Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       11   27  +13      87.20     6.97    55.24    71.44    91.77    98.10    99.54    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      11   25  +10      79.05     7.39    37.73    18.53    59.09    85.28    94.64    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       11   24  +12      75.55     7.54    35.38     8.79    38.19    72.91    88.06    97.64     0.00     0.00  
Everton       11   20   +7      62.34     7.72    14.77     0.26     2.63    10.31    27.10    63.29     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     11   20   +5      54.80     7.78     0.09     0.02     0.28     1.59     5.84    24.18     0.39R    0.02  
West_Ham      11   18   +3      49.07     7.80    -7.82     0.00     0.05     0.33     1.63     8.93     2.63R    0.20  
Tottenham     11   17   +2      60.23     7.93    11.42     0.13     1.41     6.41    19.48    52.08     0.08R    0.01  
Arsenal       11   16   +7      65.79     7.77    27.39     0.79     5.90    20.83    47.51    79.17     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        11   16   +5      55.16     7.87     7.81     0.02     0.31     1.99     6.94    28.05     0.33R    0.02  
Newcastle     11   14   -3      50.86     7.82    -4.15     0.00     0.10     0.58     2.33    12.09     1.80R    0.13  
Swansea       11   13   +1      43.57     7.49    -9.84     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.26     2.26     9.47R    1.12  
Stoke         11   12   -1      44.80     7.48    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28     2.92     6.99R    0.75  
Liverpool     11   12   -2      54.90     7.77     6.53     0.01     0.25     1.54     5.99    26.00     0.43R    0.03  
Wigan         11   11   -6      39.09     7.32   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44    25.28R    4.79  
Norwich       11   11  -10      38.51     7.44   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    29.14R    5.76  
Sunderland    10    9   -4      44.00     7.81    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.28     2.63     9.92R    1.45  
Aston_Villa   11    9   -7      39.88     7.47   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.58    21.44R    4.05  
Reading       10    6   -6      33.70     7.82   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    52.94R   17.87  
Southampton   11    5  -14      31.28     7.64   -35.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.38R   29.71  
QPR           11    4  -12      29.90     7.18   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    72.77R   34.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 November 2012, Bristol_City vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   16   33  +10      74.63     8.57    10.65     9.32    19.92    55.37    26.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    16   32   +8      77.40     8.65    14.39    16.33    30.37    67.61    38.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          16   31  +10      81.39     8.64    24.63    32.68    50.06    82.54    59.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             16   28   +3      70.92     8.40     5.79     3.93     9.77    38.10    16.30P    0.18R    0.01  
Leicester        16   27   +7      74.96     8.63    17.27    10.72    22.22    58.38    31.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     16   27   +1      66.01     8.71    -2.38     1.55     4.01    19.92     7.00P    1.21R    0.05  
Blackburn        16   25   +3      73.22     8.91    13.93     8.39    17.69    50.41    27.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Brighton         16   24   +8      66.85     8.42    10.67     1.64     4.60    23.61     9.31P    0.73R    0.04  
Derby            16   23   +4      62.36     8.50     1.11     0.51     1.60    10.91     3.58P    2.89R    0.30  
Millwall         16   23   +3      65.94     8.60     5.52     1.42     3.90    20.29     7.77P    1.23R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    16   23   +3      64.96     8.47     4.34     1.03     2.88    17.06     6.09P    1.53R    0.15  
Watford          16   23   +2      64.14     8.65     1.51     0.84     2.53    15.23     5.38P    2.17R    0.19  
Burnley          16   23   -1      64.65     8.69    -0.93     0.99     2.83    16.37     5.82P    1.93R    0.15  
Blackpool        16   22   +3      70.07     8.84    13.88     4.26    10.25    37.46    18.35P    0.44R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    16   22   +1      66.91     8.94     6.67     2.15     5.50    24.60    10.73P    1.22R    0.09  
Charlton         16   20   -1      59.95     8.80    -3.05     0.30     0.96     7.24     2.39P    6.12R    0.81  
Bolton           16   20   -2      68.17     8.94     8.89     2.68     6.96    29.32    13.57P    0.96R    0.07  
