Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      87.12     6.94    55.06    70.72    91.61    98.06    99.54    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.16     7.40    38.03    19.15    59.62    85.57    94.83    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.65     7.58    35.58     8.92    37.86    73.18    88.32    97.61     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.27     7.77    14.61     0.25     2.58    10.21    26.81    62.78     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.74     7.75     0.01     0.03     0.27     1.58     5.72    24.04     0.39R    0.03  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.12     7.82    -7.78     0.01     0.04     0.31     1.59     8.99     2.71R    0.18  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.09     7.97    11.16     0.12     1.39     6.40    18.82    51.54     0.06R    0.00  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.83     7.84    27.45     0.76     5.99    20.44    47.77    79.28     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.20     7.82     7.83     0.01     0.34     1.98     6.90    28.04     0.35R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.78     7.79    -4.27     0.00     0.09     0.55     2.26    12.09     1.76R    0.15  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.69     7.46    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     2.24     9.22R    1.05  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.70     7.48    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36     2.94     7.09R    0.78  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      55.05     7.80     6.82     0.02     0.21     1.58     6.32    26.99     0.42R    0.03  
Wigan         11   11   -6      38.90     7.33   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.46    26.11R    5.00  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.47     7.41   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34    29.42R    5.79  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.15     7.80    -9.23     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.34     2.59     9.59R    1.41  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.89     7.39   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.61    20.94R    3.80  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.66     7.80   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    53.24R   18.12  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.35     7.66   -35.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    65.81R   29.52  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.85     7.16   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    72.88R   34.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.58     8.49    10.58     9.24    19.45    55.13    26.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.53     8.62    14.57    16.54    31.15    68.28    39.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.42     8.61    24.60    32.75    50.21    82.58    59.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.75     8.40     5.59     3.82     9.52    37.53    15.88P    0.20R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      74.92     8.58    17.27    10.74    22.06    58.41    31.82P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.83     8.66    -2.69     1.34     3.66    19.16     6.70P    1.35R    0.09  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.42     8.88    14.21     8.68    18.07    51.09    28.17P    0.17R    0.01  
Brighton         16   24   +8      67.06     8.40    10.96     1.65     4.71    24.22     9.62P    0.68R    0.04  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.20     8.42     0.93     0.50     1.50    10.40     3.41P    2.91R    0.27  
Millwall         16   23   +3      65.99     8.53     5.56     1.30     3.84    20.40     7.65P    1.15R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      65.06     8.43     4.41     0.96     2.90    17.16     6.08P    1.34R    0.10  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.06     8.64     1.36     0.88     2.54    14.86     5.24P    2.12R    0.20  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.66     8.65    -0.90     0.94     2.77    16.29     5.81P    1.85R    0.14  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      70.08     8.76    13.86     4.11     9.98    37.50    17.95P    0.42R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.82     8.94     6.55     2.06     5.52    24.27    10.81P    1.14R    0.09  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.99     8.85    -2.96     0.32     1.01     7.51     2.54P    6.07R    0.82  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.03     9.00     8.65     2.66     6.90    29.21    13.39P    0.95R    0.10  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.35     8.62    -8.49     0.23     0.71     6.04     1.84P    6.79R    0.82  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.65     8.61     1.69     1.25     3.47    19.16     8.09P    1.41R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.91     8.54   -20.46     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.10P   39.10R   10.67  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.67     8.00   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   55.08R   17.94  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.14     8.11   -36.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   63.58R   26.14  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      45.91     8.40   -20.21     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   52.47R   17.88  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      44.08     8.23   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   61.08R   24.43  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.42     8.17    29.48    27.27    47.15    86.87    56.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      83.87     8.16    25.90    32.47    53.40    89.58    64.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      74.87     8.18     7.72     5.94    14.42    55.72    23.50P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.44     8.43    -4.88     0.66     2.04    16.51     4.17P    2.45R    0.05  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.54     8.39    19.74     6.19    15.21    56.71    25.42P    0.12R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.31     8.41    19.26     6.07    14.60    55.78    25.56P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.61     8.10    23.38    13.03    28.35    75.11    43.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.61     8.18     8.96     1.85     5.43    32.25    11.71P    0.50R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.94     8.73    10.79     3.47     9.44    43.35    17.80P    0.43R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.39     8.39    14.34     1.83     5.50    32.77    11.57P    0.67R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.68     8.32    -0.51     0.25     0.87    10.58     2.56P    4.61R    0.24  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.39     8.35     1.50     0.50     1.73    16.74     4.75P    2.46R    0.08  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.38     8.18   -17.17     0.01     0.05     1.33     0.22P   25.61R    3.08  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.29     8.21    -6.06     0.04     0.20     3.73     0.91P   12.09R    0.98  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.77     8.32   -13.95     0.02     0.14     2.65     0.64P   17.16R    1.67  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.01     7.88   -16.65     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P   34.79R    4.72  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.21     8.10   -14.60     0.01     0.05     1.28     0.28P   25.29R    3.12  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.24     8.59     4.19     0.32     1.15    12.64     4.53P    4.24R    0.26  
