Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 November 2012 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 November 2012, West_Brom vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       10   24  +12      86.33     7.11    55.58    66.97    89.04    97.25    99.33    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       10   23  +12      76.97     7.77    37.43    13.91    45.31    75.90    90.07    98.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      10   22   +9      78.08     7.57    38.10    17.03    52.05    80.20    92.44    98.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton       10   17   +6      61.18     7.91    14.51     0.23     2.07     8.14    22.01    57.95     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom     10   17   +4      52.75     7.94    -1.60     0.02     0.17     0.93     3.60    17.66     1.17R    0.07  
Tottenham     10   17   +3      60.90     8.16    11.31     0.26     1.92     7.54    20.90    55.70     0.08R    0.00  
Arsenal       10   15   +7      67.25     8.07    29.18     1.51     8.61    25.34    53.94    83.18     0.01R    0.00  
Fulham        10   15   +5      54.45     8.02     6.06     0.04     0.32     1.70     6.01    25.51     0.59R    0.04  
West_Ham      10   15   +2      46.19     7.95   -11.31     0.00     0.02     0.13     0.65     5.22     6.92R    0.77  
Newcastle     10   14   -2      53.41     8.09    -1.33     0.01     0.20     1.21     4.39    20.68     1.10R    0.08  
Swansea       10   12   +1      44.13     7.72    -9.72     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.35     2.88     9.91R    1.31  
Liverpool     10   11   -2      54.51     7.91     5.39     0.01     0.25     1.45     5.34    25.13     0.66R    0.06  
Wigan         10   11   -5      40.68     7.63   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.01    21.44R    3.90  
Norwich       10   10  -10      38.42     7.68   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.50    32.19R    7.68  
Stoke         10    9   -2      43.62     7.70    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.28     2.60    11.02R    1.59  
Sunderland     9    9   -3      45.27     7.94    -8.52     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.45     3.85     8.57R    1.25  
Aston_Villa   10    9   -6      40.28     7.55   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.78    22.16R    4.04  
Reading        9    5   -6      34.96     8.12   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29    48.60R   16.53  
QPR           10    4  -11      30.94     7.37   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    69.33R   31.14  
Southampton   10    4  -14      31.54     7.93   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    66.22R   31.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, Birmingham vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Crystal_Palace   15   30   +9      72.47     8.74     8.81     6.96    14.67    45.81    20.79P    0.17R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    15   29   +6      75.60     8.79    12.07    12.59    24.07    60.05    32.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          15   28   +9      79.89     8.84    23.76    27.38    44.05    77.64    53.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             15   28   +4      72.31     8.59     6.85     6.28    13.76    44.68    20.74P    0.17R    0.01  
Leicester        15   26   +7      75.85     8.75    18.07    13.75    26.16    62.24    35.70P    0.08R    0.01  
Blackburn        15   24   +3      74.14     9.12    14.83    10.76    21.36    54.65    31.52P    0.17R    0.01  
Huddersfield     15   24   +0      64.06     8.90    -3.97     1.06     2.89    15.06     5.26P    2.83R    0.24  
Brighton         15   23   +8      66.86     8.55    10.27     1.96     5.01    24.30     9.61P    0.96R    0.05  
Derby            15   23   +5      63.38     8.67     1.60     0.88     2.37    13.74     4.74P    2.80R    0.25  
Burnley          15   23   +0      67.16     8.93     1.93     2.20     5.67    25.05     9.81P    1.41R    0.16  
Nott'm_Forest    15   22   +3      64.56     8.55     3.15     0.97     2.73    16.25     5.62P    1.98R    0.17  
Blackpool        15   21   +3      70.84     8.96    14.54     5.54    12.48    41.18    20.67P    0.51R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    15   21   +1      67.68     9.10     7.35     2.77     6.80    27.75    12.59P    1.19R    0.09  
Millwall         15   20   +2      64.44     8.77     4.63     1.07     2.98    16.68     6.28P    2.53R    0.24  
Leeds_United     15   20   +0      63.76     8.85     1.64     0.97     2.64    15.03     5.52P    3.03R    0.31  
Watford          15   20   -3      59.53     8.64    -8.12     0.24     0.79     6.23     1.81P    7.45R    0.95  
Bolton           15   19   -2      67.82     9.24     7.73     3.03     7.32    29.00    13.86P    1.38R    0.12  
