Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      86.93     6.97    54.60    69.93    91.20    98.06    99.53    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.02     7.45    37.70    19.12    59.28    85.12    94.55    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.60     7.67    35.51     9.69    38.40    72.58    87.81    97.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.30     7.77    14.72     0.28     2.66    10.65    27.16    62.81     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.70     7.73    -0.06     0.03     0.29     1.58     5.58    23.93     0.38R    0.03  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.14     7.84    -7.68     0.00     0.04     0.38     1.61     8.84     2.61R    0.20  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.26     7.97    11.45     0.15     1.41     6.57    19.51    51.90     0.05R    0.00  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.81     7.80    27.42     0.75     5.99    20.73    47.49    79.15     0.02R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.22     7.91     7.88     0.03     0.40     2.07     7.20    28.43     0.38R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.94     7.86    -4.05     0.00     0.08     0.55     2.42    12.59     1.90R    0.18  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.73     7.51    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.29     2.25     9.24R    1.09  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.67     7.54    -7.11     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.30     2.94     7.37R    0.91  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.93     7.80     6.61     0.01     0.25     1.53     6.12    26.25     0.48R    0.02  
Wigan         11   11   -6      38.93     7.31   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.45    26.12R    4.90  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.53     7.43   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    29.08R    5.82  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.10     7.83    -9.26     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.29     2.73     9.79R    1.42  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.78     7.39   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.55    21.76R    3.91  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.64     7.80   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    53.23R   18.55  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.53     7.69   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    64.69R   28.56  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.86     7.18   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.86R   34.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.86     8.50    10.98     9.43    20.39    56.24    27.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.55     8.61    14.60    16.41    30.79    68.28    39.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.42     8.65    24.64    32.37    49.90    82.62    59.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.88     8.39     5.77     3.93     9.87    37.99    16.24P    0.22R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      75.08     8.54    17.49    10.84    22.31    59.04    32.28P    0.06R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.99     8.68    -2.40     1.53     3.92    19.57     6.98P    1.13R    0.08  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.47     8.94    14.24     8.63    18.24    51.32    28.11P    0.18R    0.01  
Brighton         16   24   +8      66.75     8.40    10.56     1.73     4.60    22.78     8.96P    0.75R    0.07  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.07     8.41     0.65     0.47     1.35     9.87     3.11P    3.06R    0.31  
Millwall         16   23   +3      66.02     8.55     5.57     1.36     3.69    20.57     7.52P    1.24R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      65.01     8.51     4.32     1.00     2.84    17.08     6.02P    1.50R    0.09  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.24     8.72     1.68     0.88     2.63    15.54     5.49P    2.11R    0.19  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.62     8.63    -0.96     0.95     2.78    16.02     5.61P    1.78R    0.14  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      70.04     8.71    13.82     3.99     9.77    37.10    17.66P    0.37R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.51     8.93     6.12     1.94     4.88    23.31     9.96P    1.30R    0.13  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.90     8.80    -3.14     0.28     0.91     7.23     2.37P    6.13R    0.74  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.18     8.94     8.90     2.71     6.82    29.40    13.57P    0.92R    0.09  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.39     8.70    -8.43     0.24     0.78     6.17     1.94P    6.72R    0.91  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.56     8.67     1.55     1.28     3.49    19.03     7.78P    1.33R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.89     8.62   -20.59     0.01     0.02     0.50     0.12P   39.36R   10.75  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.52     8.04   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   55.88R   18.54  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.25     8.26   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.82R   25.72  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      45.95     8.43   -20.11     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.02P   52.08R   17.47  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      44.05     8.28   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   60.97R   24.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.37     8.20    29.42    26.94    46.74    86.51    56.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      83.81     8.14    25.79    32.32    53.04    89.28    64.94P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      75.06     8.24     7.99     6.17    14.82    56.85    23.79P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.64     8.48    -4.54     0.74     2.18    17.24     4.45P    2.47R    0.07  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.62     8.37    19.82     6.05    15.32    57.10    25.60P    0.14R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.21     8.48    19.11     6.09    14.79    54.80    25.64P    0.13R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.77     8.13    23.59    13.46    28.91    75.61    43.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.48     8.26     8.78     1.77     5.30    31.98    11.49P    0.55R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.78     8.77    10.61     3.48     9.07    42.64    17.05P    0.47R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.28     8.37    14.18     1.72     5.17    32.19    11.33P    0.72R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.58     8.30    -0.68     0.26     0.89    10.26     2.54P    4.67R    0.21  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.63     8.34     1.83     0.53     1.92    17.53     5.07P    2.24R    0.11  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.34     8.21   -17.23     0.02     0.08     1.49     0.26P   26.06R    3.05  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.11     8.18    -6.35     0.04     0.17     3.54     0.83P   12.43R    0.97  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.69     8.28   -14.01     0.03     0.11     2.49     0.55P   17.58R    1.77  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.09     7.93   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.12P   34.21R    4.59  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.06     8.07   -14.80     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.23P   25.84R    3.15  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.30     8.58     4.28     0.29     1.21    12.80     4.62P    4.39R    0.30  
