Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      86.94     6.95    54.60    70.41    91.48    98.11    99.55    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.08     7.43    37.82    19.11    59.69    85.32    94.51    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.61     7.55    35.62     9.27    38.09    73.08    88.18    97.53     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.29     7.76    14.70     0.26     2.58    10.24    26.91    62.97     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.67     7.73    -0.06     0.02     0.26     1.44     5.46    23.57     0.40R    0.01  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.04     7.84    -7.82     0.01     0.04     0.37     1.54     8.97     2.78R    0.23  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.08     7.97    11.15     0.13     1.34     6.22    19.12    51.26     0.09R    0.00  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.90     7.76    27.54     0.74     5.80    20.98    48.14    79.65     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.24     7.88     7.95     0.02     0.35     2.00     7.07    28.46     0.37R    0.01  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.82     7.88    -4.27     0.01     0.08     0.52     2.37    12.22     1.91R    0.21  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.75     7.47    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     2.27     9.23R    1.00  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.70     7.52    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.29     2.95     7.10R    0.81  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.97     7.76     6.67     0.01     0.27     1.57     6.18    26.56     0.46R    0.03  
Wigan         11   11   -6      39.04     7.30   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.48    25.64R    4.89  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.43     7.39   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    29.51R    5.91  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.13     7.85    -9.26     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.31     2.70     9.79R    1.37  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.94     7.45   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.64    21.27R    3.84  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.86     7.85   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    52.14R   17.37  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.25     7.70   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    66.22R   29.85  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.81     7.16   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.08R   34.47  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.86     8.52    10.99     9.80    20.69    56.60    27.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.49     8.57    14.51    16.39    30.76    68.04    39.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.27     8.62    24.37    32.13    49.81    82.34    58.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.73     8.32     5.57     3.72     9.30    37.43    15.63P    0.21R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      74.87     8.60    17.20    10.67    21.96    58.07    31.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.95     8.71    -2.48     1.51     3.87    19.72     6.85P    1.33R    0.10  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.22     8.89    13.88     8.35    17.50    50.20    27.27P    0.17R    0.01  
Brighton         16   24   +8      66.90     8.38    10.76     1.59     4.68    23.85     9.49P    0.71R    0.04  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.15     8.42     0.78     0.46     1.37    10.28     3.22P    3.07R    0.27  
Millwall         16   23   +3      66.13     8.63     5.76     1.47     4.20    21.12     8.19P    1.21R    0.11  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      65.08     8.42     4.43     0.97     2.91    17.22     6.22P    1.38R    0.14  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.37     8.62     1.85     0.98     2.73    15.89     5.62P    1.99R    0.16  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.66     8.74    -0.88     1.08     2.95    16.55     6.03P    1.92R    0.18  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      69.89     8.84    13.52     4.33     9.93    36.59    17.65P    0.50R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.75     8.93     6.46     2.00     5.24    24.04    10.33P    1.22R    0.13  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.85     8.80    -3.16     0.32     0.97     7.08     2.43P    6.28R    0.80  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.12     9.00     8.78     2.81     7.01    29.56    13.84P    0.96R    0.10  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.36     8.61    -8.42     0.22     0.70     5.90     1.77P    6.62R    0.79  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.45     8.64     1.38     1.19     3.40    18.69     7.99P    1.46R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      49.08     8.58   -20.25     0.00     0.03     0.43     0.11P   38.34R   10.69  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.70     8.03   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   55.13R   17.82  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.18     8.21   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   63.70R   26.36  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      46.07     8.35   -19.97     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P   51.90R   17.40  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      44.00     8.25   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   61.72R   24.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.44     8.15    29.46    26.89    46.99    86.91    56.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      83.89     8.09    25.95    32.35    53.09    89.79    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      75.09     8.24     8.06     6.11    15.03    56.63    24.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.34     8.48    -5.03     0.59     1.94    16.30     4.05P    2.65R    0.12  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.53     8.37    19.70     6.06    14.88    56.52    25.04P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.38     8.43    19.37     6.05    14.87    55.86    25.78P    0.11R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.80     8.10    23.67    13.63    29.25    75.58    43.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.55     8.20     8.88     1.76     5.17    32.13    11.40P    0.51R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.88     8.75    10.72     3.60     9.28    42.96    17.42P    0.41R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.24     8.37    14.14     1.69     5.01    32.30    11.21P    0.70R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.56     8.32    -0.76     0.23     0.82    10.28     2.40P    4.75R    0.19  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.65     8.37     1.86     0.55     1.89    17.62     5.32P    2.37R    0.07  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.51     8.27   -16.97     0.03     0.08     1.63     0.32P   25.43R    2.92  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.22     8.23    -6.17     0.05     0.23     3.71     0.88P   12.45R    0.94  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.50     8.26   -14.33     0.03     0.12     2.27     0.51P   18.29R    1.79  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.31     7.90   -16.11     0.00     0.02     0.53     0.11P   33.11R    4.42  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.16     8.13   -14.70     0.00     0.04     1.23     0.25P   25.89R    3.17  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      62.93     8.59     3.76     0.30     1.02    11.84     4.20P    4.78R    0.33  
