Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      86.98     6.96    54.66    70.01    91.19    98.00    99.52    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.24     7.38    38.12    19.55    59.98    85.73    94.96    99.32     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.57     7.58    35.53     9.09    37.74    72.88    88.12    97.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.32     7.79    14.73     0.30     2.73    10.30    26.88    63.01     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.81     7.73     0.15     0.02     0.25     1.59     5.90    24.30     0.42R    0.01  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.02     7.80    -7.92     0.01     0.05     0.35     1.48     8.96     2.75R    0.22  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.25     8.00    11.41     0.13     1.36     6.49    19.65    52.11     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.82     7.82    27.48     0.84     5.99    20.65    47.30    78.86     0.00     0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.25     7.93     7.95     0.03     0.41     2.02     7.29    28.47     0.36R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.81     7.79    -4.30     0.00     0.06     0.46     2.12    11.91     1.82R    0.16  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.70     7.54    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     2.35     9.18R    1.11  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.76     7.49    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.31     2.92     7.04R    0.78  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.88     7.77     6.54     0.02     0.23     1.39     5.80    26.09     0.45R    0.04  
Wigan         11   11   -6      39.08     7.37   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.49    25.84R    4.65  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.30     7.33   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    29.97R    5.90  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.09     7.79    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.27     2.67     9.62R    1.45  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.80     7.42   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.59    21.96R    3.90  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.87     7.80   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    51.90R   17.39  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.31     7.70   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    65.86R   29.68  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.82     7.17   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.75R   34.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.77     8.59    10.85     9.91    20.61    55.94    27.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.42     8.52    14.44    16.06    30.19    67.88    38.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.37     8.64    24.53    32.74    50.12    82.57    59.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.75     8.41     5.54     3.87     9.63    37.52    15.94P    0.20R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      74.86     8.58    17.10    10.59    21.92    58.32    31.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.95     8.66    -2.48     1.41     3.95    19.66     7.11P    1.21R    0.07  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.27     8.85    14.00     8.26    17.73    50.55    27.43P    0.15R    0.01  
Brighton         16   24   +8      66.87     8.45    10.68     1.70     4.76    23.70     9.25P    0.75R    0.04  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.19     8.41     0.89     0.53     1.53    10.36     3.41P    2.93R    0.30  
Millwall         16   23   +3      66.09     8.55     5.72     1.44     3.95    20.90     7.91P    1.12R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      64.92     8.43     4.18     0.93     2.80    16.88     5.96P    1.37R    0.09  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.24     8.60     1.65     0.90     2.52    15.46     5.34P    1.96R    0.15  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.79     8.63    -0.68     1.02     2.85    16.53     5.88P    1.90R    0.17  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      69.87     8.80    13.61     4.00     9.74    36.47    17.59P    0.53R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.79     8.89     6.53     2.05     5.29    24.28    10.51P    1.16R    0.11  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.93     8.75    -3.10     0.27     0.88     6.98     2.30P    6.13R    0.77  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.29     8.97     9.02     2.91     7.28    29.88    14.01P    0.93R    0.07  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.51     8.66    -8.23     0.24     0.77     6.32     1.97P    6.61R    0.86  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.57     8.58     1.59     1.17     3.45    18.93     7.87P    1.36R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.96     8.55   -20.35     0.01     0.02     0.45     0.08P   38.73R   10.68  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.58     7.99   -25.82     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   55.80R   18.17  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.22     8.24   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.17R   25.75  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      45.99     8.49   -20.16     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   51.81R   17.63  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      43.92     8.25   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   62.03R   24.88  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.32     8.23    29.31    26.92    46.53    86.32    56.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      83.95     8.09    26.01    32.75    53.92    89.72    65.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      75.15     8.27     8.13     6.36    15.26    56.91    24.20P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.43     8.51    -4.83     0.73     2.16    16.79     4.32P    2.52R    0.08  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.70     8.36    19.90     6.11    15.20    57.59    25.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.15     8.50    19.03     5.98    14.50    54.69    25.09P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.66     8.10    23.48    12.94    28.35    75.26    43.45P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.49     8.18     8.82     1.63     4.85    31.84    11.10P    0.49R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      72.07     8.70    10.96     3.64     9.50    43.88    17.66P    0.41R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.25     8.42    14.16     1.70     5.23    32.21    11.34P    0.72R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.55     8.36    -0.69     0.25     0.83    10.28     2.44P    4.91R    0.24  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.40     8.39     1.54     0.52     1.79    16.92     4.93P    2.44R    0.10  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.49     8.20   -17.01     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.26P   25.45R    2.80  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.34     8.17    -6.02     0.03     0.17     3.65     0.81P   11.85R    0.89  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.61     8.29   -14.15     0.04     0.13     2.47     0.56P   17.91R    1.64  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.09     7.92   -16.48     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.14P   34.22R    4.51  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.25     8.08   -14.59     0.00     0.03     1.19     0.22P   25.14R    2.93  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.18     8.61     4.09     0.34     1.24    12.46     4.48P    4.62R    0.34  