Leeds_United     16   20   -5      59.41     8.63    -8.45     0.22     0.74     6.14     1.83P    6.64R    0.88  
Birmingham       16   20   -5      65.51     8.51     1.51     1.02     3.19    18.65     7.74P    1.39R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed        16   15   -8      48.81     8.51   -20.67     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P   39.40R   11.05  
Barnsley         16   15   -9      45.55     7.97   -25.99     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   55.71R   18.24  
Ipswich          16   13  -19      44.32     8.16   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   62.68R   25.42  
Peterborough     16   12   -7      46.15     8.43   -19.85     0.01     0.01     0.15     0.05P   50.84R   17.19  
Bristol_City     16   11   -9      43.86     8.20   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   62.41R   25.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        17   37  +21      82.27     8.19    29.29    26.46    46.38    86.33    56.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       17   32   +8      84.00     8.12    26.14    32.88    53.99    89.93    65.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       17   32   +3      75.01     8.27     7.88     6.12    14.64    56.35    23.86P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    17   30   +2      65.53     8.45    -4.73     0.66     2.03    16.92     4.15P    2.43R    0.10  
Notts_County    17   29  +11      74.61     8.40    19.76     6.19    14.99    57.00    25.30P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon         17   29  +11      74.17     8.48    19.04     5.88    14.42    54.70    25.22P    0.15R    0.00  
MK_Dons         17   29   +9      78.87     8.14    23.76    13.83    29.44    75.82    44.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       17   28   +6      69.47     8.21     8.78     1.62     5.05    31.71    11.14P    0.47R    0.00  
Doncaster       16   27   +5      71.99     8.63    10.81     3.51     9.35    43.29    17.35P    0.37R    0.00  
Preston         17   26   +9      69.31     8.42    14.24     1.71     5.28    32.52    11.50P    0.74R    0.02  
Yeovil          17   25   +3      62.51     8.34    -0.74     0.21     0.79    10.36     2.47P    4.93R    0.24  
Bournemouth     17   24   -1      65.55     8.31     1.73     0.48     1.79    17.02     4.86P    2.27R    0.08  
Crewe           17   23   -4      54.51     8.21   -16.98     0.02     0.08     1.58     0.30P   25.27R    2.86  
Colchester      17   20   -4      58.13     8.24    -6.29     0.06     0.22     3.67     0.92P   12.58R    0.91  
Carlisle        17   20   -9      56.55     8.33   -14.26     0.03     0.11     2.52     0.55P   18.09R    1.74  
Leyton_Orient   17   19   -7      52.17     7.90   -16.41     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.12P   33.72R    4.56  
Walsall         17   19   -8      54.17     8.12   -14.72     0.01     0.04     1.33     0.26P   25.45R    2.98  
Portsmouth      17   18   -4      63.16     8.61     4.08     0.31     1.17    12.49     4.52P    4.63R    0.28  
Oldham          16   17   -2      54.28     8.23    -6.94     0.01     0.05     1.41     0.30P   23.98R    2.84  
Coventry        17   17   -6      57.63     8.45    -4.47     0.04     0.16     3.54     1.01P   13.98R    1.34  
Scunthorpe      17   16  -12      51.32     8.08   -18.69     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   38.31R    6.10  
Bury            17   15   -9      48.35     8.11   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   52.10R   11.34  
Shrewsbury      17   14   -6      48.19     8.23   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   51.66R   11.11  
Hartlepool      17    8  -16      39.05     7.69   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.68R   53.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           17   37  +20      89.35     8.16    39.43    62.26    90.86    98.86    93.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            17   32  +17      81.91     8.24    32.46    21.02    67.95    92.73    75.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           17   32   +6      74.49     8.24    10.14     4.66    29.43    69.19    38.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             17   28   +8      68.61     8.21     9.40     1.02    11.23    43.70    18.34P    0.17R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town       17   28   +8      68.25     8.49     8.72     1.27    10.96    41.70    17.63P    0.23R    0.05  
Rochdale             17   27   +3      73.34     8.60    12.87     3.92    26.37    65.01    37.36P    0.07R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        17   26   +3      63.37     8.29    -0.95     0.26     3.63    21.00     6.71P    1.13R    0.26  
Torquay              17   25   +4      70.05     8.22    11.88     1.58    15.00    50.91    24.88P    0.08R    0.01  