Oldham          16   17   -2      54.11     8.17    -7.14     0.01     0.04     1.39     0.29P   24.24R    2.97  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.56     8.49    -4.58     0.04     0.18     3.52     0.97P   14.57R    1.39  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.35     8.14   -18.67     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.11P   38.25R    5.97  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.44     8.14   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   51.90R   11.24  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.23     8.24   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   51.82R   11.26  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      39.14     7.67   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    88.61R   52.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.59     8.15    39.79    63.11    91.06    98.92    93.49P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      82.02     8.20    32.61    20.61    68.48    92.97    75.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.32     8.22     9.85     4.16    28.43    68.36    37.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.55     8.22     9.36     1.07    10.81    43.15    17.89P    0.19R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.37     8.61     8.88     1.34    11.48    42.33    18.21P    0.21R    0.04  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.59     8.61    13.22     4.00    27.25    65.69    38.21P    0.05R    0.02  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.38     8.31    -1.00     0.26     3.61    20.86     6.66P    1.22R    0.29  
Torquay              17   25   +4      69.99     8.22    11.83     1.51    14.52    50.43    24.55P    0.09R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.78     8.56     4.83     1.36    12.05    43.28    19.41P    0.27R    0.08  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.65     8.68     1.57     0.67     6.91    30.60    13.21P    0.69R    0.17  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.08     8.29    12.41     1.24    12.66    46.43    23.17P    0.17R    0.04  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.63     8.23    -2.81     0.09     1.81    13.13     4.12P    2.37R    0.61  
York                 17   23   -1      55.22     8.10   -12.21     0.02     0.38     4.06     1.11P    8.61R    2.80  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.53     8.29     3.37     0.16     2.39    16.33     5.43P    1.81R    0.49  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.73     8.30    -0.15     0.14     2.43    16.16     5.59P    1.73R    0.45  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.21     8.36   -12.38     0.05     0.99     7.93     2.30P    5.25R    1.72  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      59.01     8.17    -7.22     0.02     1.01     9.31     2.87P    3.76R    1.19  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.63     8.52     2.30     0.15     2.72    17.43     7.06P    1.99R    0.57  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      55.93     8.17    -4.81     0.02     0.43     5.14     1.46P    6.99R    2.32  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      52.94     8.38   -17.61     0.00     0.20     2.59     0.65P   15.32R    5.71  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.48     8.00   -24.24     0.01     0.04     0.63     0.14P   31.66R   15.01  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      53.77     8.85   -11.88     0.01     0.35     3.92     1.28P   13.59R    5.37  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.16     7.77   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.88R   43.26  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.57     7.89   -23.68     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   40.12R   19.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.94     8.17    22.94     9.30    60.32    18.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.31     7.77    31.06    11.52    68.94    27.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.25     8.13    24.93     9.67    62.59    21.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.29     7.91    36.92    40.46    90.48    58.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.42     8.61    14.69     2.98    34.18     8.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              18   32   +5      82.99     7.90    24.88    18.50    77.84    36.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      76.09     8.64    15.71     5.16    46.42    15.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      63.01     7.83     1.90     0.06     4.41     0.83P    1.55R    0.18  
Hereford           18   26   -2      70.73     8.40     7.85     1.30    22.48     6.33P    0.23R    0.01  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.23     8.45     1.18     0.75    14.95     3.66P    0.52R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.65     7.79    -2.47     0.01     1.14     0.20P    6.37R    0.88  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.61     8.16    -1.76     0.07     3.60     0.66P    2.95R    0.32  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.11     8.10    -0.72     0.08     3.05     0.63P    2.97R    0.35  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.75     7.56   -11.19     0.00     0.35     0.05P   12.32R    2.07  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.81     8.28   -17.83     0.01     0.49     0.08P   18.18R    3.95  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.62     8.06   -21.53     0.00     0.29     0.03P   21.82R    5.00  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.25     8.01     7.93     0.08     4.22     1.02P    2.01R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      61.05     8.13     0.04     0.04     3.07     0.68P    3.17R    0.42  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.18     8.22   -14.01     0.01     0.67     0.08P   13.37R    2.85  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.42     8.08   -17.90     0.00     0.33     0.04P   18.43R    3.90  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.64     7.96   -23.45     0.00     0.06     0.01P   38.15R   11.53  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.28     7.71   -27.69     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.37R   14.92  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.51     8.54   -22.37     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.84R   16.24  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.35     8.00   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.59R   37.10