Birmingham       15   19   -5      65.33     8.76     0.60     1.38     3.66    18.95     8.15P    1.83R    0.13  
Charlton         15   17   -3      56.99     8.97    -7.21     0.15     0.46     4.13     1.25P   13.28R    2.20  
Sheff_Wed        15   15   -6      50.60     8.78   -17.88     0.02     0.07     0.79     0.19P   34.62R    8.70  
Barnsley         15   15   -8      47.31     8.28   -24.46     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   49.98R   15.00  
Peterborough     15   12   -6      48.16     8.64   -17.73     0.01     0.02     0.40     0.10P   44.90R   13.26  
Bristol_City     15   11   -7      46.19     8.52   -19.74     0.01     0.02     0.15     0.05P   53.85R   18.72  
Ipswich          15   10  -20      41.89     8.40   -38.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   74.81R   39.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Hartlepool vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        16   34  +20      80.73     8.45    28.42    19.70    38.05    81.82    48.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       16   32   +9      85.65     8.30    27.63    39.94    60.83    92.40    70.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       16   32   +6      77.84     8.47    13.06    10.31    23.60    69.06    34.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    16   29   +2      64.94     8.69    -6.40     0.68     2.09    15.99     3.99P    2.91R    0.09  
Notts_County    16   28  +11      75.90     8.58    21.21     7.63    18.84    63.01    29.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Doncaster       15   27   +6      74.30     9.03    13.27     6.06    14.63    53.83    24.14P    0.21R    0.01  
Swindon         16   26   +9      71.91     8.68    16.17     3.40     9.44    44.34    18.48P    0.32R    0.00  
MK_Dons         16   26   +8      76.55     8.37    21.84     8.79    20.55    66.26    34.72P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       16   25   +5      67.95     8.45     7.95     1.25     3.63    26.57     8.89P    1.02R    0.03  
Preston         16   23   +6      65.98     8.51     8.70     0.68     2.42    20.31     6.44P    1.88R    0.08  
Yeovil          16   22   +2      61.17     8.59    -1.45     0.18     0.70     8.59     2.10P    6.62R    0.41  
Bournemouth     16   21   -2      62.99     8.52    -0.67     0.25     1.06    11.43     3.13P    4.42R    0.26  
Colchester      16   20   -3      60.30     8.41    -4.09     0.09     0.40     6.48     1.62P    7.87R    0.53  
Crewe           16   20   -5      52.01     8.40   -19.12     0.01     0.04     0.86     0.17P   34.43R    5.32  
Carlisle        16   20   -8      58.08     8.52   -13.05     0.07     0.23     3.95     0.91P   13.14R    1.18  
Walsall         16   19   -6      55.89     8.35   -12.15     0.02     0.12     2.26     0.50P   18.30R    1.90  
Portsmouth      16   18   -2      66.39     8.82     8.89     0.81     2.81    22.36     8.67P    2.14R    0.12  
Oldham          15   17   -1      55.47     8.42    -6.26     0.02     0.10     2.29     0.48P   19.15R    2.10  
Coventry        16   17   -5      59.94     8.78    -2.14     0.11     0.45     6.93     2.13P    9.10R    0.77  
Leyton_Orient   16   16   -8      50.12     8.16   -17.97     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.05P   41.89R    7.46  
Shrewsbury      16   14   -5      50.29     8.53   -11.65     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.11P   40.30R    7.31  
Scunthorpe      16   13  -13      49.05     8.36   -20.72     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   47.50R    9.88  
Bury            16   12  -11      45.33     8.25   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   64.48R   19.41  
Hartlepool      16    8  -15      40.20     7.96   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.14R   43.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 November 2012, Plymouth vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           16   36  +20      90.07     8.38    39.78    63.64    91.25    98.96    93.58P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            16   31  +17      82.11     8.49    32.24    20.36    67.43    92.21    74.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           16   29   +5      72.98     8.45     9.31     3.16    23.47    62.36    32.50P    0.05R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       16   27   +8      68.39     8.70     8.38     1.27    11.52    42.01    18.17P    0.27R    0.06  
Burton_Albion        16   26   +4      64.51     8.53    -0.40     0.39     4.89    25.30     8.44P    0.96R    0.24  
Bradford             16   25   +6      66.10     8.38     6.10     0.53     6.74    32.05    12.13P    0.43R    0.11  
Rotherham            15   25   +6      72.19     8.75    13.07     3.16    22.30    59.77    31.78P    0.09R    0.01  
Torquay              16   24   +4      70.62     8.50    12.20     1.72    16.72    53.17    26.97P    0.10R    0.01  
