Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      87.01     6.93    54.74    69.78    91.31    98.08    99.53    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.11     7.40    37.89    19.13    58.86    85.34    94.64    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.85     7.62    35.99     9.92    39.23    73.70    88.57    97.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.22     7.76    14.51     0.25     2.52    10.08    26.56    62.73     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.79     7.75     0.12     0.03     0.27     1.64     5.86    24.15     0.41R    0.01  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.06     7.74    -7.87     0.00     0.03     0.32     1.49     8.72     2.49R    0.18  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.19     7.94    11.38     0.12     1.38     6.38    19.38    51.96     0.07R    0.01  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.77     7.81    27.36     0.73     5.74    20.44    47.50    78.93     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.36     7.85     8.13     0.02     0.33     1.99     7.27    28.68     0.37R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.78     7.84    -4.33     0.00     0.08     0.48     2.27    12.12     1.71R    0.14  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.67     7.52    -9.66     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.26     2.37     9.26R    1.02  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.77     7.52    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.29     2.87     7.08R    0.82  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.88     7.78     6.51     0.02     0.22     1.38     5.94    26.34     0.45R    0.03  
Wigan         11   11   -6      39.09     7.27   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41    25.21R    4.60  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.35     7.41   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.34    29.94R    6.01  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.04     7.85    -9.42     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.32     2.68    10.00R    1.33  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.82     7.42   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.60    21.68R    3.97  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.89     7.79   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    51.62R   17.17  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.23     7.68   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.30R   29.88  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.78     7.22   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    73.38R   34.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.76     8.49    10.83     9.40    20.12    56.19    27.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.45     8.54    14.38    16.13    30.35    68.01    38.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.60     8.63    24.87    33.63    51.08    83.27    59.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.96     8.40     5.90     3.97     9.83    37.98    16.28P    0.21R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      74.89     8.61    17.21    10.49    21.90    58.24    31.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      65.83     8.68    -2.62     1.45     3.85    19.04     6.93P    1.29R    0.08  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.30     8.85    13.99     8.26    17.64    50.59    27.71P    0.13R    0.00  
Brighton         16   24   +8      66.87     8.42    10.72     1.57     4.54    23.72     9.18P    0.76R    0.06  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.46     8.44     1.28     0.54     1.64    10.93     3.58P    2.87R    0.30  
Millwall         16   23   +3      66.03     8.58     5.59     1.44     4.01    20.71     7.95P    1.19R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      64.89     8.48     4.14     0.92     2.79    16.94     6.07P    1.46R    0.12  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.13     8.66     1.50     0.93     2.56    15.10     5.22P    2.18R    0.20  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.70     8.74    -0.81     1.03     2.85    16.85     5.83P    1.94R    0.18  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      69.83     8.69    13.53     3.78     9.43    35.95    17.04P    0.46R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.77     8.86     6.46     1.93     5.17    23.98    10.39P    1.13R    0.09  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.83     8.88    -3.19     0.33     0.97     7.31     2.50P    6.43R    0.78  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.25     8.98     8.98     2.85     7.23    30.12    14.02P    0.89R    0.07  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.41     8.64    -8.42     0.25     0.77     6.07     1.91P    6.64R    0.81  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.40     8.55     1.35     1.10     3.21    18.21     7.74P    1.48R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.93     8.58   -20.48     0.00     0.03     0.44     0.10P   39.03R   10.77  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.68     8.03   -25.76     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   54.99R   18.05  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.39     8.21   -36.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   62.19R   25.25  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      45.93     8.50   -20.16     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   52.24R   18.00  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      43.86     8.21   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   62.31R   24.99  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.33     8.22    29.32    26.62    46.89    86.56    56.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      84.02     8.08    26.13    33.02    54.00    90.09    65.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      74.99     8.25     7.92     5.88    14.60    56.32    23.99P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.37     8.43    -4.98     0.62     1.96    16.46     4.05P    2.48R    0.09  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.45     8.31    19.53     5.77    14.55    56.53    24.58P    0.10R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.23     8.40    19.18     5.76    14.34    55.06    24.89P    0.10R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.90     8.13    23.85    13.84    29.73    75.91    44.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.43     8.21     8.69     1.72     4.96    31.73    11.09P    0.61R    0.01  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.98     8.74    10.85     3.68     9.42    43.51    17.68P    0.45R    0.01  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.32     8.39    14.23     1.81     5.15    32.84    11.43P    0.70R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.61     8.31    -0.61     0.23     0.85    10.44     2.55P    4.74R    0.22  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.42     8.31     1.54     0.53     1.71    16.62     4.88P    2.40R    0.09  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.47     8.25   -17.01     0.01     0.07     1.52     0.27P   25.54R    2.96  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.33     8.23    -6.05     0.05     0.20     3.89     0.93P   12.04R    0.87  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.73     8.32   -13.99     0.03     0.13     2.65     0.64P   17.62R    1.73  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.19     7.99   -16.34     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.14P   34.29R    4.67  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.09     8.09   -14.71     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.20P   26.00R    3.09  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.15     8.61     4.02     0.37     1.14    12.33     4.32P    4.72R    0.34  