Oldham          16   17   -2      54.18     8.18    -7.09     0.01     0.04     1.40     0.33P   24.26R    2.86  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.53     8.43    -4.66     0.03     0.16     3.42     1.01P   14.17R    1.47  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.33     8.20   -18.76     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.10P   38.71R    6.09  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.47     8.13   -19.07     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   51.67R   10.90  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.26     8.22   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   51.59R   10.88  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      38.93     7.76   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.58R   54.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.36     8.18    39.45    61.95    90.80    98.87    93.24P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      82.00     8.20    32.59    21.22    68.10    92.86    75.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.58     8.26    10.24     4.72    29.84    69.75    39.09P    0.02R    0.01  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.51     8.22     9.23     1.05    11.03    42.94    17.94P    0.12R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.35     8.47     8.90     1.17    11.30    42.25    18.29P    0.18R    0.03  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.41     8.54    12.99     3.98    26.49    65.32    37.55P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.36     8.27    -1.00     0.23     3.53    20.68     6.53P    1.14R    0.27  
Torquay              17   25   +4      70.10     8.25    12.01     1.64    14.97    50.86    25.08P    0.11R    0.02  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.76     8.59     4.81     1.39    12.11    43.57    19.15P    0.32R    0.07  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.61     8.58     1.57     0.70     6.59    30.07    12.82P    0.70R    0.15  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.15     8.20    12.50     1.22    12.80    46.65    23.58P    0.14R    0.03  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.48     8.19    -3.03     0.07     1.62    12.67     3.79P    2.52R    0.65  
York                 17   23   -1      55.38     8.10   -11.99     0.02     0.39     4.06     0.99P    8.52R    2.84  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.41     8.34     3.25     0.13     2.33    16.19     5.32P    1.94R    0.57  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.52     8.25    -0.50     0.15     2.09    15.60     5.17P    2.03R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.22     8.40   -12.37     0.09     0.97     8.12     2.35P    5.15R    1.69  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      59.05     8.26    -7.16     0.06     1.13     9.49     2.98P    3.87R    1.28  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.73     8.56     2.38     0.18     2.80    17.54     7.05P    2.03R    0.59  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      55.85     8.16    -4.91     0.02     0.47     5.01     1.49P    7.12R    2.31  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      52.89     8.38   -17.75     0.01     0.22     2.58     0.64P   15.55R    5.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.68     7.98   -23.86     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.15P   30.53R   14.44  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      53.97     8.88   -11.59     0.02     0.40     4.02     1.33P   13.27R    5.54  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.23     7.78   -31.90     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   63.89R   42.64  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.46     7.88   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   40.79R   20.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.76     8.14    22.65     8.92    59.57    18.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.34     7.72    31.19    11.56    69.28    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.42     8.09    25.14     9.99    63.38    21.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.22     7.91    36.82    40.09    90.60    57.87P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.26     8.56    14.42     2.83    33.29     8.19P    0.10R    0.01  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.23     7.89    25.29    19.56    78.89    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      75.78     8.57    15.11     4.75    44.72    14.50P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.86     7.77     1.72     0.08     4.20     0.80P    1.50R    0.15  
Hereford           18   26   -2      70.85     8.39     8.03     1.26    23.33     6.43P    0.21R    0.02  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.41     8.38     1.50     0.70    15.34     3.70P    0.50R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.71     7.81    -2.40     0.01     1.10     0.17P    6.26R    0.84  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.55     8.11    -1.90     0.06     3.57     0.59P    2.87R    0.33  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.17     8.11    -0.64     0.06     3.17     0.62P    3.04R    0.39  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.69     7.56   -11.27     0.00     0.32     0.04P   12.54R    2.25  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.93     8.24   -17.56     0.00     0.54     0.07P   17.85R    3.83  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.69     8.05   -21.32     0.00     0.28     0.05P   21.68R    5.13  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.35     8.04     8.06     0.09     4.37     1.05P    2.01R    0.23  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      60.97     8.08    -0.10     0.03     2.90     0.68P    3.32R    0.43  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      54.87     8.17   -14.56     0.00     0.61     0.08P   14.18R    2.97  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.46     7.98   -17.82     0.00     0.35     0.05P   17.87R    3.88  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.40     7.84   -23.82     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.29R   11.93  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.30     7.69   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.53R   14.93  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.87     8.57   -21.65     0.00     0.09     0.01P   42.28R   15.18  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.30     8.05   -29.21     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.89R   37.45