Oldham          16   17   -2      53.96     8.18    -7.43     0.01     0.05     1.36     0.31P   25.35R    3.05  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.54     8.47    -4.64     0.06     0.18     3.55     1.07P   14.26R    1.50  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.50     8.14   -18.46     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.13P   37.61R    5.88  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.27     8.11   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   52.39R   11.62  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.50     8.24   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   50.41R   10.89  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      39.09     7.75   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   88.35R   53.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.42     8.19    39.54    62.17    90.87    98.87    93.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      82.04     8.27    32.65    21.24    68.46    92.97    75.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.54     8.27    10.18     4.71    29.76    69.57    39.11P    0.02R    0.01  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.46     8.19     9.20     0.98    10.80    42.65    17.75P    0.17R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.22     8.48     8.70     1.26    11.05    41.83    17.86P    0.22R    0.04  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.36     8.57    12.91     3.75    26.59    65.16    37.51P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.34     8.34    -1.03     0.25     3.54    21.02     6.65P    1.33R    0.37  
Torquay              17   25   +4      69.91     8.26    11.68     1.57    14.55    50.26    24.40P    0.11R    0.02  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.91     8.57     5.03     1.44    12.19    44.47    19.92P    0.28R    0.05  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.51     8.58     1.44     0.60     6.49    29.81    12.54P    0.71R    0.18  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.10     8.28    12.45     1.30    12.99    47.00    23.66P    0.16R    0.04  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.38     8.23    -3.20     0.09     1.71    12.70     3.89P    2.73R    0.82  
York                 17   23   -1      55.36     8.14   -11.95     0.02     0.39     4.31     1.09P    8.87R    2.94  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.43     8.35     3.19     0.11     2.41    16.30     5.41P    1.95R    0.58  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.57     8.25    -0.40     0.14     2.19    15.73     5.30P    1.85R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.21     8.36   -12.37     0.07     0.89     8.16     2.34P    5.24R    1.72  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      59.15     8.19    -7.04     0.06     1.20     9.33     3.04P    3.81R    1.14  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.58     8.55     2.22     0.19     2.92    17.25     7.00P    2.06R    0.56  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      55.87     8.15    -4.87     0.01     0.44     4.90     1.45P    7.26R    2.35  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      53.09     8.38   -17.34     0.01     0.18     2.59     0.62P   14.98R    5.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.62     8.03   -24.04     0.00     0.04     0.63     0.14P   31.22R   14.78  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      54.05     8.82   -11.45     0.01     0.36     4.17     1.40P   12.94R    5.10  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.19     7.79   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.09R   43.20  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.70     7.96   -23.50     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.07P   39.94R   19.73  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.96     8.20    23.00     9.33    60.43    18.68P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.45     7.71    31.28    11.34    69.85    27.13P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.42     8.11    25.18    10.01    63.18    21.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.28     7.90    37.02    39.93    90.78    57.61P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.14     8.60    14.24     2.77    32.89     8.04P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.24     7.92    25.30    19.21    78.64    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      76.07     8.68    15.66     5.25    46.22    14.99P    0.04R    0.01  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.90     7.81     1.82     0.06     4.34     0.84P    1.57R    0.16  
Hereford           18   26   -2      70.77     8.36     7.92     1.22    22.63     6.27P    0.22R    0.02  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.12     8.32     1.00     0.65    14.32     3.51P    0.48R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.68     7.74    -2.45     0.01     1.05     0.16P    6.09R    0.86  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.49     8.13    -1.94     0.05     3.43     0.63P    2.88R    0.37  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.18     8.10    -0.57     0.06     3.19     0.60P    3.02R    0.33  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.82     7.55   -11.08     0.00     0.34     0.06P   12.15R    2.01  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.75     8.29   -17.99     0.01     0.54     0.10P   18.38R    4.14  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.70     8.05   -21.33     0.00     0.26     0.03P   21.55R    4.97  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.17     7.92     7.83     0.04     3.79     0.88P    2.04R    0.24  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      60.99     8.14    -0.11     0.04     2.99     0.71P    3.36R    0.44  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.08     8.24   -14.21     0.00     0.63     0.09P   13.97R    2.86  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.42     7.97   -17.86     0.01     0.28     0.05P   18.06R    3.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.50     7.89   -23.69     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.70R   11.83  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.20     7.65   -27.95     0.00     0.03     0.01P   46.23R   15.23  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.78     8.61   -21.88     0.00     0.10     0.01P   42.68R   15.53  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.35     8.08   -29.19     0.00     0.02     0.00P   68.50R   37.20