Rochdale             16   24   +2      71.22     8.90    11.10     2.56    19.57    54.86    29.47P    0.17R    0.04  
York                 16   23   +2      58.73     8.49    -5.92     0.09     1.31     9.39     2.82P    4.42R    1.40  
Exeter               16   23   -1      66.15     8.75     1.82     0.81     7.60    32.34    14.13P    0.67R    0.19  
Southend             16   22   +3      69.92     8.47    13.11     1.55    15.19    49.99    26.14P    0.15R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   15   21   -4      60.85     8.64    -8.20     0.17     2.17    14.10     4.50P    2.93R    0.89  
Northampton          16   20   -1      57.39     8.38    -7.24     0.03     0.79     7.20     2.02P    5.42R    1.87  
Dag_&_Red            16   19   -1      57.71     8.42    -4.89     0.04     0.94     7.83     2.35P    5.28R    1.81  
Chesterfield         16   19   -1      63.36     8.76     3.82     0.31     4.23    22.92     9.54P    1.45R    0.40  
Morecambe            16   19   -3      59.77     8.46    -3.58     0.09     1.38    11.42     3.57P    3.55R    1.13  
Oxford_Utd           16   19   -6      59.26     8.48    -7.40     0.07     1.29    10.36     3.21P    3.96R    1.34  
Plymouth             16   17   -2      55.63     8.28    -5.71     0.02     0.37     4.67     1.32P    7.78R    2.72  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14  -10      50.47     8.56   -19.79     0.00     0.09     1.51     0.38P   23.66R   10.66  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   14  -13      45.22     8.06   -29.97     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.06P   47.83R   27.60  
Wycombe              15   13  -10      55.88     9.13    -9.78     0.04     0.72     6.52     2.21P    9.71R    3.87  
Barnet               16   13  -12      44.13     8.07   -27.74     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.06P   52.45R   32.04  
Aldershot            16   13  -13      48.89     8.18   -20.31     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.16P   28.66R   13.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 November 2012, AFC_Telford vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Newport_County     17   36  +17      81.20     8.39    25.34    10.73    70.98    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            16   32  +14      89.90     8.07    39.82    46.08    94.64    63.69P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              17   32   +7      86.07     8.07    29.61    24.53    87.14    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            18   30  +11      78.49     8.03    26.64     5.57    61.06    19.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       17   30  +10      77.03     8.35    20.98     4.35    52.86    14.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Dartford           17   29   +8      69.25     8.86     8.63     0.80    19.90     4.02P    0.44R    0.04  
Macclesfield       16   27   +3      78.43     8.92    19.29     6.76    58.61    19.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Gateshead          18   26   +3      64.68     8.02     3.40     0.12     7.24     1.36P    1.05R    0.11  
Stockport          17   24   +3      63.66     8.36     2.39     0.11     6.74     1.16P    1.57R    0.18  
AFC_Telford        17   23   +5      57.90     8.05    -2.79     0.02     1.48     0.23P    6.22R    0.87  
Woking             18   23   -2      55.71     8.45   -12.75     0.01     1.06     0.14P   12.88R    2.55  
Hereford           17   23   -3      67.96     8.53     5.07     0.48    15.18     3.92P    0.57R    0.05  
Tamworth           18   22   -3      55.45     7.85   -10.80     0.00     0.57     0.08P   11.26R    2.06  
Mansfield          16   22   -5      66.95     8.58     0.74     0.34    12.73     2.86P    0.85R    0.13  
Lincoln_City       17   20   -1      59.46     8.34    -1.79     0.01     2.51     0.43P    4.93R    0.76  
Southport          17   20   -8      54.57     8.21   -17.51     0.00     0.60     0.07P   14.92R    3.12  
Alfreton_Town      16   18   -8      49.81     8.17   -24.20     0.00     0.09     0.01P   32.93R    9.94  
Barrow             17   18  -11      48.86     7.93   -26.26     0.00     0.07     0.00P   36.90R   11.09  
Kidderminster      17   17   +1      61.17     8.28     7.74     0.04     3.74     0.92P    3.06R    0.46  
Cambridge_Utd      17   17   -6      58.65     8.39    -3.24     0.02     2.04     0.41P    6.22R    1.03  
Braintree_Town     16   17   -7      53.30     8.46   -15.41     0.00     0.44     0.09P   19.02R    4.74  
Hyde_United        16   16   -7      49.00     8.81   -21.02     0.00     0.22     0.04P   37.05R   13.07  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   15  -10      46.93     8.07   -24.47     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.72R   16.64  
Nuneaton           17   14  -11      43.13     8.28   -29.42     0.00     0.03     0.00P   64.35R   33.15