Rotherham            16   25   +1      68.82     8.57     4.88     1.45    12.23    43.89    19.79P    0.24R    0.05  
Exeter               17   24   -1      65.63     8.62     1.56     0.67     6.84    30.45    13.21P    0.69R    0.19  
Southend             17   23   +3      69.09     8.23    12.44     1.19    13.02    46.53    23.52P    0.14R    0.03  
Northampton          17   23   +1      60.48     8.19    -3.07     0.09     1.66    12.84     3.92P    2.41R    0.65  
York                 17   23   -1      55.33     8.03   -12.04     0.02     0.37     3.88     0.97P    8.56R    2.86  
Dag_&_Red            17   22   +4      61.54     8.34     3.40     0.14     2.51    16.50     5.55P    1.85R    0.52  
Morecambe            17   22   +0      61.55     8.30    -0.44     0.11     2.26    15.71     5.45P    1.99R    0.54  
Accrington_Stanley   16   21   -6      58.36     8.36   -12.11     0.05     0.92     8.27     2.29P    4.96R    1.66  
Oxford_Utd           17   20   -6      58.95     8.24    -7.28     0.04     1.01     9.15     2.85P    3.93R    1.30  
Chesterfield         17   19   -2      61.49     8.52     2.05     0.18     2.65    16.77     6.61P    2.17R    0.64  
Plymouth             17   18   -2      56.07     8.17    -4.61     0.02     0.42     5.12     1.58P    7.17R    2.29  
Bristol_Rovers       16   17   -9      52.85     8.42   -17.75     0.01     0.24     2.61     0.68P   15.78R    6.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   17  -10      48.66     8.01   -23.93     0.00     0.03     0.64     0.15P   31.03R   14.77  
Wycombe              16   13  -11      54.05     8.92   -11.45     0.02     0.38     4.24     1.46P   13.39R    5.40  
Barnet               17   13  -15      42.20     7.69   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.88R   42.72  
Aldershot            17   13  -15      46.59     7.92   -23.64     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P   40.13R   19.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 November 2012, Barrow vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     18   36  +16      78.94     8.18    22.97     9.19    60.18    18.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            19   33  +15      80.41     7.73    31.21    11.20    69.57    27.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       18   33  +13      79.37     8.15    25.03     9.80    63.01    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            17   32  +13      87.35     7.86    37.00    40.22    90.78    57.77P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           18   32  +10      73.19     8.65    14.34     2.93    33.00     8.34P    0.07R    0.00  
Luton              18   32   +5      83.29     7.93    25.41    19.39    78.95    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       17   27   +1      75.87     8.70    15.36     5.01    45.34    14.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Gateshead          19   26   +2      62.80     7.78     1.63     0.08     4.09     0.80P    1.56R    0.18  
Hereford           18   26   -2      70.85     8.36     7.98     1.24    22.87     6.40P    0.21R    0.02  
Mansfield          17   25   -4      68.32     8.38     1.33     0.67    14.89     3.61P    0.49R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        18   24   +5      57.79     7.85    -2.23     0.01     1.20     0.19P    6.13R    0.94  
Stockport          18   24   +0      61.81     8.20    -1.49     0.09     3.82     0.74P    2.80R    0.39  
Lincoln_City       18   23   +0      61.12     8.13    -0.65     0.05     3.15     0.59P    3.09R    0.41  
Tamworth           19   23   -3      54.74     7.57   -11.18     0.01     0.31     0.05P   12.37R    2.18  
Woking             19   23   -6      53.63     8.21   -18.11     0.01     0.46     0.06P   18.58R    4.05  
Alfreton_Town      17   21   -7      52.65     7.99   -21.43     0.00     0.26     0.05P   21.58R    4.85  
Kidderminster      18   20   +2      62.08     8.00     7.64     0.06     4.15     1.02P    2.12R    0.22  
Cambridge_Utd      18   20   -4      61.00     8.09    -0.06     0.03     2.81     0.58P    3.28R    0.44  
Braintree_Town     17   20   -6      55.18     8.18   -14.04     0.00     0.65     0.09P   13.57R    2.80  
Southport          18   20   -9      53.36     8.04   -17.99     0.00     0.34     0.05P   18.36R    3.91  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   18   -9      48.55     7.89   -23.60     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.43R   11.83  
Barrow             18   18  -12      47.30     7.65   -27.68     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.08R   14.62  
Hyde_United        17   16   -8      47.56     8.55   -22.22     0.00     0.07     0.01P   43.60R   15.83  
Nuneaton           18   14  -12      42.32     8.05   -29.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.62R   37.30