Oldham          16   17   -2      53.99     8.17    -7.36     0.02     0.05     1.37     0.30P   24.89R    3.07  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.69     8.41    -4.43     0.05     0.18     3.51     0.98P   13.82R    1.32  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.42     8.15   -18.56     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.12P   38.14R    5.89  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.41     8.19   -19.22     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.03P   51.94R   11.42  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.40     8.30   -13.46     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.07P   50.79R   10.89  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      39.07     7.74   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.44R   53.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.60     8.21    39.80    63.12    91.06    98.86    93.37P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      81.98     8.26    32.55    20.71    68.19    92.82    75.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.57     8.25    10.23     4.49    29.57    69.83    38.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.53     8.20     9.26     0.98    11.08    42.97    17.98P    0.16R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.23     8.48     8.74     1.17    10.94    41.90    17.93P    0.26R    0.05  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.55     8.57    13.19     4.01    27.37    65.80    38.38P    0.05R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.33     8.28    -1.08     0.19     3.52    20.89     6.59P    1.17R    0.29  
Torquay              17   25   +4      70.08     8.18    11.93     1.49    14.73    51.04    24.95P    0.10R    0.03  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.66     8.63     4.66     1.35    12.05    43.09    19.21P    0.31R    0.08  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.35     8.57     1.18     0.62     6.29    28.90    12.24P    0.75R    0.21  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.15     8.19    12.53     1.14    12.61    47.07    23.22P    0.16R    0.03  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.34     8.20    -3.24     0.10     1.67    12.38     3.78P    2.54R    0.69  
York                 17   23   -1      55.21     8.12   -12.22     0.02     0.38     3.96     0.99P    8.96R    2.88  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.40     8.31     3.24     0.13     2.30    16.18     5.43P    1.93R    0.53  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.75     8.35    -0.14     0.19     2.45    16.61     5.79P    1.88R    0.51  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.25     8.40   -12.31     0.05     1.00     8.30     2.37P    5.14R    1.68  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      58.98     8.19    -7.25     0.04     0.97     9.14     2.78P    3.81R    1.20  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.78     8.53     2.51     0.15     2.76    17.79     7.04P    1.95R    0.55  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      55.99     8.09    -4.73     0.01     0.42     4.86     1.46P    7.06R    2.16  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      52.93     8.31   -17.65     0.00     0.20     2.37     0.62P   15.38R    5.83  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.77     8.01   -23.83     0.00     0.04     0.63     0.15P   30.31R   14.44  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      53.99     8.95   -11.56     0.02     0.40     4.29     1.42P   13.39R    5.54  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.21     7.77   -31.95     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   63.79R   42.78  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.44     7.90   -23.85     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   40.88R   20.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.84     8.17    22.79     9.07    59.63    18.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.46     7.75    31.27    11.39    69.89    26.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.33     8.16    25.04     9.69    62.74    21.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.42     7.92    37.11    40.55    90.61    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.27     8.66    14.42     2.88    33.58     8.37P    0.09R    0.01  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.25     7.93    25.32    19.19    78.71    37.58P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      75.98     8.65    15.54     5.03    45.80    15.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.86     7.74     1.68     0.07     4.14     0.79P    1.47R    0.15  
Hereford           18   26   -2      71.01     8.31     8.26     1.19    23.56     6.49P    0.19R    0.01  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.13     8.35     1.02     0.66    14.44     3.50P    0.56R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.81     7.83    -2.21     0.01     1.15     0.18P    6.12R    0.82  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.66     8.14    -1.74     0.06     3.58     0.68P    2.71R    0.37  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.07     8.13    -0.72     0.06     3.09     0.65P    3.13R    0.41  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.77     7.51   -11.15     0.00     0.30     0.03P   12.25R    2.03  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.66     8.24   -17.99     0.01     0.37     0.06P   18.83R    4.11  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.65     8.00   -21.52     0.00     0.22     0.02P   21.52R    4.97  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.20     7.97     7.84     0.08     4.09     0.99P    1.90R    0.20  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      60.96     8.04    -0.13     0.06     2.94     0.68P    3.17R    0.43  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.10     8.19   -14.18     0.01     0.66     0.09P   13.68R    2.70  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.42     8.03   -17.89     0.00     0.31     0.05P   18.14R    3.86  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.50     7.82   -23.68     0.00     0.04     0.00P   38.34R   11.62  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.29     7.68   -27.67     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.29R   14.67  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.69     8.59   -22.02     0.00     0.09     0.01P   43.22R   15.62  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.18     7.96   -29.39     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.34R   37.97