Oldham          16   17   -2      54.03     8.13    -7.35     0.01     0.04     1.18     0.26P   24.55R    3.05  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.56     8.49    -4.61     0.04     0.20     3.58     1.11P   14.26R    1.42  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.46     8.15   -18.51     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.11P   37.75R    6.05  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.38     8.14   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   51.90R   11.43  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.27     8.22   -13.68     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.06P   51.44R   11.29  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      39.16     7.74   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R   52.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.41     8.12    39.50    62.24    91.07    98.90    93.55P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      82.06     8.28    32.70    21.22    68.47    92.91    75.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.50     8.25    10.14     4.55    29.12    69.42    38.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.42     8.17     9.12     1.03    10.61    42.23    17.51P    0.16R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.52     8.57     9.09     1.35    11.82    43.04    18.56P    0.26R    0.04  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.37     8.57    12.92     3.90    26.29    64.97    37.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.47     8.27    -0.81     0.25     3.61    21.13     6.65P    1.12R    0.31  
Torquay              17   25   +4      70.07     8.20    11.96     1.48    14.69    51.09    24.94P    0.11R    0.03  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.71     8.63     4.69     1.42    12.14    43.29    19.56P    0.33R    0.06  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.67     8.60     1.65     0.60     6.78    30.56    13.03P    0.69R    0.18  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.04     8.26    12.34     1.20    12.56    46.48    23.11P    0.15R    0.03  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.40     8.23    -3.11     0.08     1.65    12.60     3.76P    2.59R    0.70  
York                 17   23   -1      55.31     8.09   -12.11     0.03     0.40     4.08     1.08P    8.58R    2.77  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.45     8.30     3.30     0.13     2.45    16.17     5.37P    1.92R    0.56  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.57     8.32    -0.40     0.17     2.35    15.91     5.45P    1.99R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.41     8.46   -12.06     0.06     1.12     8.63     2.56P    5.14R    1.66  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      59.03     8.20    -7.18     0.06     1.02     9.25     2.86P    3.98R    1.21  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.59     8.60     2.25     0.20     2.83    17.14     6.88P    2.10R    0.60  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      55.95     8.12    -4.80     0.01     0.46     5.03     1.56P    6.99R    2.25  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      52.96     8.40   -17.55     0.01     0.24     2.56     0.70P   15.23R    5.85  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.67     7.96   -23.97     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.13P   30.53R   14.53  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      53.71     8.84   -11.93     0.01     0.29     3.72     1.20P   14.05R    5.62  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.09     7.77   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   64.33R   43.61  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.70     7.92   -23.53     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.07P   39.68R   19.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.85     8.14    22.81     9.00    59.89    18.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.53     7.72    31.42    11.41    70.23    27.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.45     8.11    25.22     9.90    63.32    21.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.25     7.98    36.87    39.79    90.43    57.56P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.03     8.59    14.06     2.63    32.41     7.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.39     7.91    25.55    19.93    79.34    38.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      76.02     8.61    15.52     5.03    45.79    14.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.90     7.78     1.77     0.06     4.22     0.82P    1.58R    0.13  
Hereford           18   26   -2      70.83     8.38     8.06     1.28    23.01     6.47P    0.23R    0.03  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.16     8.32     1.14     0.67    14.29     3.45P    0.48R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.67     7.82    -2.43     0.01     1.14     0.19P    6.37R    0.86  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.44     8.12    -2.06     0.07     3.46     0.68P    2.93R    0.41  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.16     8.14    -0.63     0.05     3.34     0.61P    3.06R    0.39  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.70     7.55   -11.26     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.45R    2.22  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.69     8.24   -17.96     0.01     0.44     0.05P   18.42R    4.23  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.73     8.03   -21.35     0.00     0.25     0.03P   21.49R    4.91  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.28     8.04     7.97     0.10     4.18     1.02P    2.04R    0.27  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      60.88     8.07    -0.23     0.05     2.88     0.64P    3.33R    0.49  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.27     8.21   -13.93     0.00     0.60     0.09P   13.01R    2.63  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.32     7.98   -18.10     0.00     0.31     0.04P   18.33R    3.87  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.42     7.87   -23.84     0.00     0.06     0.01P   39.28R   12.09  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.48     7.69   -27.37     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.65R   14.28  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.75     8.54   -22.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   43.30R   15.63  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.25     8.02   -29.25     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.90R   37.54