.15R    0.04  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.22     8.21    -3.47     0.08     1.69    12.06     3.75P    2.61R    0.70  
York                 17   23   -1      55.31     8.07   -12.05     0.03     0.40     4.14     1.05P    8.48R    2.68  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.56     8.30     3.46     0.11     2.44    16.67     5.57P    1.79R    0.46  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.61     8.24    -0.37     0.15     2.27    15.70     5.35P    1.86R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.30     8.33   -12.21     0.05     0.93     8.12     2.30P    4.92R    1.66  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      59.05     8.17    -7.11     0.05     0.99     9.24     2.82P    3.88R    1.20  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.50     8.62     2.03     0.17     2.83    17.09     6.89P    2.19R    0.67  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      56.11     8.13    -4.53     0.01     0.43     5.09     1.47P    6.78R    2.17  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      53.00     8.40   -17.55     0.01     0.22     2.57     0.68P   15.16R    5.93  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.83     7.95   -23.66     0.00     0.04     0.64     0.13P   30.04R   13.95  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      53.73     8.93   -11.94     0.02     0.39     4.02     1.38P   14.28R    5.72  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.13     7.76   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.10R   43.30  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.44     7.91   -23.87     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   40.92R   20.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.83     8.18    22.84     8.91    59.94    18.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.40     7.76    31.28    11.32    69.49    26.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.50     8.15    25.29     9.97    63.65    21.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.36     7.89    36.98    40.09    90.77    58.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.11     8.59    14.24     2.73    32.66     7.83P    0.09R    0.00  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.36     7.94    25.51    19.57    79.17    38.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      76.01     8.60    15.54     5.13    46.03    14.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.80     7.79     1.65     0.07     4.06     0.74P    1.55R    0.16  
Hereford           18   26   -2      71.02     8.26     8.28     1.29    23.24     6.38P    0.18R    0.01  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.13     8.37     1.03     0.69    14.20     3.47P    0.54R    0.03  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.67     7.78    -2.40     0.01     1.07     0.18P    6.27R    0.89  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.59     8.10    -1.86     0.06     3.49     0.64P    2.78R    0.38  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.21     8.11    -0.57     0.03     3.17     0.60P    3.09R    0.32  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.75     7.56   -11.21     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.20R    2.09  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.69     8.24   -17.97     0.00     0.44     0.08P   18.53R    4.09  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.65     8.05   -21.43     0.00     0.22     0.03P   21.73R    5.17  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.27     8.01     7.98     0.08     4.16     1.09P    1.97R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      60.89     8.10    -0.28     0.04     2.85     0.61P    3.35R    0.46  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.02     8.20   -14.32     0.01     0.62     0.10P   13.84R    2.83  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.39     8.03   -18.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   18.24R    3.96  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.39     7.80   -23.91     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.95R   11.78  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.30     7.65   -27.69     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.43R   14.87  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.78     8.55   -21.89     0.00     0.08     0.01P   42.63R   15.61  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.36     8.06   -29.11     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.